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ChatGPT’s o3 Pro AI model just processed 47 live market indicators, from TradingView technical signals, Binance order-book flows, social media sentiment, and on-chain metrics, to deliver a surprising Dogecoin price prediction as the memecoin clings to $0.17778.
With volatility compressed to multi-month lows and RSI approaching oversold territory at 39.57, o3 Pro identifies $0.19 as the key pivot between a breakout toward $0.30 and a breakdown to $0.15.
After opening in January 2025 with euphoric highs of $0.4159, Dogecoin has made some dramatic corrections and technical consolidations that have set the stage for the next major directional move. Source: CoinMarketCap
The brutal February selloff, which crushed prices to $0.1590, a 51.6% monthly decline, separated diamond hands from paper hands, creating a more mature holder base that has weathered subsequent volatility with resilient stability.
While other cryptocurrencies were severely affected by the market-wide liquidation of over $1.4 billion caused by the ongoing Israel-Iran war, Dogecoin held firm with only a 2% loss.
The following analysis was conducted using one of ChatGPT’s most advanced AI models, the new o3 Pro. The predictions were then reanalyzed and edited together after being “humanized” for enhanced readability while maintaining analytical precision.Overview: Dogecoin Technical Analysis and Price Prediction
The daily turnover of Dogecoin still commands $1.05 billion despite being down 45.10% from recent peaks. However, sentiment oscillates between cautious optimism and bearish caution as traders position themselves ahead of potential catalysts.
With a $26.56 billion market cap, DOGE has been up 0.75% recently, keeping it firmly among the top ten cryptocurrencies.
While traditional technical indicators flash warning signals with all major moving averages trading above current prices, a deeper examination shows patterns that historically precede major price movements.Source:
With technicals coiling tighter, on-chain participation maintains healthy levels despite price weakness, and sentiment balances fear and greed.Technical Indicators Expose Oversold Conditions Amid Volatility
The latest daily chart reveals Dogecoin wedged into its tightest volatility range since early 2025, with price action compressed between $0.1742 and $0.1803 over the past 24 hours. It is a mere 3.5% range that suggests explosive moves are building beneath the surface.
This compression phase, historically observed before DOGE’s most extensive directional breakouts, creates conditions where even modest catalysts can trigger disproportionate price movements.
RSI at 39.57: Approaching oversold territory but not yet triggering reversal signalsMACD below signal line: Confirming bearish momentum but showing signs of stabilizationMoving Average Death Cross: All major EMAs trading above the price, creating a resistance constellationAverage True Range: Compressed to 0.018, indicating volatility expansion is imminentVolume patterns: 585.42M DOGE daily, moderate but stable participation
The Relative Strength Index lingering near 39 creates a particularly intriguing setup. This level sits just above the traditional oversold threshold of 30, representing a zone where selling pressure typically exhausts itself and buyers begin to emerge.Source: Cryptonews
Historical analysis shows that when DOGE’s RSI approaches 40 during consolidation phases, subsequent bounces have averaged 23% over the following 30 days, though the sample size demands caution in extrapolation.Key Support and Resistance Framework
Primary Support Levels:
$0.17560: Recent swing low, immediate support$0.15228–$0.16078: key support zone, multiple tests$0.14500: Psychological level, major demand zone
Resistance Constellation:
$0.19298: 20-day EMA, immediate resistance$0.19707: 50-day EMA, secondary barrier$0.20386: 100-day EMA, major hurdle$0.21332: 200-day EMA, long-term resistance
The flattened EMA cluster between $0.19 and $0.21 is a formidable resistance wall that has consistently rejected upward attempts. Source: TradingView
However, the increasing distance between the current price and these averages suggests that when a break finally occurs, the momentum could carry DOGE well beyond initial resistance levels as short covering and FOMO buying accelerate.
A clean break above $0.19298 would realign the price with bullish momentum for the first time since January, potentially opening pathways toward the $0.22–$0.25 range.
Conversely, failure to defend $0.17560 risks exposing the broader support zone and could trigger accelerated selling toward psychological levels near $0.15.Liquidity & Market Depth: Institutional Interest Meets Retail Resilience
Despite recent price weakness, Dogecoin maintains a robust liquidity infrastructure that rivals many top-tier cryptocurrencies.
The $26.62 billion market cap provides deep order books capable of absorbing large trading volumes without excessive slippage. The $1.04 billion daily turnover, representing roughly 4% of the market cap, indicates healthy institutional and retail participation.
24-hour turnover: $1.04 billion, maintaining billion-dollar daily flows7-day volume: $6.8 billion, evidence of sustained market engagementMarket cap ranking: Consistently top-10, institutional recognitionExchange distribution: Broad listing across major venues, reducing concentration risk
The pair trades most actively on Binance, Coinbase, and other major exchanges where aggregated order books routinely absorb eight-figure transactions without visible market impact. Should volatility spike on major news or technical breakouts, this is a key buffer.
This liquidity depth provides the foundation for meaningful price discovery and reduces the risk of flash crashes that plague smaller cryptocurrencies.
Volume Composition Analysis
Current volume patterns reveal tactical positioning rather than panic selling or euphoric buying.
The composition has shifted toward spot markets rather than derivatives, suggesting that leverage is being reduced as traders position for potential breakouts rather than chasing momentum within the current range.
Spot dominance: Growing share of total volume, reducing leverage riskDerivative cooling: Options and futures activity normalizing from extreme levelsGeographic distribution: Global trading maintains healthy regional participationInstitutional flows: Consistent presence of large block trades indicating professional participation
Source: TradingView
Volume-weighted Moving Average (VWMA-20) trends marginally higher despite classic EMAs flashing sell signals, indicating selective accumulation continues even as technical indicators remain bearish.
This divergence often precedes trend reversals as smart money positions ahead of retail recognition.DOGECOIN’s Network Activities Show Growth Defies Price Weakness
Even as price action has cooled throughout 2025’s first half, network fundamentals show continued adoption and utility expansion far beyond speculative trading.
On-chain metrics reveal a cryptocurrency successfully transitioning from pure meme status to legitimate payment infrastructure, creating organic demand that operates independently of market sentiment cycles.
Network Utilization MetricsSource:
Daily active addresses: Maintaining consistent engagement above the 2024 averages, with the 2025 peak close to 700K in May.Transaction volume: Steady throughout price consolidation, peaking at over 661K transactions in a single day.Payment adoption: Expanding merchant acceptance, creating real-world utility.Mining participation: Stable hashrate despite price declines, network security maintained
The persistence of network activity during sideways price action contrasts sharply with many alternative cryptocurrencies, where usage typically decays alongside speculative interest.
This stability suggests that underlying demand drivers have matured beyond simple speculation into genuine utility applications.Utility-Driven Demand Expansion
Recent developments in DOGE’s utility ecosystem create multiple demand channels that support price levels independent of trading activity:
Payment Integration Growth:
Major retailers are continuing to add DOGE payment optionsOnline platforms, like rumors around X, are expanding cryptocurrency acceptanceCross-border remittance applications gaining traction
Supply Dynamics and Float Reduction:
Inflation rate: , predictable and priced into current levelsHODLer accumulation: Long-term holders are increasing positions during consolidationCorporate adoption: Businesses holding DOGE as treasury assets and ETFsStaking mechanisms: Various platforms offering yield on DOGE holdings
Current price stability suggests equilibrium has been achieved between new supply and organic demand, setting the foundation for price appreciation when speculative demand returns.DOGECOIN Social Metrics: Community Engagement Surges Despite Price Weakness
Social sentiment analysis reveals updated dynamics in Dogecoin’s community engagement patterns, with LunarCrush data showing nuanced shifts that provide deeper insights into market psychology and potential price catalysts.
Current Social Performance Overview:
Mentions: 23.17K (up 9.12K from the previous period)Engagements: 2.03M (down 73.01K, showing some cooling)Creators: 4.44K (down 157, indicating a slight reduction in content creation)Sentiment: 87% (up 2%, showing strong bullish community psychology)Social Dominance: 2.7% (maintaining substantial crypto social mindshare)
Key Performance Indicators:
AltRank: 489 (positioning within broader altcoin ecosystem)Galaxy Score: 61 (moderate overall social and market performance)
Despite competitive pressure from tokens like Hyperliquid’s HYPE surpassing DOGE in futures trading and newer assets like Fartcoin gaining Coinbase traction, DOGE maintains its 2.7% social dominance with 4.44K active creators.
The divergence between 87% positive sentiment and current price action around $0.1777 creates historical opportunities. High community conviction provides psychological support during technical consolidation and generates buying pressure on positive catalysts.
Recent technical analysis from traders like Trader Tardigrade suggests potential uptrend formations and Adam and Eve bullish patterns, while gaming integration through PlaysOut and DogeOS expands utility narratives beyond speculation.
Elon Musk’s continued influence also remains a major catalyst, with sustained discussion around potential influencer impact positioning the community for momentum acceleration.
The three-month social outlook reveals bullish indicators, including the strong 87% sentiment foundation, increasing quality technical analysis, and utility expansion creating new engagement narratives.
Risk factors include decreasing total engagements, potentially indicating waning mainstream interest, and competitive pressure from newer tokens.
Key monitoring points focus on sentiment sustainability above 80% during price weakness, engagement quality trends, and maintaining social dominance above 2.5%. Twitter Sentiment Deep Dive
The qualitative analysis of community sentiment reveals compelling insights into collective psychology and price expectations within the Dogecoin ecosystem.
Analysts forecast an incoming “Golden Cross” formation with ambitious $0.30 targets. This formation will require DOGE to reclaim the $0.19298 level and overcome resistance constellations.
Golden Cross is due for guys …My next target is 0.30$ Let’s Gooooooooooooo🚀🚀🚀🙌 — Glory2GloryStudio 🌊🌊🌊 (@Glory2GloryX)
This technical optimism is reinforced by community members drawing parallels to historical patterns, particularly referencing “2017 vibe check” scenarios that connect current market conditions to previous primary bull run cycles.
2017 vibe check. Tell me what you think. — Surf (@_CryptoSurf)
Long-term price projections extend to the $1 mark, representing the kind of conviction that often becomes self-fulfilling through coordinated community action, despite the ambitious nature of such targets relative to current pricing.
is heading to the $1 mark with this consistent pattern 🔥 🚀 — Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan)
Recent reports pointing out substantial mining profitability add another dimension to DOGE’s fundamental picture.
Headlines claiming “Whales earn $65,824 a day by mining Dogecoin” and “DOGE holders cloud mining: passive income increased by $37,780 per day” suggest that network economics remain attractive despite price consolidation.Source: SoChainThree-Month DOGECOIN Price Outlook: Scenarios and CatalystsBase Case: Consolidation with Upward Resolution (65% probability)
The most probable scenario involves continued consolidation between $0.15–$0.20 through the remainder of Q3 2025, followed by upward resolution toward $0.25–$0.30 levels as technical indicators reset and community sentiment translates into sustained buying pressure.Source: TradingView
Technical Requirements:
RSI recovery above 50 confirms a momentum shiftVolume expansion above 500M DOGE daily during breakout attemptsReclaim of 20-day EMA at $0.19298 with convictionBitcoin stability above $110,000 provides a favorable macro backdrop
Price Targets:
Initial resistance: $0.22–$0.25Extended target: $0.28–$0.32Timeline: 60-90 days for full development
Bullish Breakout Scenario: Explosive Rally (25% probability)
A decisive break above $0.20386 with substantial volume could trigger the explosive moves that DOGE is famous for, potentially reaching $0.40–$0.50 levels as community predictions become self-fulfilling prophecies and mainstream media attention accelerates FOMO buying.Source: TradingView
Breakout Catalysts:
Major corporate adoption announcementsViral social media moments are driving mainstream attentionBitcoin leading broader crypto market rally above $110,000–$115,00Elon Musk or other celebrity endorsements
Technical Signals:
Clean break above 100-day EMA with volume confirmationRSI momentum above 60 with sustained buying pressureSocial mentions exceeding 50K daily with positive sentimentOptions activity showing heavy call buying
Bearish Breakdown Scenario: Support Failure (10% probability)
A break below $0.15228 support would invalidate the consolidation thesis and could trigger accelerated selling toward $0.10–$0.12 levels as technical support fails and community sentiment shifts negative.Source: TradingView
Breakdown Risks:
Broader crypto market correction below key support levelsRegulatory pressure on meme coins or payment cryptocurrenciesMajor exchange delistings or trading restrictionsFundamental changes in utility adoption trends
must hold above $0.168 to avoid a 30% price drop! — Ali (@ali_charts)
Risk Management Levels:
Stop-loss below $0.15000 for trend-following strategiesPosition sizing appropriate for a high-volatility asset classDiversification across multiple cryptocurrency holdingsMonitoring volume patterns for early breakdown indicators
Key Catalysts and Monitoring Points
Immediate Catalysts (1-4 weeks):
RSI behavior at oversold levels (bounce vs. continued deterioration)Volume expansion patterns during any directional movesBitcoin’s technical condition and broader crypto market sentimentSocial media engagement trends and sentiment evolution
Medium-term Signals (1-3 months):
Moving average reclaim attempts and success ratesOn-chain adoption metrics and utility expansionCorporate adoption announcements, ETFs approval, and treasury allocationsRegulatory developments affecting payment cryptocurrencies
Long-term Indicators (3-6 months):
Golden Cross formation potential (50-day above 200-day EMA)Mainstream payment adoption milestonesCommunity sentiment evolution and engagement sustainabilityMarket structure changes and institutional participation
Will DOGE Break Out or Break Down? Technical Convergence Indicates Decision Point
Dogecoin’s current market structure reveals a key convergence as price action compresses within the tightest volatility bands since early 2025.
The $0.17775 level represents a 46% decline from January’s $0.3287 peak, yet technical indicators suggest this consolidation may be nearing resolution.
RSI approaches oversold extremes while on-chain activity maintains steady growth despite price weakness, creating conditions where patient capital could be rewarded through asymmetric risk-reward positioning.
The next 60-90 days will determine whether current conditions represent accumulation before substantial upward movement or distribution preceding deeper correction.

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Asset manager Purpose Investments received approval to list its spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in Canada this month. Purpose was granted a "final prospectus receipt," the last necessary step before a fund can begin trading, according to an announcement on Monday. 
The fund, which will trade under the ticker XRPP, is expected to go live on June 18 on the Toronto Stock Exchange, marking what appears to be the first spot XRP fund approved in North America, according to a Monday press release. 
Purpose Investments initially filed its preliminary prospectus for its spot XRP fund in Canada on Jan. 31, The Block previously reported. 
The Purpose XRP ETF gives investors direct exposure to XRP without them needing to hold the asset itself. XRP is the native asset of XRP Ledger, a Layer 1 network associated with the crypto payments firm Ripple.
Similar spot- and futures-based products have already started trading in different regions, a spot XRP fund that went live in Brazil in April, and the Swiss-based 21Shares XRP ETP. Several U.S.-based firms have all filed for spot XRP fund approval with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which recently approved three XRP futures exchange-traded products. 
XRP is fourth largest cryptocurrency with a market capitalization of $136.5 billion. The price of XRP jumped 6.5% to trade at $2.32 following reports of Purpose Investments spot XRP fund set to start trading on June 18

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The XRP price is back in the spotlight as fresh projections place the digital asset on a steady path toward a $1.5 trillion Market Capitalization and a 27% crypto market dominance. Notably, analysts remain broadly optimistic about XRP’s long-term outlook, pointing to historical trends, current price movements, and key resistance levels as strong indicators backing this bold prediction. 
XRP Price Eyes $1.5 Trillion Market Cap And 27% Dominance
Despite still experiencing strong consolidation, the XRP price is reportedly on track to capture 27% of the total crypto market dominance and reach a $1.5 trillion market cap. This projection by a prominent market analyst, Crypto on X (formerly Twitter), has sparked discussions within the XRP community, drawing mixed reactions over the possibility of this ambitious forecast. 
At the heart of this analysis is the notion that the total crypto market cap could eventually expand to a $5.5 trillion valuation, possibly driven by skyrocketing institutional adoption, broader retail participation, regularity clarity, and more. Under such a scenario where XRP is also forecasted to command a 27% market share, its total market cap would equate to roughly $1.485, bringing its projected price close to a historical all-time high of $27. 
Supporting Crypto’s optimistic outlook is a historical analysis of XRP dominance levels, particularly focusing on the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement level around the 5.75% mark. The analyst shared a detailed price chart, identifying this key level as a long-standing resistance zone where XRP dominance has been consistently rejected, first in October 2019, then in November 2020, and again in January and March 2025. 
According to the analyst, repeated testing of this key resistance is likely to trigger a breakout reaction once it is breached. He offered a unique analogy, describing the resistance testing as “knocking on the door—the more you knock, the higher the chances it opens.”
Having already knocked on this resistance level four times in the past, XRP is now approaching its fifth attempt. The analyst believes that this could be the moment the “door” opens, signaling a potential breakout that could lead to a rise to the projected $1.5 trillion market cap and 27% dominance. 
Notably, the XRP market cap currently stands at $2.77 billion, meaning it would need to surge by over 54,000% to reach the ambitious $1.5 trillion valuation. In addition, XRP’s present market dominance is around 3.93%—a far cry from the projected 27% market share. This highlights the scale of the growth required, both in value and influence, for XRP to meet the analyst’s forecasted milestones. 
Bull Flag Set-Up Support Analyst’s Bold Predictions 
Adding strength to Crypto’s optimistic market cap and dominance forecast is the emergence of a Bull Flag formation on the macro XRP chart, which historically signals continuation to the upside following a consolidation period. 
The “KABOOM” zone labeled on the analyst’s XRP chart also signifies the critical breakout resistance threshold XRP must overcome. A successful breakout here could lead the price into a low resistance area marked as the “VOID,” potentially paving the way for rapid gains and a rise to the 27% market dominance.

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KEY POINTS:
Two of Ripple’s top executives answered a direct question about XRPL’s potential to capture a sizeable volume of the most adopted financial transactional system, SWIFT.If their prediction is to happen, the XRP Ledger could be processing billions of dollars worth of assets daily, which would definitely impact the native token’s price – but by how much?
TL;DR
14% of Swift’s Volume?
Responding to the question asked at the XRP Apex 2025 event in Singapore earlier this week, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said it’s important to distinguish SWIFT into two parts – messaging and liquidity. He focused on the second, as it could influence the XRP Ledger more since it is owned by the banks.
“I think less about the messaging and more about liquidity. If you are driving all the liquidity, it is good for XRP … so I will say in five years, 14%.”
Even if we remove the messaging part from this equation, SWIFT handles approximately $5 trillion in transactions per day, according to Statista’s conservative metrics. This puts the annual amount at around $1.25 quadrillion if we assume there are 250 business days yearly.
14% out of that mind blowing amount would result in a $175 trillion volume settled in Ripple’s cross-border token on its network annually, or $700 billion daily. Although not all value remains in XRP, the liquidity needed to ensure there are no delays should be at least $175 billion (daily) if one token is used around four times per day for settlements.
When we asked ChatGPT about XRP’s price potential in such a scenario, it responded that the asset could blow up to somewhere above $20 when we considered all narratives. The SWIFT volume, even though it would be a massive portion, would still complement everything else that goes on in the Ripple (XRP) ecosystem – staking, holding, network expansion, RLUSD adoption ,potential ETF approvals, etc... Ridiculous Predictions Time
While a price tag of $10 or even $20 sounds quite mindboggling as of now (current price – under $2.2), the XRP Army was even more bullish following Garlinghouse comments. Predictions started to fly in, outlining ridiculous targets for the future, including almost $1,500 per coin.
This #XRP bull flag has a $1,452.81 price target.
Do you believe in it? pic.twitter.com/pRFksuCe9V
Some even brought up the aforementioned RLUSD adoption, which could also somehow push XRP’s price to the stratosphere.
It’s official: $RLUSD is set to trigger a guaranteed $1,250 price for $XRP ! pic.twitter.com/RW0StcSHuv
However, investors should be aware that these targets are simply numbers that have little substance to back them up, for now at least. Before you start allocating funds to XRP expecting such massive price surges, please beware that $1,250 per XRP would mean that its market cap would be north of $67 trillion – that’s more than Bitcoin, Amazon, Apple, Google, and gold combined.

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Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicted that XRP could soon take a chunk of SWIFT’s trading volume. Meanwhile, Circle’s USDC recently launched on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). Both developments could provide a huge boost for the XRP price, given the altcoin’s role in the XRPL ecosystem. 
XRP Price Gets A Boost With Ripple CEO Garlinghouse’s Prediction
At the XRPL Apex Conference, Brad Garlinghouse predicted that the XRP could capture 14% of the volume that SWIFT processes by 2030. He noted that SWIFT has two key components: messaging and liquidity. The Ripple CEO added that liquidity is where the power lies and that if XRP drives the liquidity layer, it would gain significantly. This could also spark a surge in the XRP price in the process.
Ripple uses XRP for its payment services, which it runs on the XRPL. In this case, Ripple is betting on taking 14% of SWIFT’s trading volume because of how fast and easy it is to process these cross-border transactions using blockchain technology. This isn’t the case for SWIFT, as the platform focuses more on interbank messaging for these cross-border transfers. 
In a now-deleted X post, pro-XRP lawyer John Deaton commented on this prediction and what it could mean for the XRP price. He stated that SWIFT processes approximately $5 trillion in transactions daily. This means that 14% of SWIFT’s daily market volume equates to $700 billion daily or approximately $175 trillion annually. Deaton failed to give a particular price prediction based on these numbers. 
However, Fruition, another XRP community member, provided a calculation that could put the XRP price in triple digits. In an X post, they noted that SWIFT moves 150 trillion per year and that 14% of that is 21 trillion. Fruition added that 21 trillion through the XRPL means 58 billion tokens, which equates to $357 for the XRP price.
Circle’s USDC Launches On XRPL
In an X post, Circle announced that its USDC stablecoin is now available on the XRP Ledger, another development that is bullish for the XRP price. The stablecoin firm noted that XRPL users will now be able to use USDC for DeFi liquidity provisioning, payments, and it could also serve as a settlement option for infrastructure apps. 
Crypto analyst Moon Lambo broke down why the USDC launch on XRPL is bullish for the XRP price. He stated that this development will substantially increase the total value locked on the network, which is a major predictor of whether the XRP price will appreciate. The crypto analyst added how this provides additional utility for XRP. He noted that the altcoin will be used to pay gas fees on every USDC transaction on the network. 
At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.16, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours.

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Cryptocurrencies had a down week, with total market cap off 1.8% in the past 24 hours and down roughly 13% in the past 30 days. In the past week, the market seems to have been selling off following President Trump's announcement of a strategic bitcoin reserve--including a crypto summit held at the White House on Friday. Markets appear underwhelmed with the news out of Washington, but the fall of bitcoin to a recent low of roughly $82,000 may soon turn around, says Nigel Green of the deVere Group. "The market's reaction betrays a short-sightedness that will likely be corrected as investors digest the broader implications of the move," says Green in a note.

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Ethereum has faced massive selling pressure and volatility over the past month as the entire crypto market trends downward, pushing ETH toward crucial demand levels. With uncertainty dominating the market, traders remain cautious as Ethereum struggles to reclaim lost ground.
Analysts expect even more volatility following US President Trump’s executive order on Thursday, which established a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. While the announcement was expected to boost market sentiment, it introduced more uncertainty, leaving investors unsure of its long-term impact on the crypto space.
Despite the ongoing decline, on-chain data from Santiment reveals a bullish signal—330,000 Ethereum have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past 72 hours. Such large outflows often indicate investors moving ETH into private wallets, suggesting reduced selling pressure and possible long-term accumulation.
With Ethereum hovering at key support levels, the coming days will be critical in determining whether ETH stabilizes or faces further downside. If market sentiment improves and exchange outflows continue, Ethereum could see a strong recovery. However, if selling pressure persists, another leg down remains a possibility, keeping traders on high alert.
Ethereum Faces A Critical Test
Ethereum has lost over 50% of its value since late December, triggering massive fear and panic selling across the market. Once a leading force in crypto rallies, ETH is now struggling to regain momentum, leaving investors questioning whether the long-awaited altseason will materialize this year. Many analysts speculate that it won’t, as Ethereum and most altcoins continue to struggle, unable to reclaim bullish settings or establish a clear recovery trend.
Despite the bearish sentiment, there is still hope for a rebound, as on-chain data suggests potential bullish catalysts. Ali Martinez shared Santiment data, revealing that 330,000 Ethereum have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past 72 hours. This significant outflow could indicate that investors are moving ETH into private wallets, reducing immediate selling pressure and potentially setting the stage for a supply squeeze.

A supply squeeze occurs when the available supply of an asset on exchanges decreases, making it harder for sellers to push prices lower. If Ethereum continues to hold key demand zones and buying pressure increases, the reduced exchange supply could drive a strong recovery toward higher price levels.
For now, traders are watching whether ETH can stabilize and reclaim critical resistance levels. If bulls regain momentum, Ethereum could start a recovery trend in the coming weeks. However, if selling pressure persists, another wave of downward movement remains a possibility, keeping the market on edge. The next few days will be crucial in determining Ethereum’s short-term direction and whether the recent exchange withdrawals signal a turning point for ETH.
ETH Price Testing Crucial Demand
Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading at $2,130 after days of struggling below the $2,500 level. The market remains under bearish control, with bulls unable to reclaim key resistance zones. As long as ETH stays below $2,300, bears continue to hold the upper hand, keeping selling pressure dominant.

For a recovery rally to take shape, bulls must defend the $2,100 level and push ETH back above $2,500. A decisive break past this resistance would signal renewed buying momentum, potentially shifting the market sentiment and triggering a stronger push toward higher prices. However, failure to reclaim these levels would prolong the current downtrend and leave ETH vulnerable to further declines.
The key level to watch is $2,000—losing this support could trigger a dramatic breakdown, leading to accelerated selling pressure and a potential drop into lower demand zones. This scenario would erase hopes of a near-term recovery, forcing Ethereum into a deeper bearish phase.
With ETH hovering near critical levels, traders are closely watching whether bulls can regain momentum or if bears will push prices lower. The next few days will be crucial in determining ETH’s short-term direction and whether it can escape its downward trend.
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White House crypto and AI czar David Sacks rejected the idea of taxes on each cryptocurrency transaction as a method of filling the US strategic Bitcoin reserve and the crypto stockpile with digital assets.
During a recent appearance on the All In podcast, host Jason Calacanis proposed charging a 0.01% tax on every cryptocurrency transaction, which would be denominated in the asset that is transferred, bought, or sold. Sacks responded:
"That's always how taxes start. They are described as being very modest. You know, when the income tax started, it only applied to like a thousand Americans, and the legislators swore up and down that it would never be applied to middle-class people."
"So, I don't particularly like the idea of new taxes, even if it is promised that they won't affect people very much. That sounds burdensome to me," Sacks continued.
Crypto investors were highly critical of the idea, which would also tax transfers of assets between wallets owned by the same person.
The recent White House Crypto Summit made no mention of concrete tax policies. However, the Trump administration has signaled its support for sweeping tax reform at the federal level.
President Trump proposes eliminating income tax and Internal Revenue Service
President Donald Trump previously proposed eliminating the federal income tax and replacing the income tax revenue with tariffs on imported goods.
Trump said the United States federal government was funded exclusively by tariffs in the 19th century and argued that it was a time of almost unparalleled prosperity for the country.
Howard Lutnick, the commerce secretary of the US, reiterated the proposal and said that the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) would be replaced by an "External Revenue Service."
According to research from accounting automation company Dancing Numbers, the Trump administration's plan to replace revenues from federal income taxes could save each American taxpayer at least $134,809.
The company added that the lifetime savings could be extended to as much as $325,561 per person if state-income taxes are also repealed.
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The recent Bitcoin price crash below $90,000 came as a shock to the broader crypto community, especially amid expectations of a continued bull market rally. Despite the volatility and ongoing declines, a crypto analyst projects an even greater crash, suggesting that Bitcoin could fall as low as $63,000 if a certain resistance level holds. 
TradingView crypto analyst Alixjey has declared that the Bitcoin price must break past $99,500 to continue moving higher. He highlights that if this resistance holds and Bitcoin fails to break it, the pioneer cryptocurrency will likely face a steeper price decline to new lows of $63,000.
The last time Bitcoin was around the $60,000 range was during its massive price rally in 2024 after the launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs. Considering that Bitcoin has risen as high as $104,000 at one point this year, a crash toward $60,000 would be a devastating blow to investors and its market. 
Bitcoin Price Crash Imminent 
The TradingView analyst shared a chart suggesting that Bitcoin could rise as high as $106,000 or drop toward the $60,000 to $65,000 range if it fails to break resistance. This price drop is highlighted as a strong buying and accumulation opportunity for long-term investors, as it presents a low entry point into the market.
During its price highs, many retail investors were likely unable to buy Bitcoin due to its increasing cost. Most accumulations were from whales who had purchased millions of dollars worth of Bitcoin in one swoop. 
Alixjey has also labeled his projected $60,000 – $65,000 downturn as the last chance to re-enter the Bitcoin market, emphasizing that it was a prime HODLing point for potential profits in Q3 and Q4 of 2025. This implies that the analyst anticipates a price rebound in Bitcoin later in the year. 
Moving on, the TradingView expert highlighted two liquidity levels in the 4-hour timeframe that are likely to be cleared soon. He also acknowledged that he was solely bearish on Bitcoin’s price outlook, indicating that his projected short-term pullback will not be invalidated unless the cryptocurrency crosses the resistance between $94,000 and $98,000.
Other factors that could contribute to Bitcoin’s already heightened volatility are the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. AlixJey predicts that once released, this data could lead to high volatility in both stocks and crypto. He urges investors and traders to be cautious, as major economic reports often influence market movements. 
Analyst Sees Upside Potential After BTC Crashes
Due to Bitcoin’s recent declines, many analysts have shared bearish projections of the cryptocurrency, expecting a severe price correction before a potential recovery. One such analyst is Herbert Sim, the Chief Marketing Officer (CMO) of AICean.
Sim projects that Bitcoin will crash to new lows, especially with the recent approval of a crypto reserve in the United States (US). He expects a crash to $40,000 but highlights that it will be short-lived, spanning from weeks, months, and possibly years. However, the AICean CMO suggested that investors who can HODL for the long-term are likely to see more profits once BTC rebounds from bearish trends.
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Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), has said that a Bitcoin strategic reserve will position the United States as a leader in cyberspace.
In an interview with Fox News Channel, Saylor argued that Bitcoin is a secure means of savings for individuals, companies, and governments. Bitcoin Will Take The U.S. to Cyberspace
Saylor, whose company owns nearly 2.4% of the total Bitcoin supply, compared the cryptocurrency to digital land, urging the U.S. government to act quickly and secure its stake before foreign competitors do.
He further explained that establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is less about stockpiling the asset and more about gaining a leadership position in the digital economy.
“It’s really that you’re taking control of planting the flag in cyberspace because the digital economy is going to be capitalized on Bitcoin,” he said.
Addressing concerns that government adoption contradicts Bitcoin’s original vision as a decentralized asset, Saylor argued that its protocol was designed for universal adoption, empowering individuals, businesses, and even nation-states.
He argued that any country seeking economic stability and financial sovereignty would eventually see Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
If given the chance to advise policymakers, the founder said he would push for clear regulations on digital assets, emphasizing the need to differentiate between digital commodities like Bitcoin, digital currencies, and digital securities.
With a well-defined framework, he supports the careful and transparent accumulation of the flagship cryptocurrency to reinforce the country’s financial strength. Altcoin Inclusion in The Crypto Reserve
On Sunday, President Donald Trump surprised many by announcing that altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), SOL (Solana), and Cardano (ADA) would be considered for a U.S. national crypto reserve.
While acknowledging the role of stable coins and tokenized securities in financial markets, Saylor maintains that only Bitcoin qualifies as a reserve asset.
“The important thing to keep in mind is Bitcoin is the one universally agreed-upon foundational asset in the entire crypto economy because it’s the asset without an issuer,” he said.
His stance aligns with that of other industry leaders, including Brian Armstrong, who views Bitcoin as the most reliable long-term digital asset reserve.
Gemini co-founder Tyler Winklevoss has also dismissed the inclusion of altcoins, arguing that only Bitcoin is suitable for the initiative. Meanwhile, Peter Schiff supports a U.S. crypto reserve but has voiced opposition to XRP and other altcoins being part of the plan.
Trump is expected to unveil the Bitcoin reserve strategy at the White House Crypto Summit on March 7, where further details on the initiative’s structure and asset composition may be revealed.

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Crypto prices surged Sunday after President Trump said he would move forward on a U.S. crypto strategic reserve that will include bitcoin and ether, as well as three smaller and riskier tokens.
"A U.S. Crypto Reserve will elevate this critical industry after years of corrupt attacks by the Biden Administration," said Trump in a Sunday post on his social-media platform Truth Social. "I will make sure the U.S. is the Crypto Capital of the World."
Trump said the crypto strategic reserve will also include solana, Ripple-linked XRP and cardano. Unlike bitcoin, which is the largest and oldest cryptocurrency, these tokens were created more recently and often by a small team, making them more susceptible to wild price swings and other risks.
It remains unclear how such a reserve would be created — or whether it could bring any benefit to the country.
As of Sunday afternoon, bitcoin rose 9% from 24 hours earlier to around $93,000, while ether jumped 11% to $2,500. Solana surged 20% to $169. XRP advanced about 30% to $2.80, while cardano soared nearly 60% to $1.02.
The rally helps stem a recent market slide. After trading around $109,000 on Inauguration Day, bitcoin fell below $80,000 last week amid a broad shift away from risk assets, including tech stocks and cryptocurrencies. A huge heist at crypto exchange two weeks ago also hurt sentiment.
Trump first brought up the idea of a "strategic national bitcoin stockpile" during his keynote speech at the annual Bitcoin Conference in July. Since then, the idea has generated excitement in crypto circles, where investors and entrepreneurs are clamoring for government policies that help legitimize bitcoin, which in turn could boost its value.
A onetime bitcoin skeptic, Trump embraced crypto last year and made a series of big promises to the industry. Since returning to the White House, he has created a working group on digital-asset markets and pardoned Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, an online drug bazaar that used bitcoin as its payment method.
Investors and analysts have said that one way to build the reserve is for Uncle Sam to hold on to its huge stash of bitcoin seized from cybercriminals and darknet markets. The U.S. government holds more than 180,000 bitcoin worth about $18 billion based on current market prices, according to data compiled by crypto firm 21.co. Historically, the government has sold seized bitcoin to reimburse victims of cybercrime and cover agency expenses.
The government has also seized other tokens, but the sum isn't tracked as closely by researchers.
Trump is expected to host and speak at the first-ever White House Crypto Summit on Friday. The summit will be chaired by Trump's AI and crypto czar David Sacks and attended by industry CEOs, founders and investors.

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There’s no way to sugarcoat what transpired in the cryptocurrency market in the past week. Take bitcoin, for example. It challenged the $100,000 level on February 21 but slumped by over twenty grand in the following week to dump to a three-month low of $78,000 last Friday, February 28.
Although it managed to recover some ground and stood above $83,000 when the month ended, it still made it the worst February in over a decade in terms of price performance. Quite the unexpected development, given February’s solid relationship with BTC.
The reasons behind this correction are still debated, but most experts blame it on Trump’s controversial economic and political moves, which include tariffs on numerous countries as well as a rather unexpected approach in the Russia-Ukraine war.
The danger of this uncertainty still looms, and it could result in price crashes; however, there are some positive signs for BTC after the weekly sell-off that could suggest a rebound and target the six-digit territory. BTC Whales Back Accumulating
Whales and ETF buyers are the two leading cohorts of BTC investors at the forefront of the recent sell-offs. The net outflows from the US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs skyrocketed with a violent streak thats more than $3.5 billion being pulled out of the funds within two weeks at one point.
Whales, which are of particular significance to the market due to their ability to move the underlying asset with massive purchases or sales, disposed of millions worth of BTC within days.
However, both saw some initial positive signs. The ETFs registered nearly $100 million in net inflows on Friday, thus breaking the adverse streak, while Ali Martinez said 34,600 BTC (valued at $2.941 billion at current prices) was moved to accumulation wallets.
Over 34,600 #Bitcoin $BTC have been moved into accumulation wallets!
RSI and Realized Loss
The second signal indicating a bullish recovery in the near future is the on-chain traders’ realized loss margin. The metric historically hints at a rebound when it goes below -12%, which wasn’t the case a few days ago when BTC dropped to around $82,000.
However, the decline to $78,000 pushed the metric to -14%, which now means that history will be challenged again.
#Bitcoin $BTC historically rebounds when the on-chain trader realized loss margin hits -12%. Right now, it’s at -14%!

Lastly, Martinez brought the Relative Strength Index, which tracks whether the underlying asset is overbought or oversold. If it drops below 30, it suggests an oversold state, which is currently the case for BTC, with the metric going to 24. Once again, history is at play.
Historically, when the daily RSI drops below 30, #Bitcoin $BTC tends to rebound. Right now, it’s sitting at 24! pic.twitter.com/5o3m7HlgIj

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Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. saw $94.3 million of total inflows on the last day of February as crypto's worst month in three years came to an end.
The figure capped an eight-day streak of outflow during which investors pulled over $3.2 billion from these funds as digital asset prices fell.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust IIBIT, the largest spot bitcoin ETF by assets under management, was one of the outliers that saw $244.6 million in outflows on Friday. Meanwhile, other large ETFs, including Fidelity’s FBTC, brought in $176 million from investors, while the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF saw the largest inflows, bringing in $193.7 million, according to Farside Investors data.

The inflows came as the cryptocurrency market started showing signs of recovery after the price of bitcoin hit a $78,000 low in the early hours of Feb. 28. Bitcoin is now trading around $84,900 after rising 1.6% in the last 24 hours, while the broader 20 Index rose 0.3% to 2,705.
Over the past week, BTC is still down by roughly 12%, while the broader crypto market, as measured by the 20 Index, fell by 15.8%. Spot bitcoin ETFs had been enduring a significant outflow streak since Feb. 14, a day in which these funds saw $66.2 million inflows.
Spot ether ETFs, on the other hand, have maintained an ongoing outflow streak on the last day of February, with $41.9 million leaving these funds. Since their last day with a positive net flow, $357.5 million exited these funds, according to data from Farside.
The recent market recovery comes as the White House announced that U.S. President Donald Trump will host a crypto summit on March 7 and after the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, added a 1% to 2% allocation of its spot bitcoin ETF to one of its model portfolios.
Read more: BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Sees Record Daily Outflow as the Basis Trade Starts to Unwind

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Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has joined calls to free early crypto investor and entrepreneur Roger Ver, who is locked in a legal battle with the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) over alleged tax evasion and faces extradition to the US.
Buterin reposted Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht's message calling for the prosecution against Ver to end and characterized the case as "absurd" and "politically motivated." Buterin continued:
"The US tax-by-citizenship and associated exit tax regime are extreme. The former is shared by almost no other countries in the world, and the latter is on the high end of what countries do, e.g., the UK only charges capital gains if you return within 5 years."
"If the IRS did intimidate Roger's lawyers to get privileged information, that is a bad faith move," The Ethereum co-founder added.
Ver's case comes amid growing calls from US lawmakers and residents for comprehensive tax reform, which includes ending the income tax and abolishing the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).
The DOJ case against Roger Ver
The US Department of Justice announced tax evasion charges against Ver on April 30, 2024, and the entrepreneur was subsequently arrested in Spain, where he was imprisoned for several weeks.
Ver posted $163,000 of bail on May 17, 2024, allowing him to leave prison on the conditions that he remain in Spain, surrender his passport, and check in with court officials every two days.
In a legal filing from December 3, 2024, the embattled entrepreneur's attorneys argued the case was unconstitutional and moved to dismiss the charges.
The attorneys characterized the exit tax law for US citizens with more than $2 million in investable assets as vague, adding that the exit tax violates the Apportionment Clause and the Due Process Clause of the US Constitution.
Crypto investors called out the DOJ for targeting Ver after he left, claiming that the case was part of the Biden administration's broader anti-crypto stance.
Roger Ver maintains that the US government maliciously prosecuted him over crypto advocacy and not tax-related matters.
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XRP price is up over 5% from the $2.50 support. The price is showing positive signs and might aim for a move above the $2.820 resistance zone.
XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.550 level.The price is now trading above $2.650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2.620 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).The pair might start a fresh increase if it clears the $2.750 resistance zone.
XRP Price Jumps Over 5%
XRP price remained supported above the $2.50 level. It formed a base and started a strong increase above the $2.55 resistance zone, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The price cleared the $2.60 and $2.620 resistance levels. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $2.620 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The pair rallied above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.8320 swing high to the $2.470 low.
The price is now trading above $2.650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.750 level. It is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.8320 swing high to the $2.470 low.

The first major resistance is near the $2.80 level. The next resistance is $2.820. A clear move above the $2.820 resistance might send the price toward the $2.880 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.920 resistance or even $2.950 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $3.00.
Another Decline?
If XRP fails to clear the $2.750 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.650 level. The next major support is near the $2.60 level.
If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.60 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.550 support. The next major support sits near the $2.50 zone.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $2.650 and $2.60.
Major Resistance Levels – $2.750 and $2.820.
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