Citigroup: Approximately Half of the Risk Premium Supporting Gold - $XAU Could Fade by Year-End
Citigroup stated on Friday that current gold allocations are being supported by a complex set of intertwined geopolitical and macroeconomic risks; however, roughly half of these risks may diminish by the end of this year. According to the bank, several core risk factors underpinning gold demand-including concerns over U.S. government debt and uncertainty surrounding artificial intelligence-are likely to keep gold prices elevated relative to historical averages.
That said, Citigroup estimates that a significant portion of the risks currently priced into gold are unlikely to materialize in 2026, or, even if they do, are unlikely to persist beyond that year. The bank added, “We see the Trump administration pursuing a form of ‘American-style gold stability’ ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. We also expect the Russia–Ukraine conflict to conclude and tensions surrounding Iran to gradually ease. Taken together, these developments would imply a reduction in risk relative to current levels.”
Citigroup further noted that if the nomination of Kevin Warsh is approved, it would reinforce its long-standing view that the Federal Reserve remains politically independent—a factor the bank considers an additional medium-term headwind for gold prices.
The U.S. government is likely to enter a shutdown starting Saturday morning unless the House of Representatives passes a funding bill, underscoring the importance of precise contract definitions in prediction markets. Contracts on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi allow users to wager on whether a government shutdown will occur, with implied probabilities ranging from 88% to 93%. These elevated odds highlight differences in how each platform defines and operationalizes the concept of a “government shutdown.”
$BTC Down, $XAU down, the whole market is going down this weekend!
🔥 Gold and Silver Continue Their Overnight Sell-Off
In just today’s session alone, gold ($XAU ) recorded a drop of over 9% -> More than $3.2 trillion in combined market capitalization of gold and silver - $XAG was wiped out within 24 hours
The move was driven by the latest statements from Donald Trump:
A military operation moving toward Iran, described as even larger in scale than the Venezuela situation
Plans to discuss interest rate cuts with Kevin Warsh
It’s going to be a sleepless night for metals traders
JUST IN: Trump Selects Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair Following Surge in Prediction Market Odds
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has selected Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve, following a sharp increase in his implied probability on prediction markets. The decision comes after market-based forecasts increasingly priced in Warsh as the leading candidate, reflecting growing investor expectations regarding the future direction of U.S. monetary policy.
Silver Experiences an “Epic-Scale” Decline as Hedging Activity by Miners Raises Supply–Demand Concerns, Says Peter Brandt
Renowned trader and chart analyst Peter Brandt—known for accurately forecasting Bitcoin’s 2018 crash—recently highlighted rising risks in the silver market. Shortly thereafter, silver recorded a historically significant sell-off, with the daily price dropping by 14.16%, potentially ranking as the second-largest one-day decline on record.
The only larger decline occurred on March 27, 1980, during the collapse following the Hunt brothers’ failed market manipulation attempt—known as “Silver Thursday”—when prices plunged by more than 50%–63% in a single day.
Brandt reiterated his warning this morning, emphasizing speculative risks associated with silver’s recent surge. He noted that COMEX trading volume this week reached approximately 4.3 billion ounces, equivalent to 5.2 years of global silver production. According to Brandt, this unusually high volume may reflect hedging activity by silver producers, rather than genuine end-user demand.
He further stressed that mining companies are likely to lock in profits at elevated price levels, which could ultimately result in a structural oversupply and supply–demand imbalance.
Silver ($XAG ) is now available on Binance Perpetual Contracts—trade now.
Binance Futures Announces the Listing of $XPT and $XPD Perpetual Contracts
Listing details: • Launch date: January 30, 2026 • Maximum leverage: Up to 100× • Trading pairs: USDT-margined • Funding rate: +0.05% / −0.05%, settled every 4 hours
The introduction of these perpetual futures contracts expands Binance Futures’ offerings in commodity-linked derivatives, providing traders with enhanced exposure and risk management flexibility
If you don't know, XPT and XPD are platinum and palladium. The metal trend is coming! $XAU
Gold has just experienced one of the most extreme volatility events in its history.
Today marks the largest single-day fluctuation in gold’s total market capitalization on record, with an estimated swing of approximately USD 5.5 trillion within 24 hours.
• From 9:30 PM to 10:25 PM, gold’s market capitalization declined by roughly USD 3.2 trillion.
• From 10:25 PM to 4:00 AM, it rebounded by approximately USD 2.3 trillion.
This rapid reversal within a 6.5-hour window represents a market value movement equivalent to three times the total market capitalization of $BTC
Notably, the current level of volatility in gold now exceeds that observed during the 2008 global financial crisis, underscoring the extraordinary instability in traditionally defensive assets.
$WLD surged sharply following rumors that Sam Altman’s World project may collaborate with OpenAI.
According to Forbes, OpenAI is reportedly developing a “biometric social network” aimed at verifying real users and eliminating bots. The team is said to be considering the use of Apple’s Face ID or the World Orb, an iris-scanning device developed by the World project.
Although no official confirmation of a partnership between OpenAI and World has been announced, the speculation alone was sufficient to drive $WLD up by more than 40%.
However, World continues to face significant regulatory challenges and is currently restricted or banned in multiple jurisdictions—including Thailand, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Kenya, Spain, and China—due to concerns over personal data collection and privacy practices.
Tether is reportedly acquiring gold at a pace equivalent to over USD 10 trillion per month and storing it in a high-security “James Bond–style” vault.
Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin $USDT , is purchasing physical gold at a rate of up to two metric tons per week, with the objective of building one of the largest private gold reserves globally. According to CEO Paolo Ardoino, at current market prices this acquisition rate is equivalent to more than USD 10 trillion per month.
The gold is reportedly stored in a highly secured former nuclear bunker in Switzerland, which Ardoino has described as resembling a facility “straight out of a James Bond film.” Tether is said to currently hold approximately 140 metric tons of gold, with an estimated value of USD 240 trillion, positioning the company among the largest non-sovereign holders of gold, outside of governments and central banks.
Gold, one of the world’s finite assets, is experiencing an unprecedented surge as it continues to reach successive record highs.
In response to growing market demand, several cryptocurrency exchanges, including Binance, have recently announced the launch of futures contracts for the $XAU trading pair, enabling market participants to gain exposure to gold price movements through derivative instruments.
Tether is reportedly acquiring gold at a pace equivalent to over USD 10 trillion per month and storing it in a high-security “James Bond–style” vault.
Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin $USDT , is purchasing physical gold at a rate of up to two metric tons per week, with the objective of building one of the largest private gold reserves globally. According to CEO Paolo Ardoino, at current market prices this acquisition rate is equivalent to more than USD 10 trillion per month.
The gold is reportedly stored in a highly secured former nuclear bunker in Switzerland, which Ardoino has described as resembling a facility “straight out of a James Bond film.” Tether is said to currently hold approximately 140 metric tons of gold, with an estimated value of USD 240 trillion, positioning the company among the largest non-sovereign holders of gold, outside of governments and central banks.
Gold, one of the world’s finite assets, is experiencing an unprecedented surge as it continues to reach successive record highs.
In response to growing market demand, several cryptocurrency exchanges, including Binance, have recently announced the launch of futures contracts for the $XAU trading pair, enabling market participants to gain exposure to gold price movements through derivative instruments.
The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision at 3:00 a.m. tomorrow (Thursday).
The current benchmark interest rate stands at 3.75%, and market expectations indicate no change at this meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference 30 minutes after the announcement. Market consensus widely anticipates that, following three consecutive rate cuts, the Federal Reserve will opt to keep rates unchanged.
According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in January is estimated at 2.8%, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rate stands at 97.2%.
Given that markets have largely priced in a policy hold and that Fed officials will not release updated economic projections this week, investors are expected to closely scrutinize Powell’s language for signals regarding how long policymakers intend to maintain the current interest rate level. Morgan Stanley’s Chief U.S. Economist, Michael Gapen, anticipates a more dovish tone.
Meanwhile, Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal—often referred to as the Fed’s “unofficial spokesperson”—noted that this meeting is expected to mark the first pause following the series of rate cuts that began in September last year. The key question now is what conditions would prompt the Federal Reserve to resume rate cuts.
🔥USD takes a hit, but Trump still insists the “Dollar is strong” The Dollar Index (DXY) just slid to 95.566 — the lowest level since Feb 2022, while also breaking a 14-year uptrend.
Earlier this morning, Trump tried to calm markets, saying the U.S. dollar is still “great” and that he doesn’t want it to keep weakening further.
A softer dollar is adding fuel to the fire for gold, which is still ripping and pushing toward $5,200 🥶
Clawdbot is a viral, open-source AI assistant developed by Peter Steinberger. Designed as a "local-first" agent, it runs on a user’s own machine to automate tasks across messaging platforms
Key Features of Clawdbot
- Action-Oriented: Unlike standard chatbots, Clawdbot can execute system commands, manage emails, and interact with web browsers. - Privacy-Focused: It operates locally, avoiding the data silos of traditional cloud-based AI tools. - Multi-Platform: Integrates with 13+ messaging services for 24/7 automation.
Important Crypto Security Alerts
- Official Clarification: The original creator, @steipete, has stated he is not associated with any cryptocurrency token. - Scam Warning: Multiple "Clawdbot" tokens (e.g., on Solana) have appeared; these are community-led or scams and are not official project products. - Deployment Risk: Users must avoid exposing their local Gateway to the public internet to prevent unauthorized access to private API keys.
Unlike standard chatbots that only provide text, Clawdbot can execute real-world actions like running shell commands, managing local files, and controlling web browsers directly on your machine.
The project sparked a viral trend in late January 2026 where power users began buying Mac Minis specifically to host the bot locally 24/7, leading to reported sell-outs and a wave of "meal prep" memes involving fridges full of the hardware.
$DUSK | Distribution Pauses as Early Re-Accumulation Emerges
After the sell-the-news distribution near the local top, $DUSK corrected sharply and is now trading around half of its peak
Recent on-chain data shows a shift: - Distribution has slowed significantly - Early accumulation is emerging on the pullback
Over the past few days, 3 fresh wallets, now among the top EOAs, accumulated directly from Binance
Total accumulated: 75.7M $$DUSK ~$13.1M)
After a classic catalyst-driven spike → distribution → deep correction, renewed buying from fresh top holders can mark the early stages of a new accumulation phase
Worth watching if this structure continues to develop
$DUSK : The project, which recorded a surge to nearly $0.33 over the past weekend amid strong capital inflows driven by the Privacy narrative, is currently undergoing a modest correction, with the price now retreating to around $0.149.
The key question is whether this move represents a temporary pullback aimed at flushing out leveraged long positions, or whether it signals that the upward momentum of the Privacy narrative has begun to fade.
$WCT : Enables Payments on Polygon via WalletConnect Pay
@WalletConnect Pay has now launched globally, allowing merchants and payment service providers to seamlessly accept cryptocurrency payments on Polygon through a simple integration. @Polygon has processed over USD 141 billion in on-chain transaction volume and hosts more than USD 3 billion in stablecoin supply, positioning it as a leading network for real-world payments due to its low fees and fast confirmation times. The platform is widely adopted by major companies such as Stripe, Revolut, and partners within the Shopify ecosystem as a core payment infrastructure
Binance will launch the $TSLA/USDT Perpetual Contract on Jan 28 at 14:30 UTC, supporting leverage of up to 5x
Binance last explored Tesla exposure in 2021 via synthetic stock tokens, which were later discontinued due to regulatory limits Nearly five years on, the exchange is reviving tokenized equity products after securing full regulatory approval in Abu Dhabi, reopening the door for on-chain access to traditional stocks
Avalanche has secured its first U.S.-listed ETF following the launch of an $AVAX fund by VanEck
VanEck has officially introduced the first exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States dedicated to Avalanche (AVAX), marking a significant milestone in the blockchain’s integration into traditional financial markets. This development represents a meaningful advancement, enabling both institutional and retail investors to gain regulated exposure to AVAX through established investment vehicles.