Lonely patient, nihilist. Pragmatist, immersed daily in various candlestick charts, extremely sensitive to numbers. Can bring newcomers into the circle, sharing daily trading records and insights. The more uncertain the market, the more one must stabilize their emotions, protect their capital, and wait for the right moment to strike. In Jinling, one is not merely a creature in the pond; when encountering winds and clouds, one transforms into a dragon.
On May 4, May may be in a price consolidation or mild upward phase, with prices expected to be between $100,000 and $150,000. If market sentiment is high (such as continuous inflows of ETF funds or favorable regulations), it may break through $150,000; if there is a short-term adjustment, it may drop to the support level of $80,000.
1. Review of yesterday
BTC: Yesterday's low was 95,764, high was 96,949, fluctuation was 1,180, amplitude was 1.22% ETH: Yesterday's low was 1,809, high was 1,882, fluctuation was 62.59, amplitude was 3.34%
2. Today's analysis
BTC current price is 95,781. Although the price decreased during the day, institutional interest in BTC remains strong, especially with significant inflows into ETFs, such as BlackRock's ETF, which saw an inflow of $674.9 million that day. This indicates continued institutional support. Market sentiment, based on the Fear and Greed Index, is at 67, in the 'greed' zone, showing optimism about future prices.
On May 1st, the BTC price may continue its recent high volatility characteristics from April 30th. According to recent data, BTC broke through the key resistance level of $92,000 in late April but also experienced pullbacks and fluctuations. Yesterday, the price may have fluctuated within the range of $90,000 to $95,000.
1. Review of Yesterday
$BTC : Yesterday's low was 92899, high was 95233, with a fluctuation of 2314.27 and an amplitude of 2.43% $ETH : Yesterday's low was 1732, high was 1832, with a fluctuation of 83.85 and an amplitude of 4.62%
2. Today's Analysis
Current BTC price is 95016, and yesterday's fluctuations may indicate that BTC continues to consolidate within the range of $90,000-$95,000. If it breaks above $95,000, it may challenge the psychological level of $100,000; if it falls below $90,000, the next support level is between $85,000 and $88,000. Trump's policy support and BTC's narrative as 'digital gold' may continue to push prices higher, but global regulatory risks and the possibility of economic recession (such as the inversion of US Treasury yields) may trigger significant volatility.
BTC Resistance: 95,000 BTC Support: 90,000
Current ETH price is 1809, and Ethereum's price may fluctuate between $1,780 and $1,832 on April 30th. After reaching a high of $1,832 yesterday, it fell back to a low of $1,732, indicating intense short-term bullish and bearish competition. Ethereum's recent price performance has been weak, significantly retreating from the late 2024 peak (around $4,400), with yesterday's price consolidating around $1,800, reflecting insufficient market confidence in Ethereum. Ethereum's leadership position in the DeFi and NFT sectors (with a TVL of $8 billion) and the Pectra upgrade provide long-term price support.
ETH Resistance: 1900 ETH Support: 1700
3. Summary
Current indicators for BTC suggest it's suitable for regular investments, but caution is needed for signs of market overheating (indicators ≥ 90). Short-term traders should focus on the key points of $92,000 and $95,000, setting stop-losses to respond to sudden declines.
Ethereum's current price is suitable for long-term regular investments, but short-term trading requires caution. Monitor the support at $1,770 and resistance at $1,900, setting stop-losses to manage high volatility risks. It is recommended to consider buying near $1,700, but be wary of further declines.
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The Grand Marshal 👏 is selling his own Jin Ye, and now an unknown wealthy woman has offered a price of 5 million dollars (RMB 36 million) to acquire the essence of the cool Grand Marshal. Even the Grand Marshal, feeling lonely, wants a child now, while you in front of the screen are still switching hands from left to right. #凉兮
On April 30, BTC prices showed an overall oscillating trend, with intense competition between bulls and bears. Prices fluctuated in the range of 92700 to 95400, resulting in a short-term double kill for both sides, but the daily trend remained largely unaffected. 1. Review of Yesterday $BTC : Yesterday's lowest point was 93716, highest point was 95411, fluctuation was 1716, amplitude was 1.8% $ETH : Yesterday's lowest point was 1780, highest point was 1844, fluctuation was 64.52, amplitude was 3.5% 2. Today's Analysis BTC's current price is 94555. Yesterday morning, BTC experienced a slight increase, reaching a high near 95400, but failing to break through the critical resistance level above 95500 (where there are a lot of sell orders). Intraday, it briefly dropped to 92700, then bulls quickly fought back, and the price rebounded to the level before the decline, showing market resilience. The oscillation range of 92700-95630 remains valid, with no breakthrough at critical points, and the market direction is unclear.
In the cryptocurrency world, contract trading attracts numerous players due to its high leverage and high returns, but its high risk also makes many people fail. As a contract player who has been struggling for several years, I have summarized some practical experience, hoping to help novices avoid detours and win steadily.
1. Control your positions and avoid going all-in The core of contract trading is risk management. Leverage can magnify profits, but it can also magnify losses. My experience is that a single position should be controlled at 10%-20% of the account funds, and the leverage multiple should not exceed 5 times. During the BTC volatility in April 2025, I opened a long position at $92,000, with 2x leverage and a position of 15%. When the price fell back to $90,000, the floating loss was controllable, and it finally rebounded to $94,000 and exited with a profit. On the contrary, a friend once chased high with a full position of 10x leverage, and the position was liquidated when the price fell back slightly, and he lost all his money.
On April 28, Trump's tax reform policy landed heavily, injecting 'epic' momentum into the BTC market. New tariff policies, regulatory easing, and adjustments to capital gains tax directly ignited enthusiasm in the crypto community, with BTC prices briefly breaking $95,000, hitting a new high since March. How will this tax reform reshape the crypto landscape? How should ordinary investors seize the opportunity? This article will help you understand!
Three main highlights of the tax reform, 66601740452 stands at the forefront Tariffs 'blood transfusion' to BTC: Trump plans to use tariff revenue to fill the tax cut gap, even suggesting the purchase of BTC as a strategic reserve. On the day the policy was implemented, BTC prices skyrocketed, and market sentiment soared.
Regulatory easing boosts confidence: The Federal Reserve lifted restrictions on banks participating in cryptocurrency, the SEC reduced regulatory hurdles, and crypto assets accelerated towards mainstream adoption, attracting sovereign funds, pension funds, and other institutions, with nearly $1 billion net inflow into BTC ETFs in a single day.
Capital gains tax benefits retail investors: Rumors suggest that the tax reform will lower capital gains tax on crypto trades, reducing trading costs while small tips and social security income remain tax-free, leading to a potential massive influx of retail funds.
Opportunities and risks coexist, intensifying changes in the crypto space Opportunities: BTC has upgraded from a 'speculative toy' to a strategic reserve asset, with institutional funds accelerating their layout, and the 'digital gold' safe-haven property becoming evident, reducing correlation with U.S. stocks.
Risks: High tariffs increase costs for U.S. miners, rising mining equipment prices may force companies to expand overseas; policy uncertainty exacerbates market volatility, testing investors' resolve with short-term price 'roller coasters.'
Retail investor strategies: Rational layout, seek stability to win Seize the opportunity during pullbacks: Significant volatility during the early stages of tax reform suggests buying BTC in batches during price corrections, paying attention to institutional fund flows and policy updates.
Avoid speculative traps: Beware of meme coins like 'Trump Coin' that experience wild price swings, prioritize mainstream coins such as BTC.
Diversify investments to reduce risks: Keep the proportion of crypto assets within 10%, combining with traditional assets like gold and stocks, and use derivatives for hedging when necessary.
Conclusion Trump's tax reform opens a new chapter for BTC, with policy dividends coexisting with market volatility. Retail investors need to remain rational and respond flexibly to seize opportunities in this changing crypto landscape and come out on top!
I fully agree with Marshal Liang Xi's point of view. I think that since a crime has been committed, it must be punished by law. Although virtual currency has not been recognized in our country for the time being, it does not mean that this field is a place where you can break the law.
Moreover, if you cut the capital this time, you will have to bear the consequences. I think the sentence this time will be at least three years or more, and it is very likely to reach a sentence of about ten years. After all, 20 million US dollars is not a small amount. #凉兮