MrSerhat

If the market pushes up to 103.000$ and then a spike comes down to 92.000$ , the dominance target we expect will be achieved and it will reach the level of 70. After that, a bullish phase should begin, with short but significant upward movements.

There is less than 6 months left until the end of the cycle; during this time, serious upward movements were followed by major declines in previous cycles. That’s why the trading period is over, and we have now entered the HODL period. I have not been trading for a while to avoid risk.

I shared these not as investment advice but to explain what could happen if previous cycles repeat in the same way. I wish you a profitable summer season.

We are entering the 3rd phase of capitalism
1. States printed money
2. Banks lent money that did not exist to their customers
3. Banks will start to issue their own reserve money (2025-2027)

So what's next?
4. Companies will issue their own reserve money (not stocks, but directly like dollars) (2027-2029)
5. Personalized reserve currencies will emerge (your credit score will now be your reserve currency) (2030-2034)

Banks that take the 3rd step will create incredible bubbles with the reserve money they generate from their own stocks, and when the time comes, those who invest in them will earn a lot. This is not investment advice, but I plan to buy shares of banks that issue reserve money with the profits I will earn from the bull season.

Dominance is hovering around 64. The altcoin bull seasons in 2017 and 2021 started in the range of 70-75. We might see one last major drop or just a sudden scenario where Bitcoin rises. For this to happen, eth/btc needs to be about 10-15% lower than its current level. Currently, the coins I find attractive as altcoins are:
$OXT $ARKM $ACH $RONIN $RAD $HIVE I expect good performance from these coins when we start to rise. However, I will wait for dominance to reach 68 for one last purchase, other than that I already have a substantial amount of these coins.

Where do you think the dominance graph will turn and money will flow into altcoins?

Technical indicators say there is 1 month left until the bull season 🤔

I think the last drop before the bull run is about to come. In previous seasons, when dominance was at these levels, Bitcoin had a sudden drop, piercing down to the 70 levels of dominance, and then it triggered the altcoin bull run. The time may be approaching; perhaps it will start and end within 3 months. I can't say for sure when or if it will happen, but the probability of it happening will benefit from both past statistics and the financial rules in game theory, as well as the interests of market makers.

I am closely following the developments and charts, and I will share when major signals come.

The American economy must deteriorate for the FED to resort to monetary expansion out of fear. If there is no interest rate cut or even monetary expansion this year, it will be inevitable for Powell to resign within a year.

Patience is the key to this; we are not Warren Buffet and cannot receive insider information, but we must be prepared when the time comes. Whispers of the bull season are about to be heard.

Trump is actually shooting himself in the foot by adding taxes; a country does not grow with taxes, it grows with incentives, it rises with reputation, and it attracts investors with trust. Doesn’t Trump know this? He actually knows very well, but what he wants to do is purely for show. He will soon remove the taxes he is imposing now and when the economy starts to improve, he will say, "Joe Biden ruined it, I could only fix it, thanks to me we became rich," but everyone knows that this is not true and that he is the one who broke it. His attempt to buy land is completely about putting himself in the spotlight and drawing attention to himself in war-torn countries, thus wanting to give the impression of being a savior to the world.

Its effect on crypto is actually not that significant; when there is a situation like monetary expansion, a bull season will come anyway. So, even though it seems that Trump is affecting the market, no, he is just trying to buy time.

Germany is entering a recession, and its effects will likely also impact America. The most obvious indicator is unemployment, and this graph is about to exceed the highest level in the last 11 years. When it previously reached these levels, there was a global monetary expansion, and in fact, the bull season came about because of it. The indicators are slowly becoming positive, and I hope to see the effects of these in the coins I have invested in within a few months.

Happy Eid al-Fitr to all Muslims.

I hope everyone experiences a bull season where they achieve their financial goals as soon as possible.

If the ETH/BTC ratio drops more than 28% compared to Bitcoin, we enter the period that started the bull run in 2021, and the dominance reaches the 70 level, which was present before the bull runs of 2017 and 2021.

Look, these are very important values.
The ETH/BTC and Dominance charts help us understand the events that initiate and end bull seasons.

In short, if ETH/BTC reaches the level of 2021 and dominance hits 70, it means the bull market has started for me. The most money is lost and gained at these levels, so it's wise to be careful.

Bitcoin dominance technically needed to reach 70 and then quickly drop for an altcoin bull run to occur, but ETFs do not want to allow this. Whenever money flows into altcoins, they increase Bitcoin's volatility and draw the money back to themselves.

What do you think will be the scenario that will funnel money into altcoins?

My prediction is that an ETF approval will come for the altcoin index, but it looks very difficult in the short term.

#TrumpTariffs #WhaleMovements

%99 probability that Solana $SOL , Tron $TRX , Litecoin $LTC ETFs will be approved (I am not sure if XRP will be included). However, they are waiting for a time to share this news; if you look closely at these coins, they are currently managed by the same market maker. Their charts, trades, and reactions to news are the same. The bull may first come to these coins

Trump is actually creating an image that if you don't go for monetary expansion with the FED while doing what he wants, the economy will collapse. There are 2 options here;
1) Powell will continue to insist on not expanding the money supply, but he will eventually be fired, and the person who comes in will bring the bull market (estimated time November 2025)
2) Trump will accelerate his actions, and Powell will abandon his goal of reducing inflation and will go for monetary expansion to save the country from recession, leading to the start of a bull market. (Estimated time within 1-3 months)

So how will money enter altcoins?
The logic is simple; altcoins are the riskiest assets, and as money expands, people's risk appetite increases, so they start investing in altcoins. Whales, exchanges, and ETFs that foresee this will gather and pump altcoins before the influx of investors, causing the latecomers to lose their money. Therefore, monetary expansion is a sufficient reason for the increase in altcoins.

Officially declaring a recession and there is no monetary expansion, otherwise the American economy will face significant difficulties. This could bring a bull season like in 2020.

Ethereum may be a fragile metal.

The ETH/BTC pair saw its bottom in 2017. After seeing this bottom in 2017, the altcoin bull market came.

(It needs to drop further to see the bottom in 2020)

$ARKM Received a stock exchange license in the US and will start spot trading on March 1st. Positive news for the price 🚀

The purpose of declines is not to make people sell at the bottom. It is to exploit their psychology and hopes and make them sell at the first rise, so that when the real rise comes, the burden on their shoulders will be reduced and they will earn more.