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30F, the market has changed, and the trend has chosen to break downward. Then, the focus of observation here should be placed on the purple center on the right. For the time being, we don’t need to consider the expansion of the two purple centers on the left and right. We need to track whether the center on the right can grow downward. Of course, there is also the possibility that the two centers will continue to move upward after expansion, but a very simple question is, is the trend running below, above, or in the middle of the center? The answer is down. Then there will be less chaos. It is the most reasonable and most suitable for the current trading plan to prioritize the three sells, which has nothing to do with your expectations.
5F, this does not even need to look at the structure. We only use the volume comparison under dynamics to see the results of the long-short confrontation.
1. The No. 1 trend has a strong structure of a double-center trend, and the space is the same as the No. 2 consolidation trend on the right: short>long.
2. The No. 3 trend has a 9-segment center, which is at a higher level, but the space is not as good as the lower-level center of the No. 2 trend: short>long.
3. The trend of No. 4 is not yet completed, but it only takes one section to destroy the adjacent basic trend. It is another small level that destroys the large level: short > long.
Therefore, using the simplest analysis of the dynamics of the Chaos Theory, the conclusion is very obvious. I don’t want to be short either, but the market reflects the short. Under this premise, all your large-level positions are wrong if you take the long position on the left side. It is easy to fall into the market meat grinder.
How to operate? In a word, follow the trend. Start tracking from a small level to see when the long-short conversion occurs. If the long position emerges, then go long. If it does not appear, then no matter how weak the short position is, you should go short. $BTC
5F, this does not even need to look at the structure. We only use the volume comparison under dynamics to see the results of the long-short confrontation.
1. The No. 1 trend has a strong structure of a double-center trend, and the space is the same as the No. 2 consolidation trend on the right: short>long.
2. The No. 3 trend has a 9-segment center, which is at a higher level, but the space is not as good as the lower-level center of the No. 2 trend: short>long.
3. The trend of No. 4 is not yet completed, but it only takes one section to destroy the adjacent basic trend. It is another small level that destroys the large level: short > long.
Therefore, using the simplest analysis of the dynamics of the Chaos Theory, the conclusion is very obvious. I don’t want to be short either, but the market reflects the short. Under this premise, all your large-level positions are wrong if you take the long position on the left side. It is easy to fall into the market meat grinder.
How to operate? In a word, follow the trend. Start tracking from a small level to see when the long-short conversion occurs. If the long position emerges, then go long. If it does not appear, then no matter how weak the short position is, you should go short. $BTC
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Market review: #BTC
This time, we open the pure mode for the algorithm and analyze this decline with the purest and most accurate perspective of the trend growth of the Chaos Theory.
1F - A0, we can see that the decline starting from 108000 is a five-segment large line segment decline. The internal structure of this trend is not full and is in a non-divergent decline acceleration state. The current rebound is just the bottom divergence generated within the fifth trend. The current rebound trend structure is relatively neutral, and the height of the center formed is basically the same as that of the adjacent trend center. The entry segment of this trend is a three-segment purple line segment, and the exit segment is currently one segment, which is lower than the entry segment. If this exit segment is established, then three buys will need to be formed in the future to complete the three-segment structure.
As for whether the current rebound trend can be extended, trigger the growth of the center, and evolve into a trend, I think the probability is very small. The reason is very simple. The previous downward trend structure is incomplete and has not damaged the green trend. Based on the current objective trading principles, it is impossible to talk about reversal. Then, our trading plan should be based on the extension of the downward trend, not the reversal.
Trading suggestions: Spot positions can be reduced or cleared at any time, and when the second or third buy or bottom divergence buy is given later, consider intervening. Even if it really reverses into a trend, there will still be opportunities to intervene when high-level bulls emerge later.
The rebound that started last night was not small, and many KOLs on the Internet began to shout orders again. This is caused by the recent cause effect. The trend gave the leeks a red date, and he would forget the previous slap. We traders must become steel warriors, abandon all emotions, not be swayed by the market, and only operate according to the information given by the market. $BTC
This time, we open the pure mode for the algorithm and analyze this decline with the purest and most accurate perspective of the trend growth of the Chaos Theory.
1F - A0, we can see that the decline starting from 108000 is a five-segment large line segment decline. The internal structure of this trend is not full and is in a non-divergent decline acceleration state. The current rebound is just the bottom divergence generated within the fifth trend. The current rebound trend structure is relatively neutral, and the height of the center formed is basically the same as that of the adjacent trend center. The entry segment of this trend is a three-segment purple line segment, and the exit segment is currently one segment, which is lower than the entry segment. If this exit segment is established, then three buys will need to be formed in the future to complete the three-segment structure.
As for whether the current rebound trend can be extended, trigger the growth of the center, and evolve into a trend, I think the probability is very small. The reason is very simple. The previous downward trend structure is incomplete and has not damaged the green trend. Based on the current objective trading principles, it is impossible to talk about reversal. Then, our trading plan should be based on the extension of the downward trend, not the reversal.
Trading suggestions: Spot positions can be reduced or cleared at any time, and when the second or third buy or bottom divergence buy is given later, consider intervening. Even if it really reverses into a trend, there will still be opportunities to intervene when high-level bulls emerge later.
The rebound that started last night was not small, and many KOLs on the Internet began to shout orders again. This is caused by the recent cause effect. The trend gave the leeks a red date, and he would forget the previous slap. We traders must become steel warriors, abandon all emotions, not be swayed by the market, and only operate according to the information given by the market. $BTC
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Market review: #BTC
30F, following yesterday's 5F pen destruction segment, today's destruction spread to 4H, and there was a 3-break-5 segment destruction. At present, it has broken through the lower track of the central axis of the previous trend, without a central axis, and maintained a downward extension trend.
Trading suggestions: The short-selling has expanded to the 4H trend level, but the structural destruction of the trend does not mean the destruction of the space. The starting point of the previous trend is 99600, which is also the position we need to focus on. Judging from the current market, at the level below 4H, the fluency of short selling is definitely better than that of long selling.
Little knowledge: Many analysts will mention support and pressure when interpreting the market, but as traders of the Chaos Theory, our focus should be on how the trend breaks the support and pressure, whether it is one break three, three break five, start break, three sell break, large volume break, back-trading break, etc. The processing methods are different. The trend is fresh, don't think about problems with static thinking. $BTC
30F, following yesterday's 5F pen destruction segment, today's destruction spread to 4H, and there was a 3-break-5 segment destruction. At present, it has broken through the lower track of the central axis of the previous trend, without a central axis, and maintained a downward extension trend.
Trading suggestions: The short-selling has expanded to the 4H trend level, but the structural destruction of the trend does not mean the destruction of the space. The starting point of the previous trend is 99600, which is also the position we need to focus on. Judging from the current market, at the level below 4H, the fluency of short selling is definitely better than that of long selling.
Little knowledge: Many analysts will mention support and pressure when interpreting the market, but as traders of the Chaos Theory, our focus should be on how the trend breaks the support and pressure, whether it is one break three, three break five, start break, three sell break, large volume break, back-trading break, etc. The processing methods are different. The trend is fresh, don't think about problems with static thinking. $BTC
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Market review: #BTC
1D, the trend diverged, and after breaking through the 10W integer mark, it began to insert pins continuously downward. Here, we can expect a daily-level callback, and finally build a weekly-level trend B center.
30F, the trend inserts pins up and down, making the characteristic sequence segmentation method invalid. Here we directly use a more intuitive interpretation method. If you want to complete a daily line down, you need to complete the current 4H trend up first. If there is a top divergence + trend destruction later, you can extend it downward until the daily structure is full.
Trading suggestions: Recently, Bitcoin has fallen slightly, and the cottage has fallen sharply, which has scared many people. But in fact, as long as you review the past few bull markets, you will know that every time BTC builds the B center, it is the time for the cottage to perform. Therefore, although BTC has the top feature here, you can still find the cottage at the buying point to intervene, but the market fluctuations will become larger and larger. If you don’t have enough operating skills, you will lose money faster.
$BTC
1D, the trend diverged, and after breaking through the 10W integer mark, it began to insert pins continuously downward. Here, we can expect a daily-level callback, and finally build a weekly-level trend B center.
30F, the trend inserts pins up and down, making the characteristic sequence segmentation method invalid. Here we directly use a more intuitive interpretation method. If you want to complete a daily line down, you need to complete the current 4H trend up first. If there is a top divergence + trend destruction later, you can extend it downward until the daily structure is full.
Trading suggestions: Recently, Bitcoin has fallen slightly, and the cottage has fallen sharply, which has scared many people. But in fact, as long as you review the past few bull markets, you will know that every time BTC builds the B center, it is the time for the cottage to perform. Therefore, although BTC has the top feature here, you can still find the cottage at the buying point to intervene, but the market fluctuations will become larger and larger. If you don’t have enough operating skills, you will lose money faster.
$BTC
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Market review: #BNB
4H, it is in the daily line of breaking through the weekly central axis. The current trend has no divergence and is also in the first step back after leaving the segment, with a three-buy structure.
30F, after a reverse decline, completed the three-buy fall, triggered the turning center and broke through upward to establish an upward trend, which is a standard three-buy structure of the entanglement theory.
Trading advice: At any level of 30F, as long as the step back does not break the central axis, you can do three buys, and the goal is at least to complete a section of 30F.
$BNB
4H, it is in the daily line of breaking through the weekly central axis. The current trend has no divergence and is also in the first step back after leaving the segment, with a three-buy structure.
30F, after a reverse decline, completed the three-buy fall, triggered the turning center and broke through upward to establish an upward trend, which is a standard three-buy structure of the entanglement theory.
Trading advice: At any level of 30F, as long as the step back does not break the central axis, you can do three buys, and the goal is at least to complete a section of 30F.
$BNB
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Observation of altcoins: $OMNI
1D, in a breakthrough departure segment of a non-same-level center.
4H, in a running center, you can see a departure segment of this level.
This is the trend I like, a typical b-B structure, suitable for inertial trading, but be careful, don't do it. $OMNI
1D, in a breakthrough departure segment of a non-same-level center.
4H, in a running center, you can see a departure segment of this level.
This is the trend I like, a typical b-B structure, suitable for inertial trading, but be careful, don't do it. $OMNI
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Market Quick Review: #ETH
1D, I haven't been trading ETH much recently, but the current higher-level structure aligns well with my trading system. 1. MACD retraces to the zero line without breaking, forming a MACD golden cross, similar to a second buy. 2. The number of segments within the central axis > 5. Therefore, spot swing operations can be executed here.
30F, the previous trend exhibits bottom divergence, triggering a counter-trend, which is the strongest reversal structure. Currently, it faces dual pressure from the upper track of the central axis and trend divergence, so additional positions cannot be added, as there is a need for a pullback. However, whether it's a pullback of one segment or a pullback over a period, as long as it doesn't break the B central axis, positions can be added.
Trading Suggestion: Personally, I've already established a base position with the third buy in the A central axis and executed a follow-up buy with the second buy in the B central axis. If a pullback forms a nine-segment upgrade or a pullback over a period results in a higher-level second buy, I will continue to add positions with floating profits. The reason is simple: our goal is to break through the departure segment of the daily central axis. As long as the trend upgrades in the direction we anticipate, we must decisively execute the position-adding operation. When the direction is correct, we maximize profits. This is the correct way to open the door to adding positions with floating profits.
1D, I haven't been trading ETH much recently, but the current higher-level structure aligns well with my trading system. 1. MACD retraces to the zero line without breaking, forming a MACD golden cross, similar to a second buy. 2. The number of segments within the central axis > 5. Therefore, spot swing operations can be executed here.
30F, the previous trend exhibits bottom divergence, triggering a counter-trend, which is the strongest reversal structure. Currently, it faces dual pressure from the upper track of the central axis and trend divergence, so additional positions cannot be added, as there is a need for a pullback. However, whether it's a pullback of one segment or a pullback over a period, as long as it doesn't break the B central axis, positions can be added.
Trading Suggestion: Personally, I've already established a base position with the third buy in the A central axis and executed a follow-up buy with the second buy in the B central axis. If a pullback forms a nine-segment upgrade or a pullback over a period results in a higher-level second buy, I will continue to add positions with floating profits. The reason is simple: our goal is to break through the departure segment of the daily central axis. As long as the trend upgrades in the direction we anticipate, we must decisively execute the position-adding operation. When the direction is correct, we maximize profits. This is the correct way to open the door to adding positions with floating profits.
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Market review: #BTC
1D, here the market has changed a little, the downward force is relatively strong, and the pin cannot be quickly withdrawn. At this level, a compound turning K-line pattern of pattern pause + engulfing pattern is formed, which is a strengthened confirmation of the consolidation top divergence. Then, the probability of a subsequent daily line down is relatively high. If the return test does not break the 65K central axis upper rail, then do a three-level buy at this level. If the return test does not break the central axis middle rail, then do a two-level buy. Both can be involved
4H&30F, on 4H, the decline has gone abc, the sub-level 30F has no divergence, the trend is not completed, the initial strength of the decline is very strong, wearing a candied haws, breaking through two adjacent trend centers in one stroke, which is a strong short-term germination pattern. For the sake of safety, at least wait for a 4H bottom divergence before intervening in spot or going long. Before that, the strategy direction needs to be changed to high altitude
Trading suggestions: There are divergences between long and short positions at the large and small levels. The small level is at 30F, which is mainly high-altitude. Before the bottom divergence appears in 4H, it is also mainly high-altitude. Finally, decide whether to go long based on the subsequent divergence stop point of 4H.
1D, here the market has changed a little, the downward force is relatively strong, and the pin cannot be quickly withdrawn. At this level, a compound turning K-line pattern of pattern pause + engulfing pattern is formed, which is a strengthened confirmation of the consolidation top divergence. Then, the probability of a subsequent daily line down is relatively high. If the return test does not break the 65K central axis upper rail, then do a three-level buy at this level. If the return test does not break the central axis middle rail, then do a two-level buy. Both can be involved
4H&30F, on 4H, the decline has gone abc, the sub-level 30F has no divergence, the trend is not completed, the initial strength of the decline is very strong, wearing a candied haws, breaking through two adjacent trend centers in one stroke, which is a strong short-term germination pattern. For the sake of safety, at least wait for a 4H bottom divergence before intervening in spot or going long. Before that, the strategy direction needs to be changed to high altitude
Trading suggestions: There are divergences between long and short positions at the large and small levels. The small level is at 30F, which is mainly high-altitude. Before the bottom divergence appears in 4H, it is also mainly high-altitude. Finally, decide whether to go long based on the subsequent divergence stop point of 4H.
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Market Review: #BTC
30F - T0, overall, the trend structure from 49K to now, the rise has reached T3 level, and there is a potential three-buy. It is recommended to wait for at least a green retracement, that is, a T2 retracement, before adding positions to go long. At present, it is in a divergence interval, and the cost-effectiveness of going long is average.
The push pen mode opened this time, the chart is messy, there is no need to push one by one in the real market, just look from big to small.
30F - T0, overall, the trend structure from 49K to now, the rise has reached T3 level, and there is a potential three-buy. It is recommended to wait for at least a green retracement, that is, a T2 retracement, before adding positions to go long. At present, it is in a divergence interval, and the cost-effectiveness of going long is average.
The push pen mode opened this time, the chart is messy, there is no need to push one by one in the real market, just look from big to small.
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Market review: #BTC
30F, after a reverse breakthrough, it gave the opportunity to buy three times, and then formed a divergence segment, entered the central consolidation, and my long position has been closed. The center of gravity of the central axis is biased downward, which is a defensive central axis. You can wait for a high-level retracement to intervene again
Trading suggestions: After 4H, whether it breaks the previous low or not, you can intervene, but the intervention level is different. There is no buying and selling point that cannot be done. Just think clearly about the level and trading plan.
30F, after a reverse breakthrough, it gave the opportunity to buy three times, and then formed a divergence segment, entered the central consolidation, and my long position has been closed. The center of gravity of the central axis is biased downward, which is a defensive central axis. You can wait for a high-level retracement to intervene again
Trading suggestions: After 4H, whether it breaks the previous low or not, you can intervene, but the intervention level is different. There is no buying and selling point that cannot be done. Just think clearly about the level and trading plan.
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Market Review: #BTC
30F, left picture, a reverse penetration, although no confirmation of small to large, but the probability of structural reversal is relatively high, here you can start from the third buy in the form of low long, I would tend to do a segment three buy, because (middle picture) yesterday's transaction hit the RSI severely overbought range, a two-month high, must beware of exhaustion small to large.
Here is a segment three buy, it is also a better buying point, because the follow-up can be expected in the 4H, if the third buy, can only see the 30F transaction, therefore, the position management plan here, should also follow the level, at least according to the ratio of 1:2, that is, if the third buy intervenes 10% of the position, the segment three buy intervenes 20% of the position.
5F, right picture, small level switch to push pen mode analysis. It can be seen that within the structure of this rising transaction, the sub-level and sub-sub-level are all non-divergence structures. Therefore, there are two possible entry points, namely the second buy of T0, which is near the current position, and the possible third buy of T1. These two are not in conflict. You can execute whichever one you reach. If it does not meet expectations, close the position.
Trading suggestions: It has been clearly stated above. Try to enter the low-long in order from small to large. At the same time, beware of the exhaustion caused by severe overbought, and do a good job of position management and dynamic stop loss protection.
30F, left picture, a reverse penetration, although no confirmation of small to large, but the probability of structural reversal is relatively high, here you can start from the third buy in the form of low long, I would tend to do a segment three buy, because (middle picture) yesterday's transaction hit the RSI severely overbought range, a two-month high, must beware of exhaustion small to large.
Here is a segment three buy, it is also a better buying point, because the follow-up can be expected in the 4H, if the third buy, can only see the 30F transaction, therefore, the position management plan here, should also follow the level, at least according to the ratio of 1:2, that is, if the third buy intervenes 10% of the position, the segment three buy intervenes 20% of the position.
5F, right picture, small level switch to push pen mode analysis. It can be seen that within the structure of this rising transaction, the sub-level and sub-sub-level are all non-divergence structures. Therefore, there are two possible entry points, namely the second buy of T0, which is near the current position, and the possible third buy of T1. These two are not in conflict. You can execute whichever one you reach. If it does not meet expectations, close the position.
Trading suggestions: It has been clearly stated above. Try to enter the low-long in order from small to large. At the same time, beware of the exhaustion caused by severe overbought, and do a good job of position management and dynamic stop loss protection.
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Market Review: #BTC
This time, we take 5F as the starting point of T0 to see the overall microstructure of the current daily decline.
It can be seen that the large level is in the divergence position, and the yellow center T1 is upgraded in nine sections. It is a T2 T3 overlapping trend. The departure section has a non-divergence trend structure. The end pin is retracted to form a center. The direction of this center is unknown. It is the middle Yin area of 5F.
In terms of structure, the pin is retracted and the fifth divergence confirmation is made. There is a basis for small to large, but if the small level does not make the three buy confirmation, the upward attack on the lower track of the yellow center cannot reverse the trend. It is still in the three sell extension area. Therefore, it is necessary to continue to observe here.
Trading suggestions: The fifth bottom divergence of the large level is confirmed, and the small level pin is inserted, but there is no divergence. There is a little difference in the level direction. If you bet on small to large here, you can only make a light position to make a bottom position and use the pin point as defense. The real opportunity must wait for the right side three buys or three sells to enter the position. $BTC
This time, we take 5F as the starting point of T0 to see the overall microstructure of the current daily decline.
It can be seen that the large level is in the divergence position, and the yellow center T1 is upgraded in nine sections. It is a T2 T3 overlapping trend. The departure section has a non-divergence trend structure. The end pin is retracted to form a center. The direction of this center is unknown. It is the middle Yin area of 5F.
In terms of structure, the pin is retracted and the fifth divergence confirmation is made. There is a basis for small to large, but if the small level does not make the three buy confirmation, the upward attack on the lower track of the yellow center cannot reverse the trend. It is still in the three sell extension area. Therefore, it is necessary to continue to observe here.
Trading suggestions: The fifth bottom divergence of the large level is confirmed, and the small level pin is inserted, but there is no divergence. There is a little difference in the level direction. If you bet on small to large here, you can only make a light position to make a bottom position and use the pin point as defense. The real opportunity must wait for the right side three buys or three sells to enter the position. $BTC
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Market review: #BTC
30F, as mentioned yesterday, a neutral second buy was generated, a departure segment was made, and the center B was grown. It is currently inside the center. According to the standard trend, a departure segment is needed to complete the trend structure, but it is not recommended to intervene in the short term here, because it is a consolidation-within-a-consolidation structure, the trend will be sluggish, and the operation is difficult.
Trading advice: wait and see, wait for the departure segment to complete, and then look for intervention opportunities.
$BTC
30F, as mentioned yesterday, a neutral second buy was generated, a departure segment was made, and the center B was grown. It is currently inside the center. According to the standard trend, a departure segment is needed to complete the trend structure, but it is not recommended to intervene in the short term here, because it is a consolidation-within-a-consolidation structure, the trend will be sluggish, and the operation is difficult.
Trading advice: wait and see, wait for the departure segment to complete, and then look for intervention opportunities.
$BTC
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Market Review: #BTC
1H, failed to upgrade to the nine-stage trend, but chose to leave downward. It is currently in a rebound after leaving, and is still in the three-sell position. Here I personally see a high-level consolidation. Therefore, whether it is an extension after the three-sell or a small turn to a large one, it makes sense, and the profit and loss ratio is also relatively general.
5F, in the departure stage of a consolidation trend, according to the structure, you can do a three-buy, but the departure stage increases too quickly, beware of exhaustion pseudo-three-buy, and those who have the conditions to watch the market can try low-long.
Trading suggestion: After the downward pin broke through the large-level center last week, it is currently in the process of repair. At this position, I still tend to form a low-level center to build a bottom, and will not pull it up immediately. Therefore, the trading idea should still be guided by consolidation. The method is to do more one-two types of buying and selling points, and less chasing three-buy.
All real big tops are formed by repeated impacts, which gives you enough time to react and judge. The V-shaped top will basically not constitute a real top in a large trend, just like the chance of a one-night stand lasting forever is basically zero
——Lesson 48 of "Chan Theory"
$BTC
1H, failed to upgrade to the nine-stage trend, but chose to leave downward. It is currently in a rebound after leaving, and is still in the three-sell position. Here I personally see a high-level consolidation. Therefore, whether it is an extension after the three-sell or a small turn to a large one, it makes sense, and the profit and loss ratio is also relatively general.
5F, in the departure stage of a consolidation trend, according to the structure, you can do a three-buy, but the departure stage increases too quickly, beware of exhaustion pseudo-three-buy, and those who have the conditions to watch the market can try low-long.
Trading suggestion: After the downward pin broke through the large-level center last week, it is currently in the process of repair. At this position, I still tend to form a low-level center to build a bottom, and will not pull it up immediately. Therefore, the trading idea should still be guided by consolidation. The method is to do more one-two types of buying and selling points, and less chasing three-buy.
All real big tops are formed by repeated impacts, which gives you enough time to react and judge. The V-shaped top will basically not constitute a real top in a large trend, just like the chance of a one-night stand lasting forever is basically zero
——Lesson 48 of "Chan Theory"
$BTC
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Market review: #BTC
30F, in a downward trend, is moving out of the phase, but has not ended. Here we must say that it is not necessarily a double center to diverge. There are many examples of unilateral market continuing to grow with the trend after the double center. Traders are very taboo to preset the market, everything should be based on the actual situation, so there is no buying point at present.
5F, in the germination stage of a downward trend, the force is very strong, the low-level one destroys the high-level trend center. According to the standard trend here, it needs to be extended. Therefore, it is necessary to track the appearance of the divergence point before intervening.
Trading suggestion: wait and see. The trend is not completed, and you must wait until the trend is perfect before intervening. It is meaningless to talk about long and short here. You need to observe the subsequent divergence form and then decide the intervention method. In addition, even if the trend diverges at 30F, you cannot intervene in this buy. The internal divergence buy of the high-level non-divergence segment is the most common buy trap. If you enter it, you will die. Many half-baked entanglement theories do not have a global thinking and are prone to this kind of dogmatic mistakes. Trends are king, don't fight against trends.
$BTC
30F, in a downward trend, is moving out of the phase, but has not ended. Here we must say that it is not necessarily a double center to diverge. There are many examples of unilateral market continuing to grow with the trend after the double center. Traders are very taboo to preset the market, everything should be based on the actual situation, so there is no buying point at present.
5F, in the germination stage of a downward trend, the force is very strong, the low-level one destroys the high-level trend center. According to the standard trend here, it needs to be extended. Therefore, it is necessary to track the appearance of the divergence point before intervening.
Trading suggestion: wait and see. The trend is not completed, and you must wait until the trend is perfect before intervening. It is meaningless to talk about long and short here. You need to observe the subsequent divergence form and then decide the intervention method. In addition, even if the trend diverges at 30F, you cannot intervene in this buy. The internal divergence buy of the high-level non-divergence segment is the most common buy trap. If you enter it, you will die. Many half-baked entanglement theories do not have a global thinking and are prone to this kind of dogmatic mistakes. Trends are king, don't fight against trends.
$BTC
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Long-term observation: #BTC
Today, let's talk about the long-term.
On the 1W weekly chart, BTC is still going very well, with a typical trend bull structure. Since the trend has not been broken, we must remain bullish here. Since the b segment is pulled too hard, the current center can be seen as a deviation correction of b. The only thing that is not very good is that the center of gravity of the center is slightly lower, but the amplitude is not large, and it has no effect on the trend.
There are two high-probability ways for the B center to move in the future: 1. Continue to consolidate 2. When the next stroke extends upward and breaks the previous high, it will leave the segment. Here we need to pay attention to the way to leave the center. If it breaks upward, it is likely to form a monthly trend divergence. At the same time, it will form a quarterly divergence interval with the last bull market 6W9. It is a point with considerable risk and is likely to end the bull market. If it breaks down, pay attention to the lower track 56552. If it breaks down with large volume, the bull market is basically over, confirming the large-scale small-to-large transition. Of course, I personally think this possibility is relatively low.
1D, the daily line is also a bullish structure at this level. It is still in a non-same-level center. Both the time and the number of pens are very close to upgrading. The current rising pens show a relatively strong top pattern, but under the current and higher-level bullish structures, going long or buying spot at the secondary level callback point is definitely more cost-effective than going short.
Trading suggestions: The overall trend is still bullish. The large level should be mainly long, but it does not mean that this position can be added in place, because although there is an upgrade demand, no one knows how long it can shake. It is still necessary to use the range to find a resonant buying point at a small level before getting on the bus. If it can really break the previous high in the future, it is necessary to focus on the strength of the departure segment and the divergence.
$BTC
Today, let's talk about the long-term.
On the 1W weekly chart, BTC is still going very well, with a typical trend bull structure. Since the trend has not been broken, we must remain bullish here. Since the b segment is pulled too hard, the current center can be seen as a deviation correction of b. The only thing that is not very good is that the center of gravity of the center is slightly lower, but the amplitude is not large, and it has no effect on the trend.
There are two high-probability ways for the B center to move in the future: 1. Continue to consolidate 2. When the next stroke extends upward and breaks the previous high, it will leave the segment. Here we need to pay attention to the way to leave the center. If it breaks upward, it is likely to form a monthly trend divergence. At the same time, it will form a quarterly divergence interval with the last bull market 6W9. It is a point with considerable risk and is likely to end the bull market. If it breaks down, pay attention to the lower track 56552. If it breaks down with large volume, the bull market is basically over, confirming the large-scale small-to-large transition. Of course, I personally think this possibility is relatively low.
1D, the daily line is also a bullish structure at this level. It is still in a non-same-level center. Both the time and the number of pens are very close to upgrading. The current rising pens show a relatively strong top pattern, but under the current and higher-level bullish structures, going long or buying spot at the secondary level callback point is definitely more cost-effective than going short.
Trading suggestions: The overall trend is still bullish. The large level should be mainly long, but it does not mean that this position can be added in place, because although there is an upgrade demand, no one knows how long it can shake. It is still necessary to use the range to find a resonant buying point at a small level before getting on the bus. If it can really break the previous high in the future, it is necessary to focus on the strength of the departure segment and the divergence.
$BTC
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Market review: #BTC
4H, broke the previous high, extended the daily trend, and is currently in a divergence position, but at the moment, there has been no strong pullback, so the overall idea here is still to follow the trend and buy low.
30F, this section of the trend is very strong, it is a high-level attack-type central form, the central price average is 68015, and the center of gravity is obviously biased upward. Last night's news led to the upper and lower pins, and the current price is running in a middle Yin area of this level.
Trading suggestions: Look for opportunities to intervene in low and long on 30F. If it goes down for 4H and does not break the 4H central axis, do a 4H three-buy. If it breaks through the central axis and does not break the 30F central axis, do a 30F three-buy. In terms of spot, the current cost-effectiveness is not high, and you can look for other cottages with a demand for replenishment.
$BTC
4H, broke the previous high, extended the daily trend, and is currently in a divergence position, but at the moment, there has been no strong pullback, so the overall idea here is still to follow the trend and buy low.
30F, this section of the trend is very strong, it is a high-level attack-type central form, the central price average is 68015, and the center of gravity is obviously biased upward. Last night's news led to the upper and lower pins, and the current price is running in a middle Yin area of this level.
Trading suggestions: Look for opportunities to intervene in low and long on 30F. If it goes down for 4H and does not break the 4H central axis, do a 4H three-buy. If it breaks through the central axis and does not break the 30F central axis, do a 30F three-buy. In terms of spot, the current cost-effectiveness is not high, and you can look for other cottages with a demand for replenishment.
$BTC
See original
Market Review:#BTC
4H, a vertical drop with a slope of almost 90°, very strong, short-term can be considered to be in the extension stage, the decline here is triggered by the 4H trend divergence of the previous trend, although the decline is fast, but the consolidation demand is still greater than the counter-trend, before this drop engulfs the adjacent pen, we can still see a daily callback, and finally form a weekly central axis before attacking.
30F, in a period of decline, there is a segment of intra-segment back, but the downward force is too strong, resulting in a divergence of the moving average. According to the standard trend here, it is necessary to form a central axis and flatten the high-level moving average before continuing to go down. If it breaks upward and does not break the adjacent pen high point, it can be bought three times without the central axis, but it is a counter-trend operation, and the profit and loss ratio is average.
Trading suggestions: The trend here has changed in the short term, and the sharp drop has led to a change in the trend direction. It is currently in a consolidation and repair period after the sharp drop. The short-term trend is not smooth, and it is not easy to find an entry point. It is recommended to wait for high-altitude opportunities at the 30F and 4H levels. As for spot, we can only wait and see. We must wait for at least one 4H divergence confirmation before considering intervention.
$BTC
4H, a vertical drop with a slope of almost 90°, very strong, short-term can be considered to be in the extension stage, the decline here is triggered by the 4H trend divergence of the previous trend, although the decline is fast, but the consolidation demand is still greater than the counter-trend, before this drop engulfs the adjacent pen, we can still see a daily callback, and finally form a weekly central axis before attacking.
30F, in a period of decline, there is a segment of intra-segment back, but the downward force is too strong, resulting in a divergence of the moving average. According to the standard trend here, it is necessary to form a central axis and flatten the high-level moving average before continuing to go down. If it breaks upward and does not break the adjacent pen high point, it can be bought three times without the central axis, but it is a counter-trend operation, and the profit and loss ratio is average.
Trading suggestions: The trend here has changed in the short term, and the sharp drop has led to a change in the trend direction. It is currently in a consolidation and repair period after the sharp drop. The short-term trend is not smooth, and it is not easy to find an entry point. It is recommended to wait for high-altitude opportunities at the 30F and 4H levels. As for spot, we can only wait and see. We must wait for at least one 4H divergence confirmation before considering intervention.
$BTC
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