Morgan_bnb

Every time BTC increases strongly like this, many people tend to be impatient, deciding to place orders or Long/Short immediately. But you should note the following points:

1. BTC's uptrend happens very quickly: When you FOMO (fear of missing out on the opportunity), the price is usually finished increasing or only has a little more to increase.

2. Low profit, high risk: In investment, this is not good at all (as long as there is money, there is still opportunity). Don't buy something that has flown too high and is likely to hit the top.

3. Only buy sporadically when the price drops sharply: BTC may drop deeper and when is unclear, but buying gradually will help reduce your risk.

4. No matter how much or how little money you have, if you make a profit, don't be greedy and enter margin or futures (except for those who play for a long time, know how to manage risk, and set full stoploss).

5. In my opinion, if there is no new cash flow, $BTC will SW this period, there will be a few ALTCOINs that suddenly grow (remember to pay attention to the old coins that Binance holds a lot because CZ is about to be free).

6. Every time the market is green, there are often many good deals, wait for Research and enjoy.

FOLLOW me to wait for the next deal !!

#Write2Win #TopCoinsJune2024

FTX may release new information in the next 24 hours.

On October 7, FTX will hold a discussion to agree on a restructuring plan.

FTX is expected to update creditors on the "liquidation" information. We will know how much FTX will pay and whether it will be paid in USD, stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, or even crypto.

In the process of liquidating existing tokens, FTX will prioritize repairing most of the damage to traditional organizations.

The amount of crypto returned to the market may not be much, and the general sentiment is still to hold assets waiting for prices to increase. FTX's latest move was to liquidate a portion of WLD tokens owned by Alameda Research on October 4.

In terms of price, WLD tokens did not suffer much negative impact when this information was announced. Tokens that may fluctuate when the news comes out are $FTT, $USTC, $LUNC.

However, the negative impact is likely not as big as the crowd fears. 😆
#Write2Win #Write2Earn!

CZ Warning About Scam Project Posing as Chat

On April 24, 2025, CZ (the founder of Binance) tweeted a warning about a crypto project that posted a chat with him to imply his endorsement. CZ asserted that this is a scam and noted that anyone can message him through the platform Reachme.io, so no chat should be considered as confirmation.

He urged the community to stay away from such projects and requested screenshots to identify the perpetrators.

📌 Quick assessment:
This is a common trick to deceive investors using the "celebrity effect".

CZ's warning could lead to the targeted project being boycotted by the community.

A reminder for investors: don't trust chat screenshots – verify thoroughly before investing.

#BinanceAlphaAlert #MarketRebound

Bitcoin (BTC):
Approximately 76,000 BTC options contracts will expire, with a nominal value of about 5 billion USD.
Max pain: 98,000 USD – the price at which option buyers incur the most losses.
Currently, BTC is trading around 92,599 USD, below the max pain level.​

Ethereum (ETH):
The value of expiring ETH options contracts is about 1.1 billion USD.
Max pain: 3,000 USD.
The current price of ETH is around 1,780 USD, also below the max pain level.​

🔍 Market Impact Analysis
Pressure from max pain: A max pain price higher than the current price may incentivize market makers to push prices closer to this level to maximize profits from options contracts.​
Ratio of "out-of-the-money" (OTM) contracts: With the majority of current options contracts being OTM, many investors may face their contracts expiring worthless, leading to significant losses.​
Market volatility: The expiration of a large number of options contracts can cause sharp price volatility, especially if market makers implement risk hedging strategies (delta hedging) to minimize losses.​

📈 Conclusion

The expiration event of options contracts this Friday is a significant factor that could affect the price volatility of BTC and ETH. Investors should closely monitor market developments in the coming days, especially price levels near max pain, to make appropriate trading decisions.
#BinanceAlphaAlert #USStockDrop

SOL officially surpasses ETH in staking market capitalization

Solana (SOL) has just surpassed Ethereum (ETH) in total staking value: 54 billion USD compared to 53 billion USD. This reflects the trust from the community and an extremely high staking rate – 77% of the total supply of SOL, while ETH is only at 27.9%.

Although the market capitalization of SOL (70 billion USD) is still much lower than that of ETH (190 billion USD), SOL demonstrates a clear economic efficiency in attracting staking.

The downside is that high staking can reduce liquidity, making prices more volatile. However, due to a lower circulating supply, the price of SOL can also be easily pushed up when there is strong buying pressure.

#SaylorBTCPurchase #BNBChainMeme

Unlock token schedule for this month.
Be careful with your hands and feet, this wave is still very intense.
Wait for the US and Macro KTe sides to activate before following up.
#VoteToListOnBinance #WhaleMovements

Siblings criticize Ethereum for lacking privacy, so Vitalik has released a new roadmap to quiet the complaints 😁

Simply put, Vitalik wants to help users keep secrets without changing the base layer (L1).

Objectives:

Stealthy transactions: Send money without anyone knowing who you are sending it to.

Using apps without exposure: Only the app you are using knows.

Private inquiries: What you view on the blockchain cannot be scrutinized by anyone.

Anonymity online: Surf the blockchain like you would surf the web anonymously.

Solutions:

Wallet with a secret compartment: A wallet like MetaMask adds a "hidden vault" to send money without needing to set up another wallet.

Each app uses a unique address: For every app used, the wallet creates a unique address, making it difficult to track.

Even sending to yourself must be concealed: Transfers between your own wallets also need to be hidden to avoid detection.

Using FOCIL & EIP-7701: Support for security tools to function well, hard to block.

Add TEE to the wallet: Protects when querying blockchain data, no one can see what you are looking up.

Future use of PIR: PIR is more powerful but currently slower, will be integrated when it is more stable.

Wallet connected to multiple nodes: Each app goes through its own node, ideally an anonymous node.

Consolidate transactions to save fees: Combine many hidden transactions into one confirmation.

Smart wallet manages keys: Changing keys or verifying once applies to all "vaults".

Results:

Transactions will mostly be hidden, can be activated when needed.

Each app knows only its own business, no linking between apps.

Hackers, whether watching the blockchain or controlling nodes, will be stumped.

#WhaleMovements #VoteToListOnBinance

The market recovered 82k after Trump's move:

Due to China's disrespect for the global market, the U.S. will increase import tariffs from China to 125%, effective immediately. He hopes China will soon stop deceiving other countries.

In contrast, with more than 75 countries cooperating in good faith and not retaliating against the U.S., he decided to pause for 90 days and reduce the countervailing tax to 10% for these countries — except for China.

PS: The basic tax rate of 10% still applies broadly, only China is excluded from the benefits.

=> Not sure how true it is, but historically, the U.S. has been good at pulling the global economy up, while China pulls itself up....
#MarketRebound #CryptoTariffDrop

Binance delists projects due to lack of volume and declining value..

The game has just begun..

Perhaps CZ's 4 fingers are a warning about this, right guys...!!

#VoteToDelistOnBinance #TrumpTariffs

More than 1 billion $ has been liquidated...
Take it easy, my friends.
We're not even at the all-in part yet!!

#StopLossStrategies #CryptoTariffDrop

Quick market analysis

📉 Price situation

Gold dropped 1.12% to $3,001.30
Silver dropped 1.61%
Copper dropped the most: -5.09%
➡ Main reason: Investors sold off stocks, withdrew money from precious metals to cover portfolio losses.

BTC: $77,735 ▼ -6.21%
ETH: $1,557 ▼ -12.78%
SOL: $103.70 ▼ -12.70%
➡ Main reason: Crypto was sold off along with the global market rout.
- Crypto is no longer immune to macroeconomic fluctuations - fluctuations similar to stocks.
- ETH & SOL decreased more than BTC → Altcoins carry greater risks during sell-offs.

=》 Closely monitor macroeconomic policies and moves from the SEC - directly affecting cash flow in the financial sector.

#CryptoTariffDrop #TrumpTariffs

🟢 $2.85 trillion has been wiped out from the US stock market today, marking the worst day for the stock market in 4 years.

🟢 Canada will impose a 25% tax on all types of US vehicles that do not comply with the USMCA trade agreement.

🟢 BNB has fallen below $600$ as predicted.
🟢 JPMorgan stated that President Trump's tariffs are the largest tax increase in the US since 1968.

🟢 On Polymarket, the voting odds for a recession in the US this year have exceeded 47%.

#TrumpTariffs #BinanceAlphaAlert #WhaleMovements

Summary of the entire list of counterpart counterparts of President Trump for countries, VN currently has tariffs up to 46%.

The United States increased the total tariff on Chinese goods to 54% after adding the current tariff rate of 20% and 34% of the new tariff rate.

As a result, "evaporated" more than 512 million $ .

#TrumpTariffs #BinanceAlphaAlert

🔥🔥
Circle files for IPO with SECOn April 1, 2025, Circle – the issuer of the USDC stablecoin – officially filed for an IPO with the SEC, planning to list on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker CRCL.
📌
Financials:- Revenue for 2024: $1.7 billion (including operational revenue and income from reserves).- Net profit: $156 million.- The IPO filing includes both primary shares (from Circle) and secondary shares (from current shareholders).
📌
Supporting banks: Circle has hired JPMorgan and Citi Bank as underwriters to prepare for the IPO, with plans to file publicly by the end of April 2025.
👉
The IPO filing is still pending SEC review. If approved, Circle will become a publicly listed company in the U.S., strengthening its position in the cryptocurrency industry.

#TrumpTariffs #BSCTrendingCoins

The tokens that CZ invested in suddenly dropped in price ...
Could it be that he's taking the money for a massage?...
Be careful everyone, BNB is definitely about to have fluctuations.

#BSCTradingTips #BSCUserExperiences

Liveliness is an on-chain metric used to assess the balance between HODLing behavior (holding coins for the long term) and trading activity of investors.
⭐️If the Liveliness metric increases: It indicates that trading activity is high, meaning many long-held coins are being moved or sold.
⭐️If the Liveliness metric decreases: It indicates that coins are being accumulated and transactions are occurring less frequently, reflecting a HODLing trend.
Distribution and profit-taking phases in 2024:
-> March 2024: Bitcoin reaches its previous ATH of $73,000, long-term holders sold 934k BTC.
-> October 2024: The Mt.Gox phase begins, resulting in the liquidation of 131k BTC.
-> Current phase: over 507k BTC are being distributed.
Distribution Level (low Coinday Destruction): This indicates that the majority of BTC is being distributed by "younger" coins (average age of about 6 months) rather than long-held coins (over 5 years).
The slight increase in LTL due to the trading of coins around 6 months old reflects a local profit-taking sentiment as the price approaches the $100k mark.

#Write2Earn! #Write&Earn

In the past November, the amount of $BTC withdrawn from exchanges reached over 1 billion $USD, with $BTC being withdrawn daily, hitting a record high since mid-2023. The analysis is as follows:
➜ The Exchange NPC index reached 116 thousand $BTC per day in November, with an average of over 30,000 to 40,000 $BTC withdrawn daily across all exchanges.
➜ Data shows that withdrawing $BTC to private wallets started in August 2024, which was also the starting point of the price surge before Bitcoin hit an ATH of 99,500 $USD.
➜ It is estimated that over 2 million $BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in Q3 of this year. Total $BTC leaving exchanges in the past 30 days: ~600,000 $BTC (~16 billion U$SD).

⭐️This reflects some observations:
➜ The amount of $BTC leaving exchanges is increasing significantly, reflecting optimistic sentiment and long-term price expectations.
➜ The withdrawal of $BTC from exchanges is often seen as a positive signal, reducing selling pressure and supporting price increases.
➜ Low liquidity risks on exchanges can cause $BTC prices to fluctuate significantly, especially during unexpected events.

⭐️Conclusion:
The phenomenon of #Bitcoin ($BTC) leaving centralized exchanges is a notable development, especially when the price of $BTC has been quite volatile recently.
Compared to the period from January to March this year, when the price of $BTC surged, many investors transferred $BTC to exchanges for the purpose of selling, the current trend is going in the opposite direction. This reflects a change in market sentiment, from a willingness to take profits to a trend of accumulation.

#Write2Win #Write&Earn

#Bitcoin has entered a new price discovery phase, with the entire circulating supply in profit.

The accompanying chart illustrates the percentage of supply in profit, along with the number of consecutive days in each month where this indicator exceeds 95%.

History shows that these euphoric periods typically last around 22 days before a correction occurs, pushing more than 5% of supply below the initial purchase price.

The current rally has maintained this high profit level for 12 consecutive days, highlighting strong market sentiment. However, this also suggests the possibility of an upcoming correction based on past patterns.

As the market operates in this euphoric state, investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility, recognizing that history can repeat itself and corrections often follow extended periods of gains.

#Write&Earn #Write2Earn!

BTC Growth Cycle Model:

BTC tends to grow in cycles, with each new peak higher than the previous peak, then correcting and starting a new cycle.

Altseasons:
Altseasons usually appear at the bottom of each BTC cycle, when money flows from BTC to altcoins, causing altcoins to surge.

Colored Bands on the Chart:
The colored bands represent important price zones for BTC, with red being the cycle top and green being the bottom.

Future Growth Forecast:
The forecast suggests that BTC could peak at $610,000 in the next cycle, if the growth pattern repeats.

Logarithmic Scale:
The chart uses a logarithmic scale to reflect the exponential growth of BTC over time.

Investment Comments and Strategy:
Long-Term Investment: Holding BTC for the long term could be beneficial if the cycle continues.

Cycle and Altseason Investing: Switch between BTC and altcoins at the right time during altseason to maximize profits.

Risk Management: There is no guarantee that the pattern will repeat, so tight risk management is required.

#Write2Earn! #Write&Earn

Is it time to enter the market yet?

Currently, the BTC has closed a new ATH of 79k8 this morning, indicating strong buying pressure from the market.

New tokens recently like DOGS, HAMSTER, ALP, and even ADA have also skyrocketed.
It can be said that this is a signal indicating that the ALTCOIN season has begun to take shape.

Tokens that have good models, good technology, and high application value that have accumulated over time will soon soar.

Another slight highlight is that exchange tokens in previous pre-uptrend phases have also performed remarkably well.

I am particularly paying attention to the NOT, SOL, TON ecosystems at this moment because of the very good cash flow.
The ALTCOIN season will probably really begin when BTC reaches 100k (personal opinion).

What do you think?