MonkeyInvestor

🔄 #MyStrategyEvolution : Transform Your Trading Mindset and Evolve Your Approach 📈💡

Every trader starts with an idea — but success requires evolution. Your journey should move from "idea" to "draft" until it reaches a robust, validated, and consistent strategy
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. This process requires patience, discipline, adjustments, and self-awareness.

🧩 Stages of Strategy Evolution
Idea → Draft → Structured Strategy

Start with an idea or pattern.

Draft entry/exit rules and risk management.

Transform this into a documented, tested, and refined strategy with backtesting and simulations.

Backtesting + Forward‑testing + Continuous adjustment

Test your strategy on past data.

Then move on to real testing (paper trading) in real-time market to validate dynamically
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Analyze the 10 best and worst trades to identify strengths and weaknesses and evolve incrementally
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Learn from drawdowns

Significant drops (drawdowns) are crucial tests to adjust stops, diversification, or add hedge (like scalping, futures, or multi-strategies)
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🧠 Psychology and Consistency
Stick to one strategy: constantly changing strategies is a bad cycle. Many traders only evolve when they remain true to the plan and review performance with discipline.

Avoid the "search for the perfect strategy": there is no ideal formula — it's you who makes the strategy work with emotional discipline, risk management, and focus.

Document everything: keep a detailed trading journal. This helps to review patterns, emotions, and reactions to evolve based on real data.

🛠️ Tools and Advanced Methodologies
Evolving strategies via AI/genetics: using algorithms to optimize parameters (like moving averages, stop/take profit) based on multiple simulations and generating robust strategies.

⚠️ #TradingStrategyMistakes : The Mistakes That Can Sabotage Your Strategy — and How to Avoid Them 📉

Even experienced traders can fall into traps that compromise overall performance. Learn about the main mistakes and best practices to avoid chronic losses in the crypto world:

🧩 1. Trading Without a Plan
Entering trades on impulse increases the chances of making poor decisions. Traders without a defined strategy end up being guided by chance or hype. Develop a written plan with clear criteria for entry, exit, and risk metrics
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🛡️ 2. Ignoring Risk Management
Omitting stop-loss, risking too much per trade, or not respecting the rule-of-thumb of 1–2% of capital per trade can lead to disastrous losses. Always use a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3 to maintain consistency
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🔄 3. Overtrading & Impulsivity
Trading too much per day or giving in to FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) are frequent triggers for loss. This compulsion leads to high costs and strategic errors. Set a daily trading limit and stick to your plan rigorously.

😵 4. Excessive Leverage
Using leverage without discipline is like playing with fire: explosive profits or losses. For beginners, start with minimal leverage or avoid it until you confirm consistency in spot trading.

💡 5. Following Hype Without Research (FOMO)
Chasing popular coins or promotions without prior research is a direct route to losses. Always combine technical analysis with DYOR – understand the project, the team, and the infrastructure before entering
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🧱 6. Lack of Diversification
Concentrating all capital in one asset exposes you to extreme risks. Diversify among major tokens (like BTC/ETH), structured altcoins, and stablecoins to maintain resilience against volatility
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⚖️ #ArbitrageTradingStrategy : How to Profit from Price Inconsistencies in Different Markets 💱

Arbitrage is a trading strategy that seeks profits from price differences for the same asset in different markets or platforms. In theory, it is considered low risk — but it requires quick execution and strict control of costs and risks
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🔍 Main Arbitrage Formats in Crypto
Cross‑Exchange (Spatial or Simple)
Buy an asset on one exchange at a lower price and sell it on another where it is more expensive. Speed is essential, as opportunities arise and close within seconds
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Triangular (Within the Same Exchange)
Explore disparities between pairs — for example: USDT → BTC → ETH → USDT — and come out with more value than the initial amount, without needing to transfer funds between exchanges
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Futures / Basis Trading
Perform arbitrage between the spot market and perpetual contracts, buying the asset and shorting the contract to capture positive funding rate, as in the case of Ethena's model and its USDe
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Cross‑Chain / DEXs Arbitrage
Use bridges and flash loans to explore differences between DEXs on distinct blockchains or between DEXs and centralized exchanges
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⚙️ Tools & Automation
Bots equipped with AI/ML (like Cryptohopper, 3Commas, or HaasOnline) that scan exchanges and execute trades in milliseconds are the standard for arbitrage today — essential for fleeting opportunities
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Arbitrage checkers and configurable alerts help investors receive signals when spreads reach profitable values after including fees and slippage
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📈 #TrendTradingStrategy : How to Ride Major Trends with Technique, Discipline, and Control 🌊

Trend trading (or "trend following") is based on entering and staying in a trend until it reverses. The central idea? Prices follow trends — and capturing this movement is the heart of the strategy
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🧰 Essential Tools
Moving Averages (SMA/EMA): crossovers such as EMA(20) above EMA(50) or SMA(50) crossing SMA(200) (golden cross) are classic signals of an upward trend
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Momentum Indicators (RSI / MACD): RSI identifies overbought/oversold; MACD signals crossovers and divergences to confirm trend strength
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Bollinger Bands / ATR: assess volatility in active markets like crypto — useful for adjusting stops and avoiding noise
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Volume / OBV / MFI: essential to validate trend sustainability, avoiding false breakouts or silent reversals
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🧭 Implementation Strategy
Stage Recommended Action
Identify the Trend Use moving averages and price action (like ascending or descending tops and bottoms) to confirm overall direction
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Entry Point Wait for a close above a larger average, with volume and confirmation from RSI or MACD.
Risk Management Set stop-loss below swing low or relevant support (1‑2% of capital). Minimum Risk/Reward of 1:2 or 1:3 .
Position Exit Close below the moving average used or signs of weakness in the indicator (RSI/MACD) .

⚠️ Benefits & Risks
✅ Advantages: potential for significant gains, operational simplicity, and discipline. Ideal structure for traders who want to follow the market, not predict unexpected reversals
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🚀 #BreakoutTradingStrategy : How to Capture Dynamic Movements with Technique and Control 📉📈

Breakout trading is a powerful strategy in the crypto market to identify and capitalize on price movements after breaking critical support or resistance levels. When executed well, the approach can provide quick returns with well-defined risk.

🔎 How It Works

1. Identification of strong levels: well-tested support and resistance, triangles, flags, cup-and-handle, channels, or range — choose assets with high liquidity such as BTC or ETH for greater reliability.

2. Confirmation by volume and candle close: avoid entering breakouts without an increase in volume or a clear close beyond the key level. This reduces the risk of false breakouts.

3. Retest strategies: wait for the price to return to the broken level (resistance turned support) and only then enter, with a stop just below. This improves the risk/reward ratio.

4. Use of multiple indicators for confirmation: such as RSI, MACD, VWMA, and Ichimoku, especially when aligned with chart patterns and trading volume.

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🧠 Types of Breakouts

Continuation Breakout: follows the direction of an existing trend — ideal for taking advantage of already formed momentum.

Reversal Breakout: occurs after patterns such as double bottom/top or head-and-shoulders, signaling a trend reversal.

False Breakout: a breakout that quickly retracts — requires discipline and an automatic stop to limit losses.

⚡ #DayTradingStrategy : Quick Profit with Technique and Discipline in the Crypto Market 📊

Day trading involves opening and closing positions within the same day to take advantage of rapid price movements, especially in more volatile markets like cryptocurrencies.

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1 🔧 Main Strategies

Scalping: dozens or hundreds of quick trades in 1 to 5-minute windows, seeking small recurring profits. Indicators like moving averages, RSI, and MACD help identify precise entries and exits.

Momentum Trading: buy when the coin shows strong acceleration and sell as the strength decreases. Uses RSI and MACD on 5 to 15-minute charts as main entry/exit signals.

Breakouts: entries after confirmed breakouts of critical support/resistance points on platforms like Binance, reinforced by strong volume.

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2 🛡️ Fundamental Risk Management

Risk per trade between 1–2% of capital, and never more than 6% in a session. Use stop-loss as an automatic shield.

Minimum risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or ideally 1:3 – ensure that every trade aims for at least double the invested risk.

Diversification even in the short term: trading multiple assets can mitigate concentrated risk.

Avoid excessive leverage, especially if you are still a beginner — disastrous results can come quickly.

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3 📊 Key Tools and Indicators

RSI and MACD: help identify reversals or momentum signals and divergences (bullish/bearish).

Moving averages (EMA/SMA): essential for defining trends and possible price pivots.

Volume: powerful confirmation — strong movements only consolidate with high liquidity.

On-chain signals: metrics like flow to exchanges, whale activities, or creation of new wallets help anticipate market movements.

🌐 #USCryptoWeek : The Week That Could Redesign the Future of Cryptocurrencies in the USA 🗽

From July 14 to 18, 2025, the U.S. House of Representatives will hold the first "Crypto Week," a pivotal moment for the crypto sector. Lawmakers will discuss three essential bills: the GENIUS Act, the CLARITY Act, and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act — with the potential to transform the regulation of the crypto market in the country.

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📜 What is being voted on:

GENIUS Act: allows the issuance of regulated stablecoins with 1:1 reserves, audits, and dual federal-state oversight; already approved in the Senate (68–30).

CLARITY Act: defines roles between SEC and CFTC, clarifying whether certain assets are commodities or securities — which could reduce legal uncertainties for crypto projects and exchanges.

Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act: prohibits the issuance of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) by the USA, preserving financial privacy.

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📈 Market and Nation Impact:

Bitcoin hit new all-time highs above $118,000, driven by this regulatory optimism and increasing institutional flow.

American crypto stocks such as MicroStrategy, Riot Platforms, and other miners recorded significant valuations, reflecting optimism about blockchain-based solutions and legislative events.

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🎯 Why does this matter to you?

Legal clarity and institutional legitimacy increase the confidence of major investors and tech companies.

Companies like Walmart and Amazon are considering issuing regulated stablecoins — and this law could pave the way for that.

These approvals could help Bitcoin and other crypto assets gain stability and sustainable appreciation.

🎉 #BinanceTurns8 – Eight Years of Innovation, Community, and Rewards 🌟

At this significant moment — July 14, 2025, the official date of Binance's eighth anniversary — we celebrate a journey that began in 2017 with a clear vision: to make crypto accessible, secure, and inclusive for everyone.

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🚀 Celebration Highlights

More than 280 million users in over 100 countries — nearly 1 in every 28 people in the world has used the platform.

From launch until June 2025, $125 trillion in assets were traded on Binance, with an average daily volume of $91 billion and approximately 217 million trades processed per day.

👥 CEO's Vision and Next Steps

CEO Richard Teng held an AMA with over 100,000 participants on June 24, 2025, highlighting transparency (with monthly proof of reserves above 100%), accelerated institutional adoption, and the impact of AI on the crypto ecosystem — reaffirming Binance's strong commitment to its user community.

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💡 Why This Matters

Global recognition and constant innovation: Binance expands its operations in trading, education, payments, finance, and Web3.

Real community engagement: dynamic events that transform users into protagonists of the celebration (#BinanceSquare active and participatory).

More volume and liquidity: these campaigns naturally generate greater engagement and higher trading flows, also impacting altcoins and minor tokens.
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🟠 $BTC : Current Situation and Next Movements – July 2025 📈

📍 Current Price & Technique
Bitcoin is priced at around $107,988, with a slight decline in intraday. Analysts point out that a decisive breakthrough of the resistance at $114,000 could trigger a rally of up to 25%, bringing the price to $143,000, according to Ed Campbell from Rosenberg Research.

📊 Volume and Institutional Flow

Bitcoin ETF recorded 13 consecutive days of inflows, totaling approximately $2.2 billion — a strong sign of institutional maturity.

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) leads with inflows exceeding $1.0 billion in the third week of June, positioning itself among the top 4 ETFs that raised funds in 2025.

📌 Technical Supports and Resistances

Supports: $100,000 (psychological level) and the range between $103,000–105,000, with strong buying action identified.

Resistances: $110,000–112,000; breaking above allows exploration up to $114,000–115,000. If surpassed, the next target would be $143,000.

🌐 Macro & Geopolitical Environment

The weak dollar combined with regulatory optimism has strengthened BTC's positioning as a hedge, despite the low volatility typical of the third quarter.

Geopolitics can provoke rapid corrections — investors are attentive to momentary drops below $100,000, with a rebound expected.

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🎯 Possible Scenarios

Situation Expected Impact

Break above $114,000 Possible rally to $143,000 — opportunity for profit.
Drop below $105,000 Retracement to $100,000 — good re-entry point or protection.
Consolidation between $105K–112K Prolonged lateral phase with optimized accumulation strategy.

⚖️ #HODLTradingStrategy : How to Combine Holding and Trading with Intelligence 📊🌱

In the crypto universe, many claim to be followers of two major philosophies: HODLing (long-term holding) and active trading. But is it possible to use the best of both worlds with a well-structured hybrid strategy?

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🛡️ 1. HODL – Hold On for Dear Life

Mindset and discipline: buy solid assets (like BTC or ETH) and hold them for months or years, ignoring daily volatility.

Benefits: potential for long-term appreciation, lower stress, fewer transaction fees, and possibly tax advantages on prolonged gains.

Cautions: risk of buying at the peak of the cycle and uncertainties about the survival of some projects.

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⚡ 2. Trading – Short and Medium-Term Capture

Active dynamic: operate based on technical analysis (RSI, MACD, support/resistance, chart patterns) to profit from quick movements.

High frequency and risk: requires constant monitoring, emotional control, and strict risk management, such as stop-loss and risk-reward ratio.

Complications: excessive trading can quickly and stressfully consume capital, especially without discipline.

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🧠 3. Hybrid Strategy – The Best of Both Worlds

Core-and-satellite:

Core (60–80%): allocation in HODL of strong cryptos for structural appreciation.

Satellite (20–40%): capital reserved for short/medium-term trades aiming for tactical gains.

Periodic rebalancing:

Sell assets that have appreciated beyond the target.

Buy more when your exposure falls below the defined standard.

Additional income:

Delegate part of the HODL assets for staking or yield farming, generating passive income.

⚖️ #SpotsVSFuturesStrategy : Which Strategy Fits Your Profile? 📊

In the crypto market, you can trade on spot — buying the asset immediately — or on futures, which are contracts about the price in the future, without holding the asset directly.

🌐 Spot Trading

Real ownership: you receive the cryptos immediately, ideal for those looking to hodl or stake.

Lower risk: no leverage, the risks are limited to the invested capital.

Simple and straightforward: great for beginners and long-term strategies.

📈 Futures Trading

Leverage available: allows you to open larger positions with less capital, but increases both gains and losses.

Long and short positions: speculate on declines or increases — flexible in volatile markets.

Advanced strategies: such as basis trading, which combines spot + futures to capture arbitrage.

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🔍 How to Choose?

Element Spot Futures

Trader Profile Conservative/beginner Experienced/high tolerance
Objective Long-term, hodl, staking Short/medium term, hedge, leverage
Risk Low — no leverage High — margin, possible liquidations
Complexity Low — executes and holds High — requires active margin and risk management.

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🛠️ Combined Strategies

Diversification: investing part of the capital in spot and another in futures can balance risk and return.

Simple hedge: if you hold Bitcoin in spot, you can protect yourself with a short position in futures against price declines.

Arbitrage with basis trading: buy the asset in spot and sell futures, capturing profit when prices converge.

🔷 #MuskAmericaParty : When Politics and Crypto Meet on X 📱🗳️

On July 5, 2025, Elon Musk officially announced the creation of the "America Party" after a vote among followers on X, where about 80% approved the idea. The decision was motivated by Musk's disagreement with Donald Trump's controversial One Big Beautiful Bill, which proposed extensive tax cuts and reductions in incentives for renewable energy—something Musk labeled as "insane".

Trump reacted with attacks, threatening to investigate Musk's companies through the DOGE agency and even suggesting his deportation, marking a drastic rupture between the two.

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📉 Impact on the Crypto Market

The news generated volatility in memecoins: assets like the newly created "TAP"—based on the party—fluctuated between spikes and drops, with capitalization reaching about $5 million at moments of hype.

The price of DOGE fell nearly 4% after the escalation of the conflict, reflecting the market's sensitivity to political movements influenced by Musk.

Analysts warn that the dispute may generate regulatory uncertainty, impacting the risk perception of crypto in general.

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🤔 What to Watch Going Forward

1. Thematic memecoins: spikes and drops can happen quickly as news emerges.

2. Crypto regulation: if the party gains traction, it could lead to more favorable proposals—or political retaliation.

3. Sentiment on X: Musk continues to use the platform to engage followers; any tweet can cause waves in the market.

4. Technical movements: traders may explore the support/resistance limits of assets linked to the TAP narrative.

🕒 #SwingTradingStrategy : Capture Price Waves with Consistency and Control 🌊📈

Swing trading is an intermediate technique between day trading and “buy & hold” — ideal for taking advantage of price movements that last from a few days to weeks. The focus? Enter at the right moment, control risks, and exit with profit before the trend reverses.

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🔑 Pillars of the Strategy

1. Sharp technical analysis

Moving averages (50 MA / 200 MA) – to identify overall trends.

RSI and MACD – help signal reversals or weak momentum.

Supports and resistances, patterns like triangles and flags – indicate safe entry/exit points.

2. Intelligent risk management

Risk per trade between 1–2% of the capital; justified stop-loss below support or based on ATR.

Minimum risk-reward of 1:2 (ideal 1:3 or more), so that a sequence of losses does not negate the gains.

3. Entry and exit tactics

Pullback on moving average or support.

Confirmed breakouts with volume.

Bollinger squeeze + volatility explosion.

🔷 #XSuperApp : When X Becomes the Super App for Everything – Finance, Social, and Crypto 📱

Elon Musk and CEO Linda Yaccarino are transforming X (formerly Twitter) into a true super app, akin to WeChat in China. Recently, Yaccarino confirmed that X will enable investments, margin trading, and purchases within the app, along with the arrival of X Money — a digital wallet in partnership with Visa, with plans to launch a credit/debit card as early as 2025.

All of this is part of an integrated ecosystem: messaging (XChat) with "Bitcoin-style" encryption, streaming (X TV), AI (Grok), P2P payments, and potentially, soon, integration with cryptocurrencies. Although Yaccarino did not mention crypto directly, analyst Anthony Scaramucci bets that digital assets like DOGE or stablecoins will be part of the equation.

However, X faces significant regulatory challenges in the US and Europe: data laws, financial licenses, and antitrust laws could delay or redirect the strategy.

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🔍 Impact on the crypto world

Mass access: a super app with a wallet and digital wallet with Visa could allow millions of users to access cryptocurrencies without leaving X.

Boosting DOGE and BTC: Musk's strong relationship with these coins suggests they may be initially integrated — either as a means of payment or assets within the wallet.

Regulation and compliance: the journey involves traditional financial regulation, which could legitimize the use of cryptocurrencies via the app.

🟠 $BTC : The Current State of Bitcoin – June 2025 📊

Bitcoin remains solid, trading at around $106,400, with a slight increase of 1.45% on the day. Although this value is below the highs of $110,000+, the fundamentals remain favorable.

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📈 Institutional Flow

Bitcoin ETFs recorded a significant inflow of about $378 million in recent weeks, particularly highlighting ARKB and FBTC funds.

In May, BTC ETFs received approximately $5.23 billion, surpassing gold ETFs, indicating a strong preference for Bitcoin as a hedge.

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🔁 Technical and On-chain Analysis

BTC is consolidated between short-term EMAs, with low volumes and neutral RSI, reflecting indecision.

The critical technical levels to monitor are:

Support: $103,000–105,000

Resistance: $110,000–112,000. A breakout above this could trigger moves up to $115,000–118,000.

Although the medium-term structure remains optimistic, there is a risk of correction to $94,000–100,000 if the support fails.

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💡 Outlook and Strategy

1. Consolidation phase: preparatory for possible significant moves based on flow and macro data.

2. Catalysts: economic data, Fed decisions, or new inflows into ETFs could trigger the next rally.

3. Tactical positioning: ideally adopt a tiered strategy – buy on pullbacks at supports (105K), add on breakouts of resistance (110–112K), and protect with stop-loss.

🎙️ #PowellRemarks : Fed Secure on the Move While Pressing for Regulation and Caution 📉

In the last meeting on June 18, 2025, the Federal Reserve kept the interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50%, but adopted a notably “hawkish” tone, signaling concern about inflation, especially the additional pressure generated by trade tariffs 💸.

🧭 Key Points from Powell's Statements

Inflation Pressure from Tariffs: Powell emphasized that recent tariffs could increase inflation, stating, “someone will have to pay for them.”

Caution on Interest Rate Cuts: Although the official projection still indicates two cuts in 2025, nearly half of the Fed officials already consider reducing that outlook — maintaining “humility” when dealing with uncertainties.

Stagflation Risk: Signs of weaker growth, persistent inflation, and global tensions raise fears of entering a stagflation scenario.

Crypto Regulation: Powell reinforced the need for regulatory clarity for cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins, highlighting that this strengthens the market.

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🌐 Market Repercussions

Traditional Markets: stocks fluctuated between slight gains and losses, with the S&P 500 virtually stable and interest rates on bonds rising.

Crypto: mixed movements — Bitcoin dipped in the session but found support near $105,000 as traders adjusted positions in light of the cautious tone.

🟢 $USDC : The Stablecoin That Is Redesigning Global Finance 🌍💵

The USD Coin (USDC) remains strong as the leading regulated stablecoin, currently maintaining a stable price of $1.00 and a daily volume exceeding $11 billion, with a market capitalization of around $61 billion.

🔹 Record growth: Since the beginning of 2025, the market cap of USDC has increased by nearly 39%, driven by greater use in trading, payments, and regulatory clarity in the U.S. under Trump.

🔹 GENIUS Act approved in the Senate: with a requirement for full backing, monthly audits, and AML controls, the law received bipartisan support, reinforcing the credibility of USDC and benefiting both Circle and Coinbase.

🔹 Innovations and integration:
• USDC now operates natively on the XRP Ledger, eliminating the need for bridges and facilitating cross-chain transactions.
• It will be accepted as collateral in futures in the U.S. through a partnership between Coinbase and Nodal Clear as early as 2026.

🔹 Institutional recognition:
• Circle's debut on the NYSE in June 2025 exceeded expectations, causing the ticker CRCL to soar after opening.
• Major retail players, such as Walmart and Amazon, are considering launching stablecoins, expanding the institutional ecosystem.

📈 #CryptoStocks : How to Invest in Stocks Linked to the Crypto Universe 🧠

If you want to get exposure to the crypto market without directly buying cryptocurrencies, stocks of companies involved in blockchain, mining, and stablecoins are an excellent alternative. Here are some highlighted names:

🔹 Coinbase (COIN)

With the approval of the GENIUS Act by the Senate — a regulatory milestone for stablecoins — Coinbase's stock rose by up to 17%, reaching around $297. The company leads in stablecoin volume and has just launched Coinbase Payments, a payment system via USDC integrated with Shopify.

🔹 Circle (CRCL)

Issuer of USDC, Circle experienced a valuation increase of about 16–20% after the approval of the GENIUS Act. Its recent IPO put the company on the radar of the traditional market.

🔹 MicroStrategy (MSTR)

Known for accumulating Bitcoin on its balance sheet, it launched a preferred stock offering of $1 billion, resulting in a significant expansion of its BTC position (~10,100 new coins, totaling almost 600,000 BTC).

🔹 Miners & Infrastructure

Companies like Riot Platforms and Marathon Digital are showing an increase of over 200% in 2024 and accelerated capitalization with mining ETFs and the use of AI in data centers.

🔹 Traditional Infrastructure with Crypto Exposure

Companies like Nvidia (NVDA) continue to grow — about 15–40% gain with GPUs for data centers and mining. Block (formerly Square) invests in its own mining hardware, with innovative chips for decentralization of mining.

🟡 $ADA : Technical Analysis, Risks, and Opportunities – June 2025 📈

Cardano (ADA) has been going through a period of tension, trading between $0.66 and $0.71 — a relatively narrow range reflecting indecision in the market. Indicators like the RSI (~42) and the MACD point to selling pressure, although the Stochastic RSI indicates oversold conditions and a possible short-term reaction.

🌐 Technical Scenario

Key supports at $0.68 and $0.63–0.66; current resistance at $0.73–0.76.

Recovery above the 9 and 21-day MAs (~0.702–0.717) and a weekly close above the Ichimoku cloud would be signs of a strong reversal.

🏛️ Ecosystem Development
Co-founder Charles Hoskinson identified a “stablecoin crisis” on the network and proposed converting 140 million ADA into USDM to increase liquidity in DeFi — a measure aimed at stimulating the ecosystem but may add additional selling pressure in the short term.

🔍 Outlook and Projections

Google Gemini predicts that the price may reach $1.10–1.80 by the end of June, should technical momentum and engagement with DeFi intensify.

Cautious analysts point to the risk of testing support down to $0.64–0.66, but if the $0.68–0.70 zone holds and buying pressure returns, ADA could rise to $0.80–0.90 by July.

🟡 #CardanoDebate A: Technical Analysis, Risks and Opportunities – June 2025 📈

Cardano (ADA) has been going through a period of tension, trading between $0.66 and $0.71 — a relatively narrow range reflecting indecision in the market. Indicators such as RSI (~42) and MACD point to selling pressure, although the Stochastic RSI indicates oversold conditions and a possible short-term reaction.

🌐 Technical Scenario

Key supports at $0.68 and $0.63–0.66; current resistance at $0.73–0.76.

A recovery above the 9 and 21-day MAs (~0.702–0.717) and a weekly close above the Ichimoku cloud would be signs of a strong reversal.

🏛️ Ecosystem Development
Co-founder Charles Hoskinson identified a “stablecoin crisis” on the network and proposed converting 140 million ADA into USDM to increase liquidity in DeFi — a measure aimed at stimulating the ecosystem but may add additional selling pressure in the short term.

🔍 Outlook and Projections

Google Gemini predicts that the price could reach $1.10–1.80 by the end of June, if technical momentum and engagement with DeFi intensify.

Cautious analysts point to the risk of testing support down to $0.64–0.66, but if the $0.68–0.70 zone holds and buying pressure returns, ADA could rise to $0.80–0.90 by July.