محمود عمر

🕸️ Midday market perspective on May 5th. 🕸️
$BTC perspective:
The important support level of 95500 was broken after grinding for a day. A sharp drop is not scary at all, because sometimes a sharp drop will stop.
However, a slow decline will not stop; it will rise for 15 minutes and drop for 1 hour, then rise for 1 hour and drop for 4 hours, and so on, slowly grinding downward. It may only slowly build a bottom and move upward after wiping out all the long positions. Therefore, a slow decline is the most annoying market behavior.

The large pie must break through 94250 with volume and close above 94250 at the hourly level to chase long positions on the right side, with stop loss on break.
When it drops below 93667 with volume and fails to recover on the rebound, chase short positions on the right side, and set stop loss on recovery; pay attention to changes in volume and maintain a good stop loss.
If a false breakdown occurs at 92558, recover and take a light long position; set stop loss at the false breakdown low or below 91862. If it cannot recover, do not go long.
🕸️
The large pie can only look upward at 95244-95786 if it breaks through 94736 at the hourly level; previous support has become resistance.
Those who want to short should pay attention to a 2B false breakout at 95736 to short one position; if it breaks and stands above 96580, set stop loss.
Conservative players wait for: long at 91656, stop loss below 90612.
🕸️
Upper pressure: 94485-95261-95779
Lower support: 93620-92775-91831
If the 4-hour closing price is below 93589, continue to look downward at 92881-91781; the decline may have just begun.
The hourly level shows that this large door is drawn quite standard, but it hasn't broken the previous low, so there’s nothing much to worry about.

🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️🕸️

$ETH thought:
The second pie must break through 1800 with volume to chase long positions on the right side, with stop loss on recovery.
If it drops below 1781 with volume, chase short positions on the right side, with good stop loss.

When it pulls back to 1738, confirm effective support with a light long position; stop loss below 1700.
If the second pie breaks below 1800, it’s not a good thing.
The second pie can only look upward at 1837-1873 if it breaks through and stands above 1808 at the hourly level, which is somewhat difficult for the second pie.
Pay attention to 1842 for a short position above the second pie, with stop loss on break at 1872.
Left-side order: long at 1672, stop loss below 1638.
🕸️
Upper pressure: 1817-1842-1872
Lower support: 1779-1756-1722
The 4-hour level shows that 1783 has officially started the correction of the second pie; look at the target positions below 1744-1691. I hope everyone follows the trend and does not open positions against the market. Meeting adjourned.
$BTC
#美国稳定币法案
#加密市场回调
#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

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‼️‼️Market condition on 05/03‼️‼️

The market is moving sideways📈
🚀 $BTC is now trading around $96,300
🚀 $ETH is trading around $1,830.


Bitcoin dominance: 64.81%;
Fear and Greed Index: 65 (greed);
Altcoin Index: 29;
Market capitalization: $3 trillion.

#SaylorBTCPurchase #BTCRebound #StrategicBTCReserve #MarketSentimentToday

Should i close both of them?

#USElectronicsTariffs
Trump Adds Tariff Exemptions for Smartphones, Computers and Other Electronics
A long list of electronic products got a reprieve for now from at least some of the levies on China, which had been expected to take a toll on tech giants like Apple.

#USElectronicsTariffs
Trump Adds Tariff Exemptions for Smartphones, Computers and Other Electronics
A long list of electronic products got a reprieve for now from at least some of the levies on China, which had been expected to take a toll on tech giants like Apple.

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Open long $PIPPIN

Trend Ai agent so strong

Buy & pump it 0.026xxx

Sell in May: ARE YOU SCARED??

The Crypto God says: DO NOT BE SCARED

As the Crypto market becomes increasingly INTENSE this year, the MM (market maker) team is pushing prices harder (completely different from 2021)

Since December 2024 until now, most accounts have been divided significantly, some have halved, while others have been divided by 5 or 10.

There have been periods, such as on February 3, 2025, and April 7, 2025, when THE WHOLE MARKET was strongly Dumped, causing everyone to fall into a state of FEAR - PEAK FEAR. At this time, almost all members sold their holdings, panic selling,...

For example, on April 7, 2025: When everyone was SCARED, the Crypto God boldly called for the group to buy the dip of ETH at the price of 144xxx (after which ETH short-term recovered to over 1k8xx)

Terminology: Sell in May and buy back in November makes everyone PANIC, SCREWED

With 10 years of experience in this market, the Crypto God predicts => Btc.D will soon drop sharply, and we will have a true Altcoin season from May to August 2025.

The adjustments of Btc are opportunities to accumulate for everyone.
$ETH - $FIL are 2 Safe coins, very worthy for everyone to buy and HOLD.

Discipline - Patience => Everyone will be WEALTHY.

#TrumpTaxCuts

Greed and cognitive biases are indeed major enemies on the investment journey. Here are a few core viewpoints:

1. The essential reasons for retail investors' losses

1.1. Behavioral dominance of the mind

Greed leads to "aggressive actions after gains and a gambler's mentality after losses," with dopamine driving frequent trading. High-frequency traders have a loss probability three times that of smart investors.

Example: Major players use technical indicators (such as head and shoulders, golden cross) to create illusions, inducing retail investors to chase prices and take over.

1.2. Cognitive and informational disadvantages

Retail investors rely on lagging and fragmented information (such as news and rumors), while institutions possess funding advantages and professional analytical capabilities.

Key reminder: Information can be easily manipulated; it's essential to cultivate independent judgment abilities (for example, by approaching from macro policies and market sentiment).

2. Breaking the deadlock strategy: from "human nature confrontation" to "system building"

2.1. Counter-intuitive operations: reverse thinking and position management

Wait with no position: Avoid blind trading, wait for market panic to hit a low point (such as widespread sell-offs by retail investors and concentrated negative media coverage) before entering the market.

Position control: Taking historical opportunities like "tax increases in country M" as an example, one can gradually build positions in undervalued ranges (such as half positions) to reduce risk.

2.2. Building a multi-dimensional cognitive system

Three major dimensions:

- Probability thinking: Acknowledge market uncertainty, formulate strategies using win rates and profit-loss ratios.

- Game theory thinking: Understand the psychological games between major players and retail investors, and avoid easily chasing prices and selling at losses.

- Ecological thinking: Examine investment targets from macroeconomic perspectives (such as East-West policy confrontations) and industry cycles.

2.3. Minimal execution principles

Reduce trading frequency: Lower the probability of making mistakes, only act in high-certainty opportunities.

Cut losses: Set strict stop-loss disciplines to avoid "small losses turning into large losses."

3. Core mindset: Investment is the "ultimate training" against human nature

The essence of knowing what to do but finding it hard to act: Overcoming impulsive trading driven by dopamine stimulation requires long-term disciplined training.

Countering fragmented information interference: Focus on authoritative sources (such as policy documents and industry research reports), filter out noise, and develop interpretive abilities.

Summary: The ultimate competition in investment is not IQ, but the "self-discipline" that counters human nature and the cognitive depth that "penetrates appearances." The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the systematic ability to "see clearly, wait patiently, and hold firmly."

Keep it up, partners in the crypto circle!

A Brief Summary of BTC's Current Market Dynamics and Future Price Trajectory

Current Price: As of May 4, 2025, the price of Bitcoin is $95,794, down 0.25% in the last 24 hours, but up 1.84% and 15.55% in the last 7 days and 30 days respectively, indicating a bullish trend.

Market Sentiment: The Bitcoin Index score reaches 80, the highest since January 30, 2025, indicating increased market confidence.

Key Price Levels:
Resistance Levels: $99,000 and $104,500.

Support Level: $93,500.

Short-term Volatility:
Bitcoin may drop to the key support level of $93,500, which is a testing point for the bullish trend.

If this support can be held, BTC may rebound and break through the resistance area of $97,000 to $99,000.

Mid-term Targets:
After breaking through $99,000, BTC may face resistance at $104,500, with a short-term pullback seeking support in the $97,000 to $99,000 range.

Long-term Bullish:
After forming an ascending price channel, Bitcoin may initiate a new round of increase from the support level of $97,000 to $99,000, breaking through $109,000 and setting new historical highs, entering the price discovery phase.

Historical Basis
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Bitcoin experienced a similar price pattern, achieving an 80% price increase after breaking resistance. This historical performance supports the prediction: if BTC holds the key support and breaks resistance, it may repeat similar gains.

Macroeconomic Environment: Unless a significant negative macroeconomic event occurs, Bitcoin's bullish recovery seems to have a solid foundation.

Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently in a bullish recovery phase and may fluctuate between $93,500 and $99,000 in the short term. If it can break through $99,000 and hold key support, BTC is expected to rise further in 2025, with potential targets of $109,000 or higher. Investors should closely monitor the support at $93,500 and resistance at $99,000 while keeping an eye on the impact of macroeconomic changes on the market.

#BTC

Family, good news comes from the sky! #POPCAT is taking off like an arrow! 🛫 We decisively enter the market at 5 PM on the 25th, and by 6 PM on the 28th, the price will rise steadily, reaching a peak of 0.45, perfectly achieving target 2, with returns exceeding 379%! Following past practices, let's immediately set the BE to securely lock in this substantial profit. Everyone, let's continue to pay attention to the subsequent performance of $POPCAT; there may be even more surprises in store!

A friend told me that he recently had his eye on a project: $B2.
At first, I didn't think much of it until he said:

"This is one of the few projects in BTCFi that truly stands on the 'supply side.'"

I remembered this sentence. I went back and looked up some information and found that it was indeed not simple.

$B2 is one of the highly regarded projects under the Binance Alpha program. The mining pool product has already launched, achieving a TVL of 500 million USD, and it has genuinely gathered a large number of BTC miners.
It's not just a slogan; they are really pulling resources, doing business, and generating revenue.

This is very rare in BTCFi—too many projects only draw a pie, but there are very few that truly have cash flow, users, and a logical product loop.

There are also some details that I think are very smart: the on-chain renewal rate is only 0.01%, which is absurdly low.
This means the threshold is extremely low, the trading frequency is high, and it's easier for those playing Alpha points to climb the rankings.

More importantly, $B2 has clearly reserved 10% of the share in its token model for future listings.
You might ask if there’s a plan for a secondary listing? Not only is there, but the community is already discussing the possibility of the contract going live, and the spot market is clearly moving.

How do I view the target price? Personally, I first look at 1U:
This is the VC cost price and also the key line in psychological warfare.
If the ecosystem continues to expand and TVL steadily climbs, I think it will be more than 1U.

Ultimately, investing is not about who can speak eloquently but about who can truly deliver.
$B2 is indeed delivering.

🌐 EOS Network changed its name to "Vaulta" in its transition to Web3 banking

🌎 EOS Network, the blockchain with the largest initial coin offering in history, has changed its name to Vaulta to provide Web3 banking services. EOS Network, a blockchain that launched in 2018 amid the boom of initial coin offerings (ICO), has changed its name to Vaulta and will pivot towards Web3 banking.

The change to Vaulta is tentatively scheduled for the end of May and will include a new token and the creation of an advisory group known as the Vaulta Banking Advisory Council to assist with the company's new direction, the company said in a statement on March 18.

🛎 The rebranding of the EOS network to Vaulta marks a significant course correction for the blockchain, which launched with great fanfare in June 2018 following a year-long ICO that was the largest in history at $4.1 billion, executed by the company behind the network, Block.one.

After its launch, EOS was a top 10 project by market capitalization for several years. But its value has been in constant decline and is now barely within the top 100, at rank 95, according to CoinGecko.

Always do your own research

$EOS


#Vaulta