孙稳合约师

The crash is not the end but a new beginning!!! The black swan is not Trump; this is the real culprit of the crash!!!

Last night, the cryptocurrency market collapsed, causing panic among many. A lot of people said it was caused by Trump's news, but that's just a scapegoat; the real culprit is stablecoin $USDE

Suddenly decoupled. You have to understand that whether retail investors or market makers, a large number of people used USDE as margin to trade leveraged contracts. Once it falls apart, it directly triggers a chain reaction of liquidations. Retail investors were severely cut, and many market makers probably lost a lot too; this is the true root of the crash.

Some may wonder, how did it become a black swan? Actually, the last bull market $LUNA

and the USTC collapse to zero are still fresh in memory, right? Stablecoins seem 'stable', but once problems arise, it becomes catastrophic. This time, USDE could bounce back, relying on the fact that it's still a bull market and the project team has money to support it; if a bear market comes, decoupling would basically mean a straight shot to zero. By then, the whole market would be dragged down, and this incident serves as a wake-up call for everyone.

So why did altcoins collectively drop by 80%? Simply put, it's the chain reaction triggered by leveraged liquidations. Too much capital used USDE as margin to leverage trade altcoins. Once USDE decoupled, the margin instantly shrank, and exchanges had no choice but to force liquidation. When the liquidation wave hit, sell orders flooded in like a deluge, but altcoins have small market caps and little liquidity, making it impossible to absorb such large selling pressure, causing prices to plummet, resulting in an 80% drop.

I have repeatedly warned before; only deal with USDT and USDC for stablecoins; don't touch the others. This crash once again proves that in the cryptocurrency market, the seemingly safe stablecoins exploding are the most deadly black swans. Never hold onto a fluke mentality to gamble on the 'safety' of small stablecoins. In fact, no matter how chaotic the cryptocurrency market gets, having judgment and strategy in advance can prevent stepping into pitfalls. I usually organize real-time market analysis and operational ideas on my homepage, including detailed breakdowns of risk signals before the USDE decoupling and subsequent countermeasures for the BTC peak area. Friends who want to avoid black swans and steadily secure profits can just visit the homepage to understand.
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #BNBChainMeme热潮

Simple and straightforward!!!

$ETH
Just now, I gave the Ether to many fans at around 4000 to go long, placing a limit order at 4050 for profit, and just like that, a needle directly took profit and exited the market, it's simply insider trading!!!

Who in the whole network is as accurate as me? Just like last night's bottoming of SOL, I told fans on the phone to place a long at 192, and when I woke up today, the lowest was 191.08. This is the experience of Brother Sun in the crypto world for so many years!!!

It can also be said that it is top-level control of the market and extreme mastery of positions!!!

🚗 Friends who want to break through the class, don’t hesitate, don’t miss the market and then complain uselessly.
#鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期

The God Dan is here!!!






Those who can keep up below 👆🚗, spots are limited, grab the time!!!

The upper profit space is about double, estimated 3500U

Last night, Brother Sun provided the overnight Dan of $ETH to fans, and it has successfully taken profit of 3000🔪

Strategy: $ETH

Direction: Long

Multiplier: 100~150

Position: 10/2

Take Profit: ???

Stop Loss: ???

Entry Position: ???



Admit failure, learn from lessons, let go of burdens, and use a new, more stable strategy (ultra-short contracts + regular investment) to get back on the road. Losing is not scary; what is scary is not having the courage to start again!!!
#鲍威尔发言 #币安HODLer空投ENSO #BNB创新高

Why, in the case of Dogecoin stagnating at $DOGE , are whales shorting $98 million?

On-chain trackers found an interesting address called “0x9eec9”, holding about $98 million in mainstream token shorts, with $32 million shorted solely in Dogecoin. Moreover, it's said that this trader previously made $31.8 million on the Hyperliquid platform.

Looking at Dogecoin's price trend, you can understand why he is operating this way. Dogecoin did indeed surge significantly before, but it got stuck at the $0.22 to $0.23 mark and couldn't break through, subsequently the price has been fluctuating below the 200-day moving average. This kind of technical situation naturally makes more people want to short. Later, after it broke below the 200-day moving average, market volatility increased significantly, either those who profit from trends took the opportunity to cash out, or large funds began to sell off again.

#鲍威尔发言 #BNB创新高 #DOGE

$BTC What would happen if the altcoin market were to halve?
Has anyone noticed a problem? The current altcoin market hasn't started to crash yet, but altcoins are already at bear market prices. If BTC officially enters a bear market and even halves in price, the drop in these altcoins is unimaginable.

Stop waiting for the so-called 'altcoin season.' It's gone, completely disappeared.

#鲍威尔发言 #山寨季何时到来？

Don't be fooled by the news to catch the bottom!



The square is full of positive posts, either calling for interest rate cuts or saying that the market will soar soon, with various bullish comments everywhere.

I won't comment on whether these statements are right or wrong, but is it too irresponsible to determine the market trend based on last night's speech? Moreover, Powell used terms like "maybe" and "perhaps" throughout, never saying "definitely". How many years has this expectation been speculated?

I remind you of the risks because I fear that retail investors will blindly chase the bottom upon seeing good news. I can't say my judgment is absolutely correct, but I will never confidently say that the market will definitely rise or fall next — the only certainty in the crypto world is uncertainty. Is it possible that we are at a bull peak with good news for you to take the bait? Could there suddenly be bad news next month stating that interest rates won't be cut, or even increase tariffs?

So don’t overinterpret this speech; it's better to see how the market behaves before making decisions. At least what I see now is that the market still has to continue falling.

Should I add a section on "seeing specific signals based on the market", like mentioning key support levels to make the reminders more practical?

Admit failure, learn lessons, let go of burdens, and get back on track with new, more robust strategies (spot + regular investment). Ensure that when the next dawn arrives, you are not only still present but also have ample "ammunition" in hand.
#鲍威尔发言 #BNB创新高 #巨鲸动向

Yesterday Powell spoke, and many people called for interest rate cuts and massive liquidity, which are seen as major positives, but he didn't provide any definitive signals, only vague phrases like 'possible'. If it were truly a major positive, there would have been a reaction in the market yesterday, but in reality, there was basically no movement, indicating that this speech had no impact on the short-term market, so don't misinterpret it.

They have been calling for interest rate cuts for so long; what would happen if they actually did cut them? It's just that the main players would take the opportunity to speculate on expectations and cut the retail investors' profits, leaving everyone still losing money and exiting the market. Moreover, in the cryptocurrency world, both good and bad news can be thrown around casually; you think it's good news, but it might turn around with a tax increase as bad news, making it hard to clarify.

We should pay more attention to market changes and not get too caught up in the news. Just like now with BTC, if it wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 113500; if it can't hold that, the rebound will end, and it will continue to drop.

The scariest thing is when someone sees news and blindly tries to bottom-fish, only to be deceived by the news in the end. In fact, whether you are going long or short, there are clues in the market; looking at them together is more reliable.


Admit failure, learn lessons, let go of burdens, and embark on a new, more stable strategy (spot + dollar-cost averaging). Ensure that when the next round of dawn arrives, you not only remain in the market but also have ample 'ammunition' in hand.
#鲍威尔发言 #BNB创新高 #巨鲸动向

$TRUMP The cryptocurrency market is cutting down on retail investors, this round of bull market is completely doomed.


I remember when it first came out in January this year, it exploded in popularity, directly reaching the top of the hot list, with the price soaring to over 70 US dollars, and a bunch of people chasing the high. As a result, it peaked right after going on Binance, and now it has dropped to 1.5 US dollars, nearly a 50-fold decrease.

Next, there will be large unlocks, and I can't even imagine how much it will drop; don't expect anything from this round of bull market, just wait for it to continue collapsing. After all, the cryptocurrency circle is cutting down on retail investors even with coins related to the president, and those low-quality coins and small clones have no chance, basically heading towards zero.


Admit failure, learn lessons, let go of burdens, and start anew with a new, more stable strategy (spot+regular investment). Ensure that when the next round of dawn arrives, you are not only still present but also have ample “ammunition” in hand.
Remember, in this market, surviving long is more important than making quick profits. Let's encourage each other.
#鲍威尔发言 #BNB创新高 #巨鲸动向

This year's altcoin season has ended, and we won't see the hundredfold or thousandfold coins of previous years!!!


Now many people in the market are waiting for the altcoin season. On the day of the 1011 event alone, nearly 3.5 billion was invested in the market. From this point, it is clear that many are still looking forward to the arrival of the altcoin season, but unfortunately, this year may not fulfill the hopes of people like you.

What has happened to the current market? Where is the altcoin season?! #山寨币热点

The altcoin season has been called out since last year, and a year has passed. Aside from a few coins hitting historical highs, the rest of the altcoins are practically dead. Every time I think about entering the market, I end up buying at mid-mountain, and I haven't made any money at all.

If we talk about the leading altcoin, $ETH has long set a historical high, but other altcoins haven't even budged. Can we still expect that buying any altcoin will lead to a rise like before? Clearly, that's unlikely now.



Just like this recent 1011 crash, how many altcoins have gone straight to zero—one day's drop wiped out all the gains of the past few months. Where is the shadow of the altcoin season now?

Looking at the current environment, the American economy is in such poor shape, and the national debt is so high. To put it bluntly, the cryptocurrency circle is just a place for them to exploit and cut people. Stop pondering the altcoin season. With so much bubble in the market now, most altcoins will eventually go to zero.

In this round of the bull market, many retail investors have actually gone to zero. The available funds in the market are decreasing, and the number of retail investors who can be exploited is also diminishing—without retail participation, can it still be called an altcoin season?

So in the future, everyone should avoid altcoins unless you're prepared for them to go to zero. I suggest just playing with BTC or a few mainstream coins. The profit effect in the cryptocurrency circle is getting worse, and the myth of becoming rich through altcoins is becoming rarer.

It's no longer the case that everyone can make money when the bull market comes. There isn't much money in the market now, so stop waiting for the altcoin season; it is unlikely to return.


#加密市场回调 #鲍威尔发言 #1011黑天鹅

Perfect profit taking at the early market of $SOL
Super short-term wave, long 600 at 199, profit taking at 211, the highest profit point in the whole network

Highest 211.29, Brother Sun's fans directly set 211 after listening to the advice, this is the ultimate control over the market.


#BNB创新高 #加密市场反弹 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #加密市场观察

Next, we either go directly bearish or extend the four-year cycle a bit longer.

This sudden sharp drop is likely to make many market makers rethink their selling rhythm and risk-reward strategies. Those who originally planned to push up sales before the end of 2025 may have to delay due to this unexpected liquidation, or even completely change their approach.

As for the strategy of 'holding onto altcoins with profits', it's hard to say whether it's right or wrong at this point. If the altcoin season really comes in the next two months, then this drop is just a normal shakeout; but if the market turns bearish, this strategy needs to be reassessed, and adjusting position structures becomes crucial.

#BNB创新高 #加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税

From the current news, it seems that many market makers and crypto funds have gone bankrupt in this wave of black swans, mainly because the positions in altcoins are too heavy, and Bitcoin is not sufficiently allocated. This situation is likely to take some time to fully reveal.

This sharp decline has not only caused retail investors to suffer greatly but has also disrupted the market-making plans of project parties during the bull market. Take $APT for example; the market makers originally intended to push it above $15 during the bull market before offloading, but now with this turmoil, the project parties are also in a bind, and all their original plans are in vain, having to replan from scratch.


Once this wave of black swans passes, confidence in Bitcoin will only strengthen for both institutions and retail investors, and institutions will look to buy more. Many people will probably never dare to touch altcoins again.

Bitcoin is definitely going to rise again—either it will first undergo some fluctuations and adjustments, or it will rise directly after funds withdraw from those high-risk, low-return junk projects.

It's still bullish on Bitcoin; it has matured enough now. No matter how big the adjustment, it actually presents a gradual accumulation opportunity, much like dollar-cost averaging into the S&P 500.
$BTC

Be cautious with altcoins; if you really want to trade, choose top projects and mainstream coins, while other altcoins should only be played for short-term gains.

#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

$BTC wants to directly V rebound? Let me be clear, it's impossible!\n\n\n\nI mentioned before that $BTC experienced a black swan near historical highs, and in such cases, I've never seen a V rebound before. In the short term, don't mention a surge to 120000; this rebound to around 116000 is about it, at most to 117000, which definitely isn't a reversal, and it's highly likely to test lower again later.\n\nFurthermore, there are many trapped positions above 120000. After struggling to bring it down, why would they raise it again to rescue anyone? If they really want to raise it, they need to wash out the trapped positions above first; otherwise, any rise will be met with selling, creating too much resistance. Also, the main players want to acquire shares at a low price, so how could they possibly buy above 120000?\n\nAnd regarding retail investors, the sentiment is very low right now, with many people losing so much that they are forced out of the market. There is less and less money in the market. Trying to push it up now won't fool anyone into investing—no one dares to chase, and there isn't any spare money to chase. It might be better to wait for the market to slowly recover, wait until the 'pigs' get a bit fatter before acting; right now, there isn't much to harvest.\n\n#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高

How to determine whether the dealer is in control?

$MYX

$COAI

Determining whether the dealer is in control is not too complicated; just look at these points:

First, the price is 'messing around'. Without news, it rises and falls sharply, K lines stand up quickly, or frequently 'insert needles'. This is obviously the dealer pulling up to lure in buyers and smashing down to force the exchange of chips, unrelated to the real market supply and demand.

Second, the trading volume is 'incompatible'. The price rises but the volume becomes smaller and smaller, which is the dealer's left hand selling to the right hand to 'put on a show'; the price is stable but the volume fluctuates sharply, which is also their self-directed performance to deceive retail investors; usually no transactions, but occasionally a surge in volume, indicates that the dealer is secretly taking chips.

Third, the news is 'timed accurately'. Before the price rises, there are vague favorable news, and after the rise, there is unfavorable news or the favorable news turns bad; or regardless of good or bad news, the price remains unchanged—these are all signals that the chips are being tightly held by the dealer.

#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高

Stick to doing $BTC

Friends who have seen my previous content or followed my trades know that I have always only focused on BTC, never touching altcoins, even $ETH , $SOL are not within my trading scope. This time, many altcoins have gone to zero, finally validating my initial judgment—how wise it is not to touch altcoins.

Why am I determined not to touch altcoins? First of all, logically speaking, these things are inherently bubble-prone, with the market makers controlling the game intensely, plus the sheer number of altcoins is absurd, funds simply aren't enough to go around, and ultimately, they are likely to go to zero, with funds flowing back to mainstream coins. As retail investors, it is unrealistic to compete head-on with market makers; since we can't win, it's better not to get involved at all. Over the years, I have seen too many altcoins fade; even those that were initially popular ultimately cannot escape the fate of going to zero.

Looking at the trading and technical aspects, altcoins are too volatile, frequently spiking and crashing, and stop-loss levels are often swept away, no matter how skilled you are technically, you can’t withstand such turmoil. But BTC is different; it has a large market cap and a stable foundation. In the entire cryptocurrency space, it is the only one that can align with technical indicators, so saying it is the most 'friendly' coin is not an exaggeration. By steadily focusing on BTC, managing positions well, and implementing stop-losses, the risk of liquidation or going to zero is basically negligible.

Finally, let's talk about making money itself; we come here to make money, not to give it away. However, many people always think about making a quick buck and are unwilling to settle down for stability. In fact, as long as you have some skills, are not greedy for wealth, and steadily work with BTC, you can make money. But most people still like to gamble, thinking that altcoins can lead to instant wealth—but that all depends on luck, and it’s a one in ten thousand chance; what makes you think you are that lucky one?

#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美国加征关税 #现货黄金创历史新高 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

The bull market often emerges from madness, and 126200 is likely the peak.
$BTC

There are no absolute answers; I am just judging from emotions and timelines that 126200 is very likely the peak. Why?

First, let's look at the timeline: The bull peaks on December 17, 2017, and November 10, 2021, are 1424 days apart; from October 6, 2025, to 126200, it is 1425 days from the 2021 bull peak, which aligns perfectly in time. This is not a case of carving a boat to find a sword; history often repeats itself remarkably.

Next, let's look at the emotions: Recently, the market has gone mad—BTC has risen continuously for a week from 107000 to 126200, with almost no pullback in nearly 20,000 points, revealing an unhealthy urgency in the main force's push; coupled with BNB continuously breaking new highs and the frequent emergence of “golden dogs” on the BSC chain, the sentiment has reached extreme greed. Behind the madness lies much risk; after all, joy can lead to sorrow, so it is advisable to focus on short positions, everyone should be cautious.

I have already set the timing for the next big market move, bringing you easy profits while fully invested!
#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

$BTC is crazy! The cryptocurrency circle 'Time Magic Ruler' accurately hits the throat! 1424 days = 1425 days, is 126200 actually the ultimate top?


From the peak of the bull market in 2017 to the peak of the bull market in 2021, the time difference is exactly 1424 days;

And the peak of the bull market on November 10, 2021, to the historical high point of 126200 USD, is surprisingly just 1 day short of 1425 days!

This set of 'cyclic magic numbers' coincides so perfectly, could it be that 126200 USD is truly the ultimate peak of this bull market?

Sun Wen will help you achieve it, the bull market doubles, it just depends on whether you are following the right person!!
Key point: The bull is still here! The bull is still here!! The bull is still here!!!
#加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期升温 #BNBChainMeme热潮

$ETH Shen Dan is coming!!!
The bearish trend in Ethereum has not reversed! The volume has increased and has fallen below VWAP, with clear signals of seller dominance. Don't be lured by short-term rebounds.

Direct strategy: Short directly in the 4370-4375 range, stop loss at 4390 to hold the resistance line, and initially target 4336. If broken, continue to look for support near 4317.

Currently, it's a sideways movement during a downtrend, high shorts near resistance only follow the trend. Once the 4305 support is broken, the downward space will need to be opened up; don't be greedy for rebounds, follow the bearish rhythm to steadily make profits.

Brothers can go all in with heavy positions, guaranteed profit!!!

Brothers who got in during the day have already multiplied their gains several times; a code is used to protect privacy, brothers in the square, hurry up!!!!!!

I have already timed the next big market move in advance, bringing you an easy way to profit while lying down!
#TRUMP #BTC重返10万 #ETH #山寨季何时到来？

#山寨币热点 Don't panic! The altcoin season hasn't disappeared; it's just waiting for a signal

Although the overall surge in altcoin season has become a thing of the past, I still firmly believe that we can expect a decent altcoin rally, with two core points of logic.

First, let's look at Ethereum: right now, $ETH is firmly standing on strong support and continues to outperform Bitcoin. Looking back in history, we know that as long as ETH breaks past $BTC momentum, the altcoins often take over next; this is an old market rotation rule.



Some may think that there have been no highlights in altcoins since April, but looking back to June shows a different picture: starting in June, altcoins overall rose about 56%, while BTC only increased by 25%, making the altcoin gains twice that of BTC. This indicates that when BTC hits new highs, funds are quietly migrating towards altcoins, and the signs of migration have been present for a while.

However, time is running out. According to cyclical patterns, BTC usually peaks in the last year of a bull market in Q4; if this follows the usual pattern, BTC's rally may be nearing its end. Once BTC peaks, the window for altcoins will be very short - but conversely, the altcoin season is coming, most likely in the next few weeks.

Moreover, history has already provided the answer: altcoin rallies often explode after BTC hits its peak. In November 2021, BTC peaked, and ETH continued to rise for another month, achieving the largest increase in that cycle; after BTC peaked in 2017, ETH doubled its price. If BTC has two to three weeks of upward potential left, altcoins theoretically have six to seven weeks to perform, which is enough to sustain a quick short-term rally.

My strategy is to focus on mainstream coins, especially targeting the BTC resistance zone of $128,000 to $130,000. If during this period ETH and some altcoins continue to strengthen and decouple from BTC's rhythm, I will gradually increase my altcoin positions; until the signal is confirmed, mainstream coins remain the optimal solution.

Ultimately, the altcoin season hasn't disappeared; it's just taken on a new form - it's not a nationwide celebration, but rather a sprint of short-term funds, fast-paced and short-lived, yet real opportunities exist.

In fact, I've organized observations on ETH's strength over BTC, the window for altcoin explosions, and a reference list for switching strategies. For friends who want to seize this opportunity in advance and not miss out, those who understand will understand~
#BNBChainMeme热潮 #BNB创新高 #山寨币市场回暖

Recently, the circle has been asking: Bitcoin has broken historical highs, so why hasn't the altcoin market reacted? When will the anticipated 'altcoin season' arrive? There are actually two core reasons.
$BTC

First, Bitcoin's recent rally is very different. In previous bull markets, BTC either surged or plummeted, creating extreme volatility that stirred emotions. People were afraid of missing out and chased after altcoins; this is how the altcoin seasons of 2017 and 2021 were heated up. But this time, $BTC is 'rising for a while, then consolidating for months', the pace is steady and there are no waves, failing to ignite nationwide enthusiasm; the heat is insufficient, so altcoins naturally don't rise.

Second, there are so many altcoins that they dilute funds and attention. Now, nearly 50,000 new tokens are added every day, compared to just 4 million a year ago, which has skyrocketed to 22 million. Previously, with fewer coins, the hotspots were concentrated; when one rose, the whole market noticed it. Now, with money spread across so many coins, there isn't even a splash, and 'hundredfold coins' have become rare.

So in this round of the altcoin season, there is no 'everyone taking off', only 'structural opportunities'—certain sectors or coins may be hot for a week or two, at most two months before ending. After all, liquidity is limited now, and funds are more rational, no longer clustering in frenzy.

The traditional altcoin season may truly be over; in the future, even if there are altcoin trends, they will be short-lived opportunistic bursts. The market is changing, but opportunities still exist; it’s just that the gameplay has changed.

22 million altcoins are sharing funds, and the traditional altcoin season has become a thing of the past! The next potential 'hidden coins' that could explode might be found in niches you haven't noticed yet...
#山寨季何时到来？ #比特币