Luna8686

$ETH ETH/USDT Market Trend Prediction & Trade Plan
1. Market Overview
• Current Price: ~2,500.42 USDT
• 24h High/Low: 2,624.84 / 2,455.63 USDT
• 24h Volume: 8.43M ETH, 21.35B USDT
• Short-term Sentiment: Slightly bearish, with a mild recovery from the recent dip.
2. Technical Analysis
A. 15-Minute Chart
• Price: 2,499.47 USDT
• MA(7): 2,495.95 USDT (price just above short MA, slight short-term recovery)
• RSI(6): 40.34 (near oversold, but not yet a clear reversal)
• Stoch RSI: 20.72 (in oversold zone, slight upward momentum)
• Order Ratio: 35% buy – 65% sell (sellers dominate)
Short-term (Next 30 Minutes):
• The market just bounced from the 2,469.33 USDT low; slight recovery is possible, but sellers are still strong.
• Trade Idea:
• Look to SHORT if price rebounds to 2,505 – 2,510 USDT.
• Stop loss: 2,518 USDT
• Take profit: 2,485 – 2,490 USDT
B. 1-Hour Chart
• Price: 2,500.42 USDT
• MA(7): 2,526.49 USDT (price below MA, short-term bearish)
• RSI(6): 39.96 (below 50, bearish momentum)
• Stoch RSI: 4.68 (deep oversold, may see a technical bounce)
• Order Ratio: 49.55% buy – 50.45% sell (balanced, but sellers slightly ahead)
Mid-term (Next 1 Hour):
• Price is below both MA(7) and MA(25), RSI low, bearish pressure remains.
• Trade Idea:
• SHORT if price rebounds to 2,510 – 2,515 USDT.
• Stop loss: 2,525 USDT
• Take profit: 2,480 – 2,490 USDT
C. 6-Hour Outlook
• If price fails to break above 2,515 – 2,525 USDT, the downtrend is likely to continue, possibly retesting 2,470 or lower.
• Trade Idea:
• Maintain SHORT if price stays below 2,525 USDT.
• Stop loss: 2,530 USDT
• Take profit: 2,460 – 2,470 USDT

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#TradeWarEases: Major Tariff Cuts Signal Easing US-China Trade Tensions
The United States and China have concluded two days of high-level trade talks in Geneva, resulting in substantial progress toward resolving ongoing trade tensions. Both sides have agreed to establish a new economic and trade consultation mechanism, with a joint statement expected to be released on May 12.
Key highlights:
• The US will cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% for 90 days.
• China will lower tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% over the same period.
• Global markets have reacted positively, with BTC, ETH, and BNB prices all rising.
Discussion Points:
• How will these tariff reductions impact global markets and supply chains?
• Do you think this move marks the beginning of the end for the US-China trade war?
• What are your expectations for the upcoming joint statement?
Share your thoughts and join the conversation with #TradeWarEases

$BTC
The current Bitcoin price is $105,432.0, up 1.25347% from yesterday.
Analyzing the bullish or bearish trend of Bitcoin requires considering many factors, including on-chain data, market indicators, and macroeconomic events.
Factors that may affect the price of Bitcoin:

• Market demand: Bitcoin demand is showing signs of recovery, indicating that investor interest is increasing again.

• NUPL Index: The NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) Index is currently at 0.62, indicating that Bitcoin still has room to grow before reaching excessive excitement.

• Halving: The halving event, when the mining reward is reduced by half, can affect the supply and price of Bitcoin. History shows that after halvings, Bitcoin prices tend to increase.
• Interest Rates and Money Supply: Interest rate policy and money supply can also impact Bitcoin price.

• Market Dynamics: Bitcoin is struggling to hold key support levels, suggesting that the downtrend could continue without a strong enough push.

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