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xrp
Currently, regarding the trend of xrp, I personally lean towards the first option. Recently, xrp has formed an expanding triangle followed by a contracting triangle, and it is currently in the final stage of contraction. Overall, the adjustment of xrp is not sufficient, and the pattern still looks quite poor. I am personally attempting to short xrp#Xrp🔥🔥 .

eth
Currently, Ethereum is in a descending triangle of a downturn cycle. There are two possible future trends. Personally, I hope it follows the first one, with a more thorough correction. If it follows the second one, Ethereum may not necessarily break new highs. #ETH走势分析

btc (Beijing time 18:30)
Currently, if the time reaches 20:00 and the 4-hour candlestick closes bullish, there is a high probability it will follow the second scenario in Chart 1. I will consider how to place an order at the horizontal line in Chart 1. If the 4-hour level closes bearish directly, it may follow the scenario in Chart 2 and drop directly tonight. I will consider operations at Chart 2. There is a small probability it will follow the first scenario in Chart 1. To avoid risk, I closed the short positions for btc and doge that I increased around 9 a.m. today at around 115300, while still keeping the initial position to continue being bearish on the market outlook. #BTC走势分析

Finally, temporarily see 110000 or 111000 first.

btc
Last night we talked about the uncertainty in today's news, and now the uncertainty in the news can be ruled out. Currently, the trend line of btc on the daily chart has been broken, and the rebound here is temporarily a weak rebound. From the perspective of the theory of cycles, it represents a central zone. If I were to describe it, it is a simple confirmation after the market has consolidated and chosen a direction. Here, one can consider entering the market or increasing positions, while also remembering to set a stop loss.
As for other coins, let's not talk about them for now; when Bitcoin drops, others won’t fare much better. #BTC走势分析

Let's see the rebound strength tonight. It is very likely that it hasn't hit the bottom. There will be news at 2 AM tonight. If it drops, there's nothing to do. If it rebounds, I'll observe the rebound strength when I wake up tomorrow morning, and I will add a short position (not sure if the market will give me the opportunity).
I hope BTC can create a new low. #BTC走势分析

btc
Regarding btc, yesterday at noon I posted to synchronize that btc and eth were likely to rebound. Last night at 9 PM, I only warned about the risk of eth because I only had eth at the time (actually being lazy). The big coin is really too weak, including the current situation, so it’s still expected to drop (unless we see the imaginary big bullish candle). It’s also easy to set a stop-loss now (you can already see that I have entered a short position). Just quietly wait for a significant drop in the market, and after a divergence appears, there will be a rebound. #BTC走势分析

eth
Regarding eth, I already warned about the risks at 9 PM last night. The operational strategy for eth is the most detailed I've written, covering entry, reasons, risk-reward ratio, stop-loss, and risk warnings (the post itself is mainly for review, and I generally won't elaborate too much on reasons before the operation). Last night at 9 PM, I posted that it would be best to wait for two solid 4-hour candles before considering a bullish outlook, but I couldn't wait until 4 AM, so I added a position at the illustrated location in the evening (just afraid of missing out). I immediately felt it was inappropriate because that position could either be a W bottom or an M top, so I sold part of my added position. Then, when the M top had moved halfway, I sold off almost all of the added position (it's really frustrating that thinking about making money leads to losses). Finally, I set a stop-loss for the entire position at 4510 and went to sleep, only to wake up to being stopped out...

As for the trend of Ethereum, since it has dropped now, let's just wait. I don't know where the bottom is; whenever it stabilizes, that's the bottom, and that's when we can go long (I firmly believe in new highs for eth). BTC is too weak, and eth may reach new lows, but that's just a wild guess. #加密市场回调 #ETH #ETH走势分析

Regarding doge, I mentioned in yesterday's post that the possibility of doge going down is a bit higher (I personally opened a short position). Of course, I didn't say it would go down 100%. Here, I have drawn the chart showing the potential upward movement for those who want to go long.
Next, I will review my operations on doge from yesterday. From Chart 2, we can see that this is a contracting triangle. One misunderstanding that most people have is thinking that a contracting triangle will immediately show a direction, which is actually a misinterpretation. At the end of a contracting triangle, the market starts to try out directions, rather than determining a direction. The market tests upwards, tests downwards, and finally stabilizes and determines a direction in one of those attempts. Some people rush in as soon as they see a rise, which makes them easily trapped, while I personally hold a bearish view. Therefore, when the first 15-minute candlestick shows a bearish candle at the key resistance level in doge, I enter a short position, setting my stop loss at the key resistance level. All of this can be verified with real trading records.
Trading is not about predicting rises or falls; it's about knowing what to do when a certain level rises or falls, and whether continued sideways movement increases the probability of a rise or a fall. The rest is just gambling with a stop loss. There's no need to look down on those who open short positions while you go long; it's all a gamble, and as long as you can afford to lose, that's what matters. #加密市场回调 #DOGE冲冲冲 #doge⚡

The overall uncertainty of mainstream coins is quite high. For stability, you can hedge here with Doge and Ethereum, going short on Doge and long on Ethereum.

The current trend of doge is clearly downward with a higher probability, although there is a possibility of an upward movement (considering this as a large horizontal consolidation area), but this possibility is relatively small. Overall, the probability of going down for doge is high (the reason being that the performance in the past half month has been poor and weak, and the 15-minute small scale has not been strong).
Here, the trend of doge is basically consistent with that of xrp, and no additional analysis will be done on xrp. #加密市场回调 #DOGE #Xrp🔥🔥

Regarding BNB, the weekly chart will definitely reach new highs, estimating it can go up to 1000 without major issues. Then at the daily level, there are two possibilities: one is to rise a bit more before a pullback, and the other is to pull back directly and then rise again. At the hourly level, we need to test the strength line here to see if it can stabilize after 12 o'clock. There is significant uncertainty at the smaller levels for BNB. #加密市场回调 #BNB走势

Urgent update on the new perspective of the market. Currently, Ethereum has two possible trends. Here, the 2-hour and 4-hour candlesticks need to stabilize before moving towards the second possibility. It is recommended to reduce positions here and then enter around 12 midnight, with the stop-loss set at the lowest point of the sideways movement (those who haven't entered yet can operate like this; it's uncertain whether it can stabilize here). Personally, I feel the probability here is 55-45, and the probability of the second possibility is actually not very high. (The reason is that the trends of several other mainstream coins also have two possibilities, and none of the mainstream coins show a strong trend.
Details can be seen in my analysis of BNB, DOGE, and XRP.
Post time is 21:00 Beijing time. #加密市场回调 #ETH

The afternoon trend is as we expected in the morning; here, Ether and Bitcoin should still be able to rise a bit, just to cover the cost.

The reason for going long on TRX is that it is performing relatively strong.

The current profit and loss ratio for Ethereum single positions is approximately above 2:1, with the lower level around 4350 and the upper level above 4650.

Regarding the short position on ETH being more dangerous, there is obvious resistance below. ETH might rebound along with Bitcoin and reach a new high next week. The risk-reward ratio for going long on Ethereum currently seems favorable. #加密市场回调

Yesterday we talked about the BTC trade that could end at any moment and continue to drop, but after 24 hours and 6 and 4-hour candlesticks, BTC has remained in a sideways trend. There may be a 1-hour rebound that has not yet started (from yesterday's weak rebound view now changed to sideways consolidation). Be cautious about shorting here, as there are many gaps above and significant resistance below. #加密市场回调

Xiaocang touched the top stop loss of XRP and exited. Today, the goddess of luck is not on my side 🌚🌚

Ethereum is currently moving in sync with BTC (for details, see my previous post), but from the daily chart perspective, Ethereum is still very strong. During the rebound after the decline, the strength will definitely be greater than that of BTC, and there is a high probability that it will set new highs again. (From the current Ethereum decline, the gap has been filled, while BTC has not, indicating that Ethereum is still very strong) #加密市场回调