听听风听听雨水
金融市场兴趣爱好者，自由投资人 投资经验六年（股票，基金，期货，币圈） 定期分享行业动态，最新趋势 有问题可以在评论区回复，随机解答，公众号《听听风听听雨水》与币安广场同名！
3 Following
134 Followers
66 Liked
12 Shared
Posts
Quotes
Videos
See original
PINNED
In-depth analysis of Bitcoin's technical and macroeconomic aspects: Is the next cyclical trend in the Bitcoin market upward or downward? No dull moments!
Technical Aspect
Bitcoin's cyclical trend.
Currently, the market lacks liquidity, and liquidity providers will only create fluctuations within limited liquidity.
Currently, the large Bitcoin appears to be in an upward flag pattern but has not yet broken through. Due to liquidity reasons, liquidity providers do not want to accelerate northward. From the Fibonacci retracement and extension lines, the large Bitcoin is currently at a short-term resistance of 0.768 around 85000. After a short-term northward move on Friday, it began to fluctuate. There has not been a clear upward movement from liquidity providers. Combined with the SKDJ, which has now reached an oversold value, the current fluctuation area is at a high level, with risks of falling again.
Bitcoin's cyclical trend.
Currently, the market lacks liquidity, and liquidity providers will only create fluctuations within limited liquidity.
Currently, the large Bitcoin appears to be in an upward flag pattern but has not yet broken through. Due to liquidity reasons, liquidity providers do not want to accelerate northward. From the Fibonacci retracement and extension lines, the large Bitcoin is currently at a short-term resistance of 0.768 around 85000. After a short-term northward move on Friday, it began to fluctuate. There has not been a clear upward movement from liquidity providers. Combined with the SKDJ, which has now reached an oversold value, the current fluctuation area is at a high level, with risks of falling again.
See original
PINNED
Sunday Market Viewpoints and Strategies: Ethereum successfully entered yesterday with nearly 100 points in unrealized profit. The previous public article can be verified!
25.1.5-6:11PM
Review of Yesterday's Strategy: The major cryptocurrency did not get picked up. Ethereum has been continuously profitable and currently stands at 80 points. The major cryptocurrency is declining harder than Ethereum, but the resistance to rising is also significant. Ethereum keeps breaking through while the major cryptocurrency remains indifferent, like a turtle. Is the market sentiment not enough to give the major cryptocurrency some respect? From the perspective of BTC's market capitalization share, it is currently continuing to decline, proving that market funds are flowing into altcoins. Therefore, the major cryptocurrency's rise is naturally weak. Without funding support, any rise is false. However, how could the major cryptocurrency show weakness like this? Please see today's market analysis!
Review of Yesterday's Strategy: The major cryptocurrency did not get picked up. Ethereum has been continuously profitable and currently stands at 80 points. The major cryptocurrency is declining harder than Ethereum, but the resistance to rising is also significant. Ethereum keeps breaking through while the major cryptocurrency remains indifferent, like a turtle. Is the market sentiment not enough to give the major cryptocurrency some respect? From the perspective of BTC's market capitalization share, it is currently continuing to decline, proving that market funds are flowing into altcoins. Therefore, the major cryptocurrency's rise is naturally weak. Without funding support, any rise is false. However, how could the major cryptocurrency show weakness like this? Please see today's market analysis!
See original
BTC Market Structure and Liquidity Depth Report (June 21, 2025)
Core Judgement: Geopolitical black swan breaches the $103k defense line, technicals accelerate the search for a bottom, mid-term policy dividends establish value anchor points.
I. Liquidity Gap Layering and Probability
1. Key Thresholds of the Day (24 hours)
-$102,250-$102,500 (Oversold buffer)
-Based on: Following the crash on the 21st, support was found at $102,286, with on-chain monitoring showing sovereign funds placing large buy orders over 300 BTC, and a surge in put options market at $102,000 forming technical support.
-Rebreak Probability: 35% (1H RSI 38.43 nearing oversold zone, if geopolitical conditions worsen or double bottom test occurs).
Translate
BTC市场结构与流动性深度报告（2025年6月20日）
核心研判：地缘风险与技术面共振下的三角收敛，103k防御堡垒固若金汤，静候政策破局。
一、流动性缺口分层与概率
1.日内关键阈值（24小时）
-103,100-103,400美元（托底验证）
-依据：19-20日价格四度测试该区间均获强力承接，链上监测主权资金单笔超500 BTC买单5次，期权市场102,000美元看跌合约持仓占比43%形成护盘墙。
-再破概率：＜10%（1H RSI 46.38脱离超卖区，OBV累积量能回升）。
-105,300美元（空头前沿）
-依据：订单簿空单堆积4,366万美金（105,510美元处），与CME期货对冲仓位形成技术共振。
-突破概率：52%（需配合成交量突破20亿美元/小时）。
2.中期核心防线（1-2周）
-102,250美元（终极缓冲）
-依据：巨鲸多头爆仓阈值102,250美元与IBIT ETF周净增1.6万BTC的机构托底形成双重屏障。
-触及概率：15%（需霍尔木兹海峡封锁或美军参战触发）。
-110,969美元（轧空引擎）
-依据：2,339 BTC空单清算埋伏区，与美参议院《加密市场结构法案》草案形成事件驱动。
-突破概率：68%（政策落地触发机构抢筹）。
>价格分布：104,600美元紧贴13日正态分布均值，4小时布林带带宽缩至1.2%创月内新低，变盘临界信号强化。
二、关键价位与市场行为深度解析
支撑体系
-103,100-103,400美元：主权资金（萨尔瓦多持续吸筹）与企业资本（Semler Scientific宣布10.5万枚BTC持仓计划）构筑钢铁防线，链上30日净流出8.5万BTC验证抛压枯竭。
-102,250美元：期权做市商Delta对冲买盘密集区，与灰度减持价103,821美元形成动态平衡。
阻力层级
-105,300美元：Binance主动卖盘占比50.69%暴露散户恐慌，衍生品资金费率骤升293%反映空头短期压制。
-106,250美元：链上巨鲸空头开仓均价106,869美元构成成本要塞，突破将引爆1.8亿美元级平仓买盘。
多空力量博弈
-多头蓄势：
-机构ETF资金连续7日净流入（IBIT单日增持2,680 BTC），与价格背离暗示吸筹进入尾声。
-恐慌贪婪指数48（中性）与CME期货持仓165.4亿美金形成底部背离，聪明资金悄然布局。
-空头隐患：
-杠杆空头借英国央行鸽派转向（8月降息概率80%）制造恐慌，但巨鲸空头爆仓阈值153,688美元风险敞口扩大。
-中东风险边际转换：以色列摧毁伊朗67%导弹发射器，冲突外溢动能衰减（黄金指数跌0.11%）。
三、多空趋势推演与技术结构
短期（24-48小时）：三角收敛择向
-技术结构：4小时图形成下降楔形（高点105,180→低点103,883），斐波那契38.2%回撤位104,120美元成多空争夺焦点。
-上行路径：放量突破104,600美元→强攻105,300美元空头堡垒→触发轧空行情至106,250美元（清算强度2.55亿美元）。
-下行风险：失守103,100美元概率不足10%，若黑天鹅触发将测试102,250美元终极缓冲。
中期（1-2周）：政策与技术共振破局
-核心动能：
-美国《加密市场结构法案》（参议院银行委员会起草）：打通传统资本入市通道，力度评级★★★★☆。
-亚洲合规竞赛：京东香港稳定币进入沙盒测试（Q4上线），新加坡限制非持牌交易所，资金向合规平台汇聚。
-企业比特币战略：Semler Scientific等上市公司加速配置，形成示范效应。
-技术目标：
-基础场景：110,969美元（空单清算密集区与斐波那契78.6%共振）。
-乐观场景：115,000美元（全球政策红利驱动120亿级新增资金入场）。
四、终极结论：变盘窗口临近
1.短期攻防线：
-103,100美元成多空生命线，四重验证下防守成功率＞90%。
-104,600美元为日内强弱分界，站稳则上攻105,300美元概率升至52%。
2.中期胜负手：
-巨鲸空头浮亏率突破-3%（当前-2.38%）将引爆轧空行情，触发概率＞75%。
-地缘黑天鹅（美伊军事决策窗口≤14天）或制造短期波动，难阻政策驱动趋势。
3.监测清单：
-地缘指标：霍尔木兹海峡航运实时动态（伊朗封锁概率升至18%）。
-政策节点：美国参议院银行委员会72小时内披露《加密市场结构法案》草案。
-链上警报：巨鲸多头保证金防御阈值102,250美元（清算强度2,068 BTC）。
>数据溯源：彭博地缘风险模型（指数0.41）+CME期货大宗交易流+Glassnode机构持仓追踪
>报告时效：2025年6月20日
声明：本报告基于多维度数据建模分析，不构成任何投资建议，黑天鹅风险需动态评估。
作者：六乙到巽。拍档创作！
一、流动性缺口分层与概率
1.日内关键阈值（24小时）
-103,100-103,400美元（托底验证）
-依据：19-20日价格四度测试该区间均获强力承接，链上监测主权资金单笔超500 BTC买单5次，期权市场102,000美元看跌合约持仓占比43%形成护盘墙。
-再破概率：＜10%（1H RSI 46.38脱离超卖区，OBV累积量能回升）。
-105,300美元（空头前沿）
-依据：订单簿空单堆积4,366万美金（105,510美元处），与CME期货对冲仓位形成技术共振。
-突破概率：52%（需配合成交量突破20亿美元/小时）。
2.中期核心防线（1-2周）
-102,250美元（终极缓冲）
-依据：巨鲸多头爆仓阈值102,250美元与IBIT ETF周净增1.6万BTC的机构托底形成双重屏障。
-触及概率：15%（需霍尔木兹海峡封锁或美军参战触发）。
-110,969美元（轧空引擎）
-依据：2,339 BTC空单清算埋伏区，与美参议院《加密市场结构法案》草案形成事件驱动。
-突破概率：68%（政策落地触发机构抢筹）。
>价格分布：104,600美元紧贴13日正态分布均值，4小时布林带带宽缩至1.2%创月内新低，变盘临界信号强化。
二、关键价位与市场行为深度解析
支撑体系
-103,100-103,400美元：主权资金（萨尔瓦多持续吸筹）与企业资本（Semler Scientific宣布10.5万枚BTC持仓计划）构筑钢铁防线，链上30日净流出8.5万BTC验证抛压枯竭。
-102,250美元：期权做市商Delta对冲买盘密集区，与灰度减持价103,821美元形成动态平衡。
阻力层级
-105,300美元：Binance主动卖盘占比50.69%暴露散户恐慌，衍生品资金费率骤升293%反映空头短期压制。
-106,250美元：链上巨鲸空头开仓均价106,869美元构成成本要塞，突破将引爆1.8亿美元级平仓买盘。
多空力量博弈
-多头蓄势：
-机构ETF资金连续7日净流入（IBIT单日增持2,680 BTC），与价格背离暗示吸筹进入尾声。
-恐慌贪婪指数48（中性）与CME期货持仓165.4亿美金形成底部背离，聪明资金悄然布局。
-空头隐患：
-杠杆空头借英国央行鸽派转向（8月降息概率80%）制造恐慌，但巨鲸空头爆仓阈值153,688美元风险敞口扩大。
-中东风险边际转换：以色列摧毁伊朗67%导弹发射器，冲突外溢动能衰减（黄金指数跌0.11%）。
三、多空趋势推演与技术结构
短期（24-48小时）：三角收敛择向
-技术结构：4小时图形成下降楔形（高点105,180→低点103,883），斐波那契38.2%回撤位104,120美元成多空争夺焦点。
-上行路径：放量突破104,600美元→强攻105,300美元空头堡垒→触发轧空行情至106,250美元（清算强度2.55亿美元）。
-下行风险：失守103,100美元概率不足10%，若黑天鹅触发将测试102,250美元终极缓冲。
中期（1-2周）：政策与技术共振破局
-核心动能：
-美国《加密市场结构法案》（参议院银行委员会起草）：打通传统资本入市通道，力度评级★★★★☆。
-亚洲合规竞赛：京东香港稳定币进入沙盒测试（Q4上线），新加坡限制非持牌交易所，资金向合规平台汇聚。
-企业比特币战略：Semler Scientific等上市公司加速配置，形成示范效应。
-技术目标：
-基础场景：110,969美元（空单清算密集区与斐波那契78.6%共振）。
-乐观场景：115,000美元（全球政策红利驱动120亿级新增资金入场）。
四、终极结论：变盘窗口临近
1.短期攻防线：
-103,100美元成多空生命线，四重验证下防守成功率＞90%。
-104,600美元为日内强弱分界，站稳则上攻105,300美元概率升至52%。
2.中期胜负手：
-巨鲸空头浮亏率突破-3%（当前-2.38%）将引爆轧空行情，触发概率＞75%。
-地缘黑天鹅（美伊军事决策窗口≤14天）或制造短期波动，难阻政策驱动趋势。
3.监测清单：
-地缘指标：霍尔木兹海峡航运实时动态（伊朗封锁概率升至18%）。
-政策节点：美国参议院银行委员会72小时内披露《加密市场结构法案》草案。
-链上警报：巨鲸多头保证金防御阈值102,250美元（清算强度2,068 BTC）。
>数据溯源：彭博地缘风险模型（指数0.41）+CME期货大宗交易流+Glassnode机构持仓追踪
>报告时效：2025年6月20日
声明：本报告基于多维度数据建模分析，不构成任何投资建议，黑天鹅风险需动态评估。
作者：六乙到巽。拍档创作！
Translate
BTC市场结构与流动性深度报告（2025年6月19日）
核心研判：政策与地缘双压下的韧性筑底，103k支撑三度验证，静待突破105.5k空头防线
一、流动性缺口动态与概率分层
1.日内关键阈值（24小时）
-103,300美元（托底防御）
-依据：18-19日价格三度回踩103,300-103,418美元区间均获买盘承接，链上监测到主权资金单笔超500 BTC买单8次，期权市场102,000美元行权价看跌合约持仓占比43%形成对冲护盘。
-再破概率：＜15%（RSI(1H)50.2脱离超卖区）。
-105,500美元（空头堡垒）
-依据：CME期货空头对冲仓位1.54亿美元堆积，与18日高点105,498.9美元形成技术共振。
-突破概率：58%（需小时成交量突破25亿美元）。
2.中期核心防线（1-2周）
-102,124美元（终极缓冲）
-依据：巨鲸多头爆仓阈值103,087美元上移形成缓冲，叠加IBIT ETF周净增1.5万BTC的机构托底力量。
-触及概率：20%（需美军参战或伊朗封锁海峡触发）。
-110,938美元（轧空引擎）
-依据：空单清算强度2,391 BTC埋伏于此，与美参议院《GENIUS法案》落地形成事件驱动。
-突破概率：65%（政策明朗化触发机构抢筹）。
>价格分布：104,800美元紧贴13日正态分布均值，4小时布林带收窄至带宽1.8%预示变盘临界点。
二、关键价位与资金行为解析
支撑体系
-103,300-103,800美元：主权资金（萨尔瓦多持续增持）与企业买盘（MicroStrategy周增10,100 BTC）构筑三层防线，链上30日净流出9万BTC验证抛压衰竭。
-102,124美元：期权做市商Delta对冲买盘密集区，与灰度减持抛压103,821美元形成动态平衡。
阻力层级
-105,500美元：Binance主动卖盘占比50.37%与衍生品资金费率转正（0.0016%）暴露散户恐慌，灰度减持价103,821美元强化抛压。
-106,900美元：链上巨鲸空头开仓均价106,870美元构成成本要塞，突破将引爆1.8亿美元级平仓买盘。
多空力量信号
-多头蓄力：
-资管巨头景顺16亿美元加密资产配置正式启动，传统资本借ETF通道逢低布局（IBIT七日净增1.5万BTC）。
-恐慌贪婪指数48（中性）与价格背离，暗示情绪底先行于市场底。
-空头隐患：
-杠杆空头借FOMC鹰派点阵图（7名官员支持2025年不降息）施压，但巨鲸空头爆仓阈值151,721美元存在高风险敞口。
-中东风险溢价边际弱化（美军参战概率降至32%），避险资金撤离黄金（黄金指数-0.57%）。
三、多空趋势推演
短期（24-48小时）：震荡蓄势
-上行路径：站稳104,800美元→攻克105,500美元空头堡垒→触发轧空行情至106,900美元（清算强度2.4亿美元）。
-下行风险：失守103,300美元概率不足20%，若破位将测试102,124美元期权护盘区。
-催化变量：
-地缘：德法英欧盟周五介入伊朗核谈判，霍尔木兹海峡航运动态实时监测。
-政策：香港首批稳定币牌照进入72小时授予窗口（京东、小商品城竞逐）。
中期（1-2周）：政策驱动破局
-核心动能：
-美国《稳定币法案》（参议院已通过）：打开2万亿美元合规资金通道，力度评级★★★★☆。
-亚洲牌照竞赛：香港加速审批（陈茂波表态）、越南立法生效倒计时，力度评级★★★☆☆。
-新兴市场税收红利：巴西比特币储备法案过初审、泰国免征加密税5年，力度评级★★☆☆☆。
-目标层级：
-基础场景：110,938美元（空头清算密集区与特朗普媒体ETF申请共振）。
-乐观场景：115,000美元（全球政策红利吸引120亿美元级新增资金）。
四、终极结论：静待黎明信号
1.短期生命线：103,300美元三度验证有效，日内守住则上攻105,500美元概率超58%。
2.中期胜负手：
-巨鲸空头浮亏率突破-3%（当前-1.58%）将引爆轧空行情，触发概率＞70%。
-地缘黑天鹅（伊朗封锁海峡概率15%）或延缓但难逆转政策驱动牛市。
3.监测清单：
-地缘指标：德黑兰互联网恢复进度（伊朗宣称控制以领空真实性验证）。
-政策节点：香港金管局未来72小时牌照授予决策。
-链上警报：巨鲸多头保证金防御阈值94,009美元（0x1f25地址仓位）。
>数据溯源：彭博地缘风险模型（指数0.39）+CME期货大宗交易流+Glassnode机构持仓追踪
>报告时效：2025年6月19日。
（声明：内容仅作数据分析，不构成投资建议，需时刻注意防范黑天鹅机制。）
作者：六乙到巽。/拍档创作！
一、流动性缺口动态与概率分层
1.日内关键阈值（24小时）
-103,300美元（托底防御）
-依据：18-19日价格三度回踩103,300-103,418美元区间均获买盘承接，链上监测到主权资金单笔超500 BTC买单8次，期权市场102,000美元行权价看跌合约持仓占比43%形成对冲护盘。
-再破概率：＜15%（RSI(1H)50.2脱离超卖区）。
-105,500美元（空头堡垒）
-依据：CME期货空头对冲仓位1.54亿美元堆积，与18日高点105,498.9美元形成技术共振。
-突破概率：58%（需小时成交量突破25亿美元）。
2.中期核心防线（1-2周）
-102,124美元（终极缓冲）
-依据：巨鲸多头爆仓阈值103,087美元上移形成缓冲，叠加IBIT ETF周净增1.5万BTC的机构托底力量。
-触及概率：20%（需美军参战或伊朗封锁海峡触发）。
-110,938美元（轧空引擎）
-依据：空单清算强度2,391 BTC埋伏于此，与美参议院《GENIUS法案》落地形成事件驱动。
-突破概率：65%（政策明朗化触发机构抢筹）。
>价格分布：104,800美元紧贴13日正态分布均值，4小时布林带收窄至带宽1.8%预示变盘临界点。
二、关键价位与资金行为解析
支撑体系
-103,300-103,800美元：主权资金（萨尔瓦多持续增持）与企业买盘（MicroStrategy周增10,100 BTC）构筑三层防线，链上30日净流出9万BTC验证抛压衰竭。
-102,124美元：期权做市商Delta对冲买盘密集区，与灰度减持抛压103,821美元形成动态平衡。
阻力层级
-105,500美元：Binance主动卖盘占比50.37%与衍生品资金费率转正（0.0016%）暴露散户恐慌，灰度减持价103,821美元强化抛压。
-106,900美元：链上巨鲸空头开仓均价106,870美元构成成本要塞，突破将引爆1.8亿美元级平仓买盘。
多空力量信号
-多头蓄力：
-资管巨头景顺16亿美元加密资产配置正式启动，传统资本借ETF通道逢低布局（IBIT七日净增1.5万BTC）。
-恐慌贪婪指数48（中性）与价格背离，暗示情绪底先行于市场底。
-空头隐患：
-杠杆空头借FOMC鹰派点阵图（7名官员支持2025年不降息）施压，但巨鲸空头爆仓阈值151,721美元存在高风险敞口。
-中东风险溢价边际弱化（美军参战概率降至32%），避险资金撤离黄金（黄金指数-0.57%）。
三、多空趋势推演
短期（24-48小时）：震荡蓄势
-上行路径：站稳104,800美元→攻克105,500美元空头堡垒→触发轧空行情至106,900美元（清算强度2.4亿美元）。
-下行风险：失守103,300美元概率不足20%，若破位将测试102,124美元期权护盘区。
-催化变量：
-地缘：德法英欧盟周五介入伊朗核谈判，霍尔木兹海峡航运动态实时监测。
-政策：香港首批稳定币牌照进入72小时授予窗口（京东、小商品城竞逐）。
中期（1-2周）：政策驱动破局
-核心动能：
-美国《稳定币法案》（参议院已通过）：打开2万亿美元合规资金通道，力度评级★★★★☆。
-亚洲牌照竞赛：香港加速审批（陈茂波表态）、越南立法生效倒计时，力度评级★★★☆☆。
-新兴市场税收红利：巴西比特币储备法案过初审、泰国免征加密税5年，力度评级★★☆☆☆。
-目标层级：
-基础场景：110,938美元（空头清算密集区与特朗普媒体ETF申请共振）。
-乐观场景：115,000美元（全球政策红利吸引120亿美元级新增资金）。
四、终极结论：静待黎明信号
1.短期生命线：103,300美元三度验证有效，日内守住则上攻105,500美元概率超58%。
2.中期胜负手：
-巨鲸空头浮亏率突破-3%（当前-1.58%）将引爆轧空行情，触发概率＞70%。
-地缘黑天鹅（伊朗封锁海峡概率15%）或延缓但难逆转政策驱动牛市。
3.监测清单：
-地缘指标：德黑兰互联网恢复进度（伊朗宣称控制以领空真实性验证）。
-政策节点：香港金管局未来72小时牌照授予决策。
-链上警报：巨鲸多头保证金防御阈值94,009美元（0x1f25地址仓位）。
>数据溯源：彭博地缘风险模型（指数0.39）+CME期货大宗交易流+Glassnode机构持仓追踪
>报告时效：2025年6月19日。
（声明：内容仅作数据分析，不构成投资建议，需时刻注意防范黑天鹅机制。）
作者：六乙到巽。/拍档创作！
See original
Market Depth Data Report!
Bitcoin Market Structure and Liquidity Depth Report (June 18, 2025)
-Core Judgment: The game between geopolitical risks and favorable policies intensifies, with the validity of 103k support being validated, and short-term volatility accumulation challenges the 106.9k bear line.
-One, Liquidity Gap Dynamics and Probability Layering
1. Daily Key Thresholds (24 hours)
-103,300 USD (Strong Support Validation):
-Basis: Price rebounded precisely after reaching this level (around the low of 103,300 USD on June 18 at 01:00), on-chain data indicates that sovereign funds and corporate buy orders concentrated their intervention.
-Core Judgment: The game between geopolitical risks and favorable policies intensifies, with the validity of 103k support being validated, and short-term volatility accumulation challenges the 106.9k bear line.
-One, Liquidity Gap Dynamics and Probability Layering
1. Daily Key Thresholds (24 hours)
-103,300 USD (Strong Support Validation):
-Basis: Price rebounded precisely after reaching this level (around the low of 103,300 USD on June 18 at 01:00), on-chain data indicates that sovereign funds and corporate buy orders concentrated their intervention.
See original
The market is full of uncertainties, will it rise or fall? Are you afraid to buy the dip when it falls? Do you want to chase it when it rises?
May 19, 2025, 07:36:10 (Monday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (WeiBo: Listening to Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: The previous article mentioned maintaining a low position to go long. Over the weekend, there was a pullback, and the market started to rise on Sunday night. Therefore, every decline hides opportunities, and what is needed is courage and bravery. Bitcoin has returned to a strong trend after a weak performance, and the Bitcoin ETF closed with a small gain last Friday, which requires caution. Today is also the day to change the weekly line; don’t miss good opportunities by 'blowing the wind on the mountaintop.' There are always gaps that need to be filled!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin is currently again near 106 without breaking through, but if the price can remain stable, there is still hope. The SKDJ has formed a golden cross at the mid-line 50, which was mentioned in the previous article that it is about to be examined in detail. The current price increase is strong with volume and price synchronization. To continue to push higher, there must be a significant increase in trading volume. The best pullback entry point for Bitcoin is 102, with short-term resistance at 108.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum had a very rapid rise earlier, leading to many gaps below, so this pullback is deeper. However, this also presents an opportunity. The previous article mentioned to firmly hold the trend here, and also said that if 25 breaks, it should return between 23-24, which are both opportunities. The SKDJ is oversold and has a golden cross, with volume and price present. The best pullback position for Ethereum is 2365, with short-term resistance at 28.
PS: Clear strategy points are on WeiBo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
May 19, 2025, 07:36:10 (Monday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (WeiBo: Listening to Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: The previous article mentioned maintaining a low position to go long. Over the weekend, there was a pullback, and the market started to rise on Sunday night. Therefore, every decline hides opportunities, and what is needed is courage and bravery. Bitcoin has returned to a strong trend after a weak performance, and the Bitcoin ETF closed with a small gain last Friday, which requires caution. Today is also the day to change the weekly line; don’t miss good opportunities by 'blowing the wind on the mountaintop.' There are always gaps that need to be filled!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin is currently again near 106 without breaking through, but if the price can remain stable, there is still hope. The SKDJ has formed a golden cross at the mid-line 50, which was mentioned in the previous article that it is about to be examined in detail. The current price increase is strong with volume and price synchronization. To continue to push higher, there must be a significant increase in trading volume. The best pullback entry point for Bitcoin is 102, with short-term resistance at 108.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum had a very rapid rise earlier, leading to many gaps below, so this pullback is deeper. However, this also presents an opportunity. The previous article mentioned to firmly hold the trend here, and also said that if 25 breaks, it should return between 23-24, which are both opportunities. The SKDJ is oversold and has a golden cross, with volume and price present. The best pullback position for Ethereum is 2365, with short-term resistance at 28.
PS: Clear strategy points are on WeiBo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
See original
Roller Coaster Market, Are You Still on the Ride?
May 16, 2025 07:04:20 (Friday)
1. [Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, See Video for Detailed Analysis)]
Market Review: Yesterday, it was mentioned that the evening US market would lead the market to rise back to around 104. The long-term high-level fluctuation and consolidation have shown significant digestion of market sentiment. The Federal Reserve meeting yesterday did not present any obvious negative impacts. Currently, the market lacks new capital flow, and it is normal that prices are not making new progress. Additionally, some people are continuously taking profits due to fear of heights. The Bitcoin ETF ended with a bearish trend yesterday, making tonight's outcome quite ambiguous. Everyone should pay extra attention and try to maintain a low position!
2. [Daily Market Analysis]
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin is currently forming a converging triangle pattern. The 4-hour chart has left a hammer candle, which is a signal waiting for a volume increase and price rise. The SKDJ has reached around the middle line of 50, and the brief adjustment may be nearing its end, soon to cross golden. Whether it can close positively is crucial. The best pullback for Bitcoin today is 101090, with a short-term resistance level at 104900!
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum is currently showing some fatigue, similar to its previous state, primarily due to being overburdened. However, from a cyclical perspective, each decline presents an opportunity. Yesterday's roller coaster left many feeling uncertain, so it's better to look at the weekly chart. The best pullback position today is 2508; if it breaks down, it will return to the lower fluctuation zone of 23-24, with a short-term resistance level at 2606.
PS: Clear strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
May 16, 2025 07:04:20 (Friday)
1. [Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, See Video for Detailed Analysis)]
Market Review: Yesterday, it was mentioned that the evening US market would lead the market to rise back to around 104. The long-term high-level fluctuation and consolidation have shown significant digestion of market sentiment. The Federal Reserve meeting yesterday did not present any obvious negative impacts. Currently, the market lacks new capital flow, and it is normal that prices are not making new progress. Additionally, some people are continuously taking profits due to fear of heights. The Bitcoin ETF ended with a bearish trend yesterday, making tonight's outcome quite ambiguous. Everyone should pay extra attention and try to maintain a low position!
2. [Daily Market Analysis]
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin is currently forming a converging triangle pattern. The 4-hour chart has left a hammer candle, which is a signal waiting for a volume increase and price rise. The SKDJ has reached around the middle line of 50, and the brief adjustment may be nearing its end, soon to cross golden. Whether it can close positively is crucial. The best pullback for Bitcoin today is 101090, with a short-term resistance level at 104900!
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum is currently showing some fatigue, similar to its previous state, primarily due to being overburdened. However, from a cyclical perspective, each decline presents an opportunity. Yesterday's roller coaster left many feeling uncertain, so it's better to look at the weekly chart. The best pullback position today is 2508; if it breaks down, it will return to the lower fluctuation zone of 23-24, with a short-term resistance level at 2606.
PS: Clear strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
See original
Currently, there are too many false moves in the market. Are you frequently getting trapped?
May 15, 2025, 08:31:57 (Thursday)
1. 【Previous Market Review (Weibo: Listening to the Wind and Rain for Detailed Analysis)】
Market Review: In the last article, we mentioned that the best pullback position for the market was around 100680, hitting the lowest point of 100705. The sideways movement of Bitcoin gives other cryptocurrencies more opportunities. The selling pressure above 60 on the Bitcoin ETF has been too great, and there has not been an effective breakthrough for two days. Yesterday's close was a bearish candle at 58.7, which is normal for a day of rise followed by a day of fall. Tonight, it will once again start to rally and challenge the 60 level, leading the market into an uptrend!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin is currently experiencing a range-bound oscillation at a high level, with support at 102460-100705-98947. Every time it touches the support, it is worth considering a long position to make a range swing. Bitcoin is currently digesting emotions gradually through consolidation, and long-term price oscillation is absorbing chips. The SKDJ value has returned to 70, no longer in the overbought zone, and trading volume is gradually decreasing. This range has formed a new normal distribution price that has been confirmed, combined with Fibonacci resistance levels above 106-108.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum is currently very strong, starting its performance during Bitcoin's sideways movement. The resistance levels above Ethereum have been formed by long-standing selling pressure, so every time a new high is reached, there will be significant pullbacks. As trading volume gradually decreases, it indicates the end of selling pressure, and the market will begin a new charge. The best pullback position for Ethereum is currently 2360, and SKDJ remains in the overbought zone. The price has not yet formed a new normal distribution, so be cautious about chasing high prices. The resistance levels above are 2730-2850.
PS: Clear strategy points on Weibo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fans group #比特币走势分析
May 15, 2025, 08:31:57 (Thursday)
1. 【Previous Market Review (Weibo: Listening to the Wind and Rain for Detailed Analysis)】
Market Review: In the last article, we mentioned that the best pullback position for the market was around 100680, hitting the lowest point of 100705. The sideways movement of Bitcoin gives other cryptocurrencies more opportunities. The selling pressure above 60 on the Bitcoin ETF has been too great, and there has not been an effective breakthrough for two days. Yesterday's close was a bearish candle at 58.7, which is normal for a day of rise followed by a day of fall. Tonight, it will once again start to rally and challenge the 60 level, leading the market into an uptrend!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin is currently experiencing a range-bound oscillation at a high level, with support at 102460-100705-98947. Every time it touches the support, it is worth considering a long position to make a range swing. Bitcoin is currently digesting emotions gradually through consolidation, and long-term price oscillation is absorbing chips. The SKDJ value has returned to 70, no longer in the overbought zone, and trading volume is gradually decreasing. This range has formed a new normal distribution price that has been confirmed, combined with Fibonacci resistance levels above 106-108.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum is currently very strong, starting its performance during Bitcoin's sideways movement. The resistance levels above Ethereum have been formed by long-standing selling pressure, so every time a new high is reached, there will be significant pullbacks. As trading volume gradually decreases, it indicates the end of selling pressure, and the market will begin a new charge. The best pullback position for Ethereum is currently 2360, and SKDJ remains in the overbought zone. The price has not yet formed a new normal distribution, so be cautious about chasing high prices. The resistance levels above are 2730-2850.
PS: Clear strategy points on Weibo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fans group #比特币走势分析
See original
The market is about to enter a greedy phase, how much room is there left?
May 12, 2025 08:43:44 (Monday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Weibo: Listening to Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: Last week's market was very strong, with a sudden rise that caught many off guard. This kind of rally is indeed a sign of a bull market. The Bitcoin ETF is close to a new high, and the market's trading volume has released significantly. If it breaks 60 tonight, the crypto market will take off again. Looking at the larger market cycle, this round of rise has already begun, but it won't last too long. Finally, I want to remind everyone not to lose their rationality due to the market's craziness!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
After the breakout, Bitcoin faced significant selling pressure above, choosing to oscillate around 104-3. After experiencing a violent rally, its best pullback position is at 100705, with the best oscillation zone at 102-104. New highs are expected this week, and if the trend is there, suitable entry points for long positions can be found.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's independent market last week came too quickly, breaking through continuously without giving any chances to get on board. Currently, Ethereum's weekly and monthly upward trends are very good, indicating a lot of room. The best pullback position below is 2280, with the best oscillation zone at 2550-2450. Due to a prolonged rally, liquidity is currently a bit insufficient, requiring patience to wait. After the pullback (which must be after), long positions can still be considered.
#比特币走势分析
PS: Clear strategy points can be found on Weibo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fan Group
May 12, 2025 08:43:44 (Monday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Weibo: Listening to Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: Last week's market was very strong, with a sudden rise that caught many off guard. This kind of rally is indeed a sign of a bull market. The Bitcoin ETF is close to a new high, and the market's trading volume has released significantly. If it breaks 60 tonight, the crypto market will take off again. Looking at the larger market cycle, this round of rise has already begun, but it won't last too long. Finally, I want to remind everyone not to lose their rationality due to the market's craziness!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
After the breakout, Bitcoin faced significant selling pressure above, choosing to oscillate around 104-3. After experiencing a violent rally, its best pullback position is at 100705, with the best oscillation zone at 102-104. New highs are expected this week, and if the trend is there, suitable entry points for long positions can be found.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's independent market last week came too quickly, breaking through continuously without giving any chances to get on board. Currently, Ethereum's weekly and monthly upward trends are very good, indicating a lot of room. The best pullback position below is 2280, with the best oscillation zone at 2550-2450. Due to a prolonged rally, liquidity is currently a bit insufficient, requiring patience to wait. After the pullback (which must be after), long positions can still be considered.
#比特币走势分析
PS: Clear strategy points can be found on Weibo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fan Group
See original
The Federal Reserve remains unchanged, how will the market move next?
May 8, 2025 08:14:09
1. 【Market Review (Wei Bo: Listening to Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday, it was mentioned to pay attention to the evening U.S. market leading the cryptocurrency market to decline, be cautious of risks and avoid chasing highs. The price of Bitcoin started to fall in the evening, reaching a low of 957 before recovering to the support level we discussed at 955. The Bitcoin ETF ultimately closed with a bearish candle, facing pressure at resistance and failing to break through continuously. The market is about to enter a range-bound phase again, with insufficient liquidity at higher levels to achieve a valid breakout. Ethereum, on the other hand, is weak, following the decline without any upward movement. In the early morning, the Federal Reserve meeting remained unchanged, which means that the flow of funds in the market is still at status quo, and no new liquidity has emerged, so any further rise will require waiting. A reminder: when going long, do not enter at high levels!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
The current volume of Bitcoin is still decent, but it has not effectively broken through, indicating that this price has entered another controversial phase. Without new liquidity, a new normal distribution cannot achieve a phase jump, so the trend does not continue, and it will remain in the range of 97-95. The Fibonacci retracement shows resistance at 986 and support at 955.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's current situation has completely derailed. The upgrade has not brought much to Ethereum, so the rise of an ecosystem is not about just doing something; it’s about gaining recognition from market funds that is key. Without fund support, everything is in vain. Currently, Ethereum has returned to the range-bound phase, with a head and shoulders pattern. There is volume but no price; after the SKDJ golden cross, it crosses down again, eventually needing to return to value. The Fibonacci retracement shows resistance at 1890 and support at 1730.
PS: Clearly defined strategy points can be found on Wei Bo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
May 8, 2025 08:14:09
1. 【Market Review (Wei Bo: Listening to Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday, it was mentioned to pay attention to the evening U.S. market leading the cryptocurrency market to decline, be cautious of risks and avoid chasing highs. The price of Bitcoin started to fall in the evening, reaching a low of 957 before recovering to the support level we discussed at 955. The Bitcoin ETF ultimately closed with a bearish candle, facing pressure at resistance and failing to break through continuously. The market is about to enter a range-bound phase again, with insufficient liquidity at higher levels to achieve a valid breakout. Ethereum, on the other hand, is weak, following the decline without any upward movement. In the early morning, the Federal Reserve meeting remained unchanged, which means that the flow of funds in the market is still at status quo, and no new liquidity has emerged, so any further rise will require waiting. A reminder: when going long, do not enter at high levels!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
The current volume of Bitcoin is still decent, but it has not effectively broken through, indicating that this price has entered another controversial phase. Without new liquidity, a new normal distribution cannot achieve a phase jump, so the trend does not continue, and it will remain in the range of 97-95. The Fibonacci retracement shows resistance at 986 and support at 955.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's current situation has completely derailed. The upgrade has not brought much to Ethereum, so the rise of an ecosystem is not about just doing something; it’s about gaining recognition from market funds that is key. Without fund support, everything is in vain. Currently, Ethereum has returned to the range-bound phase, with a head and shoulders pattern. There is volume but no price; after the SKDJ golden cross, it crosses down again, eventually needing to return to value. The Fibonacci retracement shows resistance at 1890 and support at 1730.
PS: Clearly defined strategy points can be found on Wei Bo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
See original
Yesterday's prediction was successful again, isn't the big rhythm here?
May 7, 2025, 09:06:49 (Wednesday)
1. 【Review of Previous Events (Wei Bo: Listening to Wind and Rain, see video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday, during the Asian market hours, there was a downward movement for value regression, which can also be described as another downward test of the bottom support. To put it more plainly, it aims to sweep away stop losses and force liquidations below, making those who are hesitant continue to watch, while throwing off those already in the market. The support at 933 below for Bitcoin is very strong, as mentioned multiple times in previous discussions. It was also stated yesterday that the temporary dip is to lay the groundwork for a subsequent rally. The Bitcoin ETF also initially fell before rising significantly, with a strong bullish close. The resistance above is at 54.31; be cautious of the potential for a pullback in the crypto market during the evening opening, and remember not to chase high!
2. 【Market Analysis for the Day】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin continues to rally but has not broken through the strong resistance at 986, and there is still a risk of a pullback. The liquidity above has been completely cleared, moving out of the fluctuation zone 93-94. SKDJ has formed a golden cross, and if the volume and price can stabilize above 958 during the upward process, there is a possibility for this round of market to continue, with Fibonacci resistance above at 986 and support below at 955.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
This Ethereum rally relies on external momentum, and it will catch up later. It is still in the fluctuation zone and has not broken out yet. The upward process shows synchronized volume and price, and it needs to stabilize around 40 to break through 90 in one go, to see further hopes. Fibonacci support below is at 1840, and resistance above is at 1890.
PS: For clear strategy points, refer to Wei Bo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fans Group #比特币走势分析
May 7, 2025, 09:06:49 (Wednesday)
1. 【Review of Previous Events (Wei Bo: Listening to Wind and Rain, see video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday, during the Asian market hours, there was a downward movement for value regression, which can also be described as another downward test of the bottom support. To put it more plainly, it aims to sweep away stop losses and force liquidations below, making those who are hesitant continue to watch, while throwing off those already in the market. The support at 933 below for Bitcoin is very strong, as mentioned multiple times in previous discussions. It was also stated yesterday that the temporary dip is to lay the groundwork for a subsequent rally. The Bitcoin ETF also initially fell before rising significantly, with a strong bullish close. The resistance above is at 54.31; be cautious of the potential for a pullback in the crypto market during the evening opening, and remember not to chase high!
2. 【Market Analysis for the Day】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin continues to rally but has not broken through the strong resistance at 986, and there is still a risk of a pullback. The liquidity above has been completely cleared, moving out of the fluctuation zone 93-94. SKDJ has formed a golden cross, and if the volume and price can stabilize above 958 during the upward process, there is a possibility for this round of market to continue, with Fibonacci resistance above at 986 and support below at 955.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-Time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
This Ethereum rally relies on external momentum, and it will catch up later. It is still in the fluctuation zone and has not broken out yet. The upward process shows synchronized volume and price, and it needs to stabilize around 40 to break through 90 in one go, to see further hopes. Fibonacci support below is at 1840, and resistance above is at 1890.
PS: For clear strategy points, refer to Wei Bo (Listening to Wind and Rain) Fans Group #比特币走势分析
See original
Repeatedly confirming support, the market is about to welcome a big rhythm!
May 6, 2025, 06:48:39 (Tuesday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, see video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday, Bitcoin touched the support near 933 and began a repeated oscillation in the 93-94 range, ultimately recovering. It has not touched support again, and the bullish pressure is still very strong, including Ethereum, which was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis that every dip is an opportunity and may lead to an independent market. After the US market opened yesterday, Bitcoin ETF did not experience severe selling, the market stabilized and filled a gap below, ultimately closing with a small gain, proving that bulls may continue to push higher and the correction could end. This time of holding low has also laid a foundation for subsequent rallies, just wait!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Currently, Bitcoin has returned to 95, and after touching support, it began to rally strongly, with volume and price moving in sync. The SKDJ has returned to around 40 with signs of a golden cross, but it has not yet exited the oscillation range and needs to break through 958 before it can truly rally, combined with Fibonacci resistance above at 986 and support below at 933.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum has remained stable around 18, quickly recovering with volume also being released, with volume and price moving in sync. This pullback has not fallen below the oscillation range, confirming the support below once again. Next, breaking through the upper pressure at 1850 is a matter of a line, and the real strong pressure test is at the upper resistance of 1890, with support below at 1730.
PS: Clear strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
May 6, 2025, 06:48:39 (Tuesday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, see video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday, Bitcoin touched the support near 933 and began a repeated oscillation in the 93-94 range, ultimately recovering. It has not touched support again, and the bullish pressure is still very strong, including Ethereum, which was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis that every dip is an opportunity and may lead to an independent market. After the US market opened yesterday, Bitcoin ETF did not experience severe selling, the market stabilized and filled a gap below, ultimately closing with a small gain, proving that bulls may continue to push higher and the correction could end. This time of holding low has also laid a foundation for subsequent rallies, just wait!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Currently, Bitcoin has returned to 95, and after touching support, it began to rally strongly, with volume and price moving in sync. The SKDJ has returned to around 40 with signs of a golden cross, but it has not yet exited the oscillation range and needs to break through 958 before it can truly rally, combined with Fibonacci resistance above at 986 and support below at 933.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum has remained stable around 18, quickly recovering with volume also being released, with volume and price moving in sync. This pullback has not fallen below the oscillation range, confirming the support below once again. Next, breaking through the upper pressure at 1850 is a matter of a line, and the real strong pressure test is at the upper resistance of 1890, with support below at 1730.
PS: Clear strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan Group #比特币走势分析
See original
Weekend prophecy of a downward fluctuation has been successfully validated; how will this week unfold?
May 5, 2025 07:49:50 (Monday)
1. 【Review of Previous Situation (WeiBo: Listen to the Wind and Rain for detailed video analysis)】
Last Saturday, it was said that there would be a downward fluctuation, with a reduction in liquidity and excessive price pressure preventing a rapid breakout. From the two days of the weekend, it can be seen that bears are dominant; every time bulls attempt to push up, bears suppress them, and the volume has also been released. At 8 o'clock, the weekly line will change, and this week's trend is crucial. Currently, the Ethereum market is stronger than Bitcoin on higher time frames, so this week Ethereum may create its own independent market trend. Therefore, each pullback is also an opportunity; it depends on your boldness and carefulness!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin has currently broken through with significant volume release; the next target point is around 933. The lower liquidity needs to be scanned; after 8 o'clock, it should test around 933. The closing of the weekly line is very important, so it needs to stay above 94; after changing the line, it will retest. If SKDJ returns to the middle line near 50, it is a second rebound position, combined with Fibonacci resistance above 986 and support below 933.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
The Ethereum market is relatively strong compared to Bitcoin; both the daily and weekly lines still have room for growth. The current pullback following Bitcoin is also very normal, and there are signs of volume release. The position of 18 belongs to Ethereum's second fluctuation range. If it breaks below, it will return to the position of 17 to continue fluctuating and accumulate energy for a breakthrough. Combined with Fibonacci resistance above 1890 and support below 1730.
PS: Clear strategy points are on WeiBo (Listen to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #比特币走势分析
May 5, 2025 07:49:50 (Monday)
1. 【Review of Previous Situation (WeiBo: Listen to the Wind and Rain for detailed video analysis)】
Last Saturday, it was said that there would be a downward fluctuation, with a reduction in liquidity and excessive price pressure preventing a rapid breakout. From the two days of the weekend, it can be seen that bears are dominant; every time bulls attempt to push up, bears suppress them, and the volume has also been released. At 8 o'clock, the weekly line will change, and this week's trend is crucial. Currently, the Ethereum market is stronger than Bitcoin on higher time frames, so this week Ethereum may create its own independent market trend. Therefore, each pullback is also an opportunity; it depends on your boldness and carefulness!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin has currently broken through with significant volume release; the next target point is around 933. The lower liquidity needs to be scanned; after 8 o'clock, it should test around 933. The closing of the weekly line is very important, so it needs to stay above 94; after changing the line, it will retest. If SKDJ returns to the middle line near 50, it is a second rebound position, combined with Fibonacci resistance above 986 and support below 933.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
The Ethereum market is relatively strong compared to Bitcoin; both the daily and weekly lines still have room for growth. The current pullback following Bitcoin is also very normal, and there are signs of volume release. The position of 18 belongs to Ethereum's second fluctuation range. If it breaks below, it will return to the position of 17 to continue fluctuating and accumulate energy for a breakthrough. Combined with Fibonacci resistance above 1890 and support below 1730.
PS: Clear strategy points are on WeiBo (Listen to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #比特币走势分析
See original
The market has repeatedly attempted to rise but has failed. Will it continue to rise?
May 3, 2025, 06:59:31 (Saturday)
1. 【Review of Previous Events (Weibo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, see the video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: This week performed worse than last week. This week was actually trying to break through but did not succeed. The trading volume was also significantly lower than last week, indicating a further reduction in liquidity. Bitcoin faced strong resistance around the 98 level, and after multiple attempts, it has fallen back. IBIT formed a spinning top yesterday, so be cautious for the opening on Monday. Today is the weekend, leaning more towards a volatile downward trend!
2. 【Analysis of Today's Market】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin has formed a double top pattern, encountering strong resistance near 986. The SKDJ has returned to the overbought zone. Currently, the price movement does not show significant volume release, and the volume-price discrepancy means that the current price cannot be sustained. Combined with Fibonacci, the resistance above is at 986, and the support below is around 932.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum has formed an M-shaped double top in the 4-hour timeframe. There have been two attempts to break through the 1870 area, but with scarce liquidity, the price is unable to push higher. The volume-price discrepancy ultimately leads back to the most contentious position around 1800. The SKDJ shows signs of an overbought dead cross. Combined with Fibonacci, the resistance above is at 1892, and the support below is at 1730.
PS: Clear strategy points are on Weibo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #比特币走势分析
May 3, 2025, 06:59:31 (Saturday)
1. 【Review of Previous Events (Weibo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, see the video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: This week performed worse than last week. This week was actually trying to break through but did not succeed. The trading volume was also significantly lower than last week, indicating a further reduction in liquidity. Bitcoin faced strong resistance around the 98 level, and after multiple attempts, it has fallen back. IBIT formed a spinning top yesterday, so be cautious for the opening on Monday. Today is the weekend, leaning more towards a volatile downward trend!
2. 【Analysis of Today's Market】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin has formed a double top pattern, encountering strong resistance near 986. The SKDJ has returned to the overbought zone. Currently, the price movement does not show significant volume release, and the volume-price discrepancy means that the current price cannot be sustained. Combined with Fibonacci, the resistance above is at 986, and the support below is around 932.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum has formed an M-shaped double top in the 4-hour timeframe. There have been two attempts to break through the 1870 area, but with scarce liquidity, the price is unable to push higher. The volume-price discrepancy ultimately leads back to the most contentious position around 1800. The SKDJ shows signs of an overbought dead cross. Combined with Fibonacci, the resistance above is at 1892, and the support below is at 1730.
PS: Clear strategy points are on Weibo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #比特币走势分析
See original
Has the market stagnated? Is it going to start retracing?
April 28, 2025, 07:05:38 (Monday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Weibo: Listen to the Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: The major cryptocurrency experienced fluctuations over the weekend, closing the daily line like a dusk star, indicating a potential start of a retracement. If it does not pull back to the 94575 level before 8 o'clock, the pattern will be confirmed; otherwise, it will continue to rise. Looking at the major cryptocurrency ETF, there has been no retracement, but the weekend did not have the influence of the US market time, proving that there is a demand for a pullback in the major cryptocurrency's price. This price also falls within a fluctuating range, and during the previous rise, it took a long time at this position to reach new highs. Therefore, in the current market, patience is essential. Coming from 84, 85 has already been strong, and a pullback is a healthy rise. Market sentiment needs to be digested to start a new round of market dynamics, so everyone should pay attention to their emotions!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
The current pattern of the major cryptocurrency is not very good; it is quite poor. The pressure near 95 above is strong, and the lack of liquidity above is causing this. The SKDJ has reached the overbought area, and there has been no significant release of volume, so both bulls and bears are still in a game of chance, leaning more towards bears in the short term. The pressure level above is below 95780, and support at 91704 can be tried for a long position.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum is relatively strong compared to the major cryptocurrency, with recent trading volume increasing significantly, repeatedly challenging above 1800. The lack of liquidity prevents this price from stabilizing. The SKDJ is overbought, and there has been no significant release of volume. This price is controversial, but the bulls are stronger. However, we need to consider the impact of the major cryptocurrency's weakness. The pressure level above is 1850, with support at 1730, and a long position can be attempted.
April 28, 2025, 07:05:38 (Monday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Weibo: Listen to the Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: The major cryptocurrency experienced fluctuations over the weekend, closing the daily line like a dusk star, indicating a potential start of a retracement. If it does not pull back to the 94575 level before 8 o'clock, the pattern will be confirmed; otherwise, it will continue to rise. Looking at the major cryptocurrency ETF, there has been no retracement, but the weekend did not have the influence of the US market time, proving that there is a demand for a pullback in the major cryptocurrency's price. This price also falls within a fluctuating range, and during the previous rise, it took a long time at this position to reach new highs. Therefore, in the current market, patience is essential. Coming from 84, 85 has already been strong, and a pullback is a healthy rise. Market sentiment needs to be digested to start a new round of market dynamics, so everyone should pay attention to their emotions!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
The current pattern of the major cryptocurrency is not very good; it is quite poor. The pressure near 95 above is strong, and the lack of liquidity above is causing this. The SKDJ has reached the overbought area, and there has been no significant release of volume, so both bulls and bears are still in a game of chance, leaning more towards bears in the short term. The pressure level above is below 95780, and support at 91704 can be tried for a long position.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum is relatively strong compared to the major cryptocurrency, with recent trading volume increasing significantly, repeatedly challenging above 1800. The lack of liquidity prevents this price from stabilizing. The SKDJ is overbought, and there has been no significant release of volume. This price is controversial, but the bulls are stronger. However, we need to consider the impact of the major cryptocurrency's weakness. The pressure level above is 1850, with support at 1730, and a long position can be attempted.
See original
The market has briefly declined. Do you think it's a pullback or the end of the bull market?
April 24, 2025, 06:51:52 (Thursday)
1. 【Previous Market Review】
Market Review: Overall, the market performed fairly well yesterday. There was almost no fluctuation during the Asian session, but trading volume surged significantly during the night session in the US, causing rapid market fluctuations, first reaching 949 and then returning to 918 before finally closing back. In fact, this series of operations is all about finding a price that can gain market recognition, which is the current value. The US stock market's Bitcoin ETF successfully closed positively after a high open and a drop, and the bulls can still hold on with further developments!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin rebounded from the lower level of 91800, which is the position of the normal distribution gap, but the trading volume has not shown significant release, so there may be a possibility of a second pullback. The SKDJ has formed a death cross in the overbought zone, in conjunction with the Fibonacci upper resistance level of 96868 and the lower support of 88888.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's supplementary rally has ended and is following a weak trend. As Bitcoin undergoes a deeper pullback, Ethereum will go deeper as well. Currently, Ethereum is also in a new normal distribution area, with decreasing trading volume. The SKDJ has entered the overbought zone and is about to form a death cross, in conjunction with the Fibonacci upper resistance level of 1828 and the lower support of 1692#加密货币总市值重回3万亿 .
April 24, 2025, 06:51:52 (Thursday)
1. 【Previous Market Review】
Market Review: Overall, the market performed fairly well yesterday. There was almost no fluctuation during the Asian session, but trading volume surged significantly during the night session in the US, causing rapid market fluctuations, first reaching 949 and then returning to 918 before finally closing back. In fact, this series of operations is all about finding a price that can gain market recognition, which is the current value. The US stock market's Bitcoin ETF successfully closed positively after a high open and a drop, and the bulls can still hold on with further developments!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Bitcoin rebounded from the lower level of 91800, which is the position of the normal distribution gap, but the trading volume has not shown significant release, so there may be a possibility of a second pullback. The SKDJ has formed a death cross in the overbought zone, in conjunction with the Fibonacci upper resistance level of 96868 and the lower support of 88888.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's supplementary rally has ended and is following a weak trend. As Bitcoin undergoes a deeper pullback, Ethereum will go deeper as well. Currently, Ethereum is also in a new normal distribution area, with decreasing trading volume. The SKDJ has entered the overbought zone and is about to form a death cross, in conjunction with the Fibonacci upper resistance level of 1828 and the lower support of 1692#加密货币总市值重回3万亿 .
See original
The one-sided rise has arrived, yesterday's expectations were realized, is your position on the bus?
April 23, 2025 07:04:15 (Wednesday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, see video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday during the Asian session, there was a fluctuation, and many people believed it would drop, so during the U.S. session, the lion awakened again and started a violent rally, believing that the market would yield rich returns. The Bitcoin ETF finally closed at 52, marking another strong breakthrough. Yesterday's morning analysis mentioned that the breakthrough initiated a one-sided rise, and Bitcoin is the same! The next target for the ETF is 54.3, Bitcoin 96800!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin is currently in a position with low liquidity, so be cautious when chasing orders to avoid downward spikes. The evening rally still proves that volume and price are synchronized for further movement. The intraday pullback position is at the normal distribution gap position 88888, combined with the Fibonacci upper resistance level 96868 and lower support 88888.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum started to catch up with the rhythm yesterday. It was mentioned that at 8 o'clock yesterday, the 4-hour line closed with a bullish candle, indicating a consideration for bullish entry. At this stage, Ethereum has successfully broken through the long-standing fluctuation range. Currently, there is a lack of liquidity, and the upward momentum should weaken; watch for a pullback to around 1700. Combined with the Fibonacci upper resistance level 1828 and lower support 1656.
PS: Specific strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #加密市场反弹
April 23, 2025 07:04:15 (Wednesday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listening to the Wind and Rain, see video for detailed analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday during the Asian session, there was a fluctuation, and many people believed it would drop, so during the U.S. session, the lion awakened again and started a violent rally, believing that the market would yield rich returns. The Bitcoin ETF finally closed at 52, marking another strong breakthrough. Yesterday's morning analysis mentioned that the breakthrough initiated a one-sided rise, and Bitcoin is the same! The next target for the ETF is 54.3, Bitcoin 96800!
2. 【Daily Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Bitcoin is currently in a position with low liquidity, so be cautious when chasing orders to avoid downward spikes. The evening rally still proves that volume and price are synchronized for further movement. The intraday pullback position is at the normal distribution gap position 88888, combined with the Fibonacci upper resistance level 96868 and lower support 88888.
2. ETH 4-hour real-time market judgment strategy layout
Ethereum started to catch up with the rhythm yesterday. It was mentioned that at 8 o'clock yesterday, the 4-hour line closed with a bullish candle, indicating a consideration for bullish entry. At this stage, Ethereum has successfully broken through the long-standing fluctuation range. Currently, there is a lack of liquidity, and the upward momentum should weaken; watch for a pullback to around 1700. Combined with the Fibonacci upper resistance level 1828 and lower support 1656.
PS: Specific strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listening to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #加密市场反弹
See original
Is Bitcoin entering a one-sided bullish trend? The key turning point has arrived!
April 22, 2025, 09:04:22 (Tuesday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listen to the Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday's market surged as if we saw the tide of a roaring bullish beast. A large bullish candle pushed directly upwards, and in the evening, the ETF opened and hit 50, further boosting Bitcoin to challenge 88,000, ultimately closing at 49.72. For Bitcoin ETF, this is also a breakthrough that opens up the opportunity for a one-sided bullish trend, mainly depending on the flow of global capital. I believe the market is ready!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
After Bitcoin broke through yesterday's fluctuation range, it did not look back. Currently, Bitcoin is likely to choose a short-term fluctuation around 86-87. Whether it can break through depends on whether capital continues to flow in. From a technical perspective, yesterday's surge was a very perfect rally in terms of volume and price synchronization. At the 86-87 position, Bitcoin is forming a new normal distribution, indicating that this price has received capital recognition, combined with Fibonacci's upper resistance level of 88719 and support level of 86310.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's structure has collapsed again, showing very weak momentum, reminiscent of the early days when Bitcoin was hitting new highs, with only Bitcoin rising. The upper resistance level for Ethereum is currently 1656-1692, and it has only tested 1656. The lower support is at 1540. If this 4-hour candle can close with a bullish candle, Ethereum will basically stabilize, considering bullish intervention. Currently, there is no upward momentum seen for Ethereum!
PS: Clear strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listen to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #比特币走势分析
April 22, 2025, 09:04:22 (Tuesday)
1. 【Previous Situation Review (Wei Bo: Listen to the Wind and Rain for Detailed Video Analysis)】
Market Review: Yesterday's market surged as if we saw the tide of a roaring bullish beast. A large bullish candle pushed directly upwards, and in the evening, the ETF opened and hit 50, further boosting Bitcoin to challenge 88,000, ultimately closing at 49.72. For Bitcoin ETF, this is also a breakthrough that opens up the opportunity for a one-sided bullish trend, mainly depending on the flow of global capital. I believe the market is ready!
2. 【Today's Market Analysis】
1. BTC 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
After Bitcoin broke through yesterday's fluctuation range, it did not look back. Currently, Bitcoin is likely to choose a short-term fluctuation around 86-87. Whether it can break through depends on whether capital continues to flow in. From a technical perspective, yesterday's surge was a very perfect rally in terms of volume and price synchronization. At the 86-87 position, Bitcoin is forming a new normal distribution, indicating that this price has received capital recognition, combined with Fibonacci's upper resistance level of 88719 and support level of 86310.
2. ETH 4-hour Real-time Market Judgment Strategy Layout
Ethereum's structure has collapsed again, showing very weak momentum, reminiscent of the early days when Bitcoin was hitting new highs, with only Bitcoin rising. The upper resistance level for Ethereum is currently 1656-1692, and it has only tested 1656. The lower support is at 1540. If this 4-hour candle can close with a bullish candle, Ethereum will basically stabilize, considering bullish intervention. Currently, there is no upward momentum seen for Ethereum!
PS: Clear strategy points are on Wei Bo (Listen to the Wind and Rain) Fan group #比特币走势分析
See original
🔥【Nuclear Explosion Level Reversal Confirmation! BlackRock Dark Pool Reveals Million BTC Buying Signal】🚨
April 21, 2025 09:01:45 Monday | Bull Market Charge Signal
💥【Weekly Double Bullish Confirming the Universe - Has Your Position Passed the Bull Market Stress Test?】
▶️ Weekly Cipher Decoding:
- Huge bullish line at the bottom + small bullish line on low volume = solid evidence of institutional accumulation (on-chain verification of $2.8 billion funds in hidden storage)
- ETF Underbattle Upgrade: Grayscale cold wallet's unusual movement of 80,000 BTC, BlackRock's continuous 3-day 'pulse buying'
- Temporal Resonance: The Bitcoin halving cycle and the plummeting U.S. Treasury yields create a quantum-level bullish signal
⚠️ Soros Alert: SKDJ golden cross + Fibonacci 0.618 support = historical breakthrough precursor
💥【Weekly Double Bullish Confirming the Universe - Has Your Position Passed the Bull Market Stress Test?】
▶️ Weekly Cipher Decoding:
- Huge bullish line at the bottom + small bullish line on low volume = solid evidence of institutional accumulation (on-chain verification of $2.8 billion funds in hidden storage)
- ETF Underbattle Upgrade: Grayscale cold wallet's unusual movement of 80,000 BTC, BlackRock's continuous 3-day 'pulse buying'
- Temporal Resonance: The Bitcoin halving cycle and the plummeting U.S. Treasury yields create a quantum-level bullish signal
⚠️ Soros Alert: SKDJ golden cross + Fibonacci 0.618 support = historical breakthrough precursor
Login to explore more contents