六哥陪你画大饼
Methodalgo交易分析师。X账号：Leo2024hk
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"Prepare More Baskets for Eggs"--A Brief Discussion on Contract Risk Control Part 1: Fund Management
1. The loss of each position after being stopped out accounts for a maximum of 2% of the total funds
You have 20000u, and you have 4 positions. The maximum loss of each position after being damaged should be 400u. If all are lost, you will only lose 1600u in this round, which is 8% of the total contract funds.
1. Consider the maximum loss you can accept for each position, such as 2%. If your daily contract trading win rate is above 80%, you can increase the ratio appropriately. But it is not recommended to exceed 5%.
2. Consider your loss after all positions have lost money, and decide the number of your positions. For example, the 1600u just now is 8% of your assets. If you press 1 to operate, and encounter a #BTC big drop, all will be lost. With only 4 positions, the loss is as high as 20%.
You have 20000u, and you have 4 positions. The maximum loss of each position after being damaged should be 400u. If all are lost, you will only lose 1600u in this round, which is 8% of the total contract funds.
1. Consider the maximum loss you can accept for each position, such as 2%. If your daily contract trading win rate is above 80%, you can increase the ratio appropriately. But it is not recommended to exceed 5%.
2. Consider your loss after all positions have lost money, and decide the number of your positions. For example, the 1600u just now is 8% of your assets. If you press 1 to operate, and encounter a #BTC big drop, all will be lost. With only 4 positions, the loss is as high as 20%.
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#Melania
According to Lookonchain monitoring, the Melania project team not only sold MELANIA tokens by adjusting liquidity but also adopted a DCA strategy for batch direct sales,
2 days ago, they sold 1.18 million MELANIA through the DCA strategy for 4,230 SOL (approximately $632,000);
Today, they again sold 2.01 million MELANIA through the DCA strategy (approximately $938,000).
According to Lookonchain monitoring, the Melania project team not only sold MELANIA tokens by adjusting liquidity but also adopted a DCA strategy for batch direct sales,
2 days ago, they sold 1.18 million MELANIA through the DCA strategy for 4,230 SOL (approximately $632,000);
Today, they again sold 2.01 million MELANIA through the DCA strategy (approximately $938,000).
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#TRUMP This meal is really lively...
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a certain whale withdrew 190,987 TRUMP (worth 2.83 million USD) from Binance to increase its position in the 'TRUMP Dinner'.
This whale ranks second in the dinner holding leaderboard, only behind Sun Yuchen, currently ranked 2nd among VIPs (Top 25). Their total current TRUMP holdings amount to 1,389,000 tokens, valued at approximately 20.59 million USD.
Currently, this whale has accumulated 1,389,000 TRUMP tokens, valued at 20.59 million USD.
According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a certain whale withdrew 190,987 TRUMP (worth 2.83 million USD) from Binance to increase its position in the 'TRUMP Dinner'.
This whale ranks second in the dinner holding leaderboard, only behind Sun Yuchen, currently ranked 2nd among VIPs (Top 25). Their total current TRUMP holdings amount to 1,389,000 tokens, valued at approximately 20.59 million USD.
Currently, this whale has accumulated 1,389,000 TRUMP tokens, valued at 20.59 million USD.
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#UNI just an example 🌰. In the future, use homophonic puns more to avoid plagiarism in English posts.
The white area on the red cloud is the golden pit, which is a reverse bearish pit. It is important to maintain a neutral attitude.
Specific advice is: do not move the existing spot positions, enter low long positions in contracts instead of shorting. If you don't have any, wait a bit longer. Watch a few more candles before making a decision, as it's still uncertain whether the cloud will flip or reverse.
The white area on the red cloud is the golden pit, which is a reverse bearish pit. It is important to maintain a neutral attitude.
Specific advice is: do not move the existing spot positions, enter low long positions in contracts instead of shorting. If you don't have any, wait a bit longer. Watch a few more candles before making a decision, as it's still uncertain whether the cloud will flip or reverse.
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A few days ago, the post about "liquidation" and "golden pit" had a significant number of views. I just suddenly discovered that many KOLs with several times my follower count are also using it...
I hope they are all using Methodalgo's indicators to do so, and that they always accompany these posts with images, not just words.
Additionally, when you post, do not use 4-hour or even several weeks of coinglass liquidation; that time frame is too large and may not be accurate. Also, regarding the analysis of Ethereum, why was liquidation not mentioned? Liquidation is based on liquidity analysis and does not necessarily mean that high leverage has an attraction.
The golden pit should be analyzed in conjunction with cloud patterns. If you have all of this, please make sure to include the images for analysis when posting.
I hope they are all using Methodalgo's indicators to do so, and that they always accompany these posts with images, not just words.
Additionally, when you post, do not use 4-hour or even several weeks of coinglass liquidation; that time frame is too large and may not be accurate. Also, regarding the analysis of Ethereum, why was liquidation not mentioned? Liquidation is based on liquidity analysis and does not necessarily mean that high leverage has an attraction.
The golden pit should be analyzed in conjunction with cloud patterns. If you have all of this, please make sure to include the images for analysis when posting.
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The publicly suggested premise of #SOL is that you should try to avoid using the funds from trading cryptocurrencies.
My personal situation is as follows:
Currently, the spot for SOL has been halved, and out of the 4 long contracts opened a few days ago, 2 have hit the stop loss, leaving 2 remaining.
There is nothing else for now. Let's wait and see.
Currently, there are 12 orders, of which 4 are for the take profit and stop loss of the two current orders. The remaining 7 are for buying long, and 1 is for shorting.
My personal situation is as follows:
Currently, the spot for SOL has been halved, and out of the 4 long contracts opened a few days ago, 2 have hit the stop loss, leaving 2 remaining.
There is nothing else for now. Let's wait and see.
Currently, there are 12 orders, of which 4 are for the take profit and stop loss of the two current orders. The remaining 7 are for buying long, and 1 is for shorting.
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According to Bitcoin News, after a successful pilot in Zug and Kreuzlingen, Bitcoin payments will be expanded to all Spar supermarkets in Switzerland. The service will be launched as soon as possible.
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Some obvious bearish signals began to appear at #BTC , but the 30m golden pit is still in place, making it quite confusing. In this situation, personal circumstances need to be considered for specific analysis.
I have decided to keep my long position unchanged and not open a short position for the time being, continuing to wait patiently.
I have decided to keep my long position unchanged and not open a short position for the time being, continuing to wait patiently.
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According to Yu Jin, the hacker who stole $23 million in assets from Bitrue in April 2023 has again sold remaining assets on-chain: sold 15 billion SHIB for 1090.4 ETH (approximately $1.97 million), sold 135 million HOT for 76.5 ETH (approximately $140,000). Previously, the hacker had sold 4207 ETH in March 2024.
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#SOL continues to drop, buy in batches. Don't go all in. High market cap spot will go up, just hold on.
#sol spot entry. More than 3 signals to go long. No need for 'liquidation' this time, see the liquidation line in the middle. Moreover, lft belongs to below 618. High risk. Spot is relatively safer.
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#BTC April 27 news, according to Crypto Briefing, while the Bitcoin community is busy optimizing user experience, launching custody solutions, lobbying regulators, and courting institutions, core developer and CEO of Synonym, John Carvalho, proposed a simpler solution: abolish the 'satoshi' unit and remove the decimal point to lower the cognitive barrier for newcomers. In the BIP proposal for December 2024, he advocates directly defining the 100 million 'satoshis' that make up one Bitcoin as 'Bitcoin'; for example, a transaction currently displayed as 0.00010000 BTC would show as 10,000 BTC in the new system, completely reshaping the measure of 'Bitcoin millionaires'.
This move quickly sparked controversy. Opponents ridiculed it with the 'pizza theory': if each slice of pizza is called a 'whole', one would need to order eight whole pizzas at once to meet the demand, satirizing the absurdity brought by unit inflation. More community members are concerned that if the total supply expands from 21 million to 21 billion billion, it would undermine the core foundation of Bitcoin's scarcity narrative. However, Carvalho's proposal may be quietly gaining traction. On April 25, he posted on the X platform, stating: 'Although still a minority, more and more people are beginning to accept the idea of calling Bitcoin's smallest unit 'Bitcoin' and eliminating the decimal point.'
This move quickly sparked controversy. Opponents ridiculed it with the 'pizza theory': if each slice of pizza is called a 'whole', one would need to order eight whole pizzas at once to meet the demand, satirizing the absurdity brought by unit inflation. More community members are concerned that if the total supply expands from 21 million to 21 billion billion, it would undermine the core foundation of Bitcoin's scarcity narrative. However, Carvalho's proposal may be quietly gaining traction. On April 25, he posted on the X platform, stating: 'Although still a minority, more and more people are beginning to accept the idea of calling Bitcoin's smallest unit 'Bitcoin' and eliminating the decimal point.'
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#ETH is really giving face, sent it out before the rise, also released a video last night, otherwise, there would be haters saying I'm talking after the fact.
It's not that the fundamentals are unreliable, but rather that the analytical weights are different, especially when our indicator tools haven't become widespread yet; there are too few people who have experienced such reliable technical analysis dividends.
The analysis results are merely an objective summary, the market provides information to the indicators, which optimize it into signals that I can understand and indicate that I can try to go long.
It's not that the fundamentals are unreliable, but rather that the analytical weights are different, especially when our indicator tools haven't become widespread yet; there are too few people who have experienced such reliable technical analysis dividends.
The analysis results are merely an objective summary, the market provides information to the indicators, which optimize it into signals that I can understand and indicate that I can try to go long.
#ETH Ethereum has reached a tangled position again, uncertain about a reversal, uncertain about a collapse, what should we do?
1. Reversal Trading:
The current price has formed a golden pit within 30 minutes, with signs of rebound in the hunting loss area. It has not significantly broken below the middle line. RSI is in the oversold zone. Short-term trend is reversing.
Consider taking a small position to go long, with a stop-loss insurance level at 1690, high risk at 1780.
2. Trend Trading:
Go long after breaking through 1850 or even 1900, be aware of a potential double top forming if it does not break through.
3. Don’t want to wait, spot or contract?
Spot.
4. If going for contracts, should I go long or short?
…… You have to take responsibility for your own money!
Note: Currently, only 30-minute and 1-hour analyses have been done. Need to observe again tomorrow morning.
1. Reversal Trading:
The current price has formed a golden pit within 30 minutes, with signs of rebound in the hunting loss area. It has not significantly broken below the middle line. RSI is in the oversold zone. Short-term trend is reversing.
Consider taking a small position to go long, with a stop-loss insurance level at 1690, high risk at 1780.
2. Trend Trading:
Go long after breaking through 1850 or even 1900, be aware of a potential double top forming if it does not break through.
3. Don’t want to wait, spot or contract?
Spot.
4. If going for contracts, should I go long or short?
…… You have to take responsibility for your own money!
Note: Currently, only 30-minute and 1-hour analyses have been done. Need to observe again tomorrow morning.
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According to Bitcoin Laws, two Bitcoin reserve bills in Arizona will undergo a third reading next Monday and may be subject to a final vote. This could become the first state-level Bitcoin reserve bill passed by vote.
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Right now, the pancake is quite a pit, the pit of the pancake is over 92000, let's see if Ethereum will drop because of this, if I fall asleep, so be it, I can sleep peacefully with my spot and contracts with stop-loss 😪🥶
#ETH Ethereum has reached a tangled position again, uncertain about a reversal, uncertain about a collapse, what should we do?
1. Reversal Trading:
The current price has formed a golden pit within 30 minutes, with signs of rebound in the hunting loss area. It has not significantly broken below the middle line. RSI is in the oversold zone. Short-term trend is reversing.
Consider taking a small position to go long, with a stop-loss insurance level at 1690, high risk at 1780.
2. Trend Trading:
Go long after breaking through 1850 or even 1900, be aware of a potential double top forming if it does not break through.
3. Don’t want to wait, spot or contract?
Spot.
4. If going for contracts, should I go long or short?
…… You have to take responsibility for your own money!
Note: Currently, only 30-minute and 1-hour analyses have been done. Need to observe again tomorrow morning.
1. Reversal Trading:
The current price has formed a golden pit within 30 minutes, with signs of rebound in the hunting loss area. It has not significantly broken below the middle line. RSI is in the oversold zone. Short-term trend is reversing.
Consider taking a small position to go long, with a stop-loss insurance level at 1690, high risk at 1780.
2. Trend Trading:
Go long after breaking through 1850 or even 1900, be aware of a potential double top forming if it does not break through.
3. Don’t want to wait, spot or contract?
Spot.
4. If going for contracts, should I go long or short?
…… You have to take responsibility for your own money!
Note: Currently, only 30-minute and 1-hour analyses have been done. Need to observe again tomorrow morning.
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