创金俱乐部
公众号：交易师笔记
0 Following
23 Followers
36 Liked
1 Shared
Translate
创金社区——2025.5.9 当天分析
老特对其他国家实行宽松政策关税，暂停90天是对国内，短期唯一利空是关税问题，美联储宏观消息慢慢偏向降息，国内降准降息长期偏利好，预期关税处理，下周从数据看利好
当天：今天震仓插针为主，震仓横盘，不断插针背离为主，不会跌很多
今天可以参考：太子，SOL多单会比较好操作，压力止赢445，480，165，172
周末震仓为主，大饼保持高位冲顶为主，短期波段低多为主，周末还支撑2150，101500，102000
还会继续冲高，跌的可能性很小～～
现货：昨天上涨刺激大币上涨，今天可以找关联币打波段为主，大饼横盘冲顶前高附近就出局小币
压力位：2300，2450，106800，11W
支撑位：2120，2050，101000，10W
以太当天：①直播间2190现价有补仓，2160，2170多单，止损2140，不考虑补等回调再接，止赢2230，2240，2310
②冲高做背离后回调2160，2170继续上车，止损2140，2130，止赢2230，2240，2310，格局插针2400
大饼当天：波浪式上涨，今天尽量不做空单，会慢慢上去插针高点，大饼今天不碰，15分钟金线，101590，102000，102300这样价上车……激进现价103000多单，止损101300或者卡点位，止赢104500，108000
控制仓位和管理，仅供参考#BTC重返10万
老特对其他国家实行宽松政策关税，暂停90天是对国内，短期唯一利空是关税问题，美联储宏观消息慢慢偏向降息，国内降准降息长期偏利好，预期关税处理，下周从数据看利好
当天：今天震仓插针为主，震仓横盘，不断插针背离为主，不会跌很多
今天可以参考：太子，SOL多单会比较好操作，压力止赢445，480，165，172
周末震仓为主，大饼保持高位冲顶为主，短期波段低多为主，周末还支撑2150，101500，102000
还会继续冲高，跌的可能性很小～～
现货：昨天上涨刺激大币上涨，今天可以找关联币打波段为主，大饼横盘冲顶前高附近就出局小币
压力位：2300，2450，106800，11W
支撑位：2120，2050，101000，10W
以太当天：①直播间2190现价有补仓，2160，2170多单，止损2140，不考虑补等回调再接，止赢2230，2240，2310
②冲高做背离后回调2160，2170继续上车，止损2140，2130，止赢2230，2240，2310，格局插针2400
大饼当天：波浪式上涨，今天尽量不做空单，会慢慢上去插针高点，大饼今天不碰，15分钟金线，101590，102000，102300这样价上车……激进现价103000多单，止损101300或者卡点位，止赢104500，108000
控制仓位和管理，仅供参考#BTC重返10万
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.5.8 Daily Analysis
The news is slightly favorable, and there is still a possibility of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. Adjustments are based on market factors. Powell's speech suggests that high inflation indicates that interest rates will not drop quickly. However, domestic interest rate cuts and reserve requirement reductions have little impact on blockchain, but in the long term, they are related to the economy (trading market, real estate market, bone market, favorable correlations).
Main Direction: The only negative factor is the tariff issue. In May-June, there will be a slight adjustment at high levels. When Bitcoin adjusts, other altcoins will drop quickly.
On that day: Ethereum is in a one-hour box fluctuation. Bitcoin has a divergence after breaking out. During the day, first look for short then long. For fluctuations and drops, trade Ethereum, buy long on Bitcoin, and predominantly look for bullish trends today.
Resistance Levels: 1870, 1930, 98900, 100000
Support Levels: 1800, 1780, 96000, 95000
Ethereum on that day: A major upgrade was successfully completed yesterday. In the live broadcast room, the current price is 1820 with a buy order, 1800, 1790 buy orders, stop loss at 1775, take profit at 1860, 1890, 1930 (Ethereum has a high probability of breaking the box and touching the daily golden line).
Bitcoin on that day: Start paying attention at 96500, with buy orders at 96200 and 95500, stop loss at 95100, stable take profit at 98500, take profit at 99500, 100K. Bitcoin also has an accelerating spike upwards.
Position control and management, for reference only: #比特币走势分析
The news is slightly favorable, and there is still a possibility of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. Adjustments are based on market factors. Powell's speech suggests that high inflation indicates that interest rates will not drop quickly. However, domestic interest rate cuts and reserve requirement reductions have little impact on blockchain, but in the long term, they are related to the economy (trading market, real estate market, bone market, favorable correlations).
Main Direction: The only negative factor is the tariff issue. In May-June, there will be a slight adjustment at high levels. When Bitcoin adjusts, other altcoins will drop quickly.
On that day: Ethereum is in a one-hour box fluctuation. Bitcoin has a divergence after breaking out. During the day, first look for short then long. For fluctuations and drops, trade Ethereum, buy long on Bitcoin, and predominantly look for bullish trends today.
Resistance Levels: 1870, 1930, 98900, 100000
Support Levels: 1800, 1780, 96000, 95000
Ethereum on that day: A major upgrade was successfully completed yesterday. In the live broadcast room, the current price is 1820 with a buy order, 1800, 1790 buy orders, stop loss at 1775, take profit at 1860, 1890, 1930 (Ethereum has a high probability of breaking the box and touching the daily golden line).
Bitcoin on that day: Start paying attention at 96500, with buy orders at 96200 and 95500, stop loss at 95100, stable take profit at 98500, take profit at 99500, 100K. Bitcoin also has an accelerating spike upwards.
Position control and management, for reference only: #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.5.7 Daily Analysis
From the current data, even though interest rates are bearish, the monetary policy looks bullish.
On that day: Box resistance, cautiously pursue long positions, box high point is temporarily bearish, do not take this short position, there should be no trades today, anyway, do not chase long positions.
Resistance levels: 1870, 1930, 98500, 99800
Support levels: 1800, 1750, 95000, 94200
Ethereum for the day: 1840, 1860 attempt short positions, can wait 5 minutes for another divergence, may not give an opportunity, stop loss at 1875, take profit at 1780, 1790, take profit at 1750, 1730 (there may be a risk of hitting the stop loss, if worried, can choose not to trade).
Bitcoin for the day: Current price is not suitable to chase long positions, can slowly refer to box short positions, 97500, 98000 light short positions, stop loss at 98200, take profit at 93600, 94300.
Control position and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
From the current data, even though interest rates are bearish, the monetary policy looks bullish.
On that day: Box resistance, cautiously pursue long positions, box high point is temporarily bearish, do not take this short position, there should be no trades today, anyway, do not chase long positions.
Resistance levels: 1870, 1930, 98500, 99800
Support levels: 1800, 1750, 95000, 94200
Ethereum for the day: 1840, 1860 attempt short positions, can wait 5 minutes for another divergence, may not give an opportunity, stop loss at 1875, take profit at 1780, 1790, take profit at 1750, 1730 (there may be a risk of hitting the stop loss, if worried, can choose not to trade).
Bitcoin for the day: Current price is not suitable to chase long positions, can slowly refer to box short positions, 97500, 98000 light short positions, stop loss at 98200, take profit at 93600, 94300.
Control position and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.5.6 Daily Analysis
Interest Rate Issues (maintaining the current level is a bearish perspective, the monetary minutes would be bullish) If there is no interest rate cut, the current market will at most spike up a bit. If it holds high and doesn't drop for the next couple of days, a downward spike may occur.
On that day: Technically bearish perspective, currently expecting fluctuations, strong top signal on the four-hour chart.
Spot: Selling points in May-June... For small coins, consider increasing positions primarily, focus on spot trading for small coins, avoid contracts, and do supplementary actions.
Resistance Levels: 1830, 1930, 96000, 98500
Support Levels: 1750, 1680, 92300, 89800
Ethereum on that day: Aggressively look for short signals or short at current price 1805, short at 1820, 1840, stop-loss at 1855, take profit at 1750, 1760, 1730 (exit short position after reaching target).
Bitcoin on that day: The four-hour divergence has completed, aggressively look for short signals, short at 95500, 96000, take profit at 92500, 91800.
Only when the US trading session starts is there a chance to create traps; observe the actual market when the long position reaches the level, starting to focus on 92800, 1760.
Control position and management, for reference only #比特币战略储备
Interest Rate Issues (maintaining the current level is a bearish perspective, the monetary minutes would be bullish) If there is no interest rate cut, the current market will at most spike up a bit. If it holds high and doesn't drop for the next couple of days, a downward spike may occur.
On that day: Technically bearish perspective, currently expecting fluctuations, strong top signal on the four-hour chart.
Spot: Selling points in May-June... For small coins, consider increasing positions primarily, focus on spot trading for small coins, avoid contracts, and do supplementary actions.
Resistance Levels: 1830, 1930, 96000, 98500
Support Levels: 1750, 1680, 92300, 89800
Ethereum on that day: Aggressively look for short signals or short at current price 1805, short at 1820, 1840, stop-loss at 1855, take profit at 1750, 1760, 1730 (exit short position after reaching target).
Bitcoin on that day: The four-hour divergence has completed, aggressively look for short signals, short at 95500, 96000, take profit at 92500, 91800.
Only when the US trading session starts is there a chance to create traps; observe the actual market when the long position reaches the level, starting to focus on 92800, 1760.
Control position and management, for reference only #比特币战略储备
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.30 Daily Analysis
Non-farm payrolls do not affect the larger cycle; interest rates (it is predicted that this time the interest rate will remain stable, which is bearish; it will stay stable in May, and there may be a rate cut in June, focusing on May's CPI, which will affect the June rate cut; a good buying point is indicated by a bottom-fishing signal in June)
Spot: Recently pay attention to XRP, and also other cryptocurrencies as the ETF increases liquidity; top ten cryptocurrencies: for example: Dogecoin, LTC, XRP
On that day: 4-hour short-term fluctuations, bearish bias with a pullback short strategy (after the holiday ends, maintain above 93500, 95000, 1680, 1720, it is about to rise, abandon shorts, take profit at 1950, 2050, 97500, 99800)
Resistance levels: 95500, 96800, 1830, 1930
Support levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum on that day: bearish strategy, short positions in the range of 1830, 1850, stop loss at 1865, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1730
Bitcoin on that day: short in the range of 94800, 95500, stop loss at 96200, take profit at 93500, 92000, 91800; second take profit at 90800, 90300
Defend a divergence that breaks the previous high... the strength of the pullback will be greater when there is divergence, and after the pullback, then consider long positions
For reference only, control position size and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
Non-farm payrolls do not affect the larger cycle; interest rates (it is predicted that this time the interest rate will remain stable, which is bearish; it will stay stable in May, and there may be a rate cut in June, focusing on May's CPI, which will affect the June rate cut; a good buying point is indicated by a bottom-fishing signal in June)
Spot: Recently pay attention to XRP, and also other cryptocurrencies as the ETF increases liquidity; top ten cryptocurrencies: for example: Dogecoin, LTC, XRP
On that day: 4-hour short-term fluctuations, bearish bias with a pullback short strategy (after the holiday ends, maintain above 93500, 95000, 1680, 1720, it is about to rise, abandon shorts, take profit at 1950, 2050, 97500, 99800)
Resistance levels: 95500, 96800, 1830, 1930
Support levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum on that day: bearish strategy, short positions in the range of 1830, 1850, stop loss at 1865, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1730
Bitcoin on that day: short in the range of 94800, 95500, stop loss at 96200, take profit at 93500, 92000, 91800; second take profit at 90800, 90300
Defend a divergence that breaks the previous high... the strength of the pullback will be greater when there is divergence, and after the pullback, then consider long positions
For reference only, control position size and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.29 Daily Analysis
Able to be horizontal until next week's interest rate announcement. If there is a rate cut, it will trigger a favorable response and continue to rise by 100,000. If it remains the same, it will continue to explore downwards and move into a larger level of fluctuation, or even higher. The technical analysis indicates high-level fluctuations, and short positions are tentative.
On that day: Hourly level showing obvious divergence, defending a spike to create a divergence action, chasing long positions carries risks... Box top bias towards short positions.
Resistance Levels: 96500, 97500, 1850, 1830
Support Levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum on that day: ① Live broadcast current price 1800, with 1840 for additional positions, ② Short position at 1825, add at 1840, stop loss at 1860, take profit at 1750, 1720, take profit at 1650--1660.
Bitcoin on that day: ① Live broadcast short position at 95200, high-level box slowly leaning towards short positions, stop loss at 96000, 96200, take profit at 91800, 92000, second take profit at 87000, 88500.
Today's live broadcast contains a lot of content; the macro part is not recorded. For those who don't have time to listen to the live broadcast, don't just read the document... If you have time, be sure to listen to the replay...
Control positions and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
Able to be horizontal until next week's interest rate announcement. If there is a rate cut, it will trigger a favorable response and continue to rise by 100,000. If it remains the same, it will continue to explore downwards and move into a larger level of fluctuation, or even higher. The technical analysis indicates high-level fluctuations, and short positions are tentative.
On that day: Hourly level showing obvious divergence, defending a spike to create a divergence action, chasing long positions carries risks... Box top bias towards short positions.
Resistance Levels: 96500, 97500, 1850, 1830
Support Levels: 92200, 90500, 1720, 1650
Ethereum on that day: ① Live broadcast current price 1800, with 1840 for additional positions, ② Short position at 1825, add at 1840, stop loss at 1860, take profit at 1750, 1720, take profit at 1650--1660.
Bitcoin on that day: ① Live broadcast short position at 95200, high-level box slowly leaning towards short positions, stop loss at 96000, 96200, take profit at 91800, 92000, second take profit at 87000, 88500.
Today's live broadcast contains a lot of content; the macro part is not recorded. For those who don't have time to listen to the live broadcast, don't just read the document... If you have time, be sure to listen to the replay...
Control positions and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.28 Daily Analysis
Indicators are slowly turning bearish, news is positive, and market sentiment is high... Before the May Day holiday, do not chase high-position contracts...
Technically, it looks like a fluctuating downward state, with a long period of sideways movement, relying on news for a rise, insufficient funds,
Strong support: 92000, 91500, 1730, 1720. If these levels are not broken, there will still be upward movement, which means to continue buying long.
On the day: 4-hour high-level fluctuations, constant line formation, continuously pushing upward, the upward force is limited, 4-hour closing shows divergence, top signal.
Before May Day: Breaking below 92000, 1720 would indicate a bearish trend.
Bitcoin on that day: 4-hour technicals are bearish, positive news, range: 95500-96500-92000.
Ethereum on that day: Fluctuating between 1780--1840, no pattern, 4-hour technical indicators' bearish formation is slowly strengthening, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1720... gradually laying out short positions, while not establishing a pattern, constantly testing to enter positions.
For reference only, control positions and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
Indicators are slowly turning bearish, news is positive, and market sentiment is high... Before the May Day holiday, do not chase high-position contracts...
Technically, it looks like a fluctuating downward state, with a long period of sideways movement, relying on news for a rise, insufficient funds,
Strong support: 92000, 91500, 1730, 1720. If these levels are not broken, there will still be upward movement, which means to continue buying long.
On the day: 4-hour high-level fluctuations, constant line formation, continuously pushing upward, the upward force is limited, 4-hour closing shows divergence, top signal.
Before May Day: Breaking below 92000, 1720 would indicate a bearish trend.
Bitcoin on that day: 4-hour technicals are bearish, positive news, range: 95500-96500-92000.
Ethereum on that day: Fluctuating between 1780--1840, no pattern, 4-hour technical indicators' bearish formation is slowly strengthening, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1720... gradually laying out short positions, while not establishing a pattern, constantly testing to enter positions.
For reference only, control positions and management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.27 Daily Analysis
Indicators slowly turning bearish, positive news, market sentiment high... No aggressive buying of high-position contracts before the May Day holiday... Technically in a state of oscillation and decline, with a long period of consolidation, driven by news, insufficient funds,
Strong support: 92000, 91500, 1730, 1720. As long as these levels are not broken, there will still be upward movement, which means continuing to go long.
On that day: 4-hour high position oscillation, continuous drawing of lines, repeatedly pushing upwards, but upward momentum is limited. The 4-hour closing shows divergence, indicating a top signal.
Before May Day: Breaking below 92000 and 1720 indicates a bearish trend.
Bitcoin on that day: 4-hour technical indicators show bearish, positive news, range: 95500-96500-92000.
Ethereum on that day: Fluctuating between 1780 and 1840, no clear pattern, 4-hour technical indicators showing a gradually strengthening bearish formation, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1720... Gradually positioning for shorts, while not establishing a clear pattern, continuously testing entries.
For reference only, manage positions and risks, for reference only #比特币走势分析 .
Indicators slowly turning bearish, positive news, market sentiment high... No aggressive buying of high-position contracts before the May Day holiday... Technically in a state of oscillation and decline, with a long period of consolidation, driven by news, insufficient funds,
Strong support: 92000, 91500, 1730, 1720. As long as these levels are not broken, there will still be upward movement, which means continuing to go long.
On that day: 4-hour high position oscillation, continuous drawing of lines, repeatedly pushing upwards, but upward momentum is limited. The 4-hour closing shows divergence, indicating a top signal.
Before May Day: Breaking below 92000 and 1720 indicates a bearish trend.
Bitcoin on that day: 4-hour technical indicators show bearish, positive news, range: 95500-96500-92000.
Ethereum on that day: Fluctuating between 1780 and 1840, no clear pattern, 4-hour technical indicators showing a gradually strengthening bearish formation, take profit at 1780, 1750, 1720... Gradually positioning for shorts, while not establishing a clear pattern, continuously testing entries.
For reference only, manage positions and risks, for reference only #比特币走势分析 .
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.25 Daily Analysis
The interest rate cut cycle is uncertain, having risen so much, there will be short-term consumption of bulls. If the big coin touches the news front, it will be the first to rise. Recently, we are defending against a black swan adjustment; high-level fluctuations of the big coin will cause small coins to experience a rebound, then quickly drop back.
Overall Environment: The interest rate cut in May is still uncertain, there will be another pullback for defense, and there is still a chance to bottom-fish --- Spot: As long as it holds above 92000, it will not affect the rotation of other spot assets and small coins.
On the day: Currently at 1800, 94600 is a temporary resistance point. It is mainly looking bearish slowly, and today I do not expect to break the position; it is not good to chase long positions above 93500.
Resistance Levels: 1850, 1950, 96400, 95200
Support Levels: 1730, 1650, 91500, 90200
Ethereum for the day: The 4-hour chart closed with a bearish candle; without sudden events, it will slowly decline. Aggressive sell at the current price of 1766, add at 1790, and 1810 for selling; stop loss at 1830, take profit at 1720, 1670, 1650.
Buy at 1670, 1650 with a stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1720, 1750.
Big Coin for the day: Aggressive sell at the current price of 93700, add at 94500, stop loss at 95000, take profit at 92000, 91500, and take profit at 88000, 87600.
91500, 92000 look for points to establish long positions; do not place orders, wait for signals at 90500, 90200 to enter, stop loss at 90600, 90000. The support level during the US market is at this price, take profit at 93200, 94500.
Combining live broadcast and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
The interest rate cut cycle is uncertain, having risen so much, there will be short-term consumption of bulls. If the big coin touches the news front, it will be the first to rise. Recently, we are defending against a black swan adjustment; high-level fluctuations of the big coin will cause small coins to experience a rebound, then quickly drop back.
Overall Environment: The interest rate cut in May is still uncertain, there will be another pullback for defense, and there is still a chance to bottom-fish --- Spot: As long as it holds above 92000, it will not affect the rotation of other spot assets and small coins.
On the day: Currently at 1800, 94600 is a temporary resistance point. It is mainly looking bearish slowly, and today I do not expect to break the position; it is not good to chase long positions above 93500.
Resistance Levels: 1850, 1950, 96400, 95200
Support Levels: 1730, 1650, 91500, 90200
Ethereum for the day: The 4-hour chart closed with a bearish candle; without sudden events, it will slowly decline. Aggressive sell at the current price of 1766, add at 1790, and 1810 for selling; stop loss at 1830, take profit at 1720, 1670, 1650.
Buy at 1670, 1650 with a stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1720, 1750.
Big Coin for the day: Aggressive sell at the current price of 93700, add at 94500, stop loss at 95000, take profit at 92000, 91500, and take profit at 88000, 87600.
91500, 92000 look for points to establish long positions; do not place orders, wait for signals at 90500, 90200 to enter, stop loss at 90600, 90000. The support level during the US market is at this price, take profit at 93200, 94500.
Combining live broadcast and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - April 24, 2025 Analysis
Bitcoin is in a horizontal fluctuation; altcoins that made contracts earlier are being pumped for exit. Bitcoin is relatively strong, so avoid chasing high positions. Other altcoins will rebound to a certain point before making another surge.
On that day: we are still missing a breakout to create a divergence state, and there is a gradual decline starting. There have been continuous positive news these past two days, so take profits on long positions when they rise.
Overall Environment: Preparing for May and June, which may lead to a decline and continued accumulation of large-scale buying points.
Resistance Levels: 96,200, 94,600, 1,830, 1,950
Support Levels: 92,000, 90,200, 1,750, 1,690
Ethereum on that day: Today will first look for long positions, making a small surge upward. Those going long can set a 3-5 minute golden cross, and when divergence occurs, exit, or exit before it happens, with profit-taking at 1,824 and 1,852.
1,824 and 1,852 are short positions, with a stop loss at 1,865 or set according to actual divergence for the stop loss. High position horizontal fluctuation with pin bars, making small level declines, and profit-taking at 1,750 and 1,720.
Bitcoin on that day: Today will first look for long positions, it will rise a bit. Set profit-taking in advance at 95,000, 94,600, 96,200.
95,000 and 94,600 are the first short positions, 96,200 is the second short position, with a stop loss at 96,600 or monitor actual divergence to enter again, stable profit-taking at 92,200, profit-taking at 90,800, 90,200.
Combined with live streaming and techniques, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
Bitcoin is in a horizontal fluctuation; altcoins that made contracts earlier are being pumped for exit. Bitcoin is relatively strong, so avoid chasing high positions. Other altcoins will rebound to a certain point before making another surge.
On that day: we are still missing a breakout to create a divergence state, and there is a gradual decline starting. There have been continuous positive news these past two days, so take profits on long positions when they rise.
Overall Environment: Preparing for May and June, which may lead to a decline and continued accumulation of large-scale buying points.
Resistance Levels: 96,200, 94,600, 1,830, 1,950
Support Levels: 92,000, 90,200, 1,750, 1,690
Ethereum on that day: Today will first look for long positions, making a small surge upward. Those going long can set a 3-5 minute golden cross, and when divergence occurs, exit, or exit before it happens, with profit-taking at 1,824 and 1,852.
1,824 and 1,852 are short positions, with a stop loss at 1,865 or set according to actual divergence for the stop loss. High position horizontal fluctuation with pin bars, making small level declines, and profit-taking at 1,750 and 1,720.
Bitcoin on that day: Today will first look for long positions, it will rise a bit. Set profit-taking in advance at 95,000, 94,600, 96,200.
95,000 and 94,600 are the first short positions, 96,200 is the second short position, with a stop loss at 96,600 or monitor actual divergence to enter again, stable profit-taking at 92,200, profit-taking at 90,800, 90,200.
Combined with live streaming and techniques, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - April 23, 2025 Analysis
News-driven rise, significant resistance encountered, 3-day moving average, daily close bearish, continue to watch for high-level fluctuations. If it can hold at 90,000, there is still a chance for further increases. Currently, avoid chasing long positions at these high prices.
Overall Environment: Defensive this weekend with selling pressure, a black swan event is expected soon, with the anticipation of interest rate cuts in June, 74,000 is currently the bottom. If there are no interest rate cuts, then this is not the bottom.
On the Day: High-level fluctuations, a divergence may occur in the 30-minute trend, followed by a drop, after which long positions can be taken again.
Resistance Levels: 1830, 1980, 96400, 10000
Support Levels: 1720, 1680, 89500, 90200
Ethereum on the Day: ① Current price shows a 15-minute divergence, may lead to a partial pullback short. ② Long positions at 1660, 1680, stop-loss at 1650, take profit at 1750, 1760. ③ After the pullback, rise to 1750, 1760 then short, keep an eye on the market.
Bitcoin on the Day: ① Currently no positions, do not chase long. If you want to take a pullback short, the stop-loss is the previous high. You can try a light position for a short, if not considering shorts, then pullback for long. If it drops quickly, exit part and keep some to break even. ② Long positions at 90900, 90200, stop-loss at 9000, take profit at 93500, 93000. ③ Short near 93500, stop-loss at 94200 or real-time divergence to short, stop-loss is the divergence point, take profit at 91500, 90500, 90200.
Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
News-driven rise, significant resistance encountered, 3-day moving average, daily close bearish, continue to watch for high-level fluctuations. If it can hold at 90,000, there is still a chance for further increases. Currently, avoid chasing long positions at these high prices.
Overall Environment: Defensive this weekend with selling pressure, a black swan event is expected soon, with the anticipation of interest rate cuts in June, 74,000 is currently the bottom. If there are no interest rate cuts, then this is not the bottom.
On the Day: High-level fluctuations, a divergence may occur in the 30-minute trend, followed by a drop, after which long positions can be taken again.
Resistance Levels: 1830, 1980, 96400, 10000
Support Levels: 1720, 1680, 89500, 90200
Ethereum on the Day: ① Current price shows a 15-minute divergence, may lead to a partial pullback short. ② Long positions at 1660, 1680, stop-loss at 1650, take profit at 1750, 1760. ③ After the pullback, rise to 1750, 1760 then short, keep an eye on the market.
Bitcoin on the Day: ① Currently no positions, do not chase long. If you want to take a pullback short, the stop-loss is the previous high. You can try a light position for a short, if not considering shorts, then pullback for long. If it drops quickly, exit part and keep some to break even. ② Long positions at 90900, 90200, stop-loss at 9000, take profit at 93500, 93000. ③ Short near 93500, stop-loss at 94200 or real-time divergence to short, stop-loss is the divergence point, take profit at 91500, 90500, 90200.
Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.22 Daily Analysis
Short selling is definitely the first choice for Ethereum, while long buying is preferred for Bitcoin. Just like this, rebounding upwards and then dropping should go like this -- the thought process is similar to yesterday's. In fact, Bitcoin will strongly break through a bit, surpassing the previous high slightly, while Ethereum does not have significant breakout points and then starts to decline. Bitcoin will break the previous high and create some divergences, slowly creating divergences. Bitcoin has strong buying pressure, and it has support from other countries, while Ethereum's capital flow is diminishing.
Resistance levels: 90200, 91500, 1680, 1630
Support levels: 82800, 84500, 1540, 1480
Ethereum for the day: start paying attention at 1600, short at 1620, do not place orders based on real-time 5-minute divergence; take profit at 1550, 1520.
Buy at 1520--1500, stop loss at 1490, take profit at 1580--1600.
Bitcoin for the day: buy orders at 86000, 85500, wait for the level to arrive and look at small-scale bullish positions; do not place orders, stop loss at 85000, take profit at 88000, 88350.
Start paying attention at 88900, empty positions at 90200-90500, 15-minute divergence moving horizontally, stop loss at the divergence point or 91000, take profit at 85200, 85500, 86000.
Combining live broadcasts and techniques, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
Short selling is definitely the first choice for Ethereum, while long buying is preferred for Bitcoin. Just like this, rebounding upwards and then dropping should go like this -- the thought process is similar to yesterday's. In fact, Bitcoin will strongly break through a bit, surpassing the previous high slightly, while Ethereum does not have significant breakout points and then starts to decline. Bitcoin will break the previous high and create some divergences, slowly creating divergences. Bitcoin has strong buying pressure, and it has support from other countries, while Ethereum's capital flow is diminishing.
Resistance levels: 90200, 91500, 1680, 1630
Support levels: 82800, 84500, 1540, 1480
Ethereum for the day: start paying attention at 1600, short at 1620, do not place orders based on real-time 5-minute divergence; take profit at 1550, 1520.
Buy at 1520--1500, stop loss at 1490, take profit at 1580--1600.
Bitcoin for the day: buy orders at 86000, 85500, wait for the level to arrive and look at small-scale bullish positions; do not place orders, stop loss at 85000, take profit at 88000, 88350.
Start paying attention at 88900, empty positions at 90200-90500, 15-minute divergence moving horizontally, stop loss at the divergence point or 91000, take profit at 85200, 85500, 86000.
Combining live broadcasts and techniques, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.21 Daily Analysis
This week, there are no special news, reference 80% technical trading, tariff issues may be resolved within a month (the first reconciliation is a positive signal). The issues with Old Bao and Old Te (currently speculating on expectations, probability is positive).
On that day: Bitcoin is currently not good for chasing long positions, look for other coins for long opportunities, platform coins, Prince, Ethereum... make one last long position -- need to act fast, Bitcoin touches the 88200 level, directly take profit on other coins.
Resistance levels: 88200, 91500, 1680, 1750
Support levels: 82800, 84500, 1600, 1540
Ethereum on that day: ① Key point 1600 support long, take profit first if there is profit, ③ better long positions are 1550, 1560, take profit at 1650, 1670.
② 1650, 1670 short positions, based on actual 15-minute divergence, no pending orders, take profit at 1600, 1550, 1560.
Bitcoin on that day: 86000, 85500 long positions, wait for the level to see small-scale bullish patterns, no pending orders, stop loss at 85000, take profit at 88000, 88350.
88000, 88350 short positions, 15-minute divergence stabilizing, stop loss at divergence level or 88600, take profit at 85200, 85500, 86000.
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
This week, there are no special news, reference 80% technical trading, tariff issues may be resolved within a month (the first reconciliation is a positive signal). The issues with Old Bao and Old Te (currently speculating on expectations, probability is positive).
On that day: Bitcoin is currently not good for chasing long positions, look for other coins for long opportunities, platform coins, Prince, Ethereum... make one last long position -- need to act fast, Bitcoin touches the 88200 level, directly take profit on other coins.
Resistance levels: 88200, 91500, 1680, 1750
Support levels: 82800, 84500, 1600, 1540
Ethereum on that day: ① Key point 1600 support long, take profit first if there is profit, ③ better long positions are 1550, 1560, take profit at 1650, 1670.
② 1650, 1670 short positions, based on actual 15-minute divergence, no pending orders, take profit at 1600, 1550, 1560.
Bitcoin on that day: 86000, 85500 long positions, wait for the level to see small-scale bullish patterns, no pending orders, stop loss at 85000, take profit at 88000, 88350.
88000, 88350 short positions, 15-minute divergence stabilizing, stop loss at divergence level or 88600, take profit at 85200, 85500, 86000.
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Creation Gold Community - 2025.4.18 Daily Analysis
The US stock market is closed for a day, currently in a selective market situation, which can rise or fall. Bitcoin is performing strongly, the upward momentum is shrinking. Currently, without orders, do not chase highs for Bitcoin, as the risk-reward ratio does not match... Today, the US stock market is closed, on the surface, ETFs have neither flowed out nor flowed in.
On that day: too close to the high point, do not consider chasing orders above 85000, insist on focusing on shorting at the box's high. Long positions can only be taken on Bitcoin, with Ethereum as the first choice for shorting. There is a risk of breaking down in the next two days at 83300-1560, with a chance of breaking the bottom.
Weekend: If it drops quickly, place orders in batches at 74000--79200-1420--1380--1360 for bottom fishing orders.
Resistance levels: 85800, 87300, 1620, 1680
Support levels: 83100, 81200, 1540, 1450
Ethereum on that day: 1600, 1620 short orders (1620 can be ordered) stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1540, 1560, 1470 (for short orders).
Bitcoin on that day: slowly shorting, at the box high point of 85000, just guard against a pin bar divergence. ① Live room current price 85000 short, 85000,
② 85600 short, stop loss at 86500, defend against pin bar being hit at 85700, take profit at 83300, 81900, 81500. [Once 83000 is broken, there will be a rapid decline].
Combining live streaming and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
The US stock market is closed for a day, currently in a selective market situation, which can rise or fall. Bitcoin is performing strongly, the upward momentum is shrinking. Currently, without orders, do not chase highs for Bitcoin, as the risk-reward ratio does not match... Today, the US stock market is closed, on the surface, ETFs have neither flowed out nor flowed in.
On that day: too close to the high point, do not consider chasing orders above 85000, insist on focusing on shorting at the box's high. Long positions can only be taken on Bitcoin, with Ethereum as the first choice for shorting. There is a risk of breaking down in the next two days at 83300-1560, with a chance of breaking the bottom.
Weekend: If it drops quickly, place orders in batches at 74000--79200-1420--1380--1360 for bottom fishing orders.
Resistance levels: 85800, 87300, 1620, 1680
Support levels: 83100, 81200, 1540, 1450
Ethereum on that day: 1600, 1620 short orders (1620 can be ordered) stop loss at 1640, take profit at 1540, 1560, 1470 (for short orders).
Bitcoin on that day: slowly shorting, at the box high point of 85000, just guard against a pin bar divergence. ① Live room current price 85000 short, 85000,
② 85600 short, stop loss at 86500, defend against pin bar being hit at 85700, take profit at 83300, 81900, 81500. [Once 83000 is broken, there will be a rapid decline].
Combining live streaming and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.17 Daily Analysis
The 4-hour chart continues to show fluctuations, both long and short positions can be taken. The decline is contracting, and for a major level to bottom out, a divergence is still needed, along with more room for decline. Funds are continuously fleeing to avoid risks, and with the new policies of the Old Special, blockchain is under regulatory control. If safe-haven funds escape the US dollar reserves and re-enter the cryptocurrency market, it will create a swap between the left and right hands, leading to many funds being invested in gold, raising the tide.
On that day: Today's strategy is the same as yesterday, first long then short; control the position for short orders and consider buying in batches.
Resistance levels: 1660, 1730, 86100, 87200
Support levels: 1530, 1460, 82500, 81200
Ethereum for the day: 4-hour contraction, long at 1550, 1560, stop-loss at 1540, take profit at 1610, 1620.
Short at 1610, 1620, do not place pending orders, observe the actual market for entry. Short orders can also be entered in batches, take profit at 1540, 1550, 1480.
Bitcoin for the day: Long orders at 83600, 83800, stop-loss at 83200, take profit at 84800, 85300, 85000.
Short orders at 85000, 85300, also defend against a divergence at 86100; build short positions in batches, take profit at 83300, 81900, 81500.
Long orders at 81900, 81200, observe the actual market for entry...
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #巨鲸动向
The 4-hour chart continues to show fluctuations, both long and short positions can be taken. The decline is contracting, and for a major level to bottom out, a divergence is still needed, along with more room for decline. Funds are continuously fleeing to avoid risks, and with the new policies of the Old Special, blockchain is under regulatory control. If safe-haven funds escape the US dollar reserves and re-enter the cryptocurrency market, it will create a swap between the left and right hands, leading to many funds being invested in gold, raising the tide.
On that day: Today's strategy is the same as yesterday, first long then short; control the position for short orders and consider buying in batches.
Resistance levels: 1660, 1730, 86100, 87200
Support levels: 1530, 1460, 82500, 81200
Ethereum for the day: 4-hour contraction, long at 1550, 1560, stop-loss at 1540, take profit at 1610, 1620.
Short at 1610, 1620, do not place pending orders, observe the actual market for entry. Short orders can also be entered in batches, take profit at 1540, 1550, 1480.
Bitcoin for the day: Long orders at 83600, 83800, stop-loss at 83200, take profit at 84800, 85300, 85000.
Short orders at 85000, 85300, also defend against a divergence at 86100; build short positions in batches, take profit at 83300, 81900, 81500.
Long orders at 81900, 81200, observe the actual market for entry...
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, pay attention to position management, for reference only #巨鲸动向
See original
Chuangjin Community——2025.4.16 Daily Analysis
4-hour oscillation, both long and short can be done
On the day: Bitcoin 4-hour gold line support, look for shorts after a rebound, both long and short can be done
Resistance levels: 85200, 86800, 1650, 1730
Support levels: 81200, 80800, 1530, 1450
Ethereum on that day: ① Live room current price 1590 long position added at 1570, 1580 long position, stop loss at 1550, take profit at 1630, 1640【Take profit only if there is a good news unless the pattern breaks】
② 1640 short position observation area, do not place orders at the long and short dividing point, if it continues to rise then short at 1680, 1700, take profit at 1550, 1520
Bitcoin on that day: ① There are light long positions in the live room, if you don’t consider long positions, you can wait for short positions, both long and short can be done, live room current price
83300 long position, take profit at 84800, 85200, if it continues to rise then 86000, 85800
② 85200, 84800 short position observation point, if it continues to rise then short at 85800, 86000, take profit at 83000, 81500
③ 81500, 81200 when it reaches the real market, look for signals to go long……
Combine live streaming and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #巨鲸动向
4-hour oscillation, both long and short can be done
On the day: Bitcoin 4-hour gold line support, look for shorts after a rebound, both long and short can be done
Resistance levels: 85200, 86800, 1650, 1730
Support levels: 81200, 80800, 1530, 1450
Ethereum on that day: ① Live room current price 1590 long position added at 1570, 1580 long position, stop loss at 1550, take profit at 1630, 1640【Take profit only if there is a good news unless the pattern breaks】
② 1640 short position observation area, do not place orders at the long and short dividing point, if it continues to rise then short at 1680, 1700, take profit at 1550, 1520
Bitcoin on that day: ① There are light long positions in the live room, if you don’t consider long positions, you can wait for short positions, both long and short can be done, live room current price
83300 long position, take profit at 84800, 85200, if it continues to rise then 86000, 85800
② 85200, 84800 short position observation point, if it continues to rise then short at 85800, 86000, take profit at 83000, 81500
③ 81500, 81200 when it reaches the real market, look for signals to go long……
Combine live streaming and technology, pay attention to position management, for reference only #巨鲸动向
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.15 Daily Analysis
4-hour slowly consuming continues to fluctuate, long positions belong to the tail-end market.
Today: Slowly push up a bit, continue to fluctuate, both long and short can be executed.
Today's key points: 1660, 1600, 86500, 83500
Resistance levels: 1680, 1750, 86500, 87500
Support levels: 1580, 1500, 82500, 81500
Ethereum today: Live room 1630 small long position, take profit at 1670, 1660, not expecting too high of a rise.
1670, short at 1670, stop loss at 1690, do not place orders, watch actual market entry, take profit at 1610, 1600, 1580 (if the short-term breaks upward, it will return to 1480, long positions are risky).
Bitcoin today: Slowly pushing towards the daily gold line, 4-hour white line support, first slowly rising, execute the 4-hour divergence at 86400, exit long positions at 86800.
86400, 86800 divergence short positions, stop loss at divergence point, take profit at 83500, 83000.
Combining live broadcast and technology, manage position control, for reference only #比特币
4-hour slowly consuming continues to fluctuate, long positions belong to the tail-end market.
Today: Slowly push up a bit, continue to fluctuate, both long and short can be executed.
Today's key points: 1660, 1600, 86500, 83500
Resistance levels: 1680, 1750, 86500, 87500
Support levels: 1580, 1500, 82500, 81500
Ethereum today: Live room 1630 small long position, take profit at 1670, 1660, not expecting too high of a rise.
1670, short at 1670, stop loss at 1690, do not place orders, watch actual market entry, take profit at 1610, 1600, 1580 (if the short-term breaks upward, it will return to 1480, long positions are risky).
Bitcoin today: Slowly pushing towards the daily gold line, 4-hour white line support, first slowly rising, execute the 4-hour divergence at 86400, exit long positions at 86800.
86400, 86800 divergence short positions, stop loss at divergence point, take profit at 83500, 83000.
Combining live broadcast and technology, manage position control, for reference only #比特币
See original
Chuangjin Community - Analysis for April 14, 2025
There are no significant news this week, trading can refer to 80% technical analysis, the timing is pending as Lao Te will announce news regarding semiconductor tariffs today, and Lao Bao will speak on Thursday to express his views on policy.
Overall environment: The larger cycle is relatively weak, there will be continuous fluctuations, bottom-fishing opportunities need a sideways movement to be considered, currently it still belongs to left-side trading.
On the day: it will still push up a bit, currently in a tailing market, those without long positions can give up on longs and gradually enter short positions.
Resistance levels: 1660, 1750, 86500, 88100
Support levels: 1550, 1500, 82500, 81500
Ethereum on the day: Short at 1620, 1635; can also gradually enter shorts in small batches, stop loss at 1665, take profit at 1550, 1480.
Bitcoin on the day: The 3-day moving average death cross is under pressure, the larger cycle is mainly bearish, short at 84500, 85200, stop loss at 86230, stable take profit at 82500, take profit at 81560, 81790 (if the short position's take profit shows strong performance in the US market, exit first).
Long positions can be taken based on technical analysis, with short-term exit...
After taking profit on shorts, the significant support levels for long positions at 81500, 1480 can also be considered for long, raise the bottom again in the US market before continuing long, with the previous high and not breaking levels for take profit.
Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, manage position sizing, for reference only #比特币走势分析
There are no significant news this week, trading can refer to 80% technical analysis, the timing is pending as Lao Te will announce news regarding semiconductor tariffs today, and Lao Bao will speak on Thursday to express his views on policy.
Overall environment: The larger cycle is relatively weak, there will be continuous fluctuations, bottom-fishing opportunities need a sideways movement to be considered, currently it still belongs to left-side trading.
On the day: it will still push up a bit, currently in a tailing market, those without long positions can give up on longs and gradually enter short positions.
Resistance levels: 1660, 1750, 86500, 88100
Support levels: 1550, 1500, 82500, 81500
Ethereum on the day: Short at 1620, 1635; can also gradually enter shorts in small batches, stop loss at 1665, take profit at 1550, 1480.
Bitcoin on the day: The 3-day moving average death cross is under pressure, the larger cycle is mainly bearish, short at 84500, 85200, stop loss at 86230, stable take profit at 82500, take profit at 81560, 81790 (if the short position's take profit shows strong performance in the US market, exit first).
Long positions can be taken based on technical analysis, with short-term exit...
After taking profit on shorts, the significant support levels for long positions at 81500, 1480 can also be considered for long, raise the bottom again in the US market before continuing long, with the previous high and not breaking levels for take profit.
Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, manage position sizing, for reference only #比特币走势分析
See original
Chuangjin Community - Analysis for April 11, 2025
Although the CPI is below expectations and the blockchain is favorable, there are too many profit-taking positions. If the consumption index shrinks too much, policies to stimulate consumption will be introduced. Currently, there are no orders at the market price, making it difficult to move; it could go up or down... This week's news has a significant impact.
On that day: small scale rebounds, large scale bearish.
Resistance Levels: 1620, 1750, 81800, 84200
Support Levels: 1450, 1360, 78500, 76500
Ethereum on that day: first rebound then short, after a pullback go long.
Short at 1580, 1590, stop loss at 1610, take profit at 1480, 1440, 1420.
Long at 1440, 1420, stop loss at 1400, take profit at 1580, 1590.
If there is an opportunity to break 1380, 1360 go long and hold for a larger position, stop loss at 1350 or enter on divergence, aiming for 1680, 1750 for take profit.
Bitcoin on that day: first slowly short on the way up, short near 81500, stop loss at 81800, take profit at 78500, 76800, 76300.
Long at 76300, 76800, or start paying attention when a 1-hour divergence occurs, take profit at 81000, 81500, break-even aiming for larger positions at 84200, 86500.
Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, manage position control, for reference only #CPI数据来袭
Although the CPI is below expectations and the blockchain is favorable, there are too many profit-taking positions. If the consumption index shrinks too much, policies to stimulate consumption will be introduced. Currently, there are no orders at the market price, making it difficult to move; it could go up or down... This week's news has a significant impact.
On that day: small scale rebounds, large scale bearish.
Resistance Levels: 1620, 1750, 81800, 84200
Support Levels: 1450, 1360, 78500, 76500
Ethereum on that day: first rebound then short, after a pullback go long.
Short at 1580, 1590, stop loss at 1610, take profit at 1480, 1440, 1420.
Long at 1440, 1420, stop loss at 1400, take profit at 1580, 1590.
If there is an opportunity to break 1380, 1360 go long and hold for a larger position, stop loss at 1350 or enter on divergence, aiming for 1680, 1750 for take profit.
Bitcoin on that day: first slowly short on the way up, short near 81500, stop loss at 81800, take profit at 78500, 76800, 76300.
Long at 76300, 76800, or start paying attention when a 1-hour divergence occurs, take profit at 81000, 81500, break-even aiming for larger positions at 84200, 86500.
Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, manage position control, for reference only #CPI数据来袭
See original
Chuangjin Community - 2025.4.10 Daily Analysis
Tonight's CPI is currently somewhat bearish for the US dollar and bullish for blockchain. This week's market is entirely news-driven, focusing on trade and tariff issues, which are currently on hold for 90 days. Only by resolving tariff and trade issues will there be significant liquidity injections in the future, leading to a buy-buy-buy scenario.
On that day: Tonight, taking advantage of favorable news, there are substantial profit-taking positions during the day, with speculative funds fleeing. Currently, we will first see a slight bearish pullback before pushing up to create a divergence, as both long and short positions exist.
Resistance levels: 86500, 88100, 1750, 1830
Support levels: 81000, 79300, 1600, 1550
Ethereum for the day: 1580, 1600 long positions, stop loss at 1570, 1560 can also use a 5-minute signal for stop loss, take profit at 1650, 1690.
Yesterday's bottom long position pattern point is 1750.
Missing a right shoulder, news-driven control, support on Saturday and Sunday at 1520, 1550 continues to look bullish.
Bitcoin for the day: The decline is slowing down, stabilizing above 90,000 within 3 days, continuing to experience large-scale fluctuations.
4-hour golden line, pay attention to longs starting at 81200, with 80800, 80200 for longs, take profit at 82500, 83000.
Those who short during the day need to watch the market, buy on a pullback, and do not consider opening positions on both sides; it may be better to choose one side to trade...
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, managing position sizes, for reference only: #特朗普暂停新关税
Tonight's CPI is currently somewhat bearish for the US dollar and bullish for blockchain. This week's market is entirely news-driven, focusing on trade and tariff issues, which are currently on hold for 90 days. Only by resolving tariff and trade issues will there be significant liquidity injections in the future, leading to a buy-buy-buy scenario.
On that day: Tonight, taking advantage of favorable news, there are substantial profit-taking positions during the day, with speculative funds fleeing. Currently, we will first see a slight bearish pullback before pushing up to create a divergence, as both long and short positions exist.
Resistance levels: 86500, 88100, 1750, 1830
Support levels: 81000, 79300, 1600, 1550
Ethereum for the day: 1580, 1600 long positions, stop loss at 1570, 1560 can also use a 5-minute signal for stop loss, take profit at 1650, 1690.
Yesterday's bottom long position pattern point is 1750.
Missing a right shoulder, news-driven control, support on Saturday and Sunday at 1520, 1550 continues to look bullish.
Bitcoin for the day: The decline is slowing down, stabilizing above 90,000 within 3 days, continuing to experience large-scale fluctuations.
4-hour golden line, pay attention to longs starting at 81200, with 80800, 80200 for longs, take profit at 82500, 83000.
Those who short during the day need to watch the market, buy on a pullback, and do not consider opening positions on both sides; it may be better to choose one side to trade...
Combining live streaming and technical analysis, managing position sizes, for reference only: #特朗普暂停新关税
Login to explore more contents