Liu_建军

The only fastest way to make money in the cryptocurrency world: buy this trend your whole life, from huge losses to huge profits!
How much patience do top cryptocurrency traders really have? My mentor, who guided me when I first entered the crypto world, spent 80% of his time waiting and 20% operating. Now he lives comfortably, fishing and playing golf, only catching a few market waves a year.
I still clearly remember his sentiment that day: life can be so wonderful sometimes; when you give it your all, you may not get the results, but once you truly let go, the results come.
My mentor was once a newbie too, adept at chasing highs and cutting losses, but after suffering heavy losses in his account, he temporarily exited the crypto world. When he picked it up again later in life, he was surprised to find a turn of events. I summarized some of the sixteen key elements from his experiences to share with everyone.
1. Choose altcoins in a bull market, buy BTC in a bear market; this is my secret recipe!
2. Pay close attention to coins with volume at the bottom; this is a signal to start, don't miss it!
3. For coins in an upward trend, when they pull back to important moving averages, that’s the best time to buy—make sure to seize the opportunity!
4. Don’t trade frequently; making the right calls on a few big trends in a year is enough. Greed can lead to significant losses!
5. Always control your position well; never go all in—leave yourself some room to cope with market changes!
6. Don't average down on losing junk coins; timely stop-loss is wise; don’t let yourself get deeper in trouble!
7. News can only serve as a reference; don’t blindly follow the crowd or go all in, or you'll bear the consequences!
8. Never touch unfamiliar coins; focus on your familiar niches to secure your victories!
9. Don't be swayed by market emotions; stay calm and rational to make the right decisions!
10. When altcoins rise too much, they will definitely fall; when they fall too much, they may not necessarily rise. Choosing is crucial; keep your eyes wide open!
11. When most people are optimistic, it often signals the arrival of risk; remember this and don’t become the bag holder!
12. Learn to stay out of the market and wait for clear signals before re-entering; this helps avoid unnecessary losses!
13. Don’t follow the hype; trends often come and go quickly, don’t let yourself get trapped!

A Decade of Ups and Downs in the Crypto World: From Frenzy to Rational Wealth Cultivation
Four, Survival Guide for the Next Decade

Era of Infrastructure Investment
Focus on modular blockchains (Celestia), decentralized oracles (Pyth) and other "crypto infrastructure", akin to investing in Cisco during the internet era.

The Dividend of AI and Blockchain Integration
By 2025, AI agent projects like Bittensor will show: smart contracts + machine learning will create new species.

Maintain a "Cold Wallet Mindset"
The Ledger vulnerability incident warns: at least 50% of assets should be stored offline, and multi-signature is an essential skill.

Ultimate Insight: This market rewards two types of people —

"Miner-type" investors who can endure long winters
"Gardener-type" builders who discover value in the early stages of a bubble
The myth of getting rich quickly will eventually shatter, but the trend of blockchain reshaping the financial system is unstoppable. The true winners are those who quietly lay the groundwork for the next cycle while others are in fear.

A Decade of Ups and Downs in the Crypto World: The Journey of Wealth from Frenzy to Rationality
3. Mindset Section: The Practice of Navigating Through the Fog

FOMO is the Wealth Crusher
During the May 19, 2021 crash, LUNA, which was sold off in panic, reached a historical high three months later. Real losses occur during emotional trading.

The Survival Rule of 'Emotional Dullness'
During the FTX collapse in 2022, 'Zen players' who continued to dollar-cost average into BTC achieved a 300% return by 2025. One needs to practice 'selective deafness' amid market noise.

Exit Strategy is More Important than Entry
Set three-tier profit-taking points (e.g., sell in batches at 50%/30%/20%), locking in a 380% profit for Solana ecosystem tokens in 2024 based on this strategy. #币圈暴富

A Decade in the Crypto World: From Frenzy to Rational Wealth Cultivation
II. Practical Chapter: Methodology Earned Through Blood and Tears
The Art of Position Management
Core Assets (BTC+ETH) Always Account for Over 50%
20% Allocation to Mainstream Layer 2 (Such as Aleph Zero, Exploding in 2024)
No More Than 10% Bet on MEME Coins (The 100x Myth of PEPE in 2023 Validated the Power of "Counter-Logical Speculation")
On-chain Data Does Not Lie
At the Peak of the 2024 Bull Market, Glassnode's Data Showed a Record Low BTC Inventory on Exchanges in Three Years; Act Decisively to Reduce Positions and Avoid a Subsequent 40% Crash. Key Indicators:
Changes in Total Stablecoin Supply
Movement of Whale Addresses
Futures Funding Rates
The Golden Age of Airdrop Hunting
The Wealth Effect Initiated by the UNI Airdrop in 2020 Continues to This Day, But the Strategy Has Evolved:
Interaction ≠ Effective Interaction (2023 Arbitrum Airdrop Excluded "Witch Attack" Addresses)
Focus on Layout of ZK System Projects (On the Eve of the 2025 zkSync Ecosystem Explosion) #币圈暴富

A Decade of Triumphs and Trials in the Cryptocurrency Sphere: From Frenzy to Rational Wealth Cultivation (2015-2025)
1. Cognitive Section: Understanding the Nature of the Market

The Law of Cycles is an Eternal Principle
After personally experiencing three complete bull and bear markets (2017/2021/2024), it is confirmed that Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle acts like the "economic clock" of the crypto world, but each narrative logic is upgraded. The "Bitcoin Renaissance" brought by the Ordinals protocol in 2023 has completely overturned the perception that "BTC is just digital gold."

Narrative Economics Dominates the Market
From ICOs to DeFi Summer, from NFT avatars to metaverse land, the hottest RWA (Real World Assets) track in 2025 proves that capital always chases new stories. However, we must beware of the "narrative trap"—when projects like STEPN and other X2E collapsed in 2022, 90% of the followers became the bag holders.

Regulation is the Biggest Variable
When the SEC continuously sued Binance and Coinbase in 2023, the market evaporated $300 billion in a single week. However, after the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs in 2024, the entry of traditional institutions brings new game rules—compliance has become an irreversible trend. #币圈暴富

Making money in the cryptocurrency space boils down to these 7 major secrets, which are effective!
1. HODL Method: Suitable for both bull and bear markets.
The simplest yet most challenging approach is the HODL method. The simplicity lies in selecting your favorite mainstream coins and quietly holding them for half a year, a year, or even longer.
Avoid frequent trading; even the lowest returns can lead to astonishing multiples!
2. Bull Market Buy the Dip Method: Applicable only during bull markets.
Crypto friends can use a small amount of idle funds, with the optimal proportion not exceeding one-fifth of total assets. This investment strategy favors cryptocurrencies with a market cap between 10 and 100, as these assets are less likely to be stuck for long periods during a bull market.
Assuming you buy a altcoin and wait for its price to rise by 50% or more, you can then switch to another cryptocurrency that is experiencing a price pullback, and continue this process.
Of course, if the first altcoin unfortunately encounters trouble, you need to remain patient, as being stuck during a bull market will eventually resolve. However, for such indecisive choices, novice players must act cautiously.
3. Hourglass Switching Method: Especially suitable for bull market conditions.
In a bull market, buying any new coin will see it flow with the tide, with funds slowly participating in every popular coin like a giant hourglass.
The price surge of coins follows a significant pattern, where leading coins like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB) first gain momentum, followed by second-tier mainstream coins like SOL, LTC, QTUM, etc.
4. Pyramid Bottom Buying Method: Used when anticipating a large-scale price drop.
The bottom-buying technique includes buying in batches, with each order price taking up 80%, 70%, 60%, 50%, and 20% of the current price.
5. Moving Average Method: Requires basic knowledge of candlestick charts.
Set to track the indicators for the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages, and use the daily line as the trading level.
When the spot price is above the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, you should hold firmly; conversely, you should sell promptly.
If the MA5 fails to break through the MA10, we should sell the relevant assets; if the MA5 breaks upwards through the MA10, it means we have sufficient reasons to start building our position.

Some advice for newcomers in the crypto world
1. Make trades after 9 PM
During the day, the news is too chaotic, with various false good and bad news flying around, causing the market to fluctuate erratically, making it easy to get trapped. I usually wait until after 9 PM to operate, as the news stabilizes by then, and the candlestick charts are cleaner and more clear.
2. Take profits immediately
Don't always think about doubling your investment! For example, if you made 1000 USDT today, I suggest you withdraw 300 USDT to your bank account right away and continue to play with the rest. I've seen too many people who think, "I made three times and want five times," only to lose everything back in a single pullback.
3. Look at indicators, not feelings
Don't trade based on feelings; that's just blind trading. Install TradingView on your phone and check these indicators before making a trade:
• MACD: Is there a golden cross or death cross?
• RSI: Is it overbought or oversold?
• Bollinger Bands: Is there a squeeze or breakout?
Consider entering the market only if at least two of the three indicators give a consistent signal.
4. Be flexible with stop losses
When you have time to monitor the market, if you're in profit, manually adjust your stop loss upwards. For example, if your buying price is 1000 and it rises to 1100, raise your stop loss to 1050 to secure your profit. However, if you're going out and can't monitor the market, make sure to set a hard stop loss of 3% to prevent sudden crashes from wiping you out.
5. Withdraw profits weekly
Profits that aren't withdrawn are just a numbers game! Every Friday without fail, I transfer 30% of my profits to my bank account, and the rest continues to be reinvested. This way, over the long term, your account will keep growing.
6. There are tricks to reading candlesticks
• For short-term trades, look at the 1-hour chart: if the price has two consecutive bullish candles, consider going long.
• If the market is flat, switch to the 4-hour chart to look for support lines: only consider entering when it approaches the support level.
7. Avoid these pitfalls!
• Leverage should not exceed 50 times
• Avoid coins like Dogecoin and meme coins; they are easily manipulated
• Limit yourself to 3 trades a day; too many can lead to losing control
• Absolutely do not borrow money to trade
One last piece of advice for you: trading isn't just gambling; treat it like a job. Stick to a schedule, log on and off at set times, and make sure to eat and sleep properly. You'll find that profits become more stable.

Personal Views on Cryptocurrency Trends 👍
1. The Underlying Drivers of Supply and Demand
Rigid Constraints and Dynamic Adjustments on the Supply Side
The total supply of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin is fixed (e.g., 21 million), making their scarcity similar to gold and forming the core logic of the anti-inflation narrative. Changes in supply directly affect market expectations; for instance, the Bitcoin 'halving event' (where miner rewards are halved periodically) reduces the influx of new coins into the market, historically driving long-term price increases multiple times. Miner behavior also constitutes a short-term supply variable; if coin prices are sluggish, miners may delay selling and instead hold onto their coins in anticipation of a price increase, while the opposite may prompt quicker cashing out.
2. The Capital Game Between Institutions and 'Whales'
Market Manipulation by Large Holders
The top 1% of holders, known as 'whales', control over 90% of the circulating supply, and their buying and selling actions directly influence price trends. For example, concentrated selling by large holders may trigger a follow-the-leader sell-off, while news of institutions increasing their holdings (such as MicroStrategy's continued Bitcoin purchases) attracts retail investors to follow suit.
Asymmetry of Market Liquidity
Small-cap cryptocurrencies have limited circulating supplies, allowing a small amount of capital to control the market. Traders may create the illusion of active trading through false orders, luring retail investors to chase prices before executing reverse trades for profit; such manipulation is particularly common in low liquidity coins.
3. Transmission Pathways of Macro Economy and Policy Environment
Enhanced Linkage with Traditional Financial Markets
Global liquidity tightening (e.g., Federal Reserve interest rate hikes) may lead to a flow of funds back from cryptocurrencies to dollar assets; during stock market crashes, some funds may view Bitcoin as 'digital gold' to hedge risks. Recent data shows that the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index has exceeded 0.724.
The Double-Edged Sword Effect of Policies and Regulations
Regulatory attitudes directly impact market confidence: China's ban on mining previously halved Bitcoin's hash rate, while the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. is seen as a long-term positive. Tax policies (such as capital gains tax) and anti-money laundering rules may also alter investor behavior.
4. Dynamic Balance of Technological Evolution and Security Risks
Value Reconstruction through Technological Upgrades
Significant updates to blockchain protocols (such as Ethereum's transition to PoS) may change token economic models, affecting supply and demand relationships. For example, the ETH burning mechanism reduces circulating supply, potentially supporting long-term prices.
Systemic Shocks from Security Vulnerabilities

2025 Personal Outlook on Cryptocurrency
1. Mainstream Adoption Accelerates
More businesses accept cryptocurrency payments, and traditional financial institutions launch compliant crypto services.
Products like Bitcoin ETFs attract institutional capital, driving market maturity.
2. Stricter but Clearer Regulations
Countries improve crypto regulations, combat fraud, and protect investors.
Compliance becomes key to project survival, and some smaller coins may be eliminated.
3. Technological Upgrades and Innovations
Blockchains like Ethereum continue to optimize, reducing transaction costs and increasing speed.
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) and NFTs may give rise to new application scenarios.
4. Risks and Volatility Persist
The market is influenced by policies, technical vulnerabilities, and short-term fluctuations are inevitable.
Investors need to be cautious and avoid high-leverage speculation.
Summary
Cryptocurrency may further integrate into mainstream finance by 2025, but attention must be paid to regulatory and technological risks. In the long term, projects with real use cases are more likely to survive. #美国加征关税

My Ethereum Investment Experience: From Confusion to Enlightenment
The first time I heard about Ethereum, I thought it was just 'another Bitcoin'. With a mindset of trying it out, I spent $300 to buy 0.5 ETH, and by the end of the year, it rose to $1,400, feeling like a genius. However, in the 2018 bear market, ETH dropped to $80, and my assets shrank by 80%.

2019-2020: Settling Down to Learn
The losses made me realize that I couldn't rely on luck to make money. I began to study smart contracts, DeFi, and even tried issuing tokens on the test network. During the market downturn, I persisted with dollar-cost averaging, buying a bit below $200.

2020: A Turning Point Brought by DeFi
In the summer, DeFi exploded, and I participated in liquidity mining. Even luckier, I received 400 UNI airdrops, worth nearly $10,000. For the first time, I experienced: Participation is more important than speculation.

2021: Lessons from the Bull Market
ETH broke through $4,000, but out of greed, I didn’t take profits and watched my gains evaporate by more than half. I understood a principle: Making money in a bull market relies on luck; surviving in a bear market is the true skill.

2022-2023: Becoming a Long-Term Holder
After experiencing the LUNA collapse and FTX explosion, I didn’t panic when ETH dropped to $800; instead, I increased my position. After the Shanghai upgrade in 2023, I started staking ETH to earn stable returns, no longer chasing short-term volatility.

Now: Simple Strategy, Patient Waiting
Long-term holding of core positions
Actively participate in the ecosystem (airdrops, staking, governance)
Control emotions, avoid chasing highs and selling lows
The biggest gain over the years is not how much money I’ve made, but learning to maintain rationality amidst fluctuations. Ethereum is not just an investment target; it is the cornerstone of blockchain innovation. There may be greater fluctuations in the future, but it’s worth waiting patiently.

Investing is like cultivation; time will reward those who truly understand value.

All trading ultimately leads to cultivation.
Not long ago, I finished reading 'Siddhartha.'
A friend immediately gifted me a copy of 'The Monk and the Philosopher.'
Since venturing into the world of derivatives trading,
I have wandered further down the path of enlightenment [Facepalm R].

Thinking about it is quite interesting.
At first, I came to the market just to seek wealth,
Then I started looking at various techniques: technical analysis, fundamentals [Smile R].
Later, I realized I needed to cultivate my mind [Secretly Observing R].
I began studying psychology, meditation, and various forms of self-analysis [Disappointed R].
As I explored, I wanted to delve into the essence of things:
philosophy, theology [Embarrassed R].
On the path of seeking and understanding the way, I have wandered further and further.
The big shots also love to ponder the universe [Smack R].

This afternoon, I watched 'The Clear Realm'
And felt a strong resonance with the psychology of traders.
I remembered asking a trading guru from the '90s
If he felt lonely doing trading.
He said no [Doge].
You can communicate with various outstanding people through books and resonate with them.
(But he is an I person; for E people, it can sometimes be a bit uncomfortable) [Petrified R].

Qingze spoke about this description of futures speculation,
Which very realistically described my feelings along this path:
He said, 'Life is often like this. Once you choose the adventurous path of investing in life, it's like getting on a train whose destination you don’t know. Returning to the past is no longer possible, and the future's fate has long exceeded your control and initial imagination.'

Along this path, I have experienced
The darkest pain and despair
That is too profound [Sigh R].

People often ask me
How to get started with derivatives if they want to try.
I've been through so much on this journey.
I completely do not recommend my friends to take this path [Facepalm R].
There are too many costs involved; unless experienced, one cannot comprehend the pain of this purgatory.
I smile gently, isn't living well just great? [Smack R].

Finally, I quote the words of a big shot describing trading:
'Trading is the most difficult business to succeed in the world; young people should not touch it, wisdom not yet awakened should not touch it, those who have not broken through emotional barriers should not touch it, those who have never been down and out should not touch it, and those who are unwilling to embark on the path of cultivation should not touch it.' #加密市场反弹