赢己

I still remember that it was October 2018, when Bitcoin was around $6,000-7,000, and BNB was only $10! ​​Only $10!
The most common voice I heard at the time was that virtual currency has no future and the current price is too high, but a few people with high awareness are still very optimistic about the future of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB.
In particular, a good friend of mine designed a portfolio for all the bosses at the time, which was 56% BTC, 25% ETH, and 18% BNB.

What I didn’t understand at the time was why he configured BNB. Moreover, according to his previous configuration, BNB holdings increased by 8%.

1. It is easier for those who know how to trade to earn a million dollars than for those who do not understand trading to earn a few hundred dollars.
2. No school can teach a speculator, because the tools of a speculator are, besides experience, just experience. I am not willing to exchange my experience for an amount of gold equivalent to my weight; it is not worth it at all.
3. Staying up late and waking up late are two things that most people easily indulge in. They attempt to master the grandest and most difficult game in the world in a casual and careless way—this game requires a mindset and lifestyle that are completely opposite to the traditional.

Ten Rules

1. Risk control: Preserving the principal is the primary task, such as the rule specified in Gann's law that a single loss should not exceed 10% of the principal, avoiding excessive risk exposure and ensuring long-term survival in the market.

2. Trading discipline: Use programmed rules to counter emotional fluctuations, strictly execute the predetermined trading plan, and not be swayed by emotions.

3. Be patient: Like a cheetah waiting for its prey, wait for high-probability trading opportunities, and do not act blindly, as most of the time the market is in a non-trending or oscillating state.

4. Go with the flow: Trade by following the main trends in the market, establish positions when trends are confirmed, and do not try to go against the trend.

Play altcoins, learn first
Established mainstream coin
BTC: Industry leader
ETH: Leader in public chains
BCH: Scaled version of BTC
LTC: Imitator of Bitcoin
ADA: Indestructible academic old public chain
SOL: Wall Street capital public chain, second only to Ethereum's developer community
XRP: Payment track
DOGE: Musk's icon pet
MKR: Established leader in lending, leading decentralized stablecoin
AAVE: Leader in lending
BNB: Leading platform coin
LINK: Oracle
AVAX: Public chain that crosses bull and bear markets
ETC: The original Ethereum
New mainstream coins
Risk slightly higher than established mainstream coins
Relatively speaking, there will be a bit more room

Technical Foundation
Trump Coin: A virtual currency without underlying asset support, issued by the issuer in a single release based on the issuance volume, lacking actual value, technical foundation, or commercial support, relying more on manipulating market sentiment and capital flow to drive up its value.
Dogecoin: The technology used mainly derives from Bitcoin's source code; although it was initially created to mock the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies, it has a certain technical foundation as support.

Market
Trump Coin: Relies on the promotional efforts of Trump and his team, using Trump's political influence and recognition to attract investors. However, this promotional method is relatively singular, and its influence may fluctuate with changes in Trump's political career.

We must know that all major drops or rises have precursors; it’s just a matter of whether you have observed carefully. Some might refute what I say.
It's okay; let's think with underlying logic. When large amounts of tokens enter exchanges, we don't see the exchange's information, or is it that the major consulting platforms haven’t released data?
Are we serious about interpretation and information gathering, or is it the old saying, (if the fisherman doesn't study what the fish want to eat, how can they catch fish)?
Transactions without logic are just gambling, taking chances, but how many times can you actually get lucky?

On the surface, the formation of speculative bubbles is often related to the irrational rise in asset prices, and the poor find it difficult to participate directly due to a lack of capital, information, and risk tolerance. However, a deeper analysis reveals that this phenomenon hides complex economic mechanisms and social realities.
The real barriers to the poor's participation in speculation

1. Natural barriers of capital thresholds
The entry ticket to mainstream speculative markets (such as stocks, real estate, and cryptocurrencies) is often high. Taking the Chinese stock market as an example, in 2024, 85% of retail investors had accounts with less than 500,000 yuan, while the top 0.5% of high-net-worth individuals controlled 25% of market trading volume. The limited income of the poor must prioritize survival needs, making it difficult to bear an investment threshold of tens of thousands of yuan. Even low-threshold cryptocurrencies have price volatility that far exceeds the risk tolerance of the poor.

No Eggs Left Under the Fallen Nest
Even the last glimmer of hope has vanished. The most heard voice these days is that Bitcoin has decoupled from US stocks and is moving in its own risk-averse direction. My confusion at that time was that when US stocks crashed, gold also came down. It seems that this rate hike had a significant impact. Looking at Bitcoin and Ethereum, there was no fluctuation. I thought it seemed it couldn't fall anymore, but I still set a stop-loss just in case. However, because of this little bit of hope, that 'just in case' became real. What puzzled me was that my heart was calm, completely calm. Was I numb from the drop? Or did I get liquidated and come out of my shell? This rate hike reminded me of the previous ones. Let's take a look at the past stock market crashes!

Looking back at the historical price trends of Ethereum, its volatility has been extremely intense. During the bull market cycle from 2020 to 2021, the price of Ethereum experienced explosive growth. In March 2020, impacted by market panic triggered by the global pandemic, the price of Ethereum once fell to around 90 dollars. Subsequently, with the introduction of global economic stimulus policies, a large amount of capital flowed into the cryptocurrency market. Ethereum attracted numerous developers and investors with its unique advantages in smart contracts. Over the course of more than a year, the price soared, reaching an all-time high of 4864.13 dollars in November 2021. The speed of this price increase is astonishing, rising from a few hundred dollars to nearly 5000 dollars in about a year and a half.