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Good morning, capital tycoons, social elites, trading moguls, and the five outer counties with weapons!

My stupid trader told me to take a long position at 108, and then hedge with a short position at 108. Is that possible? I feel like he wants to harm me; could he be part of a conspiracy group? I'm so anxious 😭😭. Brothers, please give me some guidance and a position.

Dear leaders, I heard a trader made the following statement, I think this person is really foolish, brothers please help me see if it's credible 😭😭

The Federal Reserve's monetary meeting on the 19th of this month will decide whether to cut interest rates or not, which is the biggest event of the month. Currently, the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates is 98%, however, if there is a major crash before the meeting, the Federal Reserve must cut rates; whether they want to or not, they have to cut!

Today's Analysis:

1. My long position on Bitcoin is still open, and I want to hold it a bit longer. The long position is not the goal; I want a hedge when I decide to go short.

2. Recently, it has been low long and high short, long on shorts and short on longs.

3. The high short range given yesterday remains unchanged. If entering in batches, it seems the first order has already been executed. I haven't entered yet because there might be a small position above. Please advise, experienced traders. 😭

Today's Analysis:

1. Trump's tariff actions are very likely to be interrupted. As a fallback, even if they are not interrupted, the impact of tariffs will gradually decrease in the future. This is an undisputed fact and is positive for the market.

2. From the K-line perspective, last week's weekly line closed in the red, indicating that this round of increases is "basically finished." Due to the appearance of stopping signals, the strategy of long-short in the future will not change.

3. All trading geniuses can see that the upper pressure is at 106-108. My opinion is that 108 is critical and indeed a range where short positions can be taken.

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Today's Analysis:

1. The court ruling against Trump means that tariffs are completely coming to an end, which should be positive news. However, the market has dropped significantly, indicating that this recent rise was merely a pump for selling off, and now it is no longer being sustained.

2. The probability of a direct sharp decline here is actually low; it is just a pullback. There will still be a peak before the real crash occurs.

3. Suggested levels: Long positions at 103—105, short positions at high points.

Today's Analysis:

1. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve made it very clear that the probability of the U.S. falling into recession due to tariffs has increased, and there is still room for inflation to rise. They are currently taking a wait-and-see attitude, and there will be no interest rate cuts in the short term. The Federal Reserve has also given up; it will be a while before Trump matures and the Federal Reserve takes action again.

2. I know it's easier for everyone to look at Bitcoin right now; it could either oscillate with 1065 as the bottom or form a double top at 119-114, ultimately indicating a bearish trend. But if everyone takes a moment to reflect, Bitcoin has repeatedly shattered technical analysis this year.

3. Given this situation, I’ll say this: short at new highs, go long at 105, and I won’t consider anything else.

Today's Analysis:
1. Recently, it has been a volatile market, but it can be confirmed that there is distribution at high levels!
2. Currently, I am holding no positions; either I will short if it goes up, or go long if it goes down. The short-term support is at 105—107.
3. Just a little more patience; June is coming soon, and what you have been waiting for is coming fast.

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Today's Analysis:
1. Trump, this troublemaker, has postponed tariffs on the EU again, bringing more good news to the market.
2. The current trend of Bitcoin still has the possibility of further upward movement.
3. It’s almost time to enter short positions in Bitcoin gradually.

Today's Analysis:
1. The 113,000 given yesterday seems to have some potential, but I don't know if the old man with the white beard will deceive me, let's leave it to fate.
2. The credit rating of the United States has been downgraded, but the market is still rising. I think anyone with a bit of economic knowledge can understand that this is a misjudgment by the market, not a misjudgment by the institutions, and large institutions in the U.S. have repeatedly warned of risks.
3. I hope Bitcoin rises quickly, as time costs > sunk costs.

Today's Analysis:
1. Short positions can start entering the market now. It depends on your own position, but I prefer to enter in batches, as the recent market cannot be approached with previous techniques.
2. Trump hasn't caused any issues recently, and the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, which is a huge negative for the market itself. However, Bitcoin is still holding up, and the Nasdaq hasn't broken the critical line.
3. For Bitcoin, I'm making a blind guess; an old man with a white beard came to me in a dream yesterday, 113000. Anyway, I'll leave it to fate.

Next, two things will happen
1. Volume will decrease while prices rise
2. Volume will increase while prices fall

Either situation is acceptable, both are rare opportunities
$BTC

Today's Analysis:

1. There is only this one order left in hand, personally, I still lean towards a drop, around 10-98 is my stop-loss range;
2. This is a time of bull-bear transition, the reason being that the Federal Reserve will primarily focus on interest rate hikes, and rate cuts will merely be an interlude, plus the U.S. will fall into significant inflation, so the U.S. stock market is going to crash, and Bitcoin will be the same, there is a clear signal for Bitcoin, the U.S. stock market will respond immediately.
3. On Sunday, the fluctuations are small, so you can rest more. If there is still a chance to go up, consider shorting in batches, as the end of the trend is always filled with high emotions, and there is a lot of fear.

Today's Analysis:
1. Current situation: The Federal Reserve does not need to cut interest rates. If Trump must have the Federal Reserve cut rates, it will only be because the U.S. stock market is exceptionally weak before June, so pay attention to the risk of a pullback in the near term.
2. However, there will not be a daily-level pullback, only smaller pullbacks. The pullbacks will not be particularly deep, and range fluctuations are suitable for short-term trading, 101—105.
3. Trump shouted again yesterday, but it is clear it was to offload stocks. The market also fell as expected, confirming what was said before: Trump's control over the market will continue to diminish, waiting for a top to appear. #btc

Today's Analysis
1. Yesterday, Trump shouted orders again, but the market did not have the strong fluctuations it had before, indicating that the China-U.S. tariffs have reached a temporary conclusion, and his intervention in the market has decreased.

2. The CPI surprisingly turned out to be positive; I can only say that America's fake data is even more impressive than China's 👍👍

3. The market maintains yesterday's viewpoint, either going up to reach new highs or taking a pullback from here is reasonable.

Today's Analysis:
1. Yesterday it was said that the favorable news turned into bad news, and it directly crashed on the same day. However, it won't go down directly from here; it is more likely to be a period of high-level fluctuations for distribution.

2. As mentioned yesterday, the significance of the China-U.S. talks for the secondary market is that the core part of the tariffs has passed, which also represents Trump's weakened control over the market. It is unlikely for a situation where a single statement can cause a surge or crash to occur again.

3. The future pricing tool is a game between recession and interest rate cuts, returning to the main theme: when will the interest rate cuts happen in June or July? Have the expectations for rate cuts already been digested?

4. From the current trend, there won't be a significant pullback directly, as the U.S. stock market hasn't fully risen yet. Those who shorted yesterday can take partial profits at this stage.
#BTC重返10万