This morning, Bitcoin recorded a price of 8700004276351727 and is expected to rebound to a price of 8300004276351727 as the first target and 7800004276351727 as the second target, 7300004276351727 as the third target. The other targets are somewhat distant, such as 6800004276351727, 6300004276351727, 5800004276351727, and finally a target of 5500004276351727 in the coming months. If these prices are recorded quickly during the next month, this means that the price will rise rapidly to around 9000004276351727 and then gradually decline over a period of 6 months.. And God knows best.
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Why is Bitcoin considered a safe haven in times of economic crises?
In a world witnessing sharp economic fluctuations and increasing inflation in many fiat currencies, investors are increasingly turning to Bitcoin as "digital gold" and a safe haven to protect their assets. 1. Limited supply = Sustainable value The number of bitcoins is limited to only 21 million units, making it a rare asset that cannot be printed like traditional currencies by central banks. This scarcity adds a layer of trust for long-term investors.
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How does global liquidity influence Bitcoin trends?
Global liquidity (represented by M2 money supply) significantly impacts Bitcoin prices. When M2 expands, capital flows into high-yield assets like Bitcoin, driving up prices. When M2 contracts, risk assets come under pressure, making Bitcoin susceptible to pullbacks. The key point is that the year-on-year change rate of M2 reveals trends better than the absolute value, and Bitcoin prices typically lag behind liquidity changes by about 2 months (56-60 days).
Historical data shows that Bitcoin bull markets are often accompanied by rapid liquidity expansion, while contraction tends to precede price fluctuations. At the beginning of 2025, M2 growth is stable, and Bitcoin is consolidating around $80,000. Recently, liquidity has rebounded, which may drive a new round of increases by the end of March. If the lag effect holds, more significant price increases could be seen in early May.
Conclusion: Focusing on the rate of change of M2 rather than static data, combined with the lag effect, can more accurately predict Bitcoin trends. If liquidity continues to accelerate, Bitcoin is expected to experience a significant market movement.
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🍊March 10th Afternoon Market Insights🍊 $BTC 's Insight: Bitcoin breaks through 82671 with volume, closing above 82671 on the hourly level, go long on the right side, and recover stop loss. 81492 breaks down with volume and rebounds, unable to recover, go short on the right side, and recover stop loss. Pay attention to changes in volume and manage stop loss carefully. When retracing to 79980, a false breakdown occurs. Recover with a light long position, stop loss at the low of the false breakdown. If it can't recover, don't go long. Don't think that just because the price has dropped a lot, it has to go up; that's not how it works. Currently, it's just a rebound in a downtrend, and there may be a second test. The price will only rise if it does not break the previous low on the second test. 🍊 If it stabilizes above 82719 on the hourly level, the target positions above are 83230-84346. If it can't go up, continue to retrace. Pay attention to 83724 above for a 2b false breakout; go short with a light position. Stop loss at the high of the false breakout or 84289. Conservative players wait for 78580 to go long; if it breaks below 78000, must stop loss. 🍊 Upper resistance 83294-84251-85209 Lower support 81187-79954-78576 If there is a 4-hour K-line closing price below 80038, look down to 78558-77115. To see a short-term bottom, refer to the area outlined in white on the chart. This bullish candle must engulf the preceding bearish candle to form a bullish engulfing pattern to continue looking bullish.
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$ETH 's Thought: Ethereum breaks through 2058 with volume, go long on the right side, and recover stop loss. 2042 breaks down with volume, go short on the right side, and recover stop loss.
When retracing to 1999, confirm the support is valid, go long with a light position to bet on a rebound. If it breaks below 1965, must stop loss; make sure to keep it light. Ethereum stabilizing at 2094 on the hourly level is looking up towards 2125-2156. If it can't go up even a bit, it's of no use. Above Ethereum, pay attention to 2123 for a short position; stop loss at 2157. Left-side orders: 1923 long, if it breaks below 1900, run fast. 🍊 Upper resistance 2101-2141-2186 Lower support 2017-1963-1926 If 2000 breaks down on the 4-hour level, look down to 1964-1930. Tonight, U.S. stock market opening shouldn't continue to drop; if it does, the sell-off during U.S. hours will be much harsher than during Asian hours. Remember to take profits when you have them, don't be greedy at the end of the meeting. $BTC #加密市场回调 #加密市场观察 #美国犹他州比特币法案 🍊 "Zhang's Exclusive" Rebate Link:
82,000 USD or the key support level for BTC, will be severely impacted by macroeconomic factors in the short term
The price of Bitcoin will continue to be pressured by macroeconomic developments and global trade issues. This week, all eyes will be on major economic events in the United States, including the Consumer Price Index, which is expected to indicate a slowdown in inflation, while the job vacancies report will be a key indicator of labor market strength and the potential for interest rate cuts.
Due to disappointing Bitcoin reserves in the United States, Bitcoin faces the risk of closing below 82,000 USD for the week. If Bitcoin falls below this key price support level of 82,000 USD, it could trigger the liquidation of leveraged long positions worth 1.13 billion USD.
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82,000 USD or the key support level for BTC, will be severely impacted by macroeconomic factors in the short term
The price of Bitcoin will continue to be pressured by macroeconomic developments and global trade issues. This week, all eyes will be on major economic events in the United States, including the Consumer Price Index, which is expected to indicate a slowdown in inflation, while the job vacancies report will be a key indicator of labor market strength and the potential for interest rate cuts.
Due to disappointing Bitcoin reserves in the United States, Bitcoin faces the risk of closing below 82,000 USD for the week. If Bitcoin falls below this key price support level of 82,000 USD, it could trigger the liquidation of leveraged long positions worth 1.13 billion USD.
Follow me for more insights and information about the crypto space.
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The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on March 19 is highly anticipated. Despite the Fed's ambiguous stance, the market has already priced in its interest rate cut path, with expectations for the number of rate cuts in 2025 changing from 1 to 3. The rate cuts from other central banks also confirm global monetary policy easing, and market liquidity is gradually recovering. If the Fed hints at a rate cut in May during the meeting, market sentiment will quickly turn optimistic. This meeting may also discuss reducing the balance sheet, and the Fed may pause quantitative tightening (QT).
During the pandemic, the Fed engaged in massive quantitative easing, purchasing government bonds to inject liquidity, which expanded the balance sheet. After inflation soared in 2022, the Fed reduced its balance sheet through QT to curb inflation. According to Turf Nation data, the inflation rate in the U.S. has decreased, but the reliability of the data is disputed. They believe that the official CPI inflation rate in the U.S. is likely to decrease in the next 30 to 60 days, and attention should be paid this Wednesday to whether February's inflation rate declines as expected.
The Fed's balance sheet holds a large amount of debt instruments, such as U.S. Treasury bonds. When assets mature, if the bonds are allowed to mature naturally without reinvestment, continued QT will tighten liquidity; if refinancing is chosen, using maturing funds to purchase new bonds may partially halt the reduction of the balance sheet or even increase market liquidity. Additionally, the U.S. dollar continues to weaken, and if this trend continues, it will encourage more funds to flow into risk markets, pushing up Bitcoin prices. #加密市场回调 #美国犹他州比特币法案
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on March 19 is highly anticipated. Despite the Fed's ambiguous stance, the market has already priced in its interest rate cut path, with expectations for the number of rate cuts in 2025 changing from 1 to 3. The rate cuts from other central banks also confirm global monetary policy easing, and market liquidity is gradually recovering. If the Fed hints at a rate cut in May during the meeting, market sentiment will quickly turn optimistic. This meeting may also discuss reducing the balance sheet, and the Fed may pause quantitative tightening (QT).
During the pandemic, the Fed engaged in massive quantitative easing, purchasing government bonds to inject liquidity, which expanded the balance sheet. After inflation soared in 2022, the Fed reduced its balance sheet through QT to curb inflation. According to Turf Nation data, the inflation rate in the U.S. has decreased, but the reliability of the data is disputed. They believe that the official CPI inflation rate in the U.S. is likely to decrease in the next 30 to 60 days, and attention should be paid this Wednesday to whether February's inflation rate declines as expected.
The Fed's balance sheet holds a large amount of debt instruments, such as U.S. Treasury bonds. When assets mature, if the bonds are allowed to mature naturally without reinvestment, continued QT will tighten liquidity; if refinancing is chosen, using maturing funds to purchase new bonds may partially halt the reduction of the balance sheet or even increase market liquidity. Additionally, the U.S. dollar continues to weaken, and if this trend continues, it will encourage more funds to flow into risk markets, pushing up Bitcoin prices. #加密市场回调 #美国犹他州比特币法案
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on March 19 is highly anticipated. Despite the Fed's ambiguous stance, the market has already priced in its interest rate cut path, with expectations for the number of rate cuts in 2025 changing from 1 to 3. The rate cuts from other central banks also confirm global monetary policy easing, and market liquidity is gradually recovering. If the Fed hints at a rate cut in May during the meeting, market sentiment will quickly turn optimistic. This meeting may also discuss reducing the balance sheet, and the Fed may pause quantitative tightening (QT).
During the pandemic, the Fed engaged in massive quantitative easing, purchasing government bonds to inject liquidity, which expanded the balance sheet. After inflation soared in 2022, the Fed reduced its balance sheet through QT to curb inflation. According to Turf Nation data, the inflation rate in the U.S. has decreased, but the reliability of the data is disputed. They believe that the official CPI inflation rate in the U.S. is likely to decrease in the next 30 to 60 days, and attention should be paid this Wednesday to whether February's inflation rate declines as expected.
The Fed's balance sheet holds a large amount of debt instruments, such as U.S. Treasury bonds. When assets mature, if the bonds are allowed to mature naturally without reinvestment, continued QT will tighten liquidity; if refinancing is chosen, using maturing funds to purchase new bonds may partially halt the reduction of the balance sheet or even increase market liquidity. Additionally, the U.S. dollar continues to weaken, and if this trend continues, it will encourage more funds to flow into risk markets, pushing up Bitcoin prices. #加密市场回调 #美国犹他州比特币法案