The barbaric, protectionist right is indeed disappointing. The equality and fraternity of the Democratic Party, even if only superficial, is more comforting.
I think there may be another wave of increase in the second half of the year.
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If the highest point of BTC in this round is 110,000, the next time I buy BTC spot, I will wait until it locks in and drops to 33,000-24,850 to buy the dip. The future weekly bottom may be born within the next 16 months, and I won't play small spot fluctuations in between. I will not participate in buying any spot currency above 40,000-60,000.
The A-share bull market ended this year. With Trump's series of measures such as increasing tariffs, inflation will definitely pick up. The Fed will raise interest rates again next year and enter a bear market, and the A-share account will be cleared. Next year, the world will enter a bear market, and then prepare to buy Bitcoin at the bottom. The money earned in the currency market will be transferred to the A-share market to ambush and buy the leading stocks at a low level. The rise is also very strong, and it is cleaned up by the way. The currency market and A-shares are actually complementary.
The next round of Bitcoin halving date: April 17, 2028.
Thoughts on the overall trend this year and the outlook and views on the next halving cycle
I would like to share my personal thoughts and conclusions on the overall trend and direction from this year to next year, as well as my outlook and views on the next halving cycle, for reference only. After 12.18, the market's focus basically tilted towards information, subject to the changes in Trump's new policy. Except for BTC, the bull market of most currencies has indeed ended in the short term. Since the expectation of interest rate cuts in March is extremely low, there is no meeting in April, and May or June is basically the first interest rate cut this year, it is determined that February to April is a vacuum period of shocks, which will be repeatedly up and down. The process is more painful, but risks and opportunities coexist. This period is also the implementation and promotion period of Trump's new policy of tariffs, crypto market supervision and other policies. These are transmitted to the market, and there are large fluctuations in the short term. The bottom pattern on the current market may be basically the same as the trend of the period from August 5 to November 5 last year. The daily line needs to re-build the bottom step by step to reach a low point, and restart the next wave of market when the expectation of the next interest rate cut heats up. Therefore, especially in February and March, the currency market may still have a large adjustment.
Hong Kong approves HK$30 million investment immigration application with ETH as asset proof
According to TechFlow, on February 8, Hong Kong certified public accountant clementsiu disclosed that the Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency approved an investment immigration application using ETH as proof of HK$30 million in assets. Previously, in October 2024, the accountant had successfully handled Hong Kongâs first investment immigration case using BTC as proof of assets.
As of today, gold and the S&P 500 have both risen by 78% over the past 5 years. However stable the S&P 500 may be, it is still an index. Gold, as the first asset of human consensus, can be said to be the best in terms of anti-inflation and stability.