分析师Y哥

Outlook on Bitcoin Development Trends
Since its inception, Bitcoin has experienced significant price fluctuations, and its future development is influenced by various factors.
On the positive side, scarcity is an important support. The total supply is capped at 21 million coins, and over time, the circulating supply becomes increasingly scarce. This scarcity, similar to that of gold, may attract more investors to view it as a safe-haven asset, driving prices up. Technological innovation continues, with second-layer solutions like the Lightning Network constantly optimizing, promising to enhance transaction speed, reduce fees, expand application scenarios, and improve practicality and attractiveness. Furthermore, institutional investors are accelerating their entry; institutions like Grayscale are laying out Bitcoin products, injecting significant capital into the market, bringing in professional investment concepts and strategies, stabilizing the market, and promoting the acceptance of Bitcoin by the traditional financial system.
However, challenges are equally severe. On the regulatory front, countries have varying attitudes, and policy uncertainty makes the Bitcoin market susceptible to shocks. In terms of security, although blockchain technology is relatively secure, it still faces risks such as hacking attacks and private key loss. Additionally, Bitcoin's price is highly volatile, and the market is rife with speculation, with bubble risks posing potential hazards to its development.
$BTC #BTC

Key Points of Perpetual Contracts Simplified
Perpetual contracts, as a type of contract without a delivery date, can be held long-term as long as there are no liquidations or closures, making them a common tool for many traders. However, many retail investors struggle with how many times leverage is appropriate, and some even choose 30x, 50x, or even 100x leverage, hoping to gain substantial volatility with minimal capital.
In fact, leverage is essentially borrowing money to trade; the different multiples only affect the speed of risk release. The key is not the level of leverage but whether there is a corresponding risk management plan. For example, it is important to clarify the amount of loss one can bear, set stop-loss points, enable a per-position mechanism, and manage position ratios.
In contract trading, holding onto a position is the biggest taboo. During market fluctuations, high-leverage accounts can easily face liquidation due to minor pullbacks, missing out on subsequent trends. It is advisable to adopt conservative operations such as appropriately increasing margin, strictly executing take-profit and stop-loss orders, and setting daily profit targets. For instance, using a principal of 5000U to earn a steady 2% daily (100U), resulting in monthly earnings of 2000-3000U, is far more reliable than the ups and downs of all-in bets.
In summary, leverage should match capital and trading plans, and it is best to use a per-position model to isolate risks. Profits depend on successful strategies and a good mindset. When trading, avoid greed and emotional impulses; do not fantasize about getting rich overnight, and especially avoid consecutive liquidations. Remember, contracts can amplify profits but also magnify losses; rational use can help avoid unnecessary detours.

$BTC

Bitcoin is trending again! From 'Digital Gold' to 'King of Roller Coasters' in a magical daily routine
While you are still debating whether to add an egg to your breakfast, Bitcoin has already completed a series of operations: 'surge 5% → drop 3% → stabilize in a sideways movement'. The heartbeat of cryptocurrency players is almost sawtooth shaped. This 'digital native' born in 2008 has recently become a regular in financial news, as global central banks are increasingly researching digital currencies.
Some compare it to 'the gold of the crypto world', claiming its total supply is fixed and never increases, making it a tool against inflation; others criticize it as a '24-hour non-stop roller coaster', with daytime surges making you want to increase investments and midnight drops making you want to turn off the lights. Interestingly, it can be seen as a future currency by Silicon Valley moguls and used by African vendors to receive cross-border payments, truly a 'slashie' in the financial world.
The latest news is that Bitcoin has quietly crossed the $30,000 mark, and some in the community have started calling for a 'target of $100,000', while others have quietly opened their dollar-cost averaging calculators.
#比特币流动性危机

Important Updates on August 8
The cryptocurrency sector has welcomed several key developments. Binance will remove multiple FDUSD trading pairs today at 14:00 (UTC+8), including full margin DOGS/FDUSD, MOVE/FDUSD, and isolated DOGS/FDUSD, among others. Investors need to close positions or transfer assets beforehand to avoid losses.
The 5M protocol of Jubi officially launched today, creating a five-year mutual assistance mechanism with an innovative business model, allowing free entry and exit of principal, achieving a daily yield of 3%, ensuring safety through decentralized custody and smart contracts, and supporting free transfer of cross-chain assets.
Additionally, the unlocking of popular tokens in August continues, with IMX unlocking 13.1 million USD today. Since most of the supply has already circulated, this unlocking may have limited impact on the market. Furthermore, news that Trump plans to allow Americans' retirement funds to invest in cryptocurrencies has triggered a rise in the prices of Bitcoin and others, and the market is closely monitoring the subsequent policy implementation. #币圈新闻

Crypto Market Semi-Annual Report: Market and Trend Update​
In the first half of 2024, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies showed a fluctuating upward trend, achieving a growth of 37.3% from the beginning of the year to reach $2.27 trillion. Bitcoin ETFs attracted over $14 billion due to liquidity premiums, while Ethereum's re-staking ecosystem contributed significantly to alpha returns, with Layer-2 locked value surging by 90% year-on-year to $43 billion. DeFi TVL surpassed $94.1 billion with a 72.8% increase. The market capitalization of stablecoins reached a two-year high of $161 billion, with USDC and USDe expanding their share due to compliance. ​
In the second half of the year, the penetration rate of institutional holdings continued to rise, and the approval of ETH ETFs is expected to bring in incremental funds. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations in September reinforced the market's risk-on sentiment, accelerating the implementation of Bitcoin scalability solutions and creating structural opportunities. New narratives around ownership economies like DePIN and DeSoc are emerging, while the tokenization of RWA releases value through on-chain rights confirmation. Improved user retention rates in Web3 games support valuation recovery. ​
Investment advice: Employ a barbell strategy for diversified allocation, focus on fundamentally solid targets, strictly implement stop-loss and take-profit disciplines, and avoid FOMO-driven irrational trading.
#BTC走势分析

Cryptocurrency Market Core Trends Overview for the Second Half of 2025
In the second half of 2025, the cryptocurrency market will undergo multiple transformations, presenting both opportunities and challenges.
On the policy front, global regulatory divergence is evident, with the United States incorporating Bitcoin into its strategic assets and multiple countries accelerating central bank digital currency pilot programs, making compliance a core consideration.
Technological innovation continues to make strides: Ethereum Layer 2 solutions significantly improve efficiency, reducing transaction fees to a few cents; emerging public chains like Solana and Avalanche seize market share with their technological advantages.
The market landscape is being reshaped, with institutions like MicroStrategy significantly increasing their Bitcoin holdings, and derivatives trading volume surpassing spot trading, indicating a notable trend towards institutionalization.
Application scenarios are continually expanding: DeFi extends into insurance and cross-border payments; NFTs intersect with fashion, sports, and combine with real assets such as real estate to form new hotspots.
Investment advice: Build a diversified portfolio that balances mainstream coins with potential projects, enhance compliance awareness and risk management, and respond rationally to market fluctuations.
#以太坊财库公司 $BTC

Exchange and Protocol Dynamics
Jubi Launches 5M Protocol (August 8): Adopts a five-year mutual assistance mechanism, daily return of 3%, supports cross-chain asset transfer, low fees; provides dual insurance with decentralized custody + smart contracts, principal can be freely deposited and withdrawn; sets aside 10 million USD to support the community, losses can return 30% of the principal, the remainder converted to JU computing power. BitcoinFi Ecosystem Lock-up Exceeds 10 Billion (August 7): The total lock-up value exceeds 10 billion USD, with staking (7.39 billion USD BTC) and lending being the main drivers, 3.32 billion USD participating in repeated staking; Babylon, Liquidium, and Stacks become early leaders in segmented fields.
Token and Market Dynamics
ETH Price Drops: As of August 7, ETH fell below 3800 USDT, currently reported at 3799.6 USDT, with a 24-hour drop of 4.33%. Ripple IPO Speculation Heats Up: Officials deny plans for a 2025 IPO, but over-the-counter trading valuation reaches 20 billion USD (almost double the repurchase valuation); analysts believe that listing may drive the integration of tokens and stocks, triggering adjustments in the financial market.
Corporate and Listing Dynamics
Bullish Applies for NYSE Listing: Submits SEC registration documents, covering the cryptocurrency exchange Bullish Exchange and media Coindesk; expected to rank among the top five publicly listed companies in Bitcoin holdings after listing.
Regulatory Policy Dynamics
U.S. Passes Multiple Cryptocurrency Bills: Trump signs the Stablecoin National Innovation Act, with stablecoin regulation entering the implementation phase. The House passes the CLARITY Act, aiming to weaken SEC’s cryptocurrency regulatory authority, to be sent to the Senate for review. The House passes the Anti-CBDC Act, prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing/testing central bank digital currencies without Congressional approval. #美国加征关税

It was in 2020, when the shadow of the pandemic loomed over the world, the economy fell into a recession, and the stock market was dismal. I stumbled upon an article about Bitcoin online, and the analysis of Bitcoin's future potential captivated me. At that time, the price of Bitcoin was relatively low, and I gritted my teeth, taking out my only savings of 50,000 yuan and investing it all in Bitcoin.
At first, everything went smoothly; Bitcoin's price steadily rose, and my assets continuously appreciated. However, the good times didn't last long; the market changed abruptly. In May 2021, Bitcoin's price suddenly plummeted, and my assets shrank by more than half in an instant. Watching the numbers in my account decrease relentlessly, I was anxious and even began to doubt whether I had chosen the wrong path. But I had an indomitable spirit deep down, and I firmly believed that Bitcoin's value would not be buried. So, I began to frantically search for various information, delving into the cryptocurrency market, analyzing every possible factor that could affect the price. During those difficult days, I only slept four to five hours a day, my eyes fixed on the candlestick charts on the computer screen, not missing any detail. Finally, my efforts paid off; I discovered some overlooked signals in the market and predicted that Bitcoin was about to welcome a new round of price increases. Therefore, I borrowed money from everywhere and gathered another 100,000 yuan. The moment Bitcoin's price hit the bottom and rebounded, I decisively increased my position.
The following months felt like a miracle. The price of Bitcoin soared, breaking one historical high after another. My assets grew rapidly as if on a rocket. When Bitcoin's price surpassed 60,000 dollars, the funds in my account exceeded 10 million. At that moment, I was so excited that tears filled my eyes; all my efforts had been rewarded.
I succeeded, transforming from an unknown small retail investor into a well-regarded investment expert in the eyes of many. I proved through my experience that as long as there is a firm belief, keen insight, and decisive decision-making ability, one can create their own wealth myth in a risky market.
#BTC

1. Speech Event by Federal Reserve Officials
Event Subject: 2027 FOMC Voting Member, Atlanta Fed President Bostic
Event Content: Participating online in a fireside chat regarding monetary policy with the Florida Chief Financial Officers Association
Market Impact: His remarks may influence market expectations regarding the direction of Federal Reserve monetary policy, requiring close attention from investors.
2. Release of U.S. Economic Data
Data Name: U.S. June Wholesale Sales Monthly Rate Expected Data: Decrease of 0.1%
Previous News: Month-on-month increase of 0.2%
Data Significance: Provides the market with the latest dynamics in the U.S. wholesale sales sector, reflecting trends in related economic activities.
#美联储何时降息？

The recent trend of ETH completely aligns with my previous prediction of an upward script, advancing steadily. Today, I impulsively tried a short position, and as a result, I fell halfway up the mountain, truly wanting to cry without tears.

The speed of this rally is simply incredible; in just half an hour, the price shot up, and the market changes so rapidly that it gives bears no chance to catch their breath.
#ETH大涨

The Practice of Top Traders
Mindset Reset, Steady as a Rock
Top traders view each trade as an inner cultivation, pursuing emotional stability during profit and loss. Trading is not just about the increase or decrease of funds; it is also a growth process through reflection and strategy optimization.
Every Trade Has Value
In the eyes of experts, there are no meaningless trades. Every operation is an opportunity to understand the market, adjust one's mindset, and enhance skills, focusing on long-term steady growth rather than short-term windfall profits. Small capital operations require more flexibility, acting according to the situation or timely stopping losses while waiting for better opportunities.
Hunting Patience and Precision
Like seasoned hunters, top traders emphasize the importance of patiently waiting, only taking action when the opportunity is at its peak, resolutely giving up on unclear chances. They deeply understand that knowing what not to do is more important than acting blindly, contrasting sharply with ordinary traders' eagerness for quick results.
Big Picture Perspective and Following the Trend
Focusing on macro trends and large cycles, they only participate in a limited number of high-quality opportunities each year. They build up energy in daily life and decisively follow the trend once it becomes clear, adapting to the market rhythm regardless of rises or falls, unconditionally obeying market signals in a state of 'no self', without personal bias.
The Wisdom of Subtraction
Experts are good at subtraction, reducing desires to lower risks. When wealth accumulates to a certain extent, they return to simplicity, and money is no longer the core pursuit. At this time, trading is like dancing with the market, operating calmly in resonance with the rhythm.
Introspection and Emotional Control
True traders do not predict the market; instead, they let the market lead, executing responses step by step. Each trade is an opportunity for introspection, observing one's thoughts and emotional fluctuations—are they unbalanced during consecutive losses? Are they complacent during profits? Through continuous reflection, they ultimately make trading as natural as daily life, maintaining inner peace.
The Market is a Mirror of the Mind
When emotional fluctuations approach zero, traders become exceptionally calm, not swayed by candlestick patterns, and do not act impulsively. At this moment, the market seems to fade away, with only a clear mind guiding trading decisions.
#加密市场回调

Focus on Bitcoin: It is a barometer for price fluctuations, altcoins are often influenced by it, while Ethereum occasionally has independent market movements.
Pay attention to Bitcoin and USDT: The two often move in opposite directions. If USDT rises, be wary of Bitcoin falling; if Bitcoin rises, consider buying USDT.
Utilize the early morning window: From 0 to 1 AM, it is easy to spike, you can place low buy and high sell orders.
Value morning judgments: From 6 to 8 AM, if there has been a continuous drop and it is still dropping, you can buy; if there has been a continuous rise and it is still rising, it is advisable to sell.
Pay attention to afternoon nodes: Around 5 PM, due to time differences, American capital operations can easily trigger large fluctuations.
Beware of 'Black Friday': Market conditions on Fridays can be volatile, so keep an eye on news.
Be patient with declining coins: Don't rush with coins that have trading volume and are dropping; holding more can help recover costs, except for junk coins.
Stick to long-term spot trading: Holding long-term with less trading often yields higher returns than frequent operations.
Pay attention to external factors: The attitudes of various countries, US policies, and statements from influential figures can affect coin prices, so it is necessary to watch financial news.
Maintain a rational mindset: Don't panic during significant drops, and don't be arrogant during substantial rises; it's wise to take profits at the right time.
#美国加征关税 $BTC

Cryptocurrency Beginner's Guide: Quick Start Strategy for Newbies
Just getting into cryptocurrency and feeling confused? This concise guide will help you get started quickly 👇
1. Quick Overview of Basic Concepts
Digital currency is a type of encrypted asset based on blockchain technology. Bitcoin, as the first digital currency, is the benchmark in the cryptocurrency world; Ethereum, on the other hand, has built a diverse ecosystem through smart contracts, and the two have significant differences in technical positioning and application scenarios. Understanding these core concepts is the foundation of getting started.
2. Practical Investment Tips
Diversified Allocation: Allocate funds proportionally between mainstream coins and potential altcoins, with mainstream coins (like Bitcoin and Ethereum) taking a large share, and the proportion of small-cap coins should not be too high to reduce the volatility risk of a single asset. Long-term Positioning: The cryptocurrency market experiences severe short-term fluctuations; holding high-quality coins for the long term is more likely to share in industry growth dividends. Rational Analysis: Learn to use professional platforms to view K-lines, trading volumes, and other data, but you must make independent judgments and avoid blindly following trends.
3. Key Points for Risk Prevention
Policy Risk: Closely monitor regulatory developments in various countries to avoid losses due to policy changes. Technical Risk: Choose safe and reliable trading platforms and wallets to guard against potential vulnerabilities in blockchain technology. Market Risk: Maintain a rational mindset and do not let market sentiment or large investors' actions sway your decisions.

Investment involves risks; proceed with caution. Mastering the basic logic will help you navigate the cryptocurrency world more steadily.
#加密市场回调 #美SEC放行流动性质押

Friends in the crypto world, don't just study charts!
Eat more oysters to replenish energy, so you have the stamina to study all night!
#币安HODLer空投PROVE #币安Alpha上新

Market Fluctuation: BTC has been fluctuating in the past two days, peaking at $115,716 on August 6 before retreating, currently focusing on the $110,000 level with a variation of 1,000 points; ETH is similar, focusing on the $3,200 - $3,400 range, with weakness possibly down to $3,000 - $3,200. Price Changes: LINK has risen 5.04% in the last 24 hours to $16.27; ADA, XRP, DOGE, and others have seen increases of over 3% in the last 24 hours; CRO, HBAR, XLM, and others have seen increases of 8% from August 3 to 4.
#比特币流动性危机

From an 8,000 Monthly Salary to a 10 Million Asset: My Cryptocurrency Trading Comeback
At that time, I was earning an 8,000 monthly salary in a first-tier city, commuting on the subway every day, lamenting the soaring housing prices. By chance, I came into contact with cryptocurrencies, and with the mindset of changing my fate, I embarked on my trading journey.
In the early stages, I studied candlestick charts for half a month and discovered that a certain mainstream cryptocurrency had stabilized above the 60-day moving average during a pullback, with trading volume shrinking to a recent low, indicating it had entered a relatively safe zone. I decided to test the waters with three months' salary, buying in when the cryptocurrency pulled back to a key support level. Just as I entered, the market experienced turbulence, and the price of the cryptocurrency plummeted nearly 30%, breaking below the 50% retracement level. However, the weekly level did not show increased downward volume. I researched the technical logic and application scenarios of the cryptocurrency, firmly believing that its value remained unchanged, and gritted my teeth to hold on without cutting losses.
As the market gradually stabilized amidst panic, the MACD indicator for the cryptocurrency produced a golden cross, and it began to rise slowly. When the price returned to the break-even point and broke through the 20-day moving average, I did not rush to exit. Instead, based on the signal of rising volume and price, I added my year-end bonus to my investment. During this period, I experienced multiple violent fluctuations; at times, the daily rise exceeded 20%, triggering the RSI overbought signal, and at other times, it dropped 15% overnight but found support at key levels. The high volatility of cryptocurrencies made me deeply feel the sensation of my heart racing alongside the candlestick charts.
As positive news from the industry continued to be released, mainstream cryptocurrencies entered a frenzied bull market. Prices soared past previous highs, and trading volume continued to increase. My portfolio value rose from tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands, and then broke through a million. I wasn't blinded by success; each time the price touched the ascending trend line resistance, I began to take profits in batches. With each increase, I sold part of my holdings, locking in profits while retaining opportunities.
When the market heat peaked, and the price deviated too far from the moving average, showing a top divergence formation, I decisively liquidated the remaining holdings. Looking at the seven-figure balance in my bank account, I was stunned — from an 8,000 monthly salary to a 10 million asset, this comeback seemed dreamlike, but it was actually supported by technical analysis. However, it must be recognized that technical analysis is not omnipotent; the wealth gained from cryptocurrency trading carries great randomness. High returns come with high risks, and ordinary people should not follow the trend blindly.
#香港稳定币新规

In the middle of the night, the WeChat notification sounded urgently. A message from fan Xiao Lin came with a crying tone: "Teacher, I lost 3000U in cryptocurrency trading over the past two weeks, and now I can't even eat." On the other side of the screen, he had just started learning about cryptocurrencies, following so-called 'experts' to buy high and sell low, depleting the money he had set aside for rent. After reviewing his trading records, I found that he always entered the market at the peak of the price. I told him to stop for three days, spending two hours each day learning the basics of candlestick charts while I helped analyze the support levels of mainstream coins. On the fourth day, when he had some starting capital, I advised him to invest 500U to test the waters and enter decisively when Bitcoin pulled back to a key level. A week later, Bitcoin's rebound brought a 20% profit, and I reminded him to take profits in time. The altcoins we had positioned also caught a small market wave, steadily gaining over twenty days. When Xiao Lin sent me a screenshot, his account balance prominently displayed 8000U— not only recovering the lost 3000U but also netting a profit of 5000U. He said this was the first time he realized that making profits in the cryptocurrency world relies not on luck, but on rationality and patience. If you feel helpless and confused about trading right now, and want to learn more about the cryptocurrency world and get the latest cutting-edge information, click on my profile picture to follow me. You won't get lost in this round of the bull market!

How easy is it to make money in the crypto world?
Once you see the opportunity, just go for it. In less than a month, I cashed out 17,000 USDT.
#个人投资者
Homepage can bring you along.

If life is not satisfactory, then earn more Usdt
Your good luck is about to come❗❗
Auspicious wealth and self-affirmation copy
1. No matter how golden it is, I just want to earn a fortune daily.
2. A lone sail comes from the sun's edge, this year will definitely bring great wealth.
3. Love wealth and love oneself, success will follow.
4. Wealth won't get lost, all roads lead to riches!
5. Spirit of heaven and earth, the wind of wealth blows endlessly.
6. Wealth path is smooth, every step leads to abundance!
7. Waiting quietly for wealth to arrive, gold flows in from all directions!
8. Loving wealth with a principle, prosperity is within reach.
9. No anger, only wealth.
10. Smooth winds and waters, with the God of Wealth, having a house, a car, and savings.
11. Good things are brewing, wishes come true.
12. I am free, I have unlimited possibilities, everything that happens is beneficial to me.
13. Every day is a good day, everything is a good thing.
14. Earn money generously, work diligently to become rich.
15. Say to yourself every day, make money, prosper, prosper, prosper, prosper!!

Compared to cross-border e-commerce, platform advertising, and other models with high trial-and-error costs and reliance on luck for replication, trading is a more flexible solo-profit skill: from historical backtesting to simulated trading, and then gradually transitioning from small real-money accounts to large-capital operations, a step-by-step progression makes learning risks controllable. In the foreign trading circles I know, there are even teenagers who haven't finished high school who have already made a name for themselves in foreign exchange trading, and the core logic of trading strategies in areas such as cryptocurrency, stocks, and futures is often the same.
To become a consistently profitable trader, you need to do three things:
Master an appropriate strategy: First, lock in a field (such as specializing in cryptocurrency contracts), and find a strategy that suits you after trial and error - if you can only spend 1-2 hours a day looking at the market, a high-frequency intraday strategy is not as suitable as a swing trading strategy. After finding a direction, use more than a year of data to complete more than 200 backtests (the amount of orders can be appropriately reduced if the swing strategy looks at the 4-hour line), and confirm profitability before entering the market, which is far more reliable than a newbie going all-in. Strictly adhere to risk management: No trader can have a 100% win rate, the key is to "earn more and lose less" in the long run. The risk-reward ratio (RR) is more important than the win rate: a 1:3 RR strategy can be profitable with a 33% win rate, and losing two orders and winning one order can cover the losses. But you must set a stop loss to avoid the "small win, big loss" trap - mature traders in the circle never let a single order have no stop loss, and the loss of each order is clearly controllable. At the same time, rules must be set: stop trading after two consecutive losses or a 10% loss in a single day to prevent "getting carried away" with revenge trading. Polish your trading mindset: The premise of a good mindset is a solid strategy and risk control, otherwise, talking about mindset is meaningless. Some people perform well during backtesting, but frequently break the rules in live trading - they close positions early for fear of losing profits, preventing profitable orders from reaching the RR of backtesting; or they are eager for quick results, thinking that learning a skill should be like a "crash course", forgetting that even four years of college may not be enough to develop a skill to make a living. Start part-time, let the data speak, skills are easy to learn, but mindset requires long-term cultivation.
#ETH巨鲸增持