Despite reaching a new ATH due to FOMO, just as we suspected, after a long wait for pro-crypto speech, Donald Trump has chosen to omit any details about it. Coincidence?
So, what do you think is happening? Are you worried about selling at a loss? If the answer is yes, at this point I recommend you do it and close your account. This is NOT for you.
I have been very persistent in warning you about the caution with market manipulation; I repeat, the big players will never share profits.
That Trump hasn't even mentioned cryptos, after launching his own meme, does that seem natural to you? You don't have to be a genius, just REASON, it's simple.
Evidently, I remain bullish and I find myself at a loss in most of my portfolio, although I knew this scenario was more than likely, I find the risk of losing the upward movement unacceptable. Am I going to despair over this? NEVER! No matter what your crypto guru says, I see no way to view a bear market. At this point, the price could go sideways until the big players decide to push it up.
We haven't even dropped by 10% and there's already drama in the feed; if you're so sensitive, invest in the S&P500 or some market with low volatility, but if there's one thing I can guarantee you, it's that altseason is still near. If you want a hint about its start, just wait for the negative news; that's when they'll take the opportunity to enter and leave you out.
If you still don’t fully understand, visit my profile and take the time to read my posts; you'll understand in detail what's happening.
Take care of your emotions, don’t be checking the chart every 5 minutes these days; if you’re in, be patient and let the moment come, you'll reap great benefits. Otherwise, set alerts so that at some point you can enter.
I close by reminding you, the market will NOT warn you when it’s going to rise; it will do everything to catch you off guard, this has been one of the main alerts we’ve had for today, everyone talking about the rise. Let the weak hands be liquidated and decide if you want to be part of them; it's your money.
Forget about the market these days or you will go crazy. I've been telling you this for months now. The market won't skyrocket with everyone in it; it won't rise until they liquidate you.
Although the altseason has indeed been delayed longer than expected and December did not project the anticipated rally, this does not mean we are heading down.
Between news and news, they have tried to bring the price down; even so, we haven't broken any relevant support, and I don't see it happening.
Despite everything, we remain bullish and we must continue holding to see the great rewards.
I avoid posting since I don't even log in to see my negative portfolio; I, like many of you, have significant "losses"; however, under no circumstances do I sell; that's what it’s about, holding until they decide the time has come.
Don't panic, don't be fooled, and have a little more patience.
Only fools could sell after such news, expecting a real drop.
Learn, if the market owners say "I don't like hot water," my friend, start showering with it! 💧
Always go against the news, no one but them decides when something goes up or down, and they almost always manage it by saying 3 words, which only suggest the opposite side of the reaction to you. Thus, while Trump speaks, those who manage his accounts and/or those of his powerful friends are entering the market and in the opposite direction to where they are sending you.
This is NOT a real fundamental, it is just a joke, he knows the power of what he is saying and knows perfectly the outcome of it.
Don't just read it, INTERNALIZE it. Your results will be proportional to what you have in your head or do you prefer to waste years and capital due to the arrogance of believing that you know everything?
Here we are all learners, filter and internalize the information that seeks to educate you instead of wasting time on nonsense.
Paying for a good course will help you a lot, a mentor is always necessary, a professional, qualified to educate people (I am not).
A mentor with results will first address your psychology, however, if you cannot afford it now, start preparing your mind; there is a lot of free material. This way, when you have the capital, much work will be advanced and you may already be seeing results, at least in Spot.
Take action, the benefits come along with it, and believe me, the mind is the main vehicle.
I will be creating posts about this, as I am constantly surprised by the number of people who only seek to increase their capital and end up crying with substantial losses, which usually takes them a lot of effort to earn.
Please, do not give your money to those who already have so much. Before investing, understand where you are putting your capital and try to see the hands that are above you, moving thousands of puppets, to move with them and NOT through them.
I usually don't get into meme projects. Yes, they can generate great profit, however, I'm not very fond of the uncertainty behind a shaky project or unknown objectives.
Despite this, I decided to invest part of my liquidity in TRUMP, all the alerts indicated that I SHOULD NOT do it. My logical side was so sure that I didn't even dare to talk about it through this medium.
Main alert: the whole feed talking about this meme, leaving other projects to get into this one, plus everything, listed on Binance late, very late, etc. However, and despite ignoring all sensationalist posts, there are fundamentals behind it that, although they have no real relevance, do have power. Donald Trump.
My mind inflated with an idea, the ego of this capitalist leader, "will not allow a coin in his name to be stagnant or to fall greatly".
Even Trump's ego is strategically dominated by investor intelligence, friends.
Why do I mention this,
Even if it’s a project that explodes, just for carrying the last name of our friend, which for me is already a solid base, there are moments to enter, NOT out of FOMO, that’s what I did; although I usually ignore rumors, my logic was overshadowed by the "fear" (which is usually more greed), of being left out.
I do not regret it, it’s a reminder that our senses, no matter how much they understand part of the market, must be controlled; we cannot act on instinct thinking we have reasoned coherently.
Learn from me, jajdjajs
Good luck to everyone and I hope you didn't enter just like me at levels over 40USD, I know it will rise when the market owners consider it necessary, but with so much volatility it's better to wait, it could keep falling, there are still those who will sell out of fear. But anyway, there are worse evils, there were those who entered at 70 😵💫 all bad jajsja. joke, joke. But relax, everything recovers as long as you don't sell. 💖🍀
Small print: The delay applies depending on how high you entered 😵💫😶🌫️ $TRUMP
I feel so confident in my analysis that I published it even when we reached a new ATH (I wrote it just before and just published it in another post). Come on, this is just manipulation followed by FOMO so far.
$BTC
They brought the price down, took liquidity from those who don't follow their analysis and get scared, only to then rise to a new ATH.
Imagine now that the news they have to give is positive, with an inclusive discourse for Blockchain, starting with a new pro-crypto SEC president. Let's not get ahead of ourselves. Let's not get too excited yet; we started the day well, but it's just speculation. Don't let FOMO invade you; let's rise but healthily, let the price act.
Be alert!
PS - I invite you to verify my analysis throughout the entire previous week. Precise movements to what we have had so far. All in my profile.
... Everything rises when you least expect it and now everyone is anticipating the rise. A drop could occur after a STRONG manipulation with some news today, causing panic and large investors exiting the market en masse, driving the price down, only to recover it later, when YOU, who sell at a loss, have been liquidated.
• Maintain a strong portfolio regardless of the outcome of today's speech, assessing whether you can afford to be stuck in losses without selling.
• Understand this, the price only rises when THEY decide it, everything indicates that it currently HAS to rise, historically it has been so and the momentum that was expected for December has NOT materialized, it is just around the corner. But will it be now, or will they postpone it for the coming weeks?
• The worst-case scenario this time would only lead us to hold for a longer time; I believe (if it were to happen), it would be a quick drop; large investors are VERY invested now, a market crash or being trapped for a long time does not benefit them.
• We are at the beginning of the crypto era, the time is now, this could only be changed by a dirty play to delay what is already inevitable and almost unavoidable.
• In the best and most likely case, your portfolio will be multiplying handsomely in the coming days.
🔺Support that $BTC should NOT break with decisiveness $99,368. Let’s stay alert to the market and valid fundamentals today.
P.S. - If you expect me to tell you what the price will do, that will never happen, there are many smoke sellers around here that you would be better off following; I speak to you from logic mixed with experience.
Understand the MM so that you can be independent and always prepared for any scenario. I continue to bet on the rise. I cannot control the manipulation, but I can control my mind; otherwise, I wouldn't invest here. If they don't come out with any negative news to strongly manipulate the market, you can be sure to see a new ATH today and unimaginable prices soon.
... At this moment, it is very complex for the market to gather liquidity below $99K; there would need to be a lot of selling volume, with fast candles and a bearish decision. A strong drop below these levels could give us the introduction to fill the imbalances left above 80K; the market is currently NOT prepared for this, although it remains a likely scenario, a rise with a new ATH at this point is VERY necessary.
The uncertainty, following the assurance of an imminent rise today, develops after the forced re-creation of Trump's pro-crypto image, following his victory, just days before being sworn in. We cannot help but question ourselves: Are they simply looking to multiply their capital and power in the crypto market by leveraging the fact that everyone will be paying attention to their words today? Or rather, are they requiring more liquidity to genuinely push for an exorbitant rise in a few weeks?
What is presented here is simple speculation. Trump's public behavior (very exposed pro-crypto flag, even creating his own currency) does not align with the usual movements of the Market Makers; in simple terms, they are not the type to shout at people, "come buy cheap, so you can sell high later"; on the contrary, they will always try to get into your head, convincing you to invest all your money in something, only to later release news that is completely against what you thought, causing uncertainty and speculation, liquidating to then go where the price naturally should go.
If this is just paranoia and we completely ignore my speculation, the whole scenario is set for a significant rise, which would transcend the next few hours above $111K, for a subsequent movement of BTC dominance to altcoins and the creation of new millionaires.
I will conclude in the following post. Use the image as a guide. 2/3
We have seen that the market behaved over the weekend as we analyzed, it even gave us the worst scenario that we indicated here, bouncing off the trend line of the previous bearish channel, converted into a valid support, but not before liquidating those who had their SL close. Now, although the price has respected our analysis, there is a factor that worries me a little: 2 new launches of crypto-memes, where Trump's pro-crypto image is reinforced.
Although it would be an early move to multiply their capital, it also seems a bit of a desperate strategy for this and they are evidently shouting at small investors to enter the market. They will NEVER give away benefits, I do not want to believe that they are looking to liquidate millions upon millions of dollars, making us correct to the low resistance at $82K.
All public discourse is very obviously pro-crypto-adoption, which seems to take the form of manipulation, although the possibility that they are simply seeking to use their power to multiply exorbitantly, more than their assets, their market capitalization/dominance is undiscarded.
I allow myself the benefit of the doubt, assuming any scenario WITHOUT SELLING, which is unacceptable at this point and even less so in the middle of a cycle, with great leaders of world finance, being pro-cryptos.
If you are really interested in understanding this market, take the time to educate yourself beyond the obvious. After this basic writing, taking into consideration the limitations in characters, I will immediately continue with this analysis in a clear way in a second post, which you can find on my profile. It will have the same image as a guide. Give yourself a few minutes so that you can be more informed and prepared for the MM.
We are still in the most decisive period of the market. 1/3 $BTC #TRUMPOnBinance
The market has picked up a bit, closing exactly at 50% of the pending imbalance since December 19, after liquidating positions taken based on it.
Everything seems to be on track 💰.
The daily candle, for its part, has closed exactly at 70% of the size of its body, showing good buying volume and decision. What I indicated was necessary in my posts today.
Now, we may be seeing a slight correction, as I mentioned earlier, looking to gain momentum at the support left by the downward channel that has been forming since December 11, 2024 ($99,748) and thus continue its great rise.
If I had to consider what could be the deepest level of this small correction, I would dare to point out the support at $99,368; although it is not strong, it can easily serve as momentum for the price increase, strengthening for later touches.
However, I do NOT believe that the price will drop to these levels anytime soon; I mention it only if you are questioning the "worst-case scenario" before reaching a new AHT. It is much more likely to bounce at $99,748 or simply lateralize until Monday.
We are at the weekend; it is necessary to wait for this day, where regardless of the details of the position-taking, only the FOMO would be driving the price to reach and perhaps exceed the current AHT.
It is time to re-check our portfolio, assess if any modification is necessary, and after feeling secure/comfortable with it, relax, take a breather, and wait.
Take this weekend for yourself; the coming week is loaded with uncertainty and perhaps a lot of volatility. You must have your emotions well-regulated.
Happy weekend and much prosperity in your wallet. Until Monday. 🍀
- Today's candle is VERY important; if it closes decisively and strongly upward, we can prepare for a rise to or above the current AHT. It would need to close with more than 70% of its current body.
- The imbalance in the 1D range, at the top of the chart, has been filled. A slight correction is possible as a result.
Considering these two factors, along with the relevant fundamentals we already know, I do not see a correction that exceeds the trend line or support left by the previous channel; touching that support may be necessary.
Less likely, but possible, would be for the price to continue its upward path, however the mentioned imbalance (just completed) makes me doubt this option.
I have 4 scenarios, although there are many, all imply a rise.
It is necessary to consider the imbalance at the top of the chart (between $105,321 and $102,802), where the following possibilities are evident:
1- Fill 100% of the imbalance, correct down to the support left by the channel (upper) and start the rise.
2- Correct after reaching 50% of the imbalance, down to the same support and start the rise.
3- Traverse the entire imbalance, liquidating those who have previous short positions in this area (perhaps reaching the current AHT), subsequently correcting down to the ceiling or floor of the imbalance (maybe even down to the upper support of the channel) and start the rise. It is important to mention that there is very little time for all this movement.
4- Immediate rise, with very little correction, reaching a new AHT.
Remember the upcoming events, there is no time at least this month, for a greater correction (except under manipulation).
Remember. They will try to make you sell.
BE FIRM in YOUR analysis and truly important events. I only share my market idea and according to how I move in SPOT. For buying/selling entries, you would have to take a direct option, I only apply these scenarios for holding.
We are trapped between important support and resistance, however, if the price were to fall, I doubt at this point it would fall below $91K, and to justify this fact, they would have to start negative news campaigns in search of liquidity (where the trade-gurus here are very helpful).
Although it is very little time to fall, it is still probable, come on! It's Bitcoin.
Please, I only ask you to keep in mind that YOU are the liquidity. What could you be reading these days?, "Trump considers greater regulations are necessary for bitcoin trading", "Musk exposes the negative side of cryptocurrencies", "Sailor re-directs XXX Bitcoins to another wallet to sell, which announces a market crash", more re-posting of drama due to 5% - 10% drops. 😑😕. etc, etc, etc.
So how do you prepare your mind to be here? If 90% of your results depend on it. Who are you? How do you regulate your emotions? If BTC fell, what idea will you take refuge in? "That woman in the post said it would go up!" or, on the other hand, will you take responsibility understanding that it would be (hypothetically) simple decontextualized manipulation, for some benefit of the MM.
That's what this world is about. Uncertainty will ALWAYS be there, if you see the post pinned on my profile, you will find an image that represents what they are and their great power.
Ignore it, learn to identify real and relevant fundamentals, from manipulative gossip. I don't have a crystal ball 🔮 to give you certainty about anything, however, I will tell you my position. What was sold was already sold and re-bought, what was bought stays with me, these next few months for me, WITH or WITHOUT correction, will be Hold.
I still believe that if the market breaks $101K to the upside, with force, we will not see BTC below $100K again anytime soon. I am waiting for this moment to be fully bullish.
They dodged two bullets, not just the one from the future event on 20-E.
The inflation report in the USA was more positive than expected. These are the relevant fundamentals for the short and medium term. There was a lot of uncertainty about this data.
Understand me, it has NOT only been removed from the list of relevant fundamentals that cause uncertainty and sell-offs (considering how the USA was financially anticipated to perform), but it has been better than expected.
Boom, that is to say, if it had come out negative, the price would have corrected, perhaps reaching the dreaded supports between 82-88 USD, and after the inauguration, it would still seek to rise. (Yes, the price would rise anyway, but it would take advantage of this week to correct a bit).
On the other hand, we are halfway through the cycle and the market has not developed as it should (yet). If you hold onto history, you will notice that BTC in December did not do what it usually does post-halving during those dates; a significant rise is necessary and has already been delayed.
What will happen now? Let's see,
- POSITIVE Fundamental - Crypto-friendly leaders to take over - Post-halving - Mid-cycle - Price action ✅ - Dates!!!! Plus some factor that I might be overlooking now.
A chart or what a guru from around here told you will never give you profit or constant return. Educate yourself, understand this, while you analyze. The chart tends to fulfill IN TANDEM with the relevant fundamentals. But like everything, there will always be inconsistencies (for us); a drop in these points would be nothing more than a misplaced manipulation by the MM. (A very out-of-context liquidity take).
For my part, I hope the line of $101.112K $BTC is broken to feel the continuity.
Continue your analysis, not someone else's. Wishing you success and much prosperity for taking the time to educate yourself.🍀 💰
The key date is approaching. Anything can happen; the correction between $82-88K is still likely. However, given the upcoming socio-political events, everything points to a bull market.
Remember, we are halfway through the cycle, and it is likely that the price will rise (if the market behaves consistently with the mentioned events), reaching another AHT. The completely uncertain scenario would be if, after that, we witness a deeper drop below 120K or if the price slips out of our hands.
In any case, and although we do not know what will happen before January 20th, there is a bullish momentum; I hope you haven't sold at a loss and are preparing for a rise, which, although we do not know if it marks the beginning of the altseason (which is VERY likely), will leave us with profits.
High possibility of reaching lower levels 82-88USD, before continuing its upward trend to the levels we all expect.
Get ready!
In the market, those who win are the ones who are prepared and know where to move, not those who have more capital (beyond the strong hands).
I never tire of repeating it. NEVER trade in favor of news; fundamentals are important, but there is a very thin line between information and manipulation.
Think like a Smart Trader and win! That’s why you are here.
Remember, only 1% of those who are part of this world achieve success. Are these superior to the rest? NO, they just control their mind. You will succeed if you read this several times and internalize it; understanding the idea is not enough. Understand the process and put it into practice, make it part of you.
Your first commandment must be the fulfillment of your risk management; your religion, the study for the permanent achievement of profit.
Many people are asking for information on how to start. Is it time to buy? Sell? Hold?
I have already mentioned tirelessly that everyone should follow their analysis strategy. Anyone can tell you to buy or sell, but no one will be responsible for your losses or gains.
Taking the above into consideration, without telling you what to do, I will briefly mention how I have been managing my portfolio, at my own risk.
At high points I sold partially, to re-buy at lower points. Yesterday I entered the market with 30% of my liquidity. Particularly, I will wait for a deeper fall to enter another 30-40%.
Will it continue to fall?
NO ONE beyond the MM knows, however I do not believe there will be a real rise until the week of 20JAN. On the contrary, it would not be surprising if $BTC fell further to levels between 82-88💲 and MY strategy is supported by the fall to those points.
What happens if it doesn't fall?
I'm already in with my portfolio diversified in purchases from previous months, plus the new 30% recently invested and liquidity that should never be lacking in it.
Invest intelligently, prepared for any scenario. Remember, the market is created to go against what you expect. You are the liquidity.
And we are seeing in the market what was announced, the necessary correction that I have been mentioning so much, to continue with the great rise. I hope you haven't started buying at overbought prices thanks to the many gurus who cited the beginning of altseason last week.
In any case, and although it sounds cliché, now we are indeed in a buying season, be smart and buckle up, since now we can know that even if the market falls a little more, it's just a matter of time for altseason; always keep in mind that the development of this phenomenon, we will see, although very soon, unexpectedly. Don't expect the market to give a warning, it will never happen.
Good luck to everyone and may our portfolios multiply in the coming weeks/months.
It is time to pay close attention to the market, we will soon start seeing multiple news items, remember not to trade in favor of them.
Despite the fact that we are almost at the beginning of the altseason, it is likely that the market makers will need liquidity due to the dates, to which we must add various socio-political factors that are developing and others that are approaching.
Let us hold on to our market analysis, seeking to understand what serves the strong hands at this moment, so that we can act accordingly; the altseason is about to begin, anyway, this event will take place when we least expect it, that is the strategy of the big investors. (It is worth mentioning that I remain firm in the idea that a correction is still needed).