hao599

#美联储FOMC会议 若降息落地：
流动性预期激增，市场“水龙头”打开，资金或将蜂拥涌入，加密资产迎来一波暴涨行情！
• 若意外加息：
借贷成本飙升，风险偏好骤降，市场恐慌抛售加剧，加密板块可能遭遇深度回调！
• 若维持利率不变：
市场将陷入极度敏感状态，剧烈波动在所难免，多空博弈升级，方向选择将充满不确定性。

$BTC 一根拉满的弓，106500就是放箭的那一刻
你以为的震荡，是主力在拉弓蓄力。
BTC从103000反弹至105200，技术上正在逼近106500这道关键阻力。一旦突破，就是情绪+技术的双重点火。
不要再幻想“回踩更低价”，这种位置只有两种结果：你买进吃肉，或等它飞了只能看别人吃。
127000不是梦，而是剧本。现在，只是刚拉开序幕

On June 16, 2025, the State Bank of Vietnam published the 'Draft for Managing the Virtual Asset Market', which is causing significant fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market. The core of its policy includes three sets of contradictory games:
1. Fiat Currency Channel Game: The draft allows licensed exchanges to enable direct trading in Vietnamese Dong (currently, only 5 platforms that account for 17% of the market share meet the requirements), but it requires freezing 50% of cryptocurrency assets as reserves. As a result, the OTC market in Ho Chi Minh City, the largest in Vietnam, has seen a premium of 8.3% for USDT.

#Trump Bitcoin Vault
In June 2025, Trump's activity in the crypto community surged, not only frequently liking tweets related to Bitcoin but also being revealed by anonymous sources to have "secretly held over 100,000 BTC." Although his team did not respond directly, coincidentally, Trump recently publicly called for "America must lead cryptocurrency innovation" and hinted that if elected, he would promote more relaxed regulatory policies.
Analysts point out that this move may be to gain support from young voters and crypto billionaires. After all, in his 2024 campaign, he has already accepted BTC donations, and now rumors of "Bitcoin holdings" have resurfaced, making the timing delicate. What is the truth? Perhaps only his wallet address can answer that.$BTC

#特朗普比特币金库 #特朗普比特币金库
In June 2025, Trump's activity in the cryptocurrency community soared, as he frequently liked Bitcoin-related tweets and was revealed by anonymous sources to have a 'secret holding of over 100,000 BTC.' Although his team did not respond directly, it is a coincidence that Trump recently publicly called for 'the U.S. to lead in cryptocurrency innovation' and hinted that if elected, he would promote more lenient regulatory policies.
Analysts point out that this move may be to attract young voters and support from crypto millionaires. After all, his campaign for 2024 has already accepted BTC donations, and now rumors of 'Bitcoin holdings' have resurfaced, making the timing delicate. What is the truth? Perhaps only his wallet address can answer that.

$ADA Cardano (ADA), this long-established coin among the top ten by market capitalization, has recently been heatedly speculated. Institutions like Hashdex have added it to the "shopping cart" of spot ETFs, and the regulatory expectations from the beautiful country have also caused considerable fluctuations. Once the March data was released, the ADA price successfully broke through $0.71, and the market began to speculate - hitting $1, or even challenging the historical high, is truly not a dream.
But there are still quite a few controversies. Some call it a "zombie coin," claiming it has been stagnant for a long time with low activity. But let’s not forget, ADA is backed by smart contract technology and a loyal fan community; its potential is still there. Especially with the recent actions of Paul S. Atkins, the new head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the beautiful country, the market is even more optimistic about its compliance prospects.

At $BTC , a cannon sounded in the Middle East, and the cryptocurrency market instantly collapsed!​​
Early this morning, Israel suddenly launched an airstrike on Iran's nuclear facilities, causing global risk aversion to explode. Bitcoin plummeted by $2000 in 15 minutes, Ethereum directly fell below the $2500 mark, and over $1 billion was liquidated across the network in 24 hours—most shocking was that a user on Binance had a single liquidation of $200 million; this wave was simply a 'collective crematorium for leveraged players'.
​Why does war affect the cryptocurrency market?​​
Geopolitical conflicts are like throwing a bomb into the market, causing funds to madly flee towards gold and oil (gold prices surged to $3430, oil prices skyrocketed by 6%). And what about the cryptocurrency market? It was supposed to be 'digital gold', but instead, it plummeted along with the US stock market.

#以色列伊朗冲突 A cannon sounded in the Middle East, and the cryptocurrency market instantly collapsed!​​
Early this morning, Israel suddenly launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, causing global risk aversion sentiment to explode. Bitcoin plummeted $2000 in 15 minutes, and Ethereum directly fell below the $2500 mark, with over $1 billion liquidated across the network in 24 hours—what's worse is that a user on Binance lost $200 million in a single trade, making this wave simply a 'collective crematorium for leveraged players'.
​ Why is the cryptocurrency market suffering during a war?​​
Geopolitical conflicts are like dropping a bomb into the market, with funds frantically fleeing to gold and oil (gold prices soared to $3430, oil prices surged by 6%). And what about the cryptocurrency market? It was supposed to be 'digital gold', but it plummeted along with the US stock market.

The BTC ETF had a net inflow of approximately $160 million yesterday, while the ETH ETF had a net inflow of approximately $240 million.
The ETH ETF has been in a state of net inflow for nearly a month, with a cumulative net inflow of about $1.2 billion from May 16 to now, which is likely one of the reasons for the recent strength of the ETH/BTC exchange rate.

On August 10, #美国加征关税 , the US and China engaged in a grueling 48-hour negotiation in London, finally managing to temporarily press the 'nuclear button' of the trade war, but the fuse is hissing. The most severe part is the drastic reduction in tariffs! The punitive tariffs imposed by the US on us plummeted from a terrifying 145% to 30%! Our retaliatory tariffs also dropped from 125% to 10%! Both sides are truly gritting their teeth and making significant concessions, even though it hurts!

Ethereum strongly broke above the $2800 mark, directly piercing the 200-day moving average, breaking the downward channel pressure of the past two weeks.
Along with the warming of prices, there is also a whole set of on-chain, derivative, and policy benefits, making one have to ask: Is Ethereum about to enter a new cycle?
In terms of market performance, ETH breaks through key resistance, and the technical image turns bullish.
This rise is not just a "small increase," but accompanied by the breaking of key resistance:
$2800 is the high point of several previous failed rebounds;
Currently, ETH has stood above the 200-day SMA and is attempting to convert it into support;

#加密圆桌讨论 SEC Regulation 180 Degree Drift: From 'Iron Fist Crackdown' to 'Issuing Immunity Gold Medal'
In the past few years, the SEC has been ruthless, with the Gensler era frequently suing Uniswap and Coinbase, causing project teams to rush to flee to Singapore overnight. However, in this roundtable meeting, the new chairman Paul Atkins directly threw out three major bombshell policies:

Miners and staking service providers are not considered securities intermediaries: PoW/PoS players can finally breathe easy, ETH 2.0 staking annualized at 5%? The SEC won't stop you from collecting rent!

Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been very volatile. Have you been staring at the charts until your head spins? Let me recommend a practical trading tool - Binance's grid trading!
I have a friend who is a seasoned trader. He used to manually do grid trading, setting price ranges and adjusting parameters, which was exhausting, and he often missed the best opportunities. Ever since he started using Binance's grid trading, it has become much easier for him.
The principle of this tool is not hard to understand. It divides your funds into several portions and automatically buys low and sells high within the set price range. For example, if you have confidence in a certain coin and believe it will fluctuate within a specific range, you can set up the grid and let the bot trade for you, earning profits from the fluctuations.

The measures taken by #纳斯达克加密ETF扩容 are likely to enhance the attention and accessibility of altcoins among traditional investors. As a well-known trading platform, Nasdaq's proposal to include XRP, SOL, ADA, and XLM in the cryptocurrency benchmark index signifies that these altcoins are making their way into the mainstream financial sector, attracting more attention from traditional investors. If approved by the SEC, the Hashdex ETF could invest in these cryptocurrencies, further increasing their liquidity and market depth, lowering investment thresholds, and enhancing accessibility. For portfolio strategy, if approved, it may be worth considering an appropriate allocation to these altcoins for diversified returns, but one must be mindful of their high volatility and regulatory uncertainty.

$BTC 中美正在英国谈判，这轮的起手式将有进展消息推动！
目前BTC、ETH在4小时依然震荡横盘，将破不破、将跌不跌，等消息！
BTC相对较强一直在105000以上横盘，周线也走出了回调浪和大长腿十字星，向下空间有限，如果消息利好将直接启动，如果二探下方依然先看103000支撑；

The US and China are negotiating in the UK, and this round's opening move will have progress news to drive it!
Currently, BTC and ETH are still oscillating sideways on the 4-hour chart, waiting for news to see if they will break or fall!
BTC has been relatively strong, remaining above 105000 in a sideways movement. The weekly chart has also shown a corrective wave and a long-legged doji, with limited downward space. If the news is favorable, it will directly trigger a move; if it tests down again, the support at 103000 will be the first point to watch.

#韩国加密政策 Korea's new cryptocurrency policy is forward-looking and groundbreaking. Promoting the 'Basic Law on Digital Assets' can regulate the market, support spot ETFs, and attract capital inflow by allowing national pension investments. The introduction of the Korean won stablecoin is beneficial for cross-border transactions and investor protection. If implemented smoothly, it could likely become a model for promoting cryptocurrency adoption in Asia, encouraging more countries to explore policies and practices in the cryptocurrency field.

#看懂K线 Common K-Line Patterns and Their Meanings
Long White Candle
Shape: Long body, with short upper and lower shadows.
Meaning: Indicates strong buying power in the market, significant price increase, usually seen as a strong buy signal.
Long Black Candle
Shape: Long body, with short upper and lower shadows.
Meaning: Indicates strong selling power in the market, significant price decrease, usually seen as a strong sell signal.
Doji
Shape: Very small body, or even no body, with long upper and lower shadows.
Meaning: Indicates that the market is in a state of indecision, with balanced buying and selling forces, may suggest a reversal of price trend or a temporary pause.

#常见交易错误 Lack of Risk Control
Not Setting Stop Loss: Many investors do not set stop loss points when trading, or continuously add to their positions after incurring losses in an attempt to lower their average cost, even borrowing to increase leverage. This practice can lead to small losses growing larger, ultimately resulting in liquidation or financial ruin.
Excessive Leverage: Using excessively high leverage for trading can amplify profits, but it also magnifies losses. In the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, excessive leverage can lead to significant losses for investors in a short period.

Technical Analysis $BTC
Short-term Trend: Bitcoin has strongly rebounded from the low of $100,377 on June 5, showing strong buying support.
Technical Indicators:
RSI Indicator: Quickly rebounded from the oversold area to around 55, indicating strong rebound momentum.
MACD Indicator: A golden cross occurred below the zero axis, with the histogram volume rapidly increasing, indicating that the short-term downward momentum has been exhausted.
Bollinger Bands: The lower band around $101,000 provides strong support, and the price has now returned to operating above the mid-band of the Bollinger Bands.
Pattern Analysis: A typical V-shaped reversal pattern is present, with a rapid rebound from the low on June 5, indicating that the market has received strong buying support at low levels.
Market Dynamics
Market Sentiment: The Fear and Greed Index rose to 69 (Greed Zone), but high leverage led to over $452 million in liquidations across the network in 24 hours, with short positions accounting for 57%.
Capital Flow: Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $616 million in a single day, setting a recent record, and institutions are increasingly willing to take short-term profits.
Miner Selling Pressure: Daily selling volume increased to 15,000 coins, which may suppress short-term rebounds.