Hamza Ikhlaq

极道桃园专属红包群
Because I have been caught in the rain, I always want to hold an umbrella for everyone!

$BNB to soar high 🚀💯

Gm ☀️ All eyes on $BTC . . . 👀

Toncoin (TON) Flips Shiba Inu as Bearish Reset Returns

Toncoin finally edges out second largest meme coin SHIB as market consolidation grows

Despite a 14.31% decline in the last 30 days, Toncoin (TON) has flipped dog-themed Shiba Inu (SHIB) in market capitalization ranking. $TON achieved this amid the bearish outlook in the ecosystem. Notably, TON has not been able to reclaim $3.50 in the past month.

Toncoin climbs despite 14% monthly decline
According to CoinMarketCap data, TON has experienced price volatility with deeper lows testing the $3.10 support levels. However, the asset has managed to flip SHIB, battling fluctuations and other ecosystem issues.
As of press time, TON's total market cap is $7.9 billion, which is $130 million more than SHIB's. Shiba Inu’s market has decreased by 2.07% to $7.77 billion within the last 24 hours.

$TON slipped from $3.32 in late April as key metrics, including trading volume, declined. After a recent dump by market participants, the asset appears to have entered a consolidation phase.
However, if volume picks up and the ecosystem sustains the momentum, TON might likely see a bullish breakout. Additionally, TON must climb to $3.35 to signal a major breakout opportunity.
Investors are watching the price outlook as a dip below the crucial $3.10 support could see TON plunge to $2.85.

If TON records a bullish breakout and reclaims $3.50, its market cap could soar to $8.68 billion. This would see it flip the 14th-ranked Stellar (XLM), which currently has a market cap of $8.36 billion.

Shiba Inu records market reversal and volume drop

$SHIB declined from $0.00001343 to $0.00001316 in the last 24 hours as a bearish reset took over the ecosystem. Investor trading outlook also recorded a pullback, resulting in a 27.62% decline in trading volume to $119.94 million.

This marks a reversal from the recent upsurge when over 13 billion SHIB tokens stunned crypto exchanges. The price outlook caused the reversal, with analysts watching for new breakout signals.

#TON

极道桃园专属红包群 Welcome all heroes to join!
All are welcome, none are retained!

Greed and cognitive biases are indeed major enemies on the investment journey. Here are a few core viewpoints:

1. The essential reasons for retail investors' losses

1.1. Behavioral dominance of the mind

Greed leads to "aggressive actions after gains and a gambler's mentality after losses," with dopamine driving frequent trading. High-frequency traders have a loss probability three times that of smart investors.

Example: Major players use technical indicators (such as head and shoulders, golden cross) to create illusions, inducing retail investors to chase prices and take over.

1.2. Cognitive and informational disadvantages

Retail investors rely on lagging and fragmented information (such as news and rumors), while institutions possess funding advantages and professional analytical capabilities.

Key reminder: Information can be easily manipulated; it's essential to cultivate independent judgment abilities (for example, by approaching from macro policies and market sentiment).

2. Breaking the deadlock strategy: from "human nature confrontation" to "system building"

2.1. Counter-intuitive operations: reverse thinking and position management

Wait with no position: Avoid blind trading, wait for market panic to hit a low point (such as widespread sell-offs by retail investors and concentrated negative media coverage) before entering the market.

Position control: Taking historical opportunities like "tax increases in country M" as an example, one can gradually build positions in undervalued ranges (such as half positions) to reduce risk.

2.2. Building a multi-dimensional cognitive system

Three major dimensions:

- Probability thinking: Acknowledge market uncertainty, formulate strategies using win rates and profit-loss ratios.

- Game theory thinking: Understand the psychological games between major players and retail investors, and avoid easily chasing prices and selling at losses.

- Ecological thinking: Examine investment targets from macroeconomic perspectives (such as East-West policy confrontations) and industry cycles.

2.3. Minimal execution principles

Reduce trading frequency: Lower the probability of making mistakes, only act in high-certainty opportunities.

Cut losses: Set strict stop-loss disciplines to avoid "small losses turning into large losses."

3. Core mindset: Investment is the "ultimate training" against human nature

The essence of knowing what to do but finding it hard to act: Overcoming impulsive trading driven by dopamine stimulation requires long-term disciplined training.

Countering fragmented information interference: Focus on authoritative sources (such as policy documents and industry research reports), filter out noise, and develop interpretive abilities.

Summary: The ultimate competition in investment is not IQ, but the "self-discipline" that counters human nature and the cognitive depth that "penetrates appearances." The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the systematic ability to "see clearly, wait patiently, and hold firmly."

Keep it up, partners in the crypto circle!

Still it is $VIRTUAL , brothers are you tough?

Bitcoin on the Way to a Historic Peak! Saylor Uploaded, All Eyes on the Fed!

Bitcoin investor and MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor has once again made a Bitcoin purchase that will move the markets. The company bought a total of 15,355 $BTC at an average of $92,737, making a $1.42 billion transaction. This was the third largest purchase in April alone, bringing the total purchase amount to 25,370 BTC and a total value of $2.44 billion.

Saylor’s aggressive buying strategy could be a major catalyst for Bitcoin’s price to break the $100,000 psychological barrier. Especially these days when the market is waiting for the Fed’s decision, institutional purchases are strengthening investor confidence. $BTC is currently holding above $96,000.

Bitcoin’s daily RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator has signaled a possible bull run by rising above 70. According to historical data, when the RSI crosses this level, Bitcoin’s price usually rises by 40% to 70% over the next 30-40 days. This theoretically means that BTC could potentially reach $130,000 in the short term.

For investors, this signal could be the last day Bitcoin trades below $100,000. Such technical indicators become more meaningful, especially during periods when big players like Saylor are buying, and provide strong clues about the direction of the price.

The Fed meeting on May 7, which the markets are eagerly awaiting, could be a short-term direction determinant for Bitcoin prices. According to CME FedWatch data, the probability of interest rates remaining stable is over 97%. This shows that investors do not expect the Fed to take a hawkish step in interest rate policies.

If the Fed meeting produces a “dovish” message, this could be a significant support for Bitcoin to break the $100,000 level.

⚠️ Note: My posts are not investment advice. There may be errors due to translation. Please do your own review. You can also write your thoughts in the comments section.
❤️ Don't forget to follow me for developments. @Crypto De Nostradame
#AppleCryptoUpdate #SaylorBTCPurchase

*Meme Coin*

A meme coin is a type of cryptocurrency that originates from internet memes or jokes. These coins often gain popularity through social media and online communities.

Characteristics:
1. *Community-driven*: Meme coins are often driven by enthusiastic communities.
2. *Volatile*: Meme coins can experience significant price fluctuations.
3. *Speculative*: Meme coins are often traded speculatively.

Examples:
1. *Dogecoin*: A popular meme coin inspired by the "Doge" meme.
2. *Shiba Inu*: Another meme coin that gained popularity through community support.

Meme coins can be entertaining and speculative investments, but they often carry significant risks.

*Meme Coin*

A meme coin is a type of cryptocurrency that originates from internet memes or jokes. These coins often gain popularity through social media and online communities.

Characteristics:
1. *Community-driven*: Meme coins are often driven by enthusiastic communities.
2. *Volatile*: Meme coins can experience significant price fluctuations.
3. *Speculative*: Meme coins are often traded speculatively.

Examples:
1. *Dogecoin*: A popular meme coin inspired by the "Doge" meme.
2. *Shiba Inu*: Another meme coin that gained popularity through community support.

Meme coins can be entertaining and speculative investments, but they often carry significant risks.

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