No listing for over a year, shady background, and now it’s official: Vladimir Smerkis has been detained for suspected fraud worth $15M+. The case is already in court — he’s facing up to 10 years. #TRUMP #CryptoRegulation #news
As expected, the market fell a bit over the weekend, especially in alts, where the drop was 20-30%.
Many also linked part of this leak to an insider leak for the release of a new token from Trump's social network Truth, but the token never appeared.
The #crypto market still looks calm and even more stable than the fund - which, by the way, was confirmed yesterday by $TRUMP himself: "The crypto market has been much stronger than the stock market during the recent downturn. I support the development of cryptocurrencies - I think it is important. If we do not do it, China will."
What positive circumstances are developing now? ⚪️ We managed to fully recoup the April lows. ⚪️ Corporate reports are good (although not taking into account duties yet). ⚪️ The labour market remains stable. ⚪️ Inflation is falling (including due to cheap oil).
But we need new trade agreements (there are some shifts) to consolidate all these positive trends, so it is important that the trade war does not drag on, and ultimately, rates are reduced.
So, no euphoria. We work and keep our finger on the pulse, for now we just watch without setting poses, hoping for the up trend to continue. #MarketPullback #news
BTC and ETH Predictions from Various Crypto Industry Leaders
🟢 *Catherine Wood (Head of Ark Invest)* “In the Big Ideas 2025 report, we updated our target levels for Bitcoin by 2030, assuming three scenarios: Bearish - around $300,000. Base - about $710,000. Bullish - about $1.5 million per bitcoin."
🟢 *Arthur Hayes (co-founder of BitMEX exchange)* "It's time to go long everything. The US will have to increase dollar liquidity, and this will help Bitcoin reach $1 million by 2028."
🟢 *Francis Hunt (trader, author of the HVF method)* "BTC is consolidating, my target is $100K, although there may be a pause before the next surge. BTC dominance is now in a low volatility zone, and I believe a reversal is possible - which will be a positive signal for altcoins."
🟢 *Mike Alfred (Founder of the Alpine Fox Foundation)* "Bitcoin is overripe for growth. May is going to be huge. If you don't understand this, you're out of the market."
🟢 *Lark Davis (investor and crypto blogger)* "Expecting a retest of the 20-day EMA at $1,720, or better yet, catching a wick just below $1,690. Potential long to the 200-day EMA at $2,500."
🟢 *Michaël van de Poppe (CEO of the analytics company Eight)* "ETH is showing a bullish divergence to BTC. I expect ETH to rise to $2,500 in 2-4 weeks. Altseason is also possible."
As you can see, all experts are inclined to believe that in the near future we can expect a big increase in all risky assets #AirdropSafetyGuide #news
Three scenarios for further market movement from CryptoQuant
As of today, the on-chain metric "Rally Start Ratio" is approaching the rally start zone (≈0.8 or 80%). Analysts are considering three possible scenarios for the development of the situation over the next six months:
🟢 Optimistic scenario (Bullish) If the Ratio indicator breaks through 1.0 and holds above, the NUPL and MVRV metrics will show new momentum. This could lead to a rise in the $BTC price to $150-175K, similar to the 2017 and 2021 cycles.
🟠 Baseline Scenario (Consolidation) If Ratio remains in the range of 0.8-1.0, the market will continue to move in a wide corridor of $90-110K. Participants maintain positions, but do not increase exposure.
🔴 Pessimistic scenario (Correction) If the Ratio drops below 0.75, short-term holders may start taking profits, which will lead to a correction to $70-85K. However, given that the correction has already occurred, the first two scenarios are more likely. #StablecoinPayments #news #TRUMP
Clear falling trendline breakout just occurred. Breakout was followed by volume confirmation and a strong bullish candle. 25 EMA acting as dynamic support, price is currently above it. RSI is recovering — bullish structure building up.
✅Entry: $0.095 – $0.0965 (Breakout retest zone is ideal)
🛑Stop Loss: Below $0.092 (invalidates the breakout)
SIGNUSDT just confirmed a breakout and is entering a bullish momentum phase. If price holds above $0.093, this is a good swing entry zone with solid upside potential. $USDC #news
The crypto cycle tied to halvings is losing its relevance
A year has passed since the halving, and there is still no obvious bull run. Bitcoin has grown, but altcoins have not shown that alt season.
Now the growth is driven by institutions, ETFs and macro, and not by retail flows as before.
Previously the cycle looked like this: ⚪️ Bear market. ⚪️ Accumulation phase. ⚪️ BTC growth. ⚪️ The fall of BTC dominance and that very altseason.
The main factor was not cyclicality, but the influx of liquidity. As we can see, global liquidity is now hitting its ATH - this liquidity must go somewhere, and crypto is one of the main candidates.
We are already seeing BTC starting to follow the pattern of money supply, and liquidity is already flowing into crypto: BlackRock, Strategy and others have invested over $4 billion in the last week.
If the growth of liquidity continues, the market may shoot up sharply, regardless of the “old” cycles.
But there are also risks in the background that could flood the market in the short term. I think many have already heard about the possible war between India and Pakistan, where the situation is becoming more and more tense every day.
For example, Pakistan's information minister said last night that India plans to attack Pakistan within 24 to 36 hours.
Therefore, we advise you to monitor the situation, keep your finger on the pulse and, perhaps, close some risky positions with large leverage, since the markets can react sharply to such events. #Trump100Days #news
BTC-ETF - inflow of ~$3.06 billion ETH-ETF - inflow ~$156.09 million
🟢 Tether Prints 1 Billion USDT, Stablecoin Market Grows $4.58 Billion Last Week to $240 Billion
🟢 The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 54 (neutral).
🟢 Today, a wallet with 3520 BTC ($330.7 million) was hacked, after which these funds began to be laundered through anonymous people as XMR. Against this background: XMR = +25%, ZEC = +17% and DASH = +17%.
🟢 Nexo is returning to the US market with a full range of digital asset services after a three-year hiatus due to regulatory issues.
🟢 The Ethereum Fusaka upgrade is scheduled to launch in Q3-Q4 2025.
🟢 The founders of Trump's World Liberty Financial met with CZ to discuss advancing global adoption of cryptocurrency and developing new standards.
🟢 Meteora is building anti-sniper tools to protect users when launching tokens on the Solana network.
🟢 One SEC commissioner has proposed allowing licensed state-level trust companies to officially hold cryptocurrency for clients.
🟢 Animoca Brands, Coinbase, Fabric Ventures and Founders Factory launch multi-million pound development programme to support WEB3 and AI technologies in the UK. #news
Bitcoin has reached the major supply zone around $93,000–$95,000 and is showing rejection signs. As long as BTC trades below this supply, expect short-term pullbacks. Key support to watch – $88,000–$89,000 zone.
A user on X (Twitter) asked ChatGPT to describe the future in a way that even the smartest person on Earth wouldn't understand.
ChatGPT responded using a self-invented symbolic language with glyphs and structured patterns. The user later provided a full decryption including a glossary and language construction map.
The translated message references quantum technologies, the merging of realities, the disappearance of nation-states, and adaptability as a key to human survival. #TariffPause #news #AI
Israel's AI Experiments in Gaza War Raise Ethical Concerns Israel has used the war in Gaza to rapidly test and deploy A.I.-backed military technologies to a degree that had not been seen before, U.S. and Israeli defense officials said. The tools have sometimes led to mistaken identifications and arrests, as well as civilian deaths, officials said. Source: The New York Times #TRUMP #news
Looking at the altcoin capitalization chart (excluding $BTC ), we see a pattern: each rebound from the trend line was accompanied by growth - and the launch of the altseason (or local).
The $835 billion level has held up again, just like in the fall of 2023 and the summer of 2024. These were the points where the growth began. Now we are seeing a rebound from these same levels again.
Tariff pauses and negotiations with China temporarily relieve geopolitical pressure, which is a plus for risky assets.
The plus is a rate cut, which is bound to happen sooner or later, and a rate cut = an influx of liquidity.
Time will tell how things will actually turn out, of course, but everything looks promising, to say the least. $ETH
TRUMP has shown a clear BOS with volume and broke out of the previous consolidation range. It’s now pulling back into the previous supply turned demand zone, which is acting as a strong support. If it holds, this is a clean swing continuation opportunity.
✅Entry – $12.75–$12.55 (on bullish confirmation) 🛑Stop Loss – $12.15 (below support & EMAs)
Trump’s crypto coin surges after dinner invite for top holders
The top 220 holders of the digital asset will be invited to a black-tie dinner.
Donald Trump’s meme cryptocurrency, $TRUMP , has seen a sharp rise in value after an attention-grabbing offer promised a private dinner with the US President for its wealthiest holders.
The official website for the coin unveiled a new campaign stating that the top 220 holders of the digital asset will be invited to a black-tie dinner at Trump National Golf Club in Washington, D.C., on May 22. A special reception with the president is also planned exclusively for the top 25 holders, giving participants unprecedented access to Trump in what is being described as one of the most exclusive events of the year.
The announcement sent the token’s value soaring by more than 70% in just a few hours, reversing part of a steep decline the coin had faced in recent months. Despite the jump, the current price remains well below the all-time high of over $75 reached shortly after its January launch.
Originally released just days before Trump’s second inauguration, the $TRUMP coin is part of a broader suite of Trump-linked digital ventures. These include NFTs, crypto platforms, and now investment products through his media company, all promoting the former president’s self-proclaimed identity as the "crypto president." #dinnerwithtrump #EthereumFuture #TRUMP
CryptoQuant just dropped the stats: $BTC is fleeing centralized exchanges at the fastest rate since Feb 2023. Either whales are feeling shy, or we’ve just entered the “quietly stacking sats” phase.
Bonus insight — Bitcoin is starting to vibe less with S&P and Nasdaq, and more with gold. The digital rock is growing up.
Since the beginning of 2024, BTC's share of the crypto market has increased by 11%, reaching 64.5% — the highest level in the last 4 years. However, some analysts predict a possible pullback.
⬆️Experts Mister Crypto and Merlijn The Trader noted that the BTC dominance index has faced serious resistance. If the indicator starts to decline, this could give impetus to the growth of altcoins. #MarketRebound #BTC #news #TRUMP #BTCvsMarkets