Deeply immersed in the IT world, exploring with passion and gaining insights. Actively investing in blockchain ventures at the very nexus of Web3 innovations.
🇺🇸 Over the week, the Fed's balance decreased by $15B
Fed Chairman: - The neutral rate remains low, with no evidence of its increase. - The economy is slowing down: GDP growth is 1–1.5%, unemployment ~4.2%. - Inflation is decreasing slowly, especially in the services sector. - At some point, it may be appropriate to lower the rate, but for now, the Fed's monetary policy remains moderately restrictive.
GDP on blockchain and Bitcoin as a reserve currency?
Commerce Secretary Howard Latnik promises: "GDP data will be published on the blockchain." Sounds like a step towards full transparency. CZ pointed out from the stage that #Bitcoin is soon to become the world reserve currency. I fully agree with that.
🔎 What's the catch?
Transparency ≠ truth. There’s no need to look far; just recently, the Fed quietly changed its method of calculating inflation. Now up to 30% of CPI data is not real measurements, but estimated calculations. This means the market is receiving not facts, but approximated models.
📌 What does this indicate?
It’s the same with GDP on the blockchain. Even if all the numbers are open and "eternal", if they are initially estimates and not facts, the blockchain and $BTC will merely dress up unreliable data.
At the same time, news has emerged that most exchanges will list Trump’s $WLFI token. The #WLFI token is expected to be widely available for trading starting September 1, as reported earlier this month.
It is important to change the method of data collection, not just the place of storage. The retrospective revision of GDP remains an open question, but at least it will no longer be possible to "forge" the initial figures.
From top-3 competitor $ETH to a platform for meme coins
Solana has gone through it all, becoming one of the most community-oriented networks. Let's explore using the example of the $1win token and compare it with TON.
➡ What is Solana ($SOL)?
It is a high-performance blockchain for scalable decentralized applications. Launched in 2017, it is an open-source project supported by the Solana Foundation (Geneva). The core technology is developed by Solana Labs (San Francisco).
➡ What makes Solana unique?
📍 Speed — over 65,000+ transactions per second, almost without delays.
📍 Low fees — the average transaction cost is only $0.00025.
📍 Proof of History (PoH) — a unique consensus mechanism with timestamps, eliminating the need for sharding and Layer-2.
📍 Scalability — everything operates on a single chain, making the system as simple as possible.
📍 Lively hub — from NFTs and DeFi to meme coins ($BONK, $WIF) and Telegram mini-apps — this is where new trends are born.
Where the mint of #1win will take place on Solana or TON is still unknown... In any case, $SOL will remain just a hyped competitor to $ETH or establish itself as a new base for mass adoption?
In crypto chats, you often see: "When #CEX?". But behind these three letters lies not just a question, but a whole philosophy of trading.
📍 CEX — centralized exchanges
Binance, OKX, Bybit. Here you always have a “nanny”: support 24/7, high liquidity, an interface for your grandmother. But there’s a catch — your assets are stored by the exchange. Essentially, you’re trusting the keys to a third party.
📍 DEX — decentralized exchanges
Uniswap, PancakeSwap, SushiSwap. There are no intermediaries, everything is through smart contracts. AMM model, complete control is yours. But if gas on the $ETH or $BNB network spikes — the fee can end up costing more than the trade.
📍 What’s better?
There’s no silver bullet.
If you want simplicity and convenience — choose #CEX.
If you value privacy and control — then #DEX.
📍 Where is it cheaper?
CEX has higher fees, but there are discounts for whale traders 🐋.
On DEX, smaller trades are more profitable when gas fees are low ($ETH, $SOL).
⚡ Conclusion: real players combine both tools.
CEX — speed and liquidity.
DEX — freedom and independence.
✋ Write: where do you spend more time — on the monster exchange or on the smart contract?
Reddit activity directly correlates with price increases and trading volumes. 36.9% of comments are positive, 43.6% are neutral. Strategy: increase in Reddit posts per day → 3x chance of positive ROI.
Numbers:
At peaks of activity, $BTC rose by +15–20% over the week. Similarly, $ETH showed rebounds of +10–12%.
Tokens: $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $TIA, $RNDR, $VRA.
⚡ Conclusion: Reddit has become not only a forum but also a barometer for the crypto market.
In 2024, $12 billion was stolen from crypto. In just the first half of 2025 — already $2.17 billion. The biggest case — Bybit hack: 400,000 $ETH (~$1.5 billion) was stolen. AI fraud has increased by +456% over the year: deepfake voices, fake videos, pig-butchering.
In a week, BitMine injected $373,000 ETH (≈ $1.7 billion) into the market. At the top of discussions — the implementation of KYC in smart contracts and the launch of the state stablecoin $FRNT.
Numbers:
~373,000 ETH = $1.7 billion ⇒ average price $ETH ≈ $4,560. Institutions are moving the market stronger than retail.
Tokens in focus: $ETH, $FRNT.
⚡ Conclusion: Reddit is no longer just memes. It is a platform where future market trends are discussed.
Whether you bought stickers from the Sticker Store, FUSE, or the new marketplace — it makes no difference. As long as this is NFT 2.0, they are traded everywhere. It's like OpenSea and Blur: different storefronts, but one database. Bought in one place — sold in another.
The TON Foundation launched NFT 2.0 to eliminate the ailments of the old NFT industry: — non-payment of royalties, — exploitation of authors, — speculative economy without benefits.
And yesterday FUSE appeared, not just another marketplace, but proof that the model works. 🔥 FUSE — not-for-profit, value returns to the ecosystem. ✅ Royalties remain within TON, fueling Telegram and forming a community fund. 🚨 The model is fair: prioritizing authors and sustainable development.
But FUSE is not the final destination. The beauty of the standard is that tomorrow there could be a dozen such projects. Competition shifts from 'who locks the user' to 'who provides the best UX and service'.
The sticker stores of TON were the first to show all this. They proved that culture in blockchain becomes digital property. Special respect to Spsha — for being the first to open the door.
Donald Trump announced that he had 'fired' Lisa Cook (the governor of the Fed Board), citing violations regarding mortgages. But Cook responded firmly: 'The president has no right to fire me.'
🔐 This is not about paperwork or mortgages. This is about control. Trump is testing pressure: can he oust dissenters and place his people on the Board?
📌 Balance of power in the government: • Powell's coalition — 8 votes. • Trump has only 2 votes. • A controlling stake is needed to manage the Fed rate (currently 4.75–5.00%).
💡 What does this mean for the markets? • As long as power is with Powell → the rate is unlikely to decrease in 2025. • Liquidity will remain tight, which means: • $BTC — will continue to trade as 'digital gold', but without a liquidity driver. • $ETH — will wait for a turnaround, lagging behind $BTC (as it has for the last 1,378 days since the last ATH). • $SOL and $TON — more volatile, dependent on retail and hype.
📊 Numbers, analyzing the facts: • Every 0.25% decrease in the rate = potentially +$300–500 billion liquidity in the markets. • Without easing — the rise of $BTC to $120k is postponed, instead, sideways movement at $95k–105k.
As part of the compression towards the level, a long position can be considered after covering the imbalance from the values of $3.11-3.16, with a target at the resistance level of $4.19-4.25.
Alternatively, if the price goes lower for liquidity, a long position can be picked up from the reaction at the level of $2.88-2.91, with the same target.
P.S. More setups on altcoins and analytics are available in our community 🐂
🧿 How a psychic stole $80 million in $BTC #Bitcoin from a billionaire heiress
Taylor Thomson is a woman from a wealthy family in Canada with a fortune of $10 billion, who owns Thomson Reuters (yes, that one).
She occasionally visited a psychic. And during one of the sessions, he convinced her that her family was under a curse, and that it could only be lifted through "cleansing rituals."
He demanded $80 million in crypto for these rituals. She transferred the money, and the psychic shuffled the tokens through dozens of wallets to cover his tracks.
The fraudster executed a classic psychological attack:
🟢 Fear manipulation. The victim is instilled with a threat — "curse," "illness," "misfortune" — and offered to "remove" it for money.
🟢 Psychological dependency. Gradually, the amount requested increases: first small transfers, then millions. Thomson also didn't start with large sums right away.
🟢 Cryptocurrency is the perfect currency for scams. For fraudsters, it's more convenient than cash — harder to trace, easier to transfer across different countries.
Our advice: do not listen to psychics and other "advisors," especially when it comes to money. First, check their background.
Telegram is testing a feature that will allow users to add music directly to their profile 😍
Marketplace Portals have added a premarket for trading gifts that cannot yet be transferred within 21 days after being upgraded from regular to collectible.
SuperApp 1win iGaming is preparing for the AirDrop of its token (Web2 token), which can be obtained through deposits, invitations, and activity in Lucky Drive.
The question is how changes in Telegram Gift will affect the price of #Toncoin. In my opinion, if Steve Yun does everything right, we should see an increase in $TON this year.
• Historically, September is weak for BTC (more often red than green). • But in 2025, everything is different: the market expects FOMC easing in September + steady demand from spot ETFs. • The key is not the fact of -25 bps itself, but the trajectory: Powell's soft rhetoric can break the pattern.
Scenarios • Base: -25 bps and neutral tone → brief risk-on, vol ↑. • Bullish: hint at further reductions → chance for a 'green September'. • Bearish: hawkish tones/weak data → seasonality takes over.
Conclusion: September by the textbook is 'minus', but the macro regime of 2025 gives a chance to rewrite the rule. Don't romanticize the calendar — watch the tone of the FOMC and the flows.
The speech of the Fed Chair at Jackson Hole became a key signal for the markets. Powell acknowledged:
The U.S. economy is noticeably slowing down, people are spending less, GDP is growing weaker, and the labor market is starting to cool off. At the same time, new tariffs are already pushing prices up. This creates a dilemma: to exert pressure on inflation with tough policies or to soften the approach so as not to undermine employment.
📌 The main highlights right now:
• GDP and consumer spending are falling. • Risks of declining employment are increasing. • Tariffs are driving prices up, but most likely only in the short term.
If inflation and the impact of tariffs indeed turn out to be short-term, the Fed could proceed with a more confident rate cut. This is precisely what the market perceived as positive.
We are keeping an eye on three things: employment statistics, inflation, and hints from the Fed regarding rate policy. Until the next meeting in September, no significant changes are expected. We await growth in Bitcoin and naturally ETH (TON will likely remain unchanged).
Interest rates in the USA have reached 18.6% — the highest since 1933. Prices are already accelerating: metal and agricultural products are up 40%, clothing up 36%, electronics up 17%, and cars up 12%. Even in the long term, growth will remain at around 20%.
I see a double effect here. On one hand, the American market is losing competitiveness: manufacturers will increasingly move factories to Mexico and Asia, and consumers in the USA will become poorer faster than expected. On the other hand — this is a shock wave that hits everyone. If metal and grain prices rise in the USA by several tens of percent, this increase is reflected globally through logistics, raw material markets, and the dollar exchange rate.
For us, this is a signal: to hold part of the capital in 'hard' assets (gold, crypto, stablecoins), and in business — to quickly adapt prices and seek export niches. The reality is this: American protectionism is fueling the global inflation cycle, and those who can quickly repackage products and enter other currency zones will win.
🇰🇷 This week, representatives from Tether and Circle will meet with leaders of South Korea's largest banks to discuss potential partnership. The USA and the EU have also reached a new agreement.