古莲新叶

$BTC Morning oscillation upwards
Yesterday, influenced by the news, the price of Bitcoin oscillated upwards during the day and downwards at night, which is exactly the opposite of yesterday's analysis. This indicates that the analysis from yesterday morning was incorrect, but the oscillation high point is around 113000 points, which is the pressure level of the daily moving average. This also shows that the support and pressure levels of the moving averages are effective in this market.
Currently, the downward trend has not been broken. In the morning, the 30-minute and 60-minute charts need to show a golden cross resonance trend, so the new trading day's opening will still oscillate upwards, with a high point around 113500. If it oscillates above 115000, it will be a signal of a stop in the decline. (This is only a training record and not investment advice)
The difference between 24-hour trading and fixed-time trading is that the continuity of 24-hour trading is too strong, making it difficult for those who are accustomed to period analysis and trading to grasp the time-space cycle and develop a market sense in a short time.

$BTC Volatile Market Continues
Yesterday's opening was at 111,763 points, with a daytime low of 110,345 points, and the evening rebound high reaching 112,625 points. The short position taken at the opening had a profit potential of about 1,400 points by noon, while the long position held in the afternoon provided a profit potential of about 1,200 points until midnight. In this volatile market, managing both space and time is indeed quite challenging. Currently, it appears that the daily candlestick will close as a small bearish line with a longer upper shadow than the lower shadow, or as a doji.
Today, the market opens at 8:00 AM, with a 1-hour dead cross and a 4-hour divergence at point B expected. Therefore, after the opening, the market will likely continue to oscillate downwards during the day, with the low potentially breaking below 110,000 points, stabilizing around 4:00 PM, and then oscillating upwards. Around 8:00 PM, the 12-hour line's golden cross may accelerate the upward movement, with a profit potential still only around 1,100 points. In this volatile market, having a profit potential of 1,000 points for both long and short positions means it's wise to take profits and secure gains.

$BTC Afternoon rebound, oscillating upwards
The morning's minute-level pullback has completed, and the afternoon will see a 4-hour and 8-hour level rebound, with the expected high point around 112800-113000 points. Around 20:00 and tomorrow at about 4:00 AM, there may be an 8-hour golden cross rebound market.

Can the rebound of $BTC be sustained?
Yesterday's oversold rebound market is about to come to an end, with a rebound of over 1000 points delayed by one or two hours compared to the originally analyzed time of 22:00. Whether the 4-hour line can golden cross as a sign for the continuation of the rebound is still uncertain, and we will wait for the next trading day to see.
Currently, the 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute lines are about to death cross in resonance, and the new trading day is likely to open lower and start to explore below. The 4-hour line in the morning is still mainly fluctuating, and around 11 o'clock, a decline or rebound may occur because the 4-hour line needs to confirm the direction of the market change. In a downtrend, the probability of bearishness will be greater, and if it falls, it will break the previous low of 108666 points. If it rebounds, the high point will be in the range of 113000-113500.
Compared to the fixed-time trading in futures that one is familiar with, the rules of the cryptocurrency market, which trades 24 hours a day, still require some period of adaptation, as the original space-time analysis and calculation of market sense need to be extended. Some people say to show real trading; currently, without finding a market sense, blindly trading in the real market is no different from digging a pit and burying oneself inside. One cannot earn money beyond their understanding. The analysis of the training market sense written here is for communication only and not for investment advice; feel free to watch or not.

$BTC Chicken rib market, are you playing?
In the next 8 hours, there will be a minute-level rebound, and the 4-hour and 8-hour lines will also approach a golden cross, resulting in a small range of upward fluctuations around 1000 points (if stronger, possibly more 300 points). Whether the 4-hour line can achieve a golden cross in the early morning will determine the strength of the rebound. If it crosses golden, there will be continued fluctuations tomorrow; if it crosses dead, there may be a sharp drop after 24:00. The narrow range of fluctuating markets is like chicken ribs, making operations difficult; experienced traders generally choose to ignore it, while beginners are easily trapped. Others like $ETH $BNB have also entered a daily line correction downtrend, but of course, the general market will remain parallel to the leader. (For communication purposes only, not investment advice, risk is self-borne.)

Should we bet on a rebound after a sharp decline?
Currently, the drop of $BTC has reached the 100,000 range, with three consecutive days of large bearish candlesticks. Today, we might see a rebound from the sharp decline with a fluctuating market, with the fluctuation range approximately between 109000-111500. The daily candlestick might close as a small bearish candle with long upper and lower shadows. In such market conditions, the difficulty of operation is relatively high, and conservative traders might prefer to observe first. Aggressive traders may participate with a light position but should closely monitor the market, as the fluctuating market often has sharp rises and falls, and the operable time is short, making it hard to determine when the market will be active.
Currently, the weekly chart confirms a downward trend with a top divergence, and the moving average support level is around 103000. If it drops to this level, there may be a few days of fluctuations, and whether the decline can be halted will depend on real-time observations. (For discussion purposes only, not investment advice; risk is self-borne)

$BTC Weekly line callback confirmation, large-scale trend downward
Today's decline was expected, belonging to a state of gradual decline in a fluctuating manner. Currently, the weekly line is dead, the daily line is underwater, and the 8-hour line is also underwater. Therefore, we may see a few days of fluctuating declines, and there is a possibility of a sharp drop at 24:00. If there is a sharp drop, it will inevitably rebound quickly after the decline. The support level for this round of weekly decline is around 102500 points. Whether it will be a sharp drop or a gradual decline to this level depends on the real-time market conditions. (For communication purposes only, not investment advice, risks are borne by the investor.)

$BTC Accelerated Downward Fluctuation
The range fluctuation around 1500 points in the morning has finished, and it will accelerate downward next, completing the 8-hour dead cross market. Therefore, there should be a sharp drop in the afternoon, followed by a rebound. If there is continuous narrow-range fluctuation in the afternoon, the sharp drop will be postponed to 24:00.

The decline of $BTC continues
The decline in the early morning can also be seen as the start of a new week, which is 2 hours later than inferred in the previous analysis. Having just entered the cryptocurrency circle, I am still not accustomed to this 24-hour trading time, nor to the rule of closing the daily candlestick from 8 AM to 8 AM the next day. The cyclical logic of time and space will take some time of analysis and reasoning to become smooth.
Currently, we are at the tail end of the daily candlestick, and the bearish candlestick on the daily chart is causing the MACD to continue downward, so the daily line will continue to pull back. The 8-hour line is about to pull back in the new day, and whether the weekly line drops sharply or slowly is still just the beginning.
Today, the new daily candlestick will start with a rebound pattern of bottom divergence A point on the 15 and 30-minute charts, pushing up to the range of 113600-114000, then moving to point B for a downturn around 111000 to create a horizontal fluctuation. Important time nodes are at 16:00 and 22:00; if the 8-hour candlestick forms a dead cross, there will inevitably be another drop below yesterday's low. Currently, the support level for the weekly line is around 102000 points.

$BTC Daily Line Change Delay
Yesterday's $BTC 24-hour narrow range fluctuation caused the 4-hour and daily K-line change time to be postponed. Today during the day, there is a high probability of continuing a consolidation trend. The 4-hour line change time is at 16:00; if it crosses downwards, it will fluctuate downwards and accelerate the decline around 20:00. If the 4-hour line falsely crosses upwards, it will stop declining and fluctuate upwards around 16:00. Currently, in a downtrend, the rebound high point does not exceed the previous high point, so the trend remains unchanged, but the downward low point is difficult to predict.

When will $BTC drop?
Many cryptocurrency enthusiasts are still bearish on the current market. As for when it will drop, the timing varies. Based on cycles, from 12 o'clock to midnight is exactly half a trading day. If the weekly chart is about to decline, then the daily chart cannot have a golden cross and should instead move downward. The 4-hour chart should also have a death cross pointing down. Considering that Sunday marks the start of a new week, if things move quickly, a sharp drop might begin today between 20:00 and 22:00, expected to reach around 111400. If there is continuous oscillation and consolidation today, and the daily candlestick forms a doji, then the daily trend change may be postponed, extending the drop to Sunday. If there is a sharp drop, it might rise again after reaching the support level of the moving averages. If it drops slowly, the weekly candlestick next Sunday might show several days of oscillating downward trends. The specific situation will be observed in real trading.

$BTC Last night, stimulated by the news from the Federal Reserve, all currencies experienced a sharp rise. Let me ask you, was it exciting? Did you profit from this surge? Due to this rise, many bears faced liquidation. Are you currently bullish or bearish?
From the weekly perspective, the weekly K-line has formed a top divergence pattern, and a B-point market is expected next week. Therefore, whether it’s a true death or a false death, there will still be a significant drop; the difference lies in: a false death will have a market similar to yesterday's, with a sharp decline followed by a quick rise, leaving a long lower shadow line. A true death will lead to a continued oscillation and decline for several days.
Currently, we are undergoing a 15-30 minute correction, as last night’s rise was too sharp. We are now experiencing sideways oscillation. From the hourly chart, there is a possibility of a decline after prolonged sideways movement. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, after finishing the sideways movement at the minute level, there may be another push up before experiencing a drop after completing the top divergence B or C point market.

$BTC Next Four Hours Market Analysis
15, 30, 60 Minute MACD Death Cross Resonance, now starting to oscillate downwards, the key to stopping the decline is whether it can die around 18:30 at the 60-minute level. If it dies, it may drop to around 112015, which is the daily K-line support level. If it does not die, it may drop to around 1113430 and then rise. Currently, there is a top divergence on the daily line, and the weekly K will die, so the larger level and trend are downwards. It remains to be seen whether it will be a sharp decline followed by a rebound, or a slow decline forming a bottom.

$BTC In the next 4 hours, after completing a 5-minute top divergence B point pullback, it will surge to around 113400 points, then drop to around 112820-1126400 in the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframe, and finally rally upwards for 4 hours to around 113900-114050. #加密市场回调

Use futures analysis methods to analyze and predict $BTC :
Currently rebounding at the 15-minute and 30-minute levels, expected around 9:30 in the range of 112851-113364.
Daily top divergence continues, weekly chart next week faces a turning point, likely downward, starting to probe down after rebounding to 114469, with support around 101973. $BTC