Trader Guido

#TrumpVsMusk

On June 5, 2025, the relationship between Donald Trump and Elon Musk suffered a significant public break, marking the end of an alliance that had been close for years. The conflict was triggered by an interview with Musk on CBS on June 1, in which he harshly criticized the spending package "Big Beautiful Bill" pushed by the Trump administration, calling it a "disaster filled with pork" and stating that it undermined his DOGE initiative (Department of Government Efficiency).

Tensions escalated when Trump accused Musk of acting out of personal interests due to cuts in subsidies for electric vehicles, while Musk responded by suggesting that Trump was seeking revenge for the elimination of such subsidies. Additionally, Musk hinted that Trump had ties to Jeffrey Epstein and threatened to dismantle SpaceX's Dragon spacecraft.

This confrontation was not only political but also had economic repercussions: Tesla's stock fell by 14% following the exchange of accusations.

The dispute between Trump and Musk reflects the volatility of political and business relationships on the American stage, where alliances can quickly crumble over strategic and personal disagreements.

#OrderTypes101
There are various types of trading based on time frame, strategy, and traded asset. Below, I present a general classification based on the time horizon:

📆 According to the time horizon:
-Scalping
Duration of trades: Seconds to minutes
Objective: Small profits accumulated throughout the day
Characteristics: High frequency, requires concentration, low spreads
Ideal profile: Traders with time and experience

-Day Trading
Duration: Within the same day (positions are not held overnight)
Objective: Take advantage of intraday movements
Characteristics: Requires technical analysis and emotional management
Ideal profile: Active traders with time to trade daily

-Swing Trading
Duration: Days to weeks
Objective: Capture short/medium-term trend movements
Characteristics: Less stress than day trading, more suitable for people with less time
Ideal profile: Investors with technical and fundamental knowledge

-Position Trading
Duration: Weeks to months (or even years)
Objective: Benefit from long-term trends
Characteristics: Based on fundamental and technical analysis
Ideal profile: Long-term investors

🧠 According to the strategy:
-Directional Trading: Betting that the price will rise (long position) or fall (short position).
-Trend Trading: Following a market trend until it shows signs of reversal.
-Contrarian Trading: Betting against the prevailing trend, looking for reversal points.
-News Trading: Based on economic, political, or financial events that move the market.
-Quantitative Trading (Quant Trading): Use of algorithms and mathematical models to make decisions.
-Algorithmic Trading (automatic): Trades executed through bots or automatic systems.
💰 According to the type of asset:
-Stock Trading
-Currency Trading (Forex)
-Cryptocurrency Trading
-Futures Trading
-Options Trading
-Commodities Trading

$****BITCOIN****

📉 Market Correction
Bitcoin has experienced a significant correction, falling 7% from its all-time high of $111,880 to $104,000. This pullback is attributed to the economic uncertainty generated by a court decision in the U.S. that reinstates certain tariffs, raising bond yields and fostering risk aversion. Despite the drop, it is considered a healthy adjustment in a market that had experienced one of the fastest recoveries in cryptocurrency history.

🏛️ Institutional Initiatives
Trump Media Bitcoin ETF: Trump Media & Technology Group Corp (TMTG), owned by Donald Trump, is about to launch its own Bitcoin ETF called Truth Social Bitcoin ETF. The fund will operate under the Truth.Fi brand, in collaboration with Crypto.com as the custodian of the digital assets. Despite entering a saturated market with over 60 similar ETFs in the U.S., analysts believe that the Trump brand's backing could attract investment, although it may also generate controversy.

Proposals for Strategic Bitcoin Reserves: Parliaments in several countries have introduced bills to allow their respective central banks to hold a reserve of Bitcoin. For example, the Czech Republic has announced that it will consider holding up to 5% of its reserves in Bitcoin. Other countries that have proposed similar initiatives include Argentina, Brazil, Hong Kong, and Japan.

🌍 Global Trends
Argentina: Faced with an inflation rate of 276%, Argentinians are buying Bitcoins to protect themselves, instead of exchanging pesos for dollars. Bitcoin purchases on local platforms have reached record levels, reflecting a growing adoption of cryptocurrencies in the country.
$BTC

********NEWS ******

📉 Market in decline
Drops in May: The crypto market experienced drops of up to 15% in May. Bitcoin lost 7.5%, while altcoins like Avalanche, Shiba Inu, and Dogecoin recorded declines exceeding 10%. Economic uncertainty and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve contributed to this trend.

Outlook for the second half: Despite the drops, some investors expect a rebound in the second half of 2025, with Bitcoin reaching between $100,000 and $150,000 and Solana surpassing $600.

🌐 Highlights
$LIBRA in Argentina: President Javier Milei promoted the cryptocurrency $LIBRA, aimed at stimulating investment in small Argentine businesses. However, after a speculative increase in its value, the project faced allegations of alleged fraud and scam.

----El Salvador abandons Bitcoin as legal tender: Less than four years after being the first country to adopt it, El Salvador has reformed its Bitcoin Law, eliminating the requirement to accept payments in BTC starting April 1, 2025.
$BTC
$ETH

*******NEWS*******

🏛️ Regulation and institutional adoption
First MiCA license in France: The fintech Deblock has received the first license under the European MiCA regulation, allowing it to operate throughout the EU. Founded by former employees of Revolut and Ledger, it offers accounts in euros, dollars, pounds, and cryptocurrencies, with customizable debit cards featuring NFTs.

-U.S. veto on digital dollar raises concerns in Europe: The Bank of Spain has warned that the U.S. decision to block the development of a digital dollar could affect global monetary stability, especially in countries seeking alternatives to the dollar.

-El Salvador abandons the Bitcoin Law: Less than four years after becoming the first country to adopt bitcoin as legal tender, El Salvador has reformed its Bitcoin Law, removing the requirement to accept payments in BTC starting April 1, 2025.

$BTC $ETH $BNB

****BITCOIN****

In recent days, Bitcoin has experienced a significant drop, falling below 105,000 dollars, which has generated concern in the market. This correction is attributed to a combination of technical and fundamental factors.

One of the main drivers of this decline has been the massive liquidation in the derivatives markets, where positions worth over 1.3 billion dollars were closed in a single day, primarily affecting traders with long positions in Bitcoin. This phenomenon has increased the bearish pressure on the price of the cryptocurrency.

Additionally, the recent meeting of the Federal Reserve of the United States, which decided on a rate cut of only 25 basis points, has generated uncertainty in the financial markets, negatively impacting risk assets, including Bitcoin.

On the other hand, the hacking of the Bybit exchange platform, which resulted in the theft of over 1.4 billion dollars in cryptocurrencies, has heightened fears about security in the crypto ecosystem, contributing to investor distrust.

Despite these declines, some analysts believe that the market may be experiencing a healthy correction within a broader bullish trend, and that once the current factors stabilize, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading at 104,728 USD, showing a slight decline of 1.6% in the last 24 hours.
$BTC

****SOLANA***

The forecast for Solana (SOL) in 2025 shows varied perspectives among analysts:
VanEck, a recognized investment firm, projects that SOL could reach $520 USD by the end of 2025. This estimate is based on a model that correlates the growth of the M2 money supply in the U.S. with the market capitalization of smart contract platforms.

VanEck expects Solana's market share in this sector to increase from 15% to 22%, driven by greater adoption from developers and users.

PricePredictions.com offers a more conservative outlook, estimating that the price of SOL could range between $442 and $551 USD during 2025, with an average price of around $508 USD by the end of the year.

Crypto.ro presents an even more optimistic forecast, suggesting that SOL could reach between $800 and $1,200 USD in 2025, supported by increased cryptocurrency adoption and favorable regulations.

Currently, the price of SOL is at $171.01 USDT, indicating significant growth potential according to the highest estimates.

It is important to highlight that cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and their prices can fluctuate rapidly. Therefore, it is recommended to conduct thorough analysis and consider financial advice before making investment decisions.
$SOL $BTC $ETH

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