Lohengrin

$BTC
In recent days, Bitcoin has fluctuated between approximately $104,600 and $106,043, currently closing at $104,653 on June 15, 2025. The crypto remains close to constant highs, reflecting consolidation in a high range.

Technically, a golden cross is observed between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supporting a sustained bullish trend. The broken upward 'flag' pattern suggests positive continuity, with key resistances at $107,000 and $110,000. The RSI is in a neutral-bullish zone, favoring stability or slight increases.

Fundamentally, the combination of institutional entry via ETFs (over $132 billion managed), lower selling pressure on exchanges, and market momentum from US-China trade talks has sustained the price.

Conclusion: Bitcoin shows a firm consolidation at elevated levels with a technical bullish bias and institutional support. The high probability suggests it will maintain its range between $104,000 and $110,000, with potential to break upward in the coming days if these fundamentals hold.

#TrumpBTCTreasury

In recent days, Trump has focused his attention on issues related to Bitcoin, such as the SEC's approval of the Bitcoin Treasury plan for Trump Media, valued at USD 2.3 billion, and his statement of having earned over USD 600 million through companies linked to the crypto sector  . 498-0 He also promoted a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" through an executive order, incorporating BTC seized by the Treasury  .

However, these actions have been met with skepticism. Experts point out that Trump changes his stance according to his political and financial interests, which undermines the credibility of his statements. As a result, both institutions and market analysts have chosen not to react significantly, ignoring his announcements as they consider them inconsistent and subject to reversal. Skepticism prevails, as many believe they lack the solid backing necessary to materialize a real effect on the crypto ecosystem.

$ADA Remember: what is dead cannot die.

Despite having a bit of ADA for years, the question I ask myself now is: What would be the event or movement that would have to happen for it to mean something new?

Like other very good projects such as DOT, ADA is on a plateau that has only seen some ups and downs with moderate emotions. But unlike DOT, the "Ethereum killer" has shown fewer signs of life. And that is saying a lot.
ADA is a Greygoy. Give credit when using my expression.

#CardanoDebate Does anyone else think the same?

CARDANO is stagnated in its ability to innovate and be a true alternative to ETH. Like all capitalists, Hoskinson thinks that everything can be solved with money (by adding or removing flow). Then, when they fail, they blame the regulations. Injecting liquidity into a system that has just failed is Keynesianism in its purest form.

$BTC

Bitcoin is trading around USD 103,988, after reaching an intraday high of ~108,750 and slightly retreating.

1. Bullish scenario:
Technically, the golden cross (EMA50 over EMA200) and a breakout from a flag pattern support the continuation upward. The slope of the RSI and MACD indicates positive pressure. If it breaks and holds above USD 107,000–110,000, the next target is between USD 125,000 and 137,000.

2. Bearish scenario:
A failure to hold the support levels between USD 104,000 and 100,000 could trigger a correction towards USD 95,000–92,000, a level that consolidated after the previous drop.

3. Lateral scenario (most likely):
Given the current consolidation between USD 100,000 and 110,000, a lateral range appears to be the most realistic option. The volume has decreased after the spike, supporting a phase of stability before a new significant movement.

#TrumpTariffs

The U.S. and China announced a preliminary agreement in London that includes the importation of rare earths from China for six months and maintaining a fixed tariff of 55% on certain Chinese products, although Trump insisted on the promise of new tariffs. While a truce is restored, uncertainty persists due to Trump's protectionist tone.

In the financial markets, the news caused a moderate rebound: the S&P 500 rose by 5.5% and the Hang Seng index reacted positively. In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin briefly climbed to USD 110,000, driven by optimism for potential trade stability. However, Trump's promise of future tariffs limited the rise, resulting in a correction of nearly 2% during the day.

Conclusion: the truce in London eased the perception of risk and boosted risk assets, including cryptocurrency. However, Trump's commitment to new tariffs generates additional caution. The crypto market could remain volatile until definitive agreements are made.

$ETH

Ethereum has been consolidating in a narrow range (coil) between USD 3,500 and 3,600, with a quote of approximately USD 3,550 on June 11. This pattern denotes low volatility but often anticipates significant breakouts.

Technical and on-chain indicators support a potential breakout:

Volume and open interest in futures reached historical highs (~USD 22 billion), which can drive marked movements.

RSI is in neutral territory (~52) while MACD shows signs of bullish momentum.

IOMAP and on-chain support indicate strong levels between USD 2,349–2,426, providing protection to previous lows.

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Conclusion: Ethereum is at a critical moment within a sideways range. The accumulation of volume and strength of technical indicators point to a possible breakout to the upside. However, it is important to monitor a drop below support levels, which could lead to a correction.

#CryptoRoundTableRemarks AN OLD DISCUSSION

In recent days, the debate over whether Decentralized Finance (DeFi) should remain open-source software or submit to stricter regulation has gained momentum. The trigger was a new series of warnings and interventions from the U.S. SEC against platforms operating without registrations or audits. On one hand, advocates of open source argue that the essence of DeFi is precisely to eliminate intermediaries, offer transparency through smart contracts, and allow global access without censorship. On the other hand, regulators argue that the lack of oversight exposes users to fraud, exploits, and money laundering. Some experts propose a hybrid model, where the code remains open but with mandatory audits and minimum consumer protection rules. The pressure from the SEC could accelerate the exodus of DeFi projects to more flexible jurisdictions, affecting the U.S. ecosystem in crypto innovation.

$ETH Did you see what I see?

According to my limited knowledge about market charts, when this happens, what occurs is quite unpredictable. But are we at the end of a consolidation?
It could supposedly shoot up or down.
Yesterday, I made the decision to bet that it will shoot up, and I set a target price 🎯 at 3,000/3,300.
Are you seeing the same thing?

#TradingTools101

In the world of cryptocurrency trading, trading tools are essential for making informed decisions. The top five are:

1. TradingView: leading platform for technical analysis, with interactive charts, custom indicators, and community signals.

2. CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko: provide real-time data on prices, market capitalization, volume, and emerging projects.

3. Binance Trading Tools: within the exchange, includes advanced features like OCO orders, stop-limit, and integrated charts.

4. Glassnode: provides on-chain analysis, ideal for understanding the behavior of 'whales' and capital flows.

5. CryptoQuant: allows tracking of token movements between exchanges and wallets, useful for anticipating market movements.

These tools, combined, provide a more comprehensive view of the market and help manage risk in a volatile environment like that of cryptocurrencies. They are key for both novice and expert traders.

#NasdaqETFUpdate

Spot cryptocurrency ETFs on Nasdaq maintain an upward trend, driven by expectations of rate cuts and institutional adoption:

1. Bitcoin (BTC):
- Leading ETF (BlackRock/Grayscale) with record AUM (~US$62,000M).
- Price: US$72,300 (+18% monthly).

2. Ethereum (ETH):
- ETFs approved in May 2024 accumulate US$18,500M in AUM.
- Price: US$4,100 (+22% monthly).

3. Solana (SOL) and XRP:
- No direct spot ETFs (only futures or synthetic products).
- SOL trades at US$210 (+35% monthly).
- XRP at US$0.68 (+12% monthly), with volatility due to SEC litigation.

Key Factors:
- Macro context: Disinflation and potential rate cut in Q3 2025 favor risk assets.
- Institutional flows: Record net inflows in BTC/ETH ETFs (US$1,900M in June).
- Technology: Upgrades of Ethereum (Dencun) and Solana (Firedancer) bolster confidence.

Outlook: BTC/ETH ETFs established as institutional gateways; SOL and XRP await regulatory clarity for similar products.

*Sources: Bloomberg, CoinMarketCap (10/06/2025 NY close).*

#MarketRebound

Market Bounce Summary (Updated 10/06/2025)

Global markets are experiencing a remarkable bounce in the first week of June 2025, driven by key economic indicators:

1. Moderate Inflation: Recent data (U.S. and EU CPI) confirms a greater-than-expected slowdown, reinforcing the outlook for the end of high inflation.
2. Monetary Policy Expectations: Markets anticipate earlier and more aggressive rate cuts by the Fed and the ECB, possibly starting in September. 10-year bond yields are falling significantly.
3. Corporate Resilience: Strong corporate earnings in key sectors (tech, discretionary consumer) exceeded expectations, indicating underlying strength.
4. Technical Relief: After previous corrections, markets reached technical support levels, attracting institutional buyers.

The S&P 500 and the Euro Stoxx 50 lead the gains, with the fear index (VIX) falling below 15. This optimism reflects growing confidence in a "soft landing" for the global economy.

$BTC

I imagine your charts in green and I know you are asking, where is it going?

Bitcoin was trading around USD 110,200, advancing after surpassing the 20-day EMA (~USD 105,300) and with firm support at USD 100,000.

1. Up: the "inverted head-and-shoulders" pattern and the crossing over resistances could take it to USD 120,000–125,000 if it maintains the technical momentum.

2. Down: a drop below USD 107,000 could trigger a correction towards USD 100,000 or even USD 95,500.

3. Stays the same: consolidation between USD 105,000 and 112,000 has been the predominant scenario, according to projections from Binance and Forex24.

Most probable forecast: sideways consolidation (option 3) seems more realistic, given the defined technical range and the absence of a clear catalyst to break the next resistance or support.

#USChinaTradeTalks

In June 2025, the US and China resumed their talks in London to address issues such as chip exports and rare earths. Although no deep reforms are expected yet, the announcement reduced volatility in global markets. The future will depend on real progress in the negotiations.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin surpassed USD 108,000 after the announcement, while Ethereum showed improvements in technical indicators. Several analysts believe that sustained progress in the talks could increase institutional interest in cryptocurrencies and related products, such as ETFs and decentralized finance platforms. Conversely, if the discussions do not advance, it could create an environment of lower risk appetite and greater fluctuations in digital assets.

In summary, for now, the crypto market's response is positive and is linked to any concrete sign of rapprochement between the two economic powers.

#CryptoCharts101

Do you know what to use them for? I use them as antidotes to FOMO and FUD.

Charts are fundamental tools in cryptotrading, as they allow for the analysis of historical price behavior and predict future movements. Correct interpretation improves decision-making when buying or selling assets. Three key aspects to consider:

1. Trend: identify whether the market is rising, falling, or sideways. Following the trend helps avoid trades that go against the general flow.

2. Support and resistance: areas where the price tends to bounce or break. These areas mark critical levels for entering or exiting a trade.

3. Volume: confirms the strength of a trend. High volume validates movements; low volume may warn of false breakouts.

#TradingMistakes101

No fear of success!!!! If I have to choose, I made the mistake of not entering with a defined strategy more times. I never knew when to exit or stay.

One of the most common mistakes of cryptocurrency traders is to operate with emotions. Fear and greed often lead to impulsive decisions, such as selling in panic or buying out of FOMO (fear of missing out). This can result in quick and erratic losses.

The second mistake is the lack of risk management. Many beginners put all their capital into a single trade or do not use tools like stop-loss, which can lead to losing large amounts due to unexpected market movements.

The third mistake is not having a defined strategy. Entering the market without a clear plan for entry, exit, or without properly analyzing the charts makes the results depend more on luck than on analysis. Learning, researching, and practicing are essential steps before trading in such a volatile market as cryptocurrency.

#CryptoFees101

I made a discovery and asked ChatGpt if it could corroborate my information and this is what it told me.

Binance offers very competitive fees depending on the stablecoin and the type of operation:

✅ FDUSD

Pairs like BTC/FDUSD, ETH/FDUSD, SOL/FDUSD, etc., have a maker fee of 0% for all VIP levels, and a taker fee of 0.1% (VIP 2–9 enjoy free taker fee).

During previous promotions, even VIP 1 had a zero taker fee, but that benefit was reduced in April 2024.

🔹 USDC

Since April 2024, Binance promotes spot and margin pairs for USDC with a taker fee of 0.095% for regular levels, and 0.07125% if you use BNB to pay fees.

The standard maker fee depends on the VIP level, but additional discounts apply.

🔥 USDT

It does not have direct promotions like FDUSD or USDC. Typical fees hover around 0.1%, except for discounts based on VIP level or use of BNB, which can reduce them by 25%.

🧭 Conclusion
Your observation is correct: buying with FDUSD or USDC usually involves lower fees than with USDT, especially on "maker" orders. Using LIMIT and paying with BNB maximizes savings. However, the liquidity of USDT remains higher, which may matter in large trades.

#CryptoSecurity101

In the cryptocurrency world, hot wallets and cold wallets offer different advantages and disadvantages depending on the user's needs. Hot wallets are connected to the internet, allowing for quick and convenient access for daily transactions and trading. They are ideal for active users and beginners, as they are usually free and easy to use on exchanges or mobile apps. However, being connected makes them more vulnerable to hacks and cyber attacks.

On the other hand, cold wallets, such as physical devices (Ledger, Trezor) or paper storage, are not connected to the internet, making them much more secure against online attacks. They are preferred for storing large amounts of crypto for the long term. The main disadvantage is their lower accessibility and that they require more technical knowledge to be used correctly. In summary, hot wallets offer agility, while cold wallets prioritize security.

#TradingPairs101

FDUSD/SOL

FDUSD (First Digital USD) is a stablecoin backed 1:1 by US dollars, designed to offer stability and efficiency within the crypto ecosystem. In recent months, it has experienced notable growth, surpassing 3.8 billion dollars in circulation, largely driven by its mass adoption on platforms like Binance. One of its main advantages is its use as a 'wall currency' in exchanges, allowing users to trade crypto assets like Solana (SOL), BTC, or ETH without fees when using FDUSD pairs, favoring more profitable trades.

This model has displaced other stablecoins like USDT or BUSD, as Binance has incentivized the use of FDUSD with discounts and promotions, consolidating it as a reference currency in its system. Additionally, being issued by First Digital Group and with periodic audits, it conveys greater trust in volatile markets. Its liquidity and efficiency position it as a strategic option for frequent traders.

#Liquidity101
I look at things. Liquidity and Market Capitalization.

Liquidity is essential in the world of cryptocurrencies, as it determines the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without significantly affecting its price. In markets with high liquidity, transactions are executed quickly and with lower volatility. In contrast, in environments with low liquidity, prices can fluctuate sharply and generate unexpected losses.

A specific case occurred in May 2022 with the collapse of Terra (LUNA). When investors began to sell massively, liquidity disappeared quickly, leading to a near-total collapse of the price. Sell orders could not find buyers, and exchanges could not maintain stability. This event showed how the lack of liquidity can amplify a crisis and destroy the value of a project in hours.

Therefore, reliable platforms, large trading volumes, and active participation are key to maintaining the health and stability of any token.