七七是十九
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公众号:七七是十九｜专注加密货币、区块链与Web3深度解析，用数据看趋势、用逻辑看机会。币圈不迷路，从这里开始。
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The real crazy bull market is back, and the rhythm of buying low and making profits has returned!
Have you felt that familiar hot atmosphere from 2021 returning? Every drop is a golden opportunity for you to get on board.
If we refer to the trend rhythm of 2021, we are currently at most in the 'waist' of the bull market; the real acceleration to the peak is still waiting for us ahead. Don't panic, there are still plenty of opportunities, and the climax phase of this round of market may take another 3 to 4 months to truly kick off. Get ready to embrace the violent market!
Have you felt that familiar hot atmosphere from 2021 returning? Every drop is a golden opportunity for you to get on board.
If we refer to the trend rhythm of 2021, we are currently at most in the 'waist' of the bull market; the real acceleration to the peak is still waiting for us ahead. Don't panic, there are still plenty of opportunities, and the climax phase of this round of market may take another 3 to 4 months to truly kick off. Get ready to embrace the violent market!
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UK man embezzles £500,000 from company to gamble on cryptocurrency, ultimately sentenced to prison
Another lamentable case of cryptocurrency crime has emerged in the UK. According to PANews, a 39-year-old man named Jason Lowe from North Yorkshire misappropriated over £500,000 of company funds over an eight-year period (2016-2024), converting this money into cryptocurrency for online gambling, and was ultimately sentenced to 33 months in prison by the court.
Reports say that Lowe's method of committing the crime was to forge payment records to companies like Meteorbrand, quietly transferring company funds out. His bank account had already been flagged for monitoring due to abnormal transactions, but he lied to the bank, claiming the funds came from a personal business sold in 2021, successfully delaying the review.
Reports say that Lowe's method of committing the crime was to forge payment records to companies like Meteorbrand, quietly transferring company funds out. His bank account had already been flagged for monitoring due to abnormal transactions, but he lied to the bank, claiming the funds came from a personal business sold in 2021, successfully delaying the review.
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DAT Model Faces Survival Test: Premium Retreat, Bubble Burst, and Future Direction
According to Odaily Planet Daily, the DAT (Digital Asset Tokenized Securities) model, once regarded as an 'upgraded version of crypto asset packaging,' is facing unprecedented pressure. DAT primarily packages crypto assets into a securities framework regulated by the U.S. SEC, allowing investors to gain exposure to digital assets within traditional financial frameworks and attempting to outperform the underlying asset performance. The key indicator among these is the highly watched market net asset value mNAV.
Investment bank Macquarie points out that the survival foundation of DAT is the 'equity premium'—as long as the premium exists, the DAT model can operate healthily; however, once the premium shifts and falls back into the discount range, its mechanism will encounter structural challenges. During a correction in the crypto market, if mNAV falls below 1, it will force DAT products to sell tokens to obtain liquidity, which will further intensify downward pressure and create a vicious cycle.
Investment bank Macquarie points out that the survival foundation of DAT is the 'equity premium'—as long as the premium exists, the DAT model can operate healthily; however, once the premium shifts and falls back into the discount range, its mechanism will encounter structural challenges. During a correction in the crypto market, if mNAV falls below 1, it will force DAT products to sell tokens to obtain liquidity, which will further intensify downward pressure and create a vicious cycle.
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Russia may have a 'major relaxation', with crypto regulation ushering in a key turning point.
Russia's crypto regulation may really be迎来 a 'directional' change.
According to PANews, on December 2, Deputy Finance Minister Ivan Chebeskov revealed that regulators are considering abandoning the strict definition that 'only a few high-quality investors can access decentralized digital currencies.' This means that ordinary investors are expected to have more flexible participation space in the future.
At the same time, Vladimir Chistyukhin, the first deputy governor of the Central Bank of Russia, also confirmed that the Ministry of Finance is studying the necessity of continuing to use the concept of 'high-quality investors' in the new regulations. He further added that the central bank currently tends to believe there is a 'great possibility' of relaxing restrictions related to crypto assets and expanding their legal circulation within Russia.
According to PANews, on December 2, Deputy Finance Minister Ivan Chebeskov revealed that regulators are considering abandoning the strict definition that 'only a few high-quality investors can access decentralized digital currencies.' This means that ordinary investors are expected to have more flexible participation space in the future.
At the same time, Vladimir Chistyukhin, the first deputy governor of the Central Bank of Russia, also confirmed that the Ministry of Finance is studying the necessity of continuing to use the concept of 'high-quality investors' in the new regulations. He further added that the central bank currently tends to believe there is a 'great possibility' of relaxing restrictions related to crypto assets and expanding their legal circulation within Russia.
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Analyst: Bitcoin's worst this round is "only dropping to $55,000," stop fantasizing about a return to $35,000.
According to Cointelegraph, more and more analysts in the market are beginning to reassess the possibility of a deep drop in BTC. Analyst Sykodelic presents a viewpoint that is completely opposite to the pessimists:
In this cycle, the worst-case scenario for Bitcoin is merely dropping to $55,000.
He believes that:
For BTC to experience a similar 75% major correction as in the past, it must first undergo a "complete expansion;"
and this cycle has not reached that extreme euphoric stage, thus "there is no logic in crashing to $35,000."
Currently, Bitcoin has retraced about 31% from its high of $126,000 in early October, but in his view, this is far from an "overly drastic decline."
In this cycle, the worst-case scenario for Bitcoin is merely dropping to $55,000.
He believes that:
For BTC to experience a similar 75% major correction as in the past, it must first undergo a "complete expansion;"
and this cycle has not reached that extreme euphoric stage, thus "there is no logic in crashing to $35,000."
Currently, Bitcoin has retraced about 31% from its high of $126,000 in early October, but in his view, this is far from an "overly drastic decline."
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If Qin Shi Huang had known, he would have installed a uterus for himself😅
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Bitcoin's rare 'three consecutive drops in Q4'! The last time it was all positive was during the 2018 bear market.
According to PANews, the latest data from Crypto Rover shows that Bitcoin's performance in the fourth quarter of this year can be described as a 'series of failures':
October dropped 3.69%
November plummeted 17.67%
December started off with a drop of 4.76%
This has constituted a rare 'three consecutive drops in Q4'.
More crucially -
The last time Bitcoin had an entirely positive fourth quarter was during the classic bear market of 2018.
This year's fourth quarter was originally viewed by many investors as a 'potential breakthrough window', but reality has given the market a cold shower. The three consecutive months of pullbacks indicate that liquidity, macro sentiment, and market structure are all in a weak state, and the recent surge in fear sentiment also confirms this.
October dropped 3.69%
November plummeted 17.67%
December started off with a drop of 4.76%
This has constituted a rare 'three consecutive drops in Q4'.
More crucially -
The last time Bitcoin had an entirely positive fourth quarter was during the classic bear market of 2018.
This year's fourth quarter was originally viewed by many investors as a 'potential breakthrough window', but reality has given the market a cold shower. The three consecutive months of pullbacks indicate that liquidity, macro sentiment, and market structure are all in a weak state, and the recent surge in fear sentiment also confirms this.
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Will the situation be determined? Hassett's probability of being elected as the chairman of the Federal Reserve soars to 78%, and the market is calling for a change in direction!
According to BlockBeats, the 'prediction battle' for the position of chairman of the Federal Reserve is accelerating towards convergence.
On December 1, the latest data from the prediction market Kalshi shows:
The probability of Hassett becoming the new chairman of the Federal Reserve has surged from 55% a week ago to 78%!
Moreover, on another influential prediction platform, Polymarket, Hassett's winning probability has also risen to 71%, far ahead of all competitors, almost presenting a situation of running away from the pack.
What does this mean?
——The market generally believes that the leadership direction of the Federal Reserve may soon undergo a major change.
On December 1, the latest data from the prediction market Kalshi shows:
The probability of Hassett becoming the new chairman of the Federal Reserve has surged from 55% a week ago to 78%!
Moreover, on another influential prediction platform, Polymarket, Hassett's winning probability has also risen to 71%, far ahead of all competitors, almost presenting a situation of running away from the pack.
What does this mean?
——The market generally believes that the leadership direction of the Federal Reserve may soon undergo a major change.
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Vitalik angrily sounds the alarm: Zcash must not fall into the 'deep pit of token voting'!
According to Odaily Planet Daily, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently spoke up on the X platform, this time specifically mentioning the long-standing privacy coin project Zcash.
He spoke quite frankly:
Zcash must resist the influence of the 'dark forces' of token voting.
Vitalik's attitude is very clear:
Token voting is terrible in every aspect, even worse than the current problems of Zcash.
Let ordinary token holders directly control governance, which seems decentralized but will actually lead to the gradual erosion of key values.
Especially core concepts like 'privacy' that can easily be sacrificed in the games of the majority, the longer it goes on, the more dangerous it becomes.
He spoke quite frankly:
Zcash must resist the influence of the 'dark forces' of token voting.
Vitalik's attitude is very clear:
Token voting is terrible in every aspect, even worse than the current problems of Zcash.
Let ordinary token holders directly control governance, which seems decentralized but will actually lead to the gradual erosion of key values.
Especially core concepts like 'privacy' that can easily be sacrificed in the games of the majority, the longer it goes on, the more dangerous it becomes.
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BlackRock is laughing crazily! Bitcoin ETF becomes a 'money printing machine', scale approaching $100 billion!
According to the latest news from Wu, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF business has completely exploded.
Cristiano Castro, the Director of BlackRock's Brazil Operations, directly admitted:
The Bitcoin ETF has become the company's most profitable product line.
Currently, the combined allocation scale of BlackRock's US IBIT and Brazil's IBIT39 is approaching $100 billion, which is no longer just profit, but a huge profit.
The most exaggerated part is not the scale, but the growth rate:
The US spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT has surpassed $70 billion in scale in just 341 days since its listing in January 2024.
Cristiano Castro, the Director of BlackRock's Brazil Operations, directly admitted:
The Bitcoin ETF has become the company's most profitable product line.
Currently, the combined allocation scale of BlackRock's US IBIT and Brazil's IBIT39 is approaching $100 billion, which is no longer just profit, but a huge profit.
The most exaggerated part is not the scale, but the growth rate:
The US spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT has surpassed $70 billion in scale in just 341 days since its listing in January 2024.
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SEC 'Crypto Heroine' Speaks Again: Self-Custody is a Human Right, Privacy is Not a Crime!
According to a report by Cointelegraph, Hester Peirce, a commissioner of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) known in the industry as 'Crypto Mom,' has once again emphasized one thing:
Self-custody of cryptocurrency is not an option; it is a fundamental human right.
She stated clearly:
Financial privacy should not only be allowed but should also become the standard;
Privacy does not equal suspicious behavior, but is a normal and necessary personal right.
In the current context of increasingly strict global regulation, Peirce's statements undoubtedly provide a sigh of relief for the crypto industry and once again highlight her 'minority but firm' stance within the SEC.
Self-custody of cryptocurrency is not an option; it is a fundamental human right.
She stated clearly:
Financial privacy should not only be allowed but should also become the standard;
Privacy does not equal suspicious behavior, but is a normal and necessary personal right.
In the current context of increasingly strict global regulation, Peirce's statements undoubtedly provide a sigh of relief for the crypto industry and once again highlight her 'minority but firm' stance within the SEC.
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Will Bitcoin rebound sharply? Analysts say the 100,000 USD threshold is coming again!
According to Cointelegraph, after weeks of relentless selling of BTC, signs of a short-term bottom have finally begun to appear in the market. Some analysts even boldly predict:
Bitcoin has a chance to rebound to the range of 100,000 to 110,000 USD!
Trader Mister Crypto said that although market sentiment remains around 'extreme fear', large funds have quietly started to go long, and the short-term structure of BTC has begun to stabilize again.
One key technical indicator is:
👉 The weekly RSI is close to 30, and historically, when the RSI reaches this area, it often represents a golden opportunity for BTC to reverse upwards.
Bitcoin has a chance to rebound to the range of 100,000 to 110,000 USD!
Trader Mister Crypto said that although market sentiment remains around 'extreme fear', large funds have quietly started to go long, and the short-term structure of BTC has begun to stabilize again.
One key technical indicator is:
👉 The weekly RSI is close to 30, and historically, when the RSI reaches this area, it often represents a golden opportunity for BTC to reverse upwards.
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Senior Ukrainian Officials Urgently Visit the U.S.: This Trip Is Seen as a 'Key Step Before the Turning Point of the War'
According to Foresight News, there has been a significant development in the situation in Ukraine. Zelensky publicly stated that Rustem Umerov, the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine and the head of the Ukrainian delegation, has led a team to the United States.
The purpose of this visit is quite clear:
Submit a key report on steps to end the war and discuss practical action plans that can be quickly implemented with the U.S. side.
According to Zelensky, Umerov has submitted a strategic report to the government today, focusing on how to **'quickly and substantively advance the path to end the war.'** Ukraine will continue to cooperate with the United States in the 'most constructive manner' and hopes that the results of the upcoming Geneva meeting will be accelerated at the U.S. level.
The purpose of this visit is quite clear:
Submit a key report on steps to end the war and discuss practical action plans that can be quickly implemented with the U.S. side.
According to Zelensky, Umerov has submitted a strategic report to the government today, focusing on how to **'quickly and substantively advance the path to end the war.'** Ukraine will continue to cooperate with the United States in the 'most constructive manner' and hopes that the results of the upcoming Geneva meeting will be accelerated at the U.S. level.
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49°C high temperature 'bakes' Wall Street? CME's data center melted, leaving the trading circle in a sweat!
According to BlockBeats, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) recently faced a truly 'spicy market'—not in terms of prices, but because the servers overheated to the point of shutdown.
From late night on November 27 to early morning on the 28th local time, the key data center of CME in Aurora, located in the western suburbs of Chicago, experienced a cooling system failure, causing the temperature to soar to nearly 49°C, directly exceeding the maximum temperature range allowed in the industry (about 48%). The result is:
The core system has been suspended for over 10 hours.
Yes, ten hours, a Wall Street level 'mandatory market closure.'
From late night on November 27 to early morning on the 28th local time, the key data center of CME in Aurora, located in the western suburbs of Chicago, experienced a cooling system failure, causing the temperature to soar to nearly 49°C, directly exceeding the maximum temperature range allowed in the industry (about 48%). The result is:
The core system has been suspended for over 10 hours.
Yes, ten hours, a Wall Street level 'mandatory market closure.'
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In short:
When others are greedy, I am fearful
When others are fearful, I am greedy
When others are greedy, I am fearful
When others are fearful, I am greedy
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In less than half an hour, 500 million US dollars were dumped? This operation of USDC on Solana is too fierce!
According to PANews, the USDC Treasury completed a 'big operation' again on the evening of November 28. Within a short two minutes at 22:15 and 22:16 (UTC+8), they directly minted two transactions of 250 million USDC each on the Solana chain, totaling a dazzling new issuance of 500 million US dollars!
This level of issuance, placed on-chain, is simply like a 'sudden influx of liquidity package', directly leaving many on-chain observers stunned:
——This speed, this scale, even the late-night sudden dog houses are ashamed.
But from a trend perspective, this action is not surprising:
This level of issuance, placed on-chain, is simply like a 'sudden influx of liquidity package', directly leaving many on-chain observers stunned:
——This speed, this scale, even the late-night sudden dog houses are ashamed.
But from a trend perspective, this action is not surprising:
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Who has the dog's BSC address? I want to give it $10 to eat white cut chicken.
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JPMorgan is again 'gaming the rules'? The Bitcoin community is furious: this operation feels a bit familiar!
It is said that recently the cryptocurrency world has been staging a 'Wall Street drama'. JPMorgan has just submitted an application to the SEC to launch leveraged Bitcoin-backed notes, and as a result, the Bitcoin community immediately erupted: many BTC supporters believe — this is not innovation, it is 'suppressing competitors with sneaky operations'!
Some netizens directly expressed their anger: Is JPMorgan secretly 'manipulating the rules of the game', giving Strategy and Digital Asset Reserve Companies (DATs) a backstabbing competition?
This blame is not lightly thrown, but it's not without basis.
After all, just recently, JPMorgan launched a structured note linked to the Bitcoin ETF by BlackRock, specifically designed to fit the 'BTC four-year halving cycle'...
Some netizens directly expressed their anger: Is JPMorgan secretly 'manipulating the rules of the game', giving Strategy and Digital Asset Reserve Companies (DATs) a backstabbing competition?
This blame is not lightly thrown, but it's not without basis.
After all, just recently, JPMorgan launched a structured note linked to the Bitcoin ETF by BlackRock, specifically designed to fit the 'BTC four-year halving cycle'...
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"Does this wave of 'confidence recovery' in the EU mean no need for interest rate cuts?"
November in the EU seems to have received a "confidence booster"—economic confidence indicators and sales price expectations are all on the rise, leading Peter Vanden Houte, an analyst at ING Netherlands, to state: this situation might not require further interest rate cuts.
The service industry remains the "MVP that stabilizes the entire scene," having pulled overall confidence upwards for three consecutive months; retail and construction sectors are also "lifting their heads," conveying a long-awaited positive signal to the market.
But don’t be too quick to celebrate, as the industrial sector has "hit a snag." Reduced orders and unpredictable exports have caused industrial confidence to decline, casting a small shadow over the overall recovery. Moreover, the more critical point is that all industries' sales price expectations are above the long-term average, and even consumers have begun to anticipate that future prices will rise faster.
The service industry remains the "MVP that stabilizes the entire scene," having pulled overall confidence upwards for three consecutive months; retail and construction sectors are also "lifting their heads," conveying a long-awaited positive signal to the market.
But don’t be too quick to celebrate, as the industrial sector has "hit a snag." Reduced orders and unpredictable exports have caused industrial confidence to decline, casting a small shadow over the overall recovery. Moreover, the more critical point is that all industries' sales price expectations are above the long-term average, and even consumers have begun to anticipate that future prices will rise faster.
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50,000 people resign Alpha
GAIB appears and they return to work
Why is this?
Getting over 1,000 tokens for free really feels like giving away money!
The “hybrid monster” GAIB of AI + RWA + DeFi has a truly earth-shattering vibe! Now the whole community is shouting: “Not understanding GAIB might lead to crying on the chain in regret in the future!”
🚀 What is GAIB? In one sentence: Bringing the AI infrastructure of the real world onto the chain!
If the past RWA brought real assets onto the chain, then GAIB directly tokenizes and puts on-chain the entire set of “oil of the AI era” which includes GPU, data centers, and AI computing power, making it a liquidity opportunity that everyone can participate in.
The core of GAIB is:
Tokenize, make usable, investable, and profitable the economic infrastructure of AI in the real world!
💵 AID: The “new dollar” on the chain in the AI era
The AID (AI Dollar) launched by GAIB is truly remarkable:
• Supported by US Treasury bonds + stable assets
• A fully on-chain AI synthetic dollar backed by real asset collateral
• The more people use it and the stronger the demand for AI computing, the more stable its value foundation becomes
In one sentence:
Using AID is actually enjoying the dividends from the three sets of logic: AI, RWA, and stable assets.
⸻
💰 sAID: Stake your AI dollars and earn “real yield streams” from the future
After staking, AID turns into sAID. So where does the yield come from?
✔ From the demand for AI computing
✔ From GPU infrastructure returns
✔ From DeFi ecosystem synergy returns
More importantly:
sAID is not locked, preserves liquidity, and can continue to be reused in DeFi.
It means you earn yields while retaining liquidity, allowing you to continue lending, providing liquidity, and participating in structured products.
Isn’t this the “lying down to participate in the AI infrastructure economy” we dream of?
⸻
🔗 The ambition of GAIB: Connecting the three realms of AI, DeFi, and RWA
GAIB has now started integrating with lending protocols, structured products, and yield aggregators, embedding AI infrastructure yields into the entire on-chain financial system.
What it is doing can be described as:
Previously, AI infrastructure only belonged to large institutions; now GAIB has opened it up on-chain, allowing ordinary people to also partake in the meat of the AI era. $GAIB #GAIB
GAIB appears and they return to work
Why is this?
Getting over 1,000 tokens for free really feels like giving away money!
The “hybrid monster” GAIB of AI + RWA + DeFi has a truly earth-shattering vibe! Now the whole community is shouting: “Not understanding GAIB might lead to crying on the chain in regret in the future!”
🚀 What is GAIB? In one sentence: Bringing the AI infrastructure of the real world onto the chain!
If the past RWA brought real assets onto the chain, then GAIB directly tokenizes and puts on-chain the entire set of “oil of the AI era” which includes GPU, data centers, and AI computing power, making it a liquidity opportunity that everyone can participate in.
The core of GAIB is:
Tokenize, make usable, investable, and profitable the economic infrastructure of AI in the real world!
💵 AID: The “new dollar” on the chain in the AI era
The AID (AI Dollar) launched by GAIB is truly remarkable:
• Supported by US Treasury bonds + stable assets
• A fully on-chain AI synthetic dollar backed by real asset collateral
• The more people use it and the stronger the demand for AI computing, the more stable its value foundation becomes
In one sentence:
Using AID is actually enjoying the dividends from the three sets of logic: AI, RWA, and stable assets.
⸻
💰 sAID: Stake your AI dollars and earn “real yield streams” from the future
After staking, AID turns into sAID. So where does the yield come from?
✔ From the demand for AI computing
✔ From GPU infrastructure returns
✔ From DeFi ecosystem synergy returns
More importantly:
sAID is not locked, preserves liquidity, and can continue to be reused in DeFi.
It means you earn yields while retaining liquidity, allowing you to continue lending, providing liquidity, and participating in structured products.
Isn’t this the “lying down to participate in the AI infrastructure economy” we dream of?
⸻
🔗 The ambition of GAIB: Connecting the three realms of AI, DeFi, and RWA
GAIB has now started integrating with lending protocols, structured products, and yield aggregators, embedding AI infrastructure yields into the entire on-chain financial system.
What it is doing can be described as:
Previously, AI infrastructure only belonged to large institutions; now GAIB has opened it up on-chain, allowing ordinary people to also partake in the meat of the AI era. $GAIB #GAIB
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