The key point of this message is not to announce an imminent interest rate cut, but to convey a signal: if four rate cuts are ultimately not realized, the consequences will be very serious. The market has already priced in the expectation of four rate cuts.
【May Day Spell? Bitcoin During the Holiday】 2019: Rise 2020: Rise 2021: Rise 2022: Fall (the only time) 2023: Rise 2024: Rise 2025: Will it continue to rise?
Can history repeat itself, or will it be broken this time? The May Day market is about to be revealed, what are your thoughts?
In a bear market, retail investors often do not actually incur losses—because most people do not enter the market at all.
However, in a bull market, it is the retail investors who end up losing money. The reason is that they are accustomed to pyramid-style averaging down: investing 10,000 yuan when ETH is at 3,000 points, and when it rises to 3,500 points, they feel bullish and increase their investment to 50,000 yuan; when it hits 4,000 points, they are even more excited and suddenly increase their investment to 200,000 yuan. As a result, when the market pulls back from 4,000 points to 3,500 points, they see a significant loss on their account.
The opportunity that truly warrants a significant investment in Bitcoin occurs approximately once every 1410 days.
Looking back at Bitcoin's history, as of now, the monthly oversold signal has only appeared three times:
1. The first time was in 2015, with a price of about $152;
2. The second time appeared in 2019, dropping to about $3,670;
3. The third time occurred in 2022, bottoming out around $18,183.
The intervals between the three occurrences were 1520 days and 1300 days respectively. Based on this cycle, the next similar opportunity is likely to fall between September 2026 and January 2027.
MicroStrategy essentially relies on continuously buying Bitcoin, yet its market value has already surpassed that of BNB.
It seems that this company only needs three people: A CEO, specifically responsible for endorsing Bitcoin A CFO, responsible for continuously purchasing Bitcoin A CTO, to maintain the image of 'we are still doing enterprise software'.
On the Binance side, they have to constantly fine-tune business strategies to align with market trends, continuously expand recruitment to cope with multi-line development, and handle various trivial matters, just to barely keep up with MicroStrategy's market value performance.
Outlook on Bitcoin and Altcoin Markets: Is a Big Fluctuation About to Unfold?
Recently, Bitcoin's price has continued to fluctuate, briefly dropping below the $94,000 and $93,000 thresholds, before rebounding to around $94,700 and $95,700. The daily chart shows a bearish candle, presenting a typical 'Evening Star' pattern, and has still failed to effectively break through the resistance zone of $96,000. Currently, Bitcoin is near the important 120-day moving average, which has always been a key point for the struggle between bulls and bears.
There is still significant uncertainty regarding future trends. The direction of Trump's policies and the risks associated with U.S. debt remain unresolved; if Bitcoin rises against this backdrop, caution against a bull trap is warranted. If the macro environment improves, Bitcoin is likely to enter a long-term bull market similar to gold, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut schedule will also become a key catalyst.
Sharing years of practical experience in the crypto world to help you avoid pitfalls!
1. Don't be obsessed with popular coins. Altcoins will not always rise; when profits reach a certain level, you should decisively switch positions, or you risk giving back profits, as evidenced by FIL and LUNA. 2. Key points for high and low operations. After a high-level consolidation, a breakout is usually a good selling opportunity; after a low-level consolidation followed by a new low, it may be a good time to establish a position. 3. Assess the market situation in the broader environment. In a bear market, if the coin price can hold steady, it is often easier to rally later; in a bull market, if the coin price holds steady without rising, it may instead experience a further drop. 4. Reasonably control your position. Increase your position when breaking through previous highs, and do not blindly add to your position during pullbacks; cut losses promptly to minimize losses and let profits run.
If you had invested 1 million yuan in NIO stock in 2021, and firmly believed in NIO's long-term development strategy, and held on for four years, today your account has only 67,000 yuan left, a loss of 930,000. At this point, you face two choices: 1. Cut your losses and sell everything, conveniently joining the camp that criticizes Li Bin the most. 2. Automatically become NIO's "guard army," firmly opposing the pessimists, believing that one day this 1 million yuan will be recouped.
The current market is in the brewing stage before an explosion. The longer the consolidation lasts, the more intense the subsequent market explosion will be, and the increase will be more astonishing.
A massive market is about to start, and the bears will soon feel the real impact!
There is no need to panic in the face of consolidation; its essence is to eliminate those indecisive retail investors.
In order for Bitcoin to reach higher levels, the operators must consolidate the foundation through repeated fluctuations.
Ultimately, $74,501 is expected to become an unbreakable bottom. Once the foundation is solidified, Bitcoin is expected to strongly break through the $100,000, $200,000, and even $300,000 thresholds!
FHE is about to ignite a hundredfold bull market! The last chance for retail investors to get rich, regret it for three lifetimes if missed!
Attention! The super bomb in the investment world—FHE (Fully Homomorphic Encryption) has quietly detonated! Today, with the explosion of AI and the skyrocketing value of privacy assets, FHE is being frantically pursued by major institutions. Once applied, its value can directly skyrocket by hundreds, thousands, or even tens of thousands of times—it’s not an exaggeration! Retail investors just need to position themselves in advance; even a small investment can turn them into invisible millionaires, completely escaping the fate of being a worker! Don’t doubt it, seeing this article today is a sign from above! FHE is the strongest profit-making track in this round of technological revolution; those who understand have already started buying in secretly; those who don’t can only watch FHE-related projects soar!
[Shocking Prediction] The secret to becoming a hundredfold wealthy in the future crypto space is revealed! FHE + AI + blockchain, multi-chain collaboration is stirring up a wave of super wealth!
Still using old strategies to trade cryptocurrencies? Then you might forever just be the harvested chives for others! The real opportunity to traverse bull and bear markets, multiply wealth, and change fate is quietly taking shape — and FHE is the super engine of this wealth migration! The perfect integration of AI + blockchain + FHE is opening an unprecedented new world: cross-chain intelligent collaboration, automated profit-making Agents, privacy-preserving consensus mechanisms... All of this can not only reshape the entire Web3 landscape but will also allow early adopters to enjoy exponential profits!
Imagine this: in the future, all on-chain interactions, AI instructions, and investment actions will be fully encrypted and flawless. Only you can control your wealth password, and others won’t even be able to see it! Privacy is opportunity, privacy is the future!
On the surface, the market appears calm, as if it is consolidating sideways, but in reality, the main players are quietly laying the groundwork for a big move. In the coming days, Bitcoin is expected to experience a sharp rise, and the market will surge with unstoppable momentum, leading to life-questioning gains.
Once again, I have no connection with TGE The trading volume didn't increase My assets are just below 10,000 USDT I'm so frustrated that I'm stomping my feet!