晴天886

Did you eat the long position at 2218 last night? Now directly reverse to short, added to the short at 2310! 2455 serves as the defense level, and I'll take a loss if it breaks with volume. The second round of trading has already been repeatedly tested with these few patterns, just execute it.

Isn't the 5-wave pattern more intuitive compared to the complex geometric structure of the harmonic mode?
When trading trends, where to short? Where to stop? Where to long?

Ethereum Wave Theory Large Scale Projection
Scenario 1: Weak Rebound Path
If 2879-2110 is confirmed as the A wave decline, and the 2110 position cannot form an effective impulse wave, then we are currently in a consolidation bottoming phase.
Expected rebound target range:
Regular B wave rebound: 2488-2580
Strong B wave rebound: 2720
Pattern Evolution:
May form a "Perfect Bullish Bat" harmonic pattern (corresponding to the traditional M top structure) Figure 2
Final D point target PRZ area: around 1570 (completing the AB=CD measured decline) only then will the bull market's main three waves 1-2-3 unfold.
Scenario 2: Strong Impulse Path
If 2110 confirms the initiation of the impulse wave, then 2879-2110 should be re-labeled as a 1-2-2 wave correction.
Upward target:
Main rising 3 wave first target: 3500 area (1.618 extension)
Subsequently, will enter 1-2-4 wave adjustment.
Large cycle validation
Historical wave type comparison:
Previous cycle 1-1-5 wave high point 4109 (only 11 points higher than 1-1-3 wave 4098)
Did not break through the previous high of 4877, indicating insufficient momentum.
Current cycle key:
Need to observe whether the 1-2-3 wave can break through the key level of 2850.
If it fails, it may retest the 1570 area to complete a large scale bottoming.
$ETH

There are still many comments from brothers on the square that haven't been replied to. The comment section has been a bit explosive lately, and there are quite a few of them. Of course, the market has been quite volatile these days, and today is Monday, with various meetings at work, so I can only reply later. If it's urgent, just @ me! There are still bottlenecks in the information exchange on the square! First of all, I would like to especially thank all the brothers and friends who have been following me. Ethereum has reached 2100. If you are looking at the Ethereum structure chart I updated last week, the target is 2071! In this round of severe market fluctuations, I told you in advance last week that it wouldn't break 2850, and Ethereum is extremely dangerous. If you trust me and if you care about the point, some individual short positions on the left side may not have been entered, then the right side short position has made a profit, and the left side rebound has made a profit, of course, there are also long positions from the rebound that were stopped out. However, there are still critics who come to attack. Is it that my public analysis was not early enough, or am I ambiguous? Or did I touch the cake of the Eternal Earnings Master? I really don't understand! As a practitioner who continuously outputs trading signals, I deeply understand the cognitive gap between market prediction and result verification. When the technical and fundamental aspects resonate: 1: Doubt period (initial stage of signal release) 2: Verification period (market initiation stage) 3: Noise period (profit realization stage) However, I believe that the market will eventually return to its intrinsic value. Time will prove who is swimming naked and who is the true value player! Keep it up, brothers!

So did 2235 get it right again, the same 2230 stop loss, missed today's spike, did it give another opportunity? Heizi speaks.

$SOL
Is SQL up to standard enough, big brother, do you remember I said to escape if it falls below 140,
In trading, are you going against the trend or shorting with the trend? Currently, Bitcoin also has a bearish ABCD pattern, pay attention to protecting long positions.

$ETH
Air Force brothers, do you remember our short target from last week?
From a technical analysis perspective, Ethereum is currently exhibiting a standard 1:1 head and shoulders pattern at the 2-hour level. According to the pattern measurement, the theoretical downside target is around 2235. This morning it touched around 2230! In fact, this pattern had already formed over the weekend; we saw it yesterday, but it was very late on the weekend, and we didn't update the public square. Considering the poor liquidity over the weekend, fluctuations were relatively small! However, Ethereum's decline never disappoints the bears! Observing from a larger 2879 cycle, the position at 2243 has completed the full structure of an equidistant ABCD bearish pattern. It is expected that the price will initially see a technical rebound at the current position, but the overall downward trend remains unchanged, and after the rebound, the downward movement will continue!

Is it really that difficult to trade? Commonly mentioned left-side ambush! Right-side chase!!!
Imagine driving on the road, encountering a red light, would you choose to accelerate or to brake?

03:00 am Emergency reminder:
Trading opportunity found
Trust me, you have already entered the market to make money. Go in boldly!
Stop loss XX, take profit XX
Detailed discussion tomorrow
Tell me which style needs to be adjusted~ (Current Beijing time June 21, 2025)
$BTC
#BTC走势分析

Very standard WXYXZ adjustment wave. Previous analysis confirms 111980 as a local top. The decline of Z is 0.8 of W, you can enter a long position at the current price! Defend at 102777, if it gets hit then enter at 100588, defend at 100288. You can target 107200
$BTC

#BTC走势分析
Large pancake short-term trading, go long on the downside, manage your own protection, not to be used as investment advice

Listening to you is better than reading ten years of books
Why was there not much movement yesterday morning?
That's because Te is unreliable and learned Tai Chi with Powell!
(Regarding interest rate cuts) It may happen soon, or it may not happen soon
(Regarding possible attacks on Iran) Actions may be taken, or they may not be
Now let me analyze today's market, it may rise, or it may not rise, and a sideways movement is also possible
#鲍威尔发言
#以色列伊朗冲突
#BTC走势分析

$ETH
There are always some people who like to argue.

In the field of market analysis, I always adhere to the principle of objective and rational assessment. Regarding the validation of historical predictions, it can be clearly seen:
From 4100 points to 3100 points, was the trend judgment accurate?
From 3740 points to 2958 points, was the technical analysis accurate?
Are people talking?

$ETH
Ethereum is extremely dangerous, likely to enter deep crab mode. Long positions should be cautious.
Deep crab mode is evolved from an invalid bat pattern and a specific type of crab pattern. As a further refinement of the basic structure, deep crab mode is similar to the original crab mode.

$ETH

Stand at attention when being beaten
Yesterday, Ethereum went long at the 2570 level. Stop loss. The logic for going long is illustrated in the picture, with the price continuously operating within an ascending channel, and it has not broken the small-scale ascending trend line. At the same time, I also wanted to catch a rebound at a high position, but this Ethereum is like an unmanageable burden. Yesterday, like Bitcoin, it stopped falling at 0.886 (2461). Then, it was blocked at the ascending trend line at 2542 and fell again (at the arrow position in the image). Therefore, personally, I do not recommend going long on Ethereum; if you must go long, you can only do so with a small position on the left side, as the risk of falling is high before it stands above 2550.
Other risk factors:
Market liquidity: A surge in sell orders at 3 AM from the exchange
On-chain data: A whale address transferred 120,000 ETH to the exchange
Derivative signals: Futures premium rate broke below -0.03%

Early Market Technical Analysis
The ascending triangle consolidation chart of Bitcoin was updated yesterday (4H). I deleted the relevant segments on the chart to make it clearer. You can see the price moved from 108900 to today’s 103300. (Interestingly, I drew a Fibonacci retracement, which accurately hit 0.886? Resonating with my online name? Resonating with the lower edge of the ascending triangle?) The spike reached the end of the triangle, but the body closed within the triangle,
‌AB segment uptrend and C point retracement‌
The current price retraced from 108900 to 103300, reaching the 0.886 Fibonacci level of the AB segment, indicating technical support.
Although the lower shadow pierced the end of the triangle, the body closed within the pattern, reflecting effective bullish defense.
‌Harmonic Pattern Validation‌
If the C point quickly rebounds after retracing 0.886 of AB and stabilizes above point A (above 103666), it may indicate a bullish shakeout, with a high probability of trend continuation.
Caution is needed regarding the position of point B: if point B is located at 38.2%-50% of the larger cycle XA leg, it may form a bullish bat pattern.
‌Breakout Signal Confirmation‌
‌Bullish Conditions‌: The price must break out of the upper trend line of the triangle with increased volume (currently around 105500), targeting the previous high of 108900–110003.
‌Bearish Risk‌: If the body falls below the low of point C (103300), the ascending triangle will be invalidated, or it may test the 100000 support level.
💡 ‌Summary‌: The 0.886 retracement level resonates with the ascending triangle; we need to wait for the body to confirm the breakout direction. Currently, the trend is inclined to continue.

$ETH
Market Review
False Breakout Phase: Ethereum experienced a false breakout after reaching a high of $2878 following a breakthrough at $2850, subsequently plunging to $2430.
Fluctuating Bottoming: The price consolidated in the $2480-$2580 range for three days, breaking through $2580, and facing significant selling pressure at $2680, falling back to $2520.
Current Rebound: A rebound is currently underway from $2520, and there may still be an opportunity for an upward rebound. Initially bullish followed by bearish, but caution is needed for potential false bullish risks.
Operational Strategy Suggestions
Right-side traders must meet two conditions to take a short bullish position:
Real-time monitoring capability
Confirmation of a volume breakout signal
High Short Layout Opportunities
Ideal Range: Gradually build short positions in the $2717-$2753 range (high cost-performance ratio)
Key Risk Control: If the price breaks out with volume above $2750, then: pause to observe, or manually close positions (to short at $2828)

$BTC
This Thursday and Friday (June 19-20) are key nodes for price and time resonance
‌Dual-track trading plan‌
‌Left-side strategy‌
Current price tests the daily level downtrend line resistance
It is recommended to lightly short near the trend line (currently about 109388) with a 5% position
‌Right-side strategy‌
Clear triggering condition: 30-minute closing price breaks below 106200
After breaking, add to the short position (additional 25% position)
‌Targets and reversal signals‌
▼ First target: 101500 level (reduce position by 50%)
▼ Second target: 99500 (close remaining short position)
▲ Reversal condition: In the 100,000, 99500 area:
4-hour level pin bar/engulfing pattern
Combined with trading volume increasing to 1.5 times the 20-day average
‌Risk control parameters‌
⚠️ Left-side position stop loss: above the trend line 109388 (3% space)
⚠️ Right-side position stop loss: re-establish above 106800 (30-minute closing confirmation)