晴天886
如果为赌博梭哈，无理取闹、无端猜忌者，请悄悄取消关注。我能影响的人毕竟少数，释迦佛这么伟大，同样有人来攻击他、阻碍他、质疑他，更何况我一个凡夫俗子呢！天雨虽宽，不润无根之草
26 Following
5.3K+ Followers
5.1K+ Liked
147 Shared
All
Quotes
Videos
See original
PINNED
Bitcoin (BTC) Wave Structure Technical Analysis (June 2025 Update)
Current Wave Type Positioning
Short-term Structure
The 74500 to 111980 range has completed the 3-5-1 wave (small level peak)
Expected Pullback Pattern: ABC/WXY/WXYXZ and other complex adjustments
Key Support Range: 97588-93588 (Spot Gold Pit)
Post-Pullback Target: Rise from 97588 to 125000 (3-5-3 wave main rise)
Large Cycle ABCD Pattern
AB Wave: 52500→110000 (3-3 main rising wave)BC Wave: 110000→74500 (3-4 adjustment wave)CD Wave: 74500→125000 (currently in progress, theoretical target)Completion Mark: D wave touches 125000 then initiates secondary pullbackUltimate Bull Top DeductionAfter the ABCD pattern concludes, final sprint to 132000 (3-5-5 wave peak)
Short-term Structure
The 74500 to 111980 range has completed the 3-5-1 wave (small level peak)
Expected Pullback Pattern: ABC/WXY/WXYXZ and other complex adjustments
Key Support Range: 97588-93588 (Spot Gold Pit)
Post-Pullback Target: Rise from 97588 to 125000 (3-5-3 wave main rise)
Large Cycle ABCD Pattern
AB Wave: 52500→110000 (3-3 main rising wave)BC Wave: 110000→74500 (3-4 adjustment wave)CD Wave: 74500→125000 (currently in progress, theoretical target)Completion Mark: D wave touches 125000 then initiates secondary pullbackUltimate Bull Top DeductionAfter the ABCD pattern concludes, final sprint to 132000 (3-5-5 wave peak)
See original
PINNED
Believers in Bitcoin, the super 5-wave big cycle structure is here! Go all in on spot trading, enjoy life and relax.
$BTC
Talking about the picture, the super 5-wave big cycle structure is here! Many people think the bull market is over! The market is very panicked, drawing a super cycle 5-wave big structure, and has not broken below 7.5 yet. I believe there is still a peak! Of course, the cycles are different, and the perspectives on the issues are different! I'll get straight to the answer:
For those who believe in Bitcoin, long-term value investors, this is the last opportunity. (74500-75800-76200) Fill in positions 2-3-5, hold on to 13.2, and just relax!
Talking about the picture, the super 5-wave big cycle structure is here! Many people think the bull market is over! The market is very panicked, drawing a super cycle 5-wave big structure, and has not broken below 7.5 yet. I believe there is still a peak! Of course, the cycles are different, and the perspectives on the issues are different! I'll get straight to the answer:
For those who believe in Bitcoin, long-term value investors, this is the last opportunity. (74500-75800-76200) Fill in positions 2-3-5, hold on to 13.2, and just relax!
See original
Brothers, the big one is coming!
There's only one word
Empty!
There's only one word
Empty!
See original
$ETH
ETH Overall Direction
The first phase of the pullback from 4788 to 4060 has come to a close.
From 4060, there will be three phases of rebound, with the high point expected in the 4720-4750 range.
From 4750, a second phase of pullback will occur, targeting the 3920 area.
When it reaches the 3920 area, it will be necessary to evaluate the structure to determine whether to go upward to 5300 to find a peak or downward to 3500 to find a bottom!
There have been some issues at home these past few days, so I returned to the countryside! I won't be placing many orders, but I will resume in September! Wishing my brothers great wealth and smooth trading!
2025-08-21
ETH Overall Direction
The first phase of the pullback from 4788 to 4060 has come to a close.
From 4060, there will be three phases of rebound, with the high point expected in the 4720-4750 range.
From 4750, a second phase of pullback will occur, targeting the 3920 area.
When it reaches the 3920 area, it will be necessary to evaluate the structure to determine whether to go upward to 5300 to find a peak or downward to 3500 to find a bottom!
There have been some issues at home these past few days, so I returned to the countryside! I won't be placing many orders, but I will resume in September! Wishing my brothers great wealth and smooth trading!
2025-08-21
See original
Trade Review: Stop Loss and Market Manipulation
ETH Plan Failed
The original plan was to buy in batches at 4168 and 4110, but when it first reached 4168, I hesitated to cancel the order after seeing a waterfall with volume and missed the rebound to 4220+.
After the pullback, I chased the buy and got stuck, sigh.
4110 was the ambush buy, but the price dropped to 4112, just 2 points away from triggering the entry, and then it rallied.
BTC Stop Loss
After stabilizing at 1137, I placed a buy order at 1130 with a stop loss, but the market just had to hit my stop loss first before returning to my cost price! It feels like a trap specifically targeting me.
Woke up this morning to find that the second coin couldn't hold 4250, and then another spike happened, decisively cut the buy position, and I won't enter at 4110 anymore, chasing a short at market price! Remembering the 4075 structural level I analyzed before, this could be an A wave, or it could be a C wave, just 20 dollars stop loss, just woke up, short him!!! Short to 4075 and then go long!!!
Summary: Relax the tolerance for key levels (e.g., ±5 points), set conditional alerts after placing orders instead of watching the market closely, and reduce emotional interference.
ETH Plan Failed
The original plan was to buy in batches at 4168 and 4110, but when it first reached 4168, I hesitated to cancel the order after seeing a waterfall with volume and missed the rebound to 4220+.
After the pullback, I chased the buy and got stuck, sigh.
4110 was the ambush buy, but the price dropped to 4112, just 2 points away from triggering the entry, and then it rallied.
BTC Stop Loss
After stabilizing at 1137, I placed a buy order at 1130 with a stop loss, but the market just had to hit my stop loss first before returning to my cost price! It feels like a trap specifically targeting me.
Woke up this morning to find that the second coin couldn't hold 4250, and then another spike happened, decisively cut the buy position, and I won't enter at 4110 anymore, chasing a short at market price! Remembering the 4075 structural level I analyzed before, this could be an A wave, or it could be a C wave, just 20 dollars stop loss, just woke up, short him!!! Short to 4075 and then go long!!!
Summary: Relax the tolerance for key levels (e.g., ±5 points), set conditional alerts after placing orders instead of watching the market closely, and reduce emotional interference.
See original
Brothers, the momentum for the market rebound is clearly insufficient. To effectively control risk, I have closed all long positions in BTC and ETH.
Regarding the follow-up operation strategy for ETH (the second pie): If the price cannot effectively break through the resistance range of 4320-4330 tonight, we will choose a more technically advantageous entry point to reposition.
Regarding the follow-up operation strategy for ETH (the second pie): If the price cannot effectively break through the resistance range of 4320-4330 tonight, we will choose a more technically advantageous entry point to reposition.
See original
I know it very well, yet I choose to remain silent!
Bitcoin (BTC) trend line damage
Key trend line: The ascending channel connecting 74500-98200-113000 confirmed a breakdown on August 18!
Short-term support: The 6H EMA200 moving average is being supported, temporarily halting the downtrend, but the rebound momentum is insufficient and needs time to slowly recover. Then it will continue to fall and look for a bottom adjustment!
Where to take profits on the rebound long position, where to enter short position, trading and being smart should be something you can tell just by looking at the chart. Where to take profits on the downside needs to be calculated!
Although I already understood in my heart, I chose to remain silent now.
Ethereum (ETH) key level attack and defense review
Key trend line: The ascending channel connecting 74500-98200-113000 confirmed a breakdown on August 18!
Short-term support: The 6H EMA200 moving average is being supported, temporarily halting the downtrend, but the rebound momentum is insufficient and needs time to slowly recover. Then it will continue to fall and look for a bottom adjustment!
Where to take profits on the rebound long position, where to enter short position, trading and being smart should be something you can tell just by looking at the chart. Where to take profits on the downside needs to be calculated!
Although I already understood in my heart, I chose to remain silent now.
Ethereum (ETH) key level attack and defense review
See original
The Binance copy trading group chat system may have issues. I will go to bed a bit later tonight as I'm in a battle with the market! Tonight, I will adjust positions for both long and short trades. Those of you who are copying trades should not operate on your own. Also, check if the copy trading you selected is fixed amount trading; if it is fixed amount, then there might be a problem. Everyone, get some good rest. I will help you recover tonight!
See original
Come in quickly with my order, I will inform everyone about the market trends inside.
See original
The partners who follow the orders, I just found out that Binance has an official copy trading chat group. I'm opening it now, and I'm analyzing swing strategies inside, let's make some profits!!!!
See original
I only now understand the clearest structure of the big and small pancakes. For the next order, I will make a long position. I don't plan to send it to the square; when the time comes, I will send out the delivery order! (I am currently sealing the draft of the trading plan for my next transaction in the square, waiting for the market to develop before I publicly send it out! The draft box in picture 3 is my next trading plan!)
This time I did not find any structural analysis oversight: I did not fully consider the possibility of a downward channel; the market maker's downward move has already taken out my expected two transactions!
Some of you need to stop loss, some of you add without stopping loss,
I open positions myself, and the positions in the account I control are very light; the liquidation price is at 4000.
My own positions are relatively heavy, and choosing to follow a trade means choosing a fixed proportion; if I open a certain amount, you open the same amount. If it's a fixed amount, the system logic is different.
This afternoon before I went to sleep, not stopping loss at 4330 in time was my mistake. I saw the market stabilizing and recklessly increased my position at the mountain top capital. When I woke up, I found that I could no longer act!
There is another issue: the left-side position management is unreasonable and is still stuck in the large position from last week's chasing the rise!
Key operational errors
Failed to execute the preset stop loss at 4330
Incorrectly judged the stabilization signal and increased the position
Lack of automatic risk control measures during inactive periods
This time I did not find any structural analysis oversight: I did not fully consider the possibility of a downward channel; the market maker's downward move has already taken out my expected two transactions!
Some of you need to stop loss, some of you add without stopping loss,
I open positions myself, and the positions in the account I control are very light; the liquidation price is at 4000.
My own positions are relatively heavy, and choosing to follow a trade means choosing a fixed proportion; if I open a certain amount, you open the same amount. If it's a fixed amount, the system logic is different.
This afternoon before I went to sleep, not stopping loss at 4330 in time was my mistake. I saw the market stabilizing and recklessly increased my position at the mountain top capital. When I woke up, I found that I could no longer act!
There is another issue: the left-side position management is unreasonable and is still stuck in the large position from last week's chasing the rise!
Key operational errors
Failed to execute the preset stop loss at 4330
Incorrectly judged the stabilization signal and increased the position
Lack of automatic risk control measures during inactive periods
See original
Laughing before going to bed, backing up to pick someone up!!! Woke up shocked
I am the capital at the mountain top, added positions before sleeping 4320!!!
Such unexpected fluctuations have instead made the strengths and weaknesses of the position structure clear
It is indeed difficult to decisively stop loss at the current level
Technical observation
What is worth noting is that BTC is still stubbornly holding above the EMA200 lifeline, this key moving average is like a lighthouse in the storm.
The market often says "the end of a trend is the moving average", since Bitcoin has not effectively broken below this dividing line, it might be worth giving more observation time.
I am the capital at the mountain top, added positions before sleeping 4320!!!
Such unexpected fluctuations have instead made the strengths and weaknesses of the position structure clear
It is indeed difficult to decisively stop loss at the current level
Technical observation
What is worth noting is that BTC is still stubbornly holding above the EMA200 lifeline, this key moving average is like a lighthouse in the storm.
The market often says "the end of a trend is the moving average", since Bitcoin has not effectively broken below this dividing line, it might be worth giving more observation time.
See original
This morning, the pin reached 4335, witnessing a logic that the short-term upward wave 5 has been completed, and 4335 has reached the peak of wave 3! Therefore, 4335 is defined as the pullback wave A, enter the market at the current price. Take the rebound wave B, and then short!
GM Good morning!
Looking back
Review verification: Are we predicting the market top again? Although we expected the 4350 area to be the top, it actually peaked at 4330 on a smaller scale (only a 0.5% error!)
A perfect entry point for a short position is a difference of 20 dollars
Should we pay attention and like it?
But the structural opportunities for the second and third sell-offs are still there
I also sent you the bottom fishing for gold in advance
Do you still need to pay to join the master's strategy group for trading?
Since the master is so skilled, haven't they already reached A8, A9!
You're just a few hundred U membership fees short!!!
The master makes tens of thousands U in fees for a single trade, while my few thousand U profit is like an ant's position. Hehe
I don't understand!!!
@天晴ETH
Looking back
Review verification: Are we predicting the market top again? Although we expected the 4350 area to be the top, it actually peaked at 4330 on a smaller scale (only a 0.5% error!)
A perfect entry point for a short position is a difference of 20 dollars
Should we pay attention and like it?
But the structural opportunities for the second and third sell-offs are still there
I also sent you the bottom fishing for gold in advance
Do you still need to pay to join the master's strategy group for trading?
Since the master is so skilled, haven't they already reached A8, A9!
You're just a few hundred U membership fees short!!!
The master makes tens of thousands U in fees for a single trade, while my few thousand U profit is like an ant's position. Hehe
I don't understand!!!
@天晴ETH
See original
Er Bing, what's wrong with you? 4372 to 4550 take profit! If the 4550 area is empty, are you going to play waterfall for me?
$ETH
I am now closing the real-time K-line interface, allowing my thoughts to settle in the rhythm of the music festival.
Overall idea: Before a volume breakout at the key level of 4820, I have already constructed a complete shape deduction map in my mind,
I still choose to model using geometric harmonic theory, as the above three sets of continuous patterns basically outline the price movement trajectory for the entire month of August.
Last week's trading review: During the holiday, I adopted a market price chasing strategy to capture the main upward wave. Although I missed the opportunity for left-sided limit orders, I fully enjoyed the satisfaction of trend trading.
Currently returning to work mode, this week will focus on executing the following plans:
Strategy adjustment
Focus on left-sided ambush order layout, using potential reversal points of harmonic patterns to set limit orders. During monitoring periods, I will pay close attention to the reversal areas marked by points C and D in the harmonic model.
Volume coordination situation
Maintain flexible positions to respond to sudden fluctuations.
If you still don't understand, I will see if I need to open copy trading, starting at 500 USDT. Players with 10 USDT should not come. Keep the USDT inside and do not move it around. For making such left-sided high-profit orders, focus on the risk-reward ratio.
Note: The market changes rapidly, please combine all strategies with your own position management!
I am now closing the real-time K-line interface, allowing my thoughts to settle in the rhythm of the music festival.
Overall idea: Before a volume breakout at the key level of 4820, I have already constructed a complete shape deduction map in my mind,
I still choose to model using geometric harmonic theory, as the above three sets of continuous patterns basically outline the price movement trajectory for the entire month of August.
Last week's trading review: During the holiday, I adopted a market price chasing strategy to capture the main upward wave. Although I missed the opportunity for left-sided limit orders, I fully enjoyed the satisfaction of trend trading.
Currently returning to work mode, this week will focus on executing the following plans:
Strategy adjustment
Focus on left-sided ambush order layout, using potential reversal points of harmonic patterns to set limit orders. During monitoring periods, I will pay close attention to the reversal areas marked by points C and D in the harmonic model.
Volume coordination situation
Maintain flexible positions to respond to sudden fluctuations.
If you still don't understand, I will see if I need to open copy trading, starting at 500 USDT. Players with 10 USDT should not come. Keep the USDT inside and do not move it around. For making such left-sided high-profit orders, focus on the risk-reward ratio.
Note: The market changes rapidly, please combine all strategies with your own position management!
See original
Want to improve your trading performance? Click here to see my investment strategies and copy my portfolio with one click👇
My Futures Portfolio
73 / 200
Minimum 10USDT
Copy trader have earned in last 7 days
-582.70
USDT
7D ROI
-29.13%
AUM
$17191.46
Win Rate
40.00%
See original
If there's time
Let's go watch the sunrise and sunset together
You watch the sunrise and sunset, and I'll watch you 😂
Let's go watch the sunrise and sunset together
You watch the sunrise and sunset, and I'll watch you 😂
See original
This month let's find an angle to go short together and watch the waterfall!
Then shall we bottom fish?
Then shall we bottom fish?
See original
$ETH
I am now closing the real-time K-line interface, allowing my thoughts to settle in the rhythm of the music festival.
Overall idea: Before a volume breakout at the key level of 4820, I have already constructed a complete shape deduction map in my mind,
I still choose to model using geometric harmonic theory, as the above three sets of continuous patterns basically outline the price movement trajectory for the entire month of August.
Last week's trading review: During the holiday, I adopted a market price chasing strategy to capture the main upward wave. Although I missed the opportunity for left-sided limit orders, I fully enjoyed the satisfaction of trend trading.
Currently returning to work mode, this week will focus on executing the following plans:
Strategy adjustment
Focus on left-sided ambush order layout, using potential reversal points of harmonic patterns to set limit orders. During monitoring periods, I will pay close attention to the reversal areas marked by points C and D in the harmonic model.
Volume coordination situation
Maintain flexible positions to respond to sudden fluctuations.
If you still don't understand, I will see if I need to open copy trading, starting at 500 USDT. Players with 10 USDT should not come. Keep the USDT inside and do not move it around. For making such left-sided high-profit orders, focus on the risk-reward ratio.
Note: The market changes rapidly, please combine all strategies with your own position management!
I am now closing the real-time K-line interface, allowing my thoughts to settle in the rhythm of the music festival.
Overall idea: Before a volume breakout at the key level of 4820, I have already constructed a complete shape deduction map in my mind,
I still choose to model using geometric harmonic theory, as the above three sets of continuous patterns basically outline the price movement trajectory for the entire month of August.
Last week's trading review: During the holiday, I adopted a market price chasing strategy to capture the main upward wave. Although I missed the opportunity for left-sided limit orders, I fully enjoyed the satisfaction of trend trading.
Currently returning to work mode, this week will focus on executing the following plans:
Strategy adjustment
Focus on left-sided ambush order layout, using potential reversal points of harmonic patterns to set limit orders. During monitoring periods, I will pay close attention to the reversal areas marked by points C and D in the harmonic model.
Volume coordination situation
Maintain flexible positions to respond to sudden fluctuations.
If you still don't understand, I will see if I need to open copy trading, starting at 500 USDT. Players with 10 USDT should not come. Keep the USDT inside and do not move it around. For making such left-sided high-profit orders, focus on the risk-reward ratio.
Note: The market changes rapidly, please combine all strategies with your own position management!
See original
GM, good morning Ethereum 4372 long position comrades pay attention! Target 4550 area firmly hold, no matter how fiercely the market shakes, remember our iron rule: unified defense at 4350! Bitcoin around 117000 long positions also hold tight, 116100 defense line must not be broken! If this post gets over 100 likes + comments, I will work overtime today on Sunday to provide insights for next week's trend!! For those who are stuck in both long and short positions, 💬 the interaction area is waiting for you! Release plan (for comrades stuck in positions, comment '1' in the comment area for priority response) Note: The market changes rapidly, all strategies should be combined with your own position management!
$ETH
Your favorite strategy is to go long and then short
Long from 4465 to 4666
Short from 4666 to 4375
Continue going long at 4372
For the long position at 4372, take profit at the next position before going short? Still not liking and following? I don't even know how to feed you anymore?
Image 2: Strategy posted a day in advance, there is time and some levels
Your favorite strategy is to go long and then short
Long from 4465 to 4666
Short from 4666 to 4375
Continue going long at 4372
For the long position at 4372, take profit at the next position before going short? Still not liking and following? I don't even know how to feed you anymore?
Image 2: Strategy posted a day in advance, there is time and some levels
See original
$ETH
Your favorite strategy is to go long and then short
Long from 4465 to 4666
Short from 4666 to 4375
Continue going long at 4372
For the long position at 4372, take profit at the next position before going short? Still not liking and following? I don't even know how to feed you anymore?
Image 2: Strategy posted a day in advance, there is time and some levels
Your favorite strategy is to go long and then short
Long from 4465 to 4666
Short from 4666 to 4375
Continue going long at 4372
For the long position at 4372, take profit at the next position before going short? Still not liking and following? I don't even know how to feed you anymore?
Image 2: Strategy posted a day in advance, there is time and some levels
Login to explore more contents