The Altcoin Season Index has returned to its fundamental levels and reached the levels seen after the latest collapse in August 2024. The collapse was triggered by disruptions in cash and carry trading in Japan, which temporarily disrupted altcoin flows. The supporting chart showed that the index has rebounded against the 16-20 range, similar to the major turning points in 2017 and 2020. These areas have historically indicated significant altseason rallies where altcoins outperformed Bitcoin across many metrics. With Bitcoin's dominance reaching a peak, the current situation reflects previous accumulation phases that led to increasing returns for altcoins. This particularly occurs when Bitcoin's volatility begins to decrease. In past cycles, this trend often signals a capital shift towards riskier assets such as altcoins. #bitcoin #altcoin
With Bitcoin ETFs, institutional ETF issuers' clients have become Bitcoin investors. The GENIUS Act will integrate banking and all payment infrastructures into the digital asset system through stablecoins. This signifies the second major wave of institutional participation for crypto.
The cryptocurrency market, which is generally sensitive to changes in monetary policy, reacted moderately to the latest inflation statistics. Confident investors anticipate that a reduction in interest rates or an increase in liquidity will lead to a significant rise in Bitcoin and altcoin prices, but current conditions do not support such action. Additionally, Powell's tone remained firm. He avoided dovish language, and his statements did not signal an urgent easing. Calls for political stimulus did not change the central bank's stance. Speculation from influential figures in the cryptocurrency space continued. Some pointed to historical patterns that associate easing cycles with Bitcoin rallies. However, the Fed's current policy trajectory offers very little evidence suggesting that such a move is imminent. In short, the cryptocurrency community may need to temper its expectations a bit. As long as inflation remains above 2% and the economy avoids recession, the Fed seems determined to maintain its wait-and-see approach. #bitcoin
Cumulative Volume Delta Heat Map for Bitcoin shows that there is an increase led by the spot market with clear accumulation clusters at support levels of $81-85k, $93-96k, and $102-104k. These levels can currently serve as short-term support.
There is a small head and shoulders pattern broken in a low time frame on Solana (above). The pattern target is 187 (?). Interestingly, when this target is reached, it could also trigger the larger head and shoulders. Head and shouldersception...
Solana has a small tobo formation that has broken in a low time frame (above). The formation target is 187. Interestingly, when this target is reached, it could also trigger the larger yobo. Toboception...
The Solana has a small OBO formation broken in a low time frame (above). The formation target is 187. Interestingly, when this target is reached, it may also trigger the larger OBO. OBOception...
Recently, despite the fluctuations in Bitcoin's price and all liquidity manipulations, on-chain metrics continue to show a bullish trend for Bitcoin. On one hand, Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are decreasing, while the realized market cap is reaching record levels, and investor confidence continues to grow. The continuous negative net flow with Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges confirms positive sentiment. All these metrics indicate that Bitcoin is in a long-term bullish trend beyond short-term speculation. #bitcoin
If we take a close look at the latest developments in Ethereum: First of all, the price has rebounded from the important support area around the average cost base of $2,392 of Binance deposit addresses and is currently positioned around $2,516. One of the biggest supports for this rebound is that a single wallet purchased $800 million worth of ETH, which created surprise in the market. At the same time, it is noted that ETH ETFs have recorded the highest cumulative inflows to date, yet strangely, this development is not receiving much attention from analysts. Another factor supporting the increased market interest in Ethereum is that there was a 16% increase in the number of active users last week. This is a strong indication that the activities on the Ethereum network are picking up speed again. When these data points are combined, it clearly shows us that the interest in the market is reviving. #ethereum