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#BTC

Rebate benefits, save transaction fees. Many people don’t know that opening contracts and buying and selling spot goods require fees? They also don’t know that there are rebates. For example, 50U 50 times leverage, the general spot fee is 0.2%, 1800U monthly fee, and 6480U can be returned to your account in a year.
Basically, after a whole year, the profit is not as high as the fee. 。 。 。

If the transaction volume is large and the contracts are frequent, you can save a SU7 in a year.

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#BNB金鏟子 #BTC走势预测 #ETH大涨

$BTC $ETH
It's been a long time since I've analyzed and summarized the market; writing articles and analyses has been inconsistent. Today, I'll briefly discuss it.

This bull market belongs to BTC and is also a bull market for memes, although there is a lack of a general altcoin season. BTC started rising in 2022, reaching its first peak in March 2024 and the second peak in January 2025. The trend is actually similar to March 2021 and December 2021, but the timing of the relative peaks has been delayed by one month. Altcoins are expected to reach their first peak in March 2024 and the second peak in December 2024. BTC rising to 109,000 is already impressive, and altcoins multiplying many times over is also impressive, but it is somewhat different from previous bull markets.

The favorable conditions since Trump took office, MicroStrategy's purchases, BlackRock's continuous accumulation, and interest rate cuts all point to a continuous influx of good news in the second half of 2024. The increasing inflow of funds has led to a rise in trading volume and capital inflow. Now, looking at BTC's trading volume, it's getting smaller and liquidity is decreasing. MicroStrategy's purchases are becoming less frequent. The U.S. stock market continues to print money and rise, and if the crypto market also had continuous money printing, it could also rise continuously, but this scenario is quite unlikely. Institutional holdings may not sell for six months to a year; will they be able to hold that long? Without trading and liquid assets, everything is worthless. Investments definitely need returns, and returns need to be converted into dollars. There are no waves that only rise without falling; they all have ups and downs. The bull market has ended, but the volatility has not.

Returning to the charts, BTC is currently the largest altcoin, with daily fluctuations of several thousand to tens of thousands of points, yet trading volume remains very low. Comparing the trading volume before January to now shows a clear trend: BTC's liquidity is getting worse. Currently, platform coins are rising rapidly, while retail investors are being harvested repeatedly. Funding is not infinite, and the increase in new users is also slowing down. The amount of capital being harvested is decreasing. In this larger trend, one can ignore the news and focus on trend trading, capturing tens of thousands of points of volatility, rather than being overly concerned about fluctuations of a few thousand points. BTC is currently following a rebound trend; it's good to keep an eye on the lower range around 9 or 9.2. Building positions around 88 is not a problem, as most can see the 7 range. Opening 30 trades in a month is not as effective as opening once a month to grasp the trend.

$BTC

I don't know if the cow exists, I only know that the eight waves have ended. I also only know that we are currently fluctuating between the middle and lower tracks. Sometimes I remember to share, sometimes I don't, but I have been keeping up with my trades. There are too many people following the crowd; I prefer to quietly focus on my own trades and have fewer thoughts.

The private domain copy trading experiment is basically coming to an end, and there has been a large retracement in the middle. Overall, long-term investment can generate returns, but to obtain large returns basically requires a big market, and the stop loss space in a big market needs to be very large.

$BTC

If it drops, the cow is gone; if it rises, the cow is still here. If your skills are insufficient, don't force it. The technical indicator shows a C-wave correction, and the expectation is 873. I really didn't expect it to drop directly to the 82 range, but the counterfeit is basically close to the bottom position, which is not a problem. Relatively speaking, I can't say much about the 7 range, but for the 8 range, I have kept 2/3 of my position unchanged. Now it's just about waiting; a new round of increases needs time to wait.
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$DOGE

Dogecoin is in a state of repair for the time being. Don’t be afraid of being stuck, but be afraid of being blown up directly. So be careful when it is near the blow-up price. It is better to be stuck than to be blown up. All coins will eventually fall, no matter how glorious or powerful they are.

In the trend in the figure, you can regard the lower track as support in the short term. If you insert it, just stop loss. If it falls below, treat it as a pressure level. In terms of contracts, I open positions frequently, but the amount of funds is not large, about 10,000 U, all of which are mainly practical learning, mainly spot BTC and pepe.

Don’t be too excited, do it slowly, as long as you don’t leave this platform, you will definitely come back.

$BTC

BTC, the last update before the New Year, wave b rebounds and continues to move to wave c.

The callback mentioned since October 5 has reached the 98 position, but the 96 position has not yet reached. Relatively speaking, it is better to wait for the next round after the rebound, which is not a big problem.

From the daily trend, it is the rebound wave b in the adjustment wave 3, which is also explained clearly in other live broadcasts.

Happy New Year and make a fortune.

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$DOGE

DOGE, the general direction is still a correction, and there is also room for upward movement.

In terms of the overall price, it has ushered in a very large increase, and also ushered in a relatively large correction. At this stage, it is in the middle position, which can go up or down. Since Trump's new currency issuance can be said to have temporarily replaced its position, it can only be said that the increase in the upward direction is at most doubled, and there is a lot of room for downward movement.

From the 4h trend, it is in the middle of a round of corrections, and has not yet reached the tail position. Now it is just in the middle track position, and it can go up and down. The general direction is still looking at corrections or sideways. At this stage, there is still too little funds, and only 2 or 3 coins can be copied every day. There is no full carnival. It can only be said that the times have changed.

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$BTC

The overall trend of BTC is still adjusting, with slightly different movements.

From a 4-hour perspective, the wave pattern has ended, and it is currently near the upper boundary; there is no need for further analysis. From a daily perspective, it was previously in the c wave pattern, but due to the hard pull last night, the c wave pattern has been disrupted. Now, it is expected to pull back near 98, 99, but the spike also touched the top of 100,000.

At this stage, we are still in the adjustment of the three waves, but the c in the initial abc has already turned into an a wave (starting from 108,000) or b turning into c (100,800 as b or slightly higher). I’m outside without my computer, just managing with my phone, mainly to see if we can stabilize around the 100,000 mark. 99,900 shorts are not a problem, but it is important to set the stop loss properly.

In Figure 1, the 4-hour chart touched the upper boundary, while Figure 2's daily chart is still near the upper and middle boundaries. Overall, trading needs to constantly grasp its trend. The larger trend remains unchanged, but there are significant fluctuations in between. The initial target is 108, expected at 8.5, so regardless of whether the rebound is at 107 or even 8.4, it conforms to its pattern, so try to open near the target.

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$PEPE

Pepe still has the possibility of a rebound followed by a continued correction, mainly in a state of fluctuation.

The 4-hour trend is still in a state of range fluctuation, oscillating on the middle track without breaking through it. The daily trend belongs to the tail end of a corrective wave; it is unclear whether this corrective wave will continue downward or reach the bottom, or whether it will oscillate while trading time for space.

From a broader perspective, there will still be a round of correction. This correction can take the form of a downward pattern or finish as a range fluctuation pattern. The area around 14.15 can be regarded as a short-term support point, and there is no problem with an overall bullish attitude.

Its specific trend is not standard; the rebound is very strong but also very short-lived, suitable for a quick rebound after a sharp drop, or directly waiting for the subsequent rise to 18, 20, or 22 as long as there is a correction, there will be an increase, it’s just a question of how much.

The chart shows the daily adjustment; the expected target will change with the passage of time, but the bullish trend remains unchanged, watching for corrections but not doing corrections, focusing on low bullish positions.
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$BTC

No big fluctuations, go to bed early

$PEPE

PEPE is about to迎来 the last round of rebound.

The b-wave rebound of the daily price has broken through the 4h midline, while oscillating at the daily midline. The 4h midline at 1855 can serve as its temporary support, and the upper line at 1996 is the new round of resistance level.

The 4-hour Kentner Channel is gradually converging
Upper track lowered
Lower track raised
95 can serve as a new round of minor support, very weak.

$BTC

$ETH

ETH has reached the first target position, the second target position is 6 points away, PEPE is strongly resistant to decline, it directly hit the middle track, reaching the stop-loss position, and there are no suitable entry points for BTC.

$ETH

ETH, the bull market is never absent

The 4-hour trend is a c correction, the daily line is a b rebound, fluctuating between the middle track 3424 and the lower track 3287, just one round of altcoin season away, trading range at 3300, 3350, 3434, and 3581, for short-term trades, go long at the lower track and middle track, and short at the upper track and middle track.
As follows.

$PEPE

Or will usher in a new round of increases

Below the mid-track in 4h
Lower track 1707
A rebound b-wave
The anti-decline effect is more obvious
Above this

$BTC

Weekend volatility

The lower and middle tracks continued to fluctuate

It did not effectively break through the middle track position

Both the lower and middle tracks declined, and are now 93411 and 96757.

MicroStrategy rose slightly before the market opened
The increase was not large
It is possible to fall first and then rise,
The trend is unclear
The rebound was less than 100,000
Weak rebound
Big fall and big rise, no fall and no rise

4h middle and lower rails continue to move downwards
3000 is a strong support
From the overall trend
the overall trend is downwards
lower rail is support
middle rail is resistance
continue to watch before the end of the month
$ETH