BULL RUN STARTED ON 9 APRIL 2025 ; A DEEP INSIGHT INTO MARKET CYCLE :
BTC/ USD PREMIUM ANALYSIS AND A BIG REVELATION AT THE END;
A MUST READ
BTC MADE A HIGHER HIGH AROUND 64000 IN MARCH 2024 WHICH NOONE KNEW WAS THE END OF BULL MARKET AND EVERYONE THOUGHT ITS ACCUMULATION PHASE BUT THAT WAS "DISTRIBUTION PHASE "
● THEN BTC MADE A NEW LOWER LOW IN AUGUST 2024 WHERE PEOPLE THOUGHT YES IT IS DISTRIBUTION PHASE AND BULL WAS ENDED IN MARCH BUT TO THEIR SURPRISE TRUMP WON ELECTION AND THE MARKET PUMPED TO 105000 IN NOVEMBER 2024 AGAIN NOW THIS WAS THE BAD THING AS PEOPLE THOUGHT DISTRIBUTION PHASE IS OVER AND NOW AGAIN BULL RUN HAS STARTED JUST AFTER 6 MONTHS
● BUT IT WAS NOT THE END AND BTC MADE A NEW ATH AGAIN IN DECEMBER WHEN PEOPLE THOUGHT IT WAS A RAPID BULL AND BEAR CYCLE AND BULL HAS ENDED AGAIN IN JUST 2 MONTHS
● AND AGAIN MARKET WENT INTO MICROBEAR CYCLE OF LARGER BULL CYCLE WHICH CONTINUED UNTIL MAY 2025 WHEN BTC A NEW LOWER LOW AROUND 76000
BUT WHAT WAS ALL OF THIS FROM MARCH 2024 TO MAY 2025 WITH JUST 2-3 MONTHS OF BULL RUN IT WAS INFACT A REAL BEAR TRAP/ MICRO BEAR CYCLE.
NOW WHY BTC RENOUNCED BACK SO QUICKLY ? ANSWER : BECAUSE BEAR CYCLE(DISTRIBUTION) WAS OVER IN 9 APRIL 2025 NOT IN SEP 2024 LIKE MICHEAL SAYLOR POSTED IN JUNE " BEAR CYCLE IS OVER" WHAT ALL OF US THOUGHT HE IS JOKING AND ITS A TRAP AND EVERYONE IS GOING TO SELL BUT WHAT HAPPENED?
● INSTITUTIONS BOUGHT AND ACCUMULATION PHASE BEGAN NOW BUT DEMAND WAS HIGH NOW AND BTC QUICKLY RECOVERD AND MADE A ALL TIME HIGH OF 111K
● NOW INSTITUTION KNOW BULL RUN HAS STARTED JUST YET IN APRIL 2025 AND RETAIL TRADERS WERE/ ARE STIL DREAMING ITS REAL TOP/ATH AND BTC WILL GO TO AUGUST LOW OF 49000. NOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN JUNE/JULY 2025? ACCUMULATION AND MANIPULATION
HOW? INSTITUTION WILL MANIPULTE RETAILERS AND ACCUMULATE/BUY THEMSELF AS
■IF BTC MAKES A NEW ATH AGAIN THEN EVERYONE WILL SAID NEW HIGHER HIGH MEANS NEW LOWER LOW BUT NEW LOWER LOW DOESNOT MEAN 49000 SO THEY WILL SHORT HEAVILY BUT MARKETS WILL RECOVER FAST IN 2-3 WEEKS AND LIQUIDATE SHORTERS
■BUT IF BTC CANT MAKE A NEW ATH THEN PTSD WILL KICK IN ( MEANING PEOPLE WILL THINK 2024 MARCH CYCLE IS REPEATING AND WE ARE GOING AGAIN IN DISTRIBUTION PHASE) SO THEY WILL BE MANIPULATED THIS WAY AND NOONE WILL BUY AT THE RIGHT TIME BUT WHILE YOU ARE MANIPULATED THIS TIME INSTITUIONS WILL BUY HARDER AS THEY KNOW FOR SURE BEAR HAS ENDED BULL HAS JUST STARTED .
NOW WHAT ARE BASIS TO MY CLAIMS? I STUDY TIMEFRAME AND VERY OFTEN AND WHAT I FOUND?
10 nov 2021 to 23 nov 2022 was a BEAR CYCLE AND WAS OF 378 DAYS
27 MARCH 2024 TO 9 APRIL 2025 = 379 DAYS BEAR CYCLE AND BETWEEN ALL OF THIS WAS A BULL TRAP OF TRUMP ELECTION WHICH MADE MARKET RECOVER QUICKLY FROM 49K AND PUMP AGAIN TO 108K AND DUMP AGAIN TO 76K SO THAT BEAR ENDS BUT THE PRICE WAS EVENTUALLY HIGHER THEN START OF BEAR CYCLE AS INSTITUIONAL BUYING PUMPED AND MAINTIANED THE PRICE
NOW IF BULL RUN JUST STARTED THEN ITS TIME PERIOD?
LAST 2 BULL RUN WERE OF 33 AND 490 DAYS AND EACH TIME THEY HAD A BEAR CYCLE OF 378 DAYS . BUT NOW BULL RUN EXPECTED OF 427 TO 586 DAYS WITH MANY MICRO BEARS OF FEW MONTHS IN BETWEEN BUT IN ACTUAL TREND WILL BE BULLISH AND IT WILL EVENTUALLY END BETWEEN 7 APRIL 2026 TO 13 OCTOBER 2026 MY PREDICTION: BTC NEXT CORRECTION MOST LIKELY WILL TAKE A SUPPORT FROM WEEKLY 50SMA AROUND 80-86K SO DONT FOREGET TO BUY THEN REMEMBER: ACCUMULATION> MANIPULATION> DISTRIBUTION BTC CAN MAKE ATLEAST 3 NEW ATH FROM NOW ..ATH AFTER 85K THEN FOMO CAN PUMP IT TO NEW ATH THEN AGAIN CORRECTION NEEDED AGAIN NEW ATH AND IN THE LAST EUPHORIA CAN PUMP BTC TO PARABOLIC VERTICAL AND FINAL ATH .( A PARABOLIC CYCLE LIKE THEY SAY)
LASTLY I UPDATED WHEN XRP MADE TRIPLE BOTTOM ON 4HR FRAME AND GAVEA 9% RALLY
AFTER REJECTION CURRENTLY AT 2.14$
1hr support(weak): 2.12$
4hr support(good and most imp) : 2.05-2.08$
1 Day: TBH THERE IS NO PROPER SUPPORT BEYOND 4hr timeframe so it means if xrp goes beyond 2.05 it can visit far away support at 1.35(40% Fall)
1 hr resistance: 2.20$ 4 hr: 2.35$ 1 day : 2.61$
All 19 to 200MA Are above current price meaning there are multiple levels of sell zones
Xrp previously brokeout of bullish peanent but volume was not great and faced rejections so it was fakeout .now next strong buying zone is below 1.3$ Meaning if XRP HAS TO BREAK 3$ IT HAS TO TOUCH 1.3$ AGAIN and if it goes on paper will look like BULLISH FLAG ON higher time frame and i can happen UNLESS THERE IS VERY BULLISH FUNDAMENTAL NEWS ABOUT XRP and it goes straight from here .
FUNDAMENTALS:
RIPPLE APEALS FOR pause in court in their case against SEC . So SETTLEMENT is on pause and XRP is not going anywhere