分析师董势涨

Hurry into the chat room, the chat room is sending red envelopes 🧧 币安金牌KOL董势聊天室

Don't rush to short BTC
Tonight could be the big showdown

Today BTC has already broken to around 97400, which is 600 dollars away from my initial prediction of 98000. Currently, BTC is oscillating around 97000, and at this level, don't rush to short, because there is an extremely important data release tonight, which is the non-farm payroll data. We all know that when many news events come, the market often spikes up and down, especially since tonight is the big non-farm payroll report. The best approach in this situation is to stay out and wait. If the non-farm payroll data at 8:30 PM is favorable, BTC is very likely to continue breaking upward, and 98000 should also be broken. After tonight, BTC's upward momentum will weaken, and a significant correction will follow. Of course, there is also an uncontrollable factor, which is the interest rate meeting on May 8th. This is an immeasurable factor, as it is uncertain whether it will be favorable or unfavorable, since interest rate cuts and no cuts affect the entire cryptocurrency market's trend. Therefore, this cannot be predicted.

If the non-farm payroll data is released tonight and is favorable, after the pump, one can start considering positioning for shorts. However, where exactly to short is uncertain and will depend on the intentions of the major players. But right now, BTC seems to be at the end of its strength, making its last struggle.

Finally, I want to clarify my viewpoint: the perspective of a major drop in May has not changed. The current short-term pump is preparing for a major drop later. Don't say that I am bullish one moment and bearish the next; you just didn't understand my post.

Hate my fans
Should you really shut up?

Recently, hating on my fans, shouldn't your face be turning green? Have you noticed that those who hate on me are all out of tune? You got the direction wrong, and still think you're so amazing, but you've clearly gone the wrong way!

I have always refrained from posting to prove my point because the results haven't come out yet. Now you’re facing a slap in the face, right? I said it would go up in the short term, and now it has, hasn't it? Many people hate on me, weren't you bearish? What I said was a short-term bullish trend, with a long-term bearish outlook. Anyone with a bit of intelligence wouldn't stoop to hating on me, because my viewpoint is not wrong; the ones in the wrong are those heartless people who just want to hate.

BTC Trend Change is Imminent
My Prediction Has Proven Accurate Again
Countless People Have Been Slapped in the Face Again

A few days ago, I predicted that BTC would break through again, and I clearly told everyone that BTC has not been sold off. In the short term, I see it bullish, and the trend change will happen in about 2-3 days. Those who have watched my live stream know that I am not lying. Those who have not watched the live stream have just been talking nonsense, and as a result, my prediction started to change within a day, slapping countless haters in the face. As a result, the haters turned green with envy. Many people are mocking my prediction, saying, 'Didn’t you always call for a big drop?' What I meant by a big drop is a trend drop, not a short-term drop. I have consistently called for a rise in the short term, and many people who have seen my posts or live streams should know this. Today, BTC has already broken through 97000, fully aligning with my expectations. Including my live stream this afternoon, I also said it would break 96200. Those who were in my live stream this afternoon should know there was nothing false about it. I really don’t know who is slapping whom in the face.

I predicted that the first round would break 96200, and the second round would be at 98000. We are currently just a few hundred dollars away from 98000. Not to say 100%, but it is almost there. The moment you are bashing me proves you are already wrong because I have never missed anything just because of being attacked. Whether it’s accurate or not, let the results speak for themselves.

15 points of big meat
The kind that is filling, with a fat head and big ears, drooling all over

Yesterday 92800 supported long positions
Today definitely 2000 USD profit

Yesterday in the live broadcast, I told everyone that BTC has a support at 92800, and since it didn't break, we can go long. Many people entered long positions at 93000, and I also clearly told everyone to exit around 95000. Today during the day, it has already reached 95180, and almost everyone who got in during the live broadcast has made a profit.

This is how trading works; opportunities are rare. However, haters only look to criticize posts. If you come to the live broadcast even once, not only can you learn something but you can also make a profit. Rather than just hating from the sidelines, why not come to the live broadcast to make profits? You come to this place to make money, not to insult others. Isn't it better to save the energy for criticizing and instead use it to make profits in the live broadcast?

Predictions are just guesses
They cannot be the basis for opening a position
Trading is based on actual circumstances

Whether the prediction posts are right or wrong, do not trade based on them. Many people often say they lost money after reading this post or made money after reading that post. In fact, trading should not rely on posts; doing so can lead to significant losses. Why?

First, if the post's prediction is correct, for example, a major drop in May, how do you know where the drop starts? When does it begin? How far down is considered a major drop? Or is it possible that there could be a rally before a major drop? Can you hold onto the gains or losses in between? Thus, the post only provides you with a direction, not a reference for your trades. Trading should always be based on the current situation, whether to go long or short—never gamble. Do not open positions based on uncertain trades. I always emphasize that short at support levels and short at resistance levels, and do not trade in between these levels; this way, your win rate can improve.

Second, if the prediction is wrong and you trade based on the post, you will almost certainly lose money. Therefore, whether you read my posts or others', as long as they predict the future, they can serve as a reference, but cannot be the basis for opening a position. This is not about trust or accuracy of the prediction; rather, trading cannot rely on predictions but must depend on technical analysis, market feel, and the specific current situation. This is why many people can profit from watching my live broadcasts, as the choices made in the live broadcast are based on real-time situations.

Never trust on-chain data and news

When I post, there are often people who tell me how much the whales bought or sold, or what BlackRock and MicroStrategy are doing. You need to understand one thing: how many of these data points that you can see are true, and how many are false? Moreover, in the crypto world, how many people don't look at this data? If trading based on data could lead to success, then there wouldn't be so many retail traders in the crypto space; everyone would be a success. So those things are just for reference, don't take them too seriously; trading still requires your own market feel and skills.

Many people find my posts a bit confusing. Sometimes I say it's going to fall, and sometimes I say it's going to rise. Perhaps I haven't expressed myself clearly. I will reiterate: when I say bullish, I mean a short-term rise, just like now. Since there hasn't been any selling at 95,000, I am bullish. However, May is approaching, especially with the interest rate meeting coming up, I am bearish. In other words, even if it rises to 96,000 or 98,000, the short-term rise doesn't change the fact that there will be a significant drop in May. No matter at what position, there will be a big drop; that's the point.

Lastly, I want to say that the fluctuation of K-line is normal, and opinions can change with buying and selling. It's not that rising means bullish and falling means bearish; rather, after a rise, if there is selling, one should turn bearish. If there is no selling, one should continue to be bullish. The key is where the main force chooses to sell, which is impossible to predict. This is the most basic logic in trading: predictions are just predictions; actual selling is the standard for judgment. Just like initially I predicted a drop at 86,000 and expected a significant drop there, but I found that there was no selling at 86,000, so I turned bullish from 86,000 to 89,000. Indeed, it reached 89,000. After reaching 89,000, there was still no selling, so I forecasted 92,000. It reached 94,000. I was continuously bullish during this period without making any mistakes, but that does not mean it won't drop significantly.

Small live broadcast, come quickly

How to Avoid Missing Out
While Eating Meat Without Being Caught

Today, I will share a position management strategy that I have been using for a long time, and it is very effective. The specific operation is as follows:

First, when you open a position, you must choose to go long at support levels or short at resistance levels; do not trade at other positions, as these positions have a success rate of up to 80%. Taking BTC as an example, if you plan to use 5% of your total position for trading, for instance, if you plan to short, you should choose to open a short position near the resistance level of 95,500. If it does not break through successfully, then you can directly profit. If BTC breaks through the resistance at 95,500, then you should choose to add to your short position at the next resistance level of 96,200. This way, your average price will be 95,850. Once BTC reaches the resistance at 96,200, it will definitely pull back. As long as the pullback falls below 95,850, you can take half of your profit. Your position is still 5%, but your average price has reached 95,850. In this way, if the resistance at 96,200 fails, you can profit $3,000. If it continues to break upward, you can repeat this process, ensuring that you won't get caught, can take profits, and won't miss out.

Warm Reminder: You must add to your position near the resistance level because the pullback is most likely to happen near resistance. Of course, you must also set a stop-loss, as sometimes it can jump several thousand dollars in one go. This is considered an extreme case and has a probability of less than 10%.

May is about to crash
Many people can't wait and choose to criticize me

May is just around the corner, and the big drop is about to start. However, many people can't wait and start criticizing me after reading one or two posts, without even looking at previous posts. In fact, it doesn’t matter; I have blocked these people. Those who don’t recognize you will always criticize you, while those who do recognize you will support you even if you make a wrong prediction.

Regardless, those who come to my live stream should know that what I teach is very down-to-earth and practical. Many people have made quite a bit of money using my methods, and some have even made profits in my live stream. So don’t be in such a hurry to criticize. By May, you will see if my predictions are accurate. At that time, if you choose to speak ill of me, it’s fine. Of course, when you do that, I will have already blocked you, haha. It really doesn’t matter; who doesn’t have a few critics? But critics only get one chance to comment. If you choose to criticize me, I will block you without hesitation. Interaction between people is mutual: if you keep your words decent, I will keep my hands off. If you recognize it, then stay and watch; if you don’t, then leave. We have no vested interests, and mutual defamation won’t bring anything to either side.

BTC price change is imminent
There is a high probability of a breakout upwards
However, the belief in a major drop in May remains unchanged

BTC broke out from around 83,000 to the position of 94,000, after consolidating for 9 days around 83,000-86,000. Now BTC has been consolidating for 8 days in the range of 92,700-95,700, and there is currently no obvious selling pressure. It is highly likely that it will still break out upwards, and it is estimated that it will happen in the next few days.

However, my belief in a major drop has not changed, which is in May, because there is a very important date in May that everyone must be cautious about, which is the interest rate decision on May 8. If there is no rate cut or an interest rate hike, then it is very likely to lead to a significant drop in one day, and the depth of the drop could be unpredictable. Of course, the main forces generally have news in advance. If the news is negative on May 8, the main forces will likely sell off in advance during the May 1 holiday, and there should be an opportunity for a consolidation sell-off at that time, so everyone should be careful.

To those who question my belief in a major drop every day, May is just around the corner, so please be patient. It won't be too late to criticize me then. Some people also say that I called for a major drop too early. I'm not a fortune teller who can predict exactly when the major drop will happen!

BTC will continue to rise
The price aims for 98000 or 100000

BTC has been consolidating at the 95000 level for 7 days without any signs of selling, and the lows on the 4-hour chart are gradually rising. It has repeatedly attempted to break through the resistance at 95000. For the past few days, it has been consolidating in preparation for a breakout. The short-term upward momentum is still ongoing, and the price is likely to rise further. 96200 may only be the first target point, 98000 is the second target point, and there is even a possibility of breaking the 100000 target in extreme cases. Therefore, everyone should pay attention to their positions and be careful not to get liquidated. All of this is just a prediction; we can only watch as we go along to see how high the main force will push it. However, every resistance level presents the best opportunity to short, and based on the actual situation, we can lay out short positions. A pullback to the support level presents another opportunity to go long, but be sure not to chase the ups or chase the downs!

Friendly reminder: The current rise will not change my prediction of a major decline in May. The higher the breakout, the more severe the drop will be. The current rise is all in line with expectations.

A method for BTC contract trading
with a win rate of up to 80%

I have practiced this method multiple times, and it is effective. Skeptics can refrain from reading; a win rate of over 80% is completely achievable, with a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1. This method primarily targets sideways fluctuations during upward or downward trends. The specific method is as follows.

Through my research, BTC typically fluctuates around $3000 during sideways movement. You only need to short after BTC reaches a resistance level (the shorting refers to the second time BTC hits the resistance level). For example, after the first drop when BTC reaches 95000, decisively short the second time it reaches 95000. If BTC breaks through, add to the short position at the next resistance level, keeping the stop-loss within an average of $1000, for instance, shorting at 95500 and adding to the short near 96400 when it breaks to 96200, with your average price around 96000 and stop-loss set at 97000. It is rare for BTC to surge straight to above 97000. There are many opportunities where it will fail to break through 95000, with a success rate of no more than 20%. Once a breakout fails, there is a space of 2000-3000 dollars during the pullback, meaning you have over an 80% win rate combined with a risk-reward ratio greater than 2:1 for these trades. I have practiced this multiple times and can consistently gain profits over 80%. Additionally, you can go long at around the $3000 support level. For instance, at the 95700 resistance level, the support level below is 92700. As long as it holds, decisively go long with a stop-loss of only a few hundred dollars, yielding a profit of 2000-3000 dollars!

Friendly reminder: The above method is genuine and effective. To avoid losses, always engage in right-side trading. Here’s a detail: always short at resistance levels and go long at support levels; do not engage in anything else. If you have not experienced this or do not understand it, please refrain from criticism!

Everyone pay attention to my alternate account to avoid getting lost later.

BTC is about to break 96000
The upward momentum is still continuing

After BTC reached 85700, through the daily volume level, we saw a decrease in volume during the pullback. The main force did not sell off around 95000 but chose to pull back, which proves that the upward trend will continue. So yesterday, I also mentioned in the live broadcast that if BTC stops falling around 92800, one can consider going long. Those who listened to the live broadcast should know that BTC has already reached around 95500, and tonight it is very likely to break 96000. Many people should have benefited from this 3000 dollar move!

Moreover, today the price is around 93000, I have also posted to inform everyone that tonight it is very likely to break 96000, and it is currently just 500 dollars away from breaking 96000. After reaching 96200, if it encounters resistance, I suggest that everyone can open a short position as a first entry. If it continues to rise, one can continue to short because 96200 is a significant pressure level, and it will generally encounter resistance leading to a decent pullback, which will range from 2000 to 3000 dollars.

Warm reminder: Open a short after encountering pressure, do not trade on the left side, choose to trade on the right side. Trading has risks, and one should be cautious when opening positions!

The big drop of BTC is inevitable
The rise in the short term is also as expected

I have always emphasized that before the bull market arrives, there will be a significant drop in BTC, and this drop will be exceptionally crazy. ETH will directly hit three digits, and BTC will reach a new low. Many people do not believe it, thinking that I have been bearish, and they say, isn't this a bull market now? Is it really a bull market now? Clearly not, why?

1. Have you ever seen a bull market where only BTC rises while other coins do not? Look at BTC rising from 74,000 to 95,000, an increase of 21,000 USD, while other altcoins have only risen a few points. In the wave of increase last November, countless altcoins multiplied several times, and now altcoins have only risen a few points. Is this a bull market?

2. Have you noticed that there have been frequent positive news recently, such as tariffs being relaxed and the Federal Reserve planning to cut interest rates? Why are these positive news being released at the high point of BTC? Isn't this just to get people to take over? Do you remember what news was around when BTC was near 74,000? Trump was going to increase tariffs globally, then delaying tariffs by 90 days turned out to be fake news, Powell's speeches were ambiguous, and the US stock market plummeted, etc. Why was everything negative around 74,000 and not positive?

3. From 74,000 to 95,000, this round of increase did not have a significant correction, it was basically a one-time surge. With the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates and Japan about to raise interest rates, such a large wave was pulled up completely by market makers. In the absence of increased liquidity in the market, it is clear that this is not right. With so many trapped positions above, pulling up is to let the trapped people exit, and then take all retail investors up together? This is clearly not the goal of the main players. The goal of pulling up is to trap more people in preparation for the subsequent big drop.

4. Every time before a bull market arrives, there will be a deep significant drop, and the drop will be very fierce, just to wash away the trapped positions and retail investors. In the last bull market, BTC was halved before it surged. This time the cleaning will also be very thorough. The main players will not pull up such a heavy vehicle together, so don't be anxious. BTC has not yet corrected, has not yet spiked, and has not yet halved. A real bull market will appear only after a big drop.

Let me remind you: the rise in the short term will not change the major trend of a big drop, and a big drop does not mean that it won't rise now.

BTC has not yet sold off at its high
The short-term rise will continue

BTC's recent surge has reached around 95,700, but after 95,700, BTC has chosen to consolidate. On the daily chart, it shows a volume contraction pullback, indicating that there are no obvious selling signs during the consolidation. Since there is no selling, it means that BTC's upward momentum will continue. The first round of BTC's rise is expected to see around 96,200, and the second round around 98,000. Subsequent market conditions will be adjusted based on actual circumstances.

As for whether the significant drop I mentioned will continue, I will say it again: my prediction of a significant drop has not changed. I am predicting a major trend, and the short-term rise also falls within my predicted range. It's just a matter of where this significant drop will occur, such as 96,200, or 98,000, or even 100,000. Then there will be haters questioning me again. I know about the significant drop too; there will always be one next year or the year after. The significant drop I am talking about is the one after this round of rise ends, not just a random prediction. Specifically, I expect it around May, but we need to analyze based on specific circumstances.

This is top-level prediction
Just ask if you think it's accurate?

Our trading teachers predicted BTC, ETH, and SOL on April 9. The predictions are as follows:

ETH at 1720, currently at 1851, the prediction is completely accurate.

SOL at 136, currently at 157, the prediction is completely correct.

BTC at 95000, currently at 95700, the prediction is completely correct.

The above are already realized, and what is still being predicted is that BTC will break new lows, starting with 6, ETH will start with 5, three digits, many altcoins will go to zero, whether the predictions are correct, let's witness together!

Isn't this entry point for BTC done to perfection?

On April 20, our BTC buy order was at 83999, with BTC's lowest price being 83949, a difference of 50 dollars from our order price.

On April 24, we entered our BTC buy order at 91638, and the result was that BTC's lowest price was 91619, a difference of just 18 dollars from our price, almost spot on.

With this order price, are there still people questioning our accuracy?