In the middle of a shaker market Binance has been very active backing BNB value by launching a series of lucrative airdrops and launchpools !
Trump election has not led so far to an official BTC reserve in the US. Musk DOGE is in a swamp that is tearing down Tesla… one thing we can say, have shaken the crypto in a tense way.
Lately, ETF talks on ETH and XRP… Good or bad ? Secures value but limits chances of price spikes… to me ETFs are a false win killing the far west.
What are your thoughts on all the news and impacts to the crypto markets ?
One good thing though : Bitcoin is on its way again to USD 100k. Will it go past former ATG and lead us to 125k-150k or beyond soon ?
1. Invalidation of the trading plan with the reject upper bounds then lower bound of the 1D imbalance between 98k and 100k
2. Reintegration of the 1D imbalance lower between 95 and 97k
3. Market indecision.
How to position yourself? It's according to your feeling. The lack of volume increases volatility.
Monitor if it breaks down and sell if $BTC breaks 94850. Otherwise buy if it rebounds and even more if it breaks 96850 from above.
Such a strong rise remains just as possible, however it will also be necessary to analyze whether this "lower high" would not be a dead bounce cat announcing an end to the bull run.
In the event of a breakout from below, the downward targets are the lowest at 89k then the imbalance between 85k and 81k. In which case the question of the end of the BR would arise.
Stay vigilant at the moment and think about hedging. #BitwiseBitcoinETF
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I will try to keep it simple, and I apologize for not being able to share this with you earlier due to the Christmas holidays!
1. The drop of BTC took the market down, as usual, we had several signs of a possible recovery which was confirmed with a double bottom at the 92.5k-92k level.
2. A slowdown in the drop with two breakouts of the downward tangent from the north (purple lines)
3. A short-term contraction in an ascending triangle (green triangle)
4. A powerful bullish bounce, which crossed the first daily imbalance to settle into the one further north.
5. On the hourly view (H1) we have an indication of an inverted head and shoulders which would give an extension upwards towards 100.5k and would confirm the current imbalance and then look for the imbalance towards 102-105k.
My expectations: Cycles 1-5. With a next target and opportunity to Sell High Buy Low in the imbalance zone 105k-102k.
Be careful, this movement will only be possible if we do not lose the imbalance 98-100k.
My BTC sentiment - short term bullish - long term: uncertain, reaching and exceeding 108.3k will determine whether the bull run continues or not (very possible)
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Recently on BTC we could observe a slow down of the correction despite many ups and down in the last 48h.
Tonight we may have the signs of full reversal after #BTC double bottomed at about $92250. We want to have it reintegrate the daily imbalance from 95k to 99k and maybe break from above !
#BNB was early to the party today as a great sign of activity to happen in the #altcoins world. Now nearing $700. Great indicator if it spends the night above $693!
ETH is peaking up, same with SOL and USUAL (with a minor move down).
It’s great and I hope that you managed to take advantage of the correction and the #pump now.
Don’t be too greedy. Take a chance to eliminate your highest entries if you think you can get a lower price.
1. I hope you applied the tips on daily imbalance monitoring
2. That you were able to use them to reduce the capital decline factor
3. And keep some cash to get back to the bottom
We'll talk about imbalances again. Do this exercise: - identify daily imbalances - identify failures to fill (moment or sell) - place limit orders with iceberg in imbalance zones (sweep them in 3 or 4 positions) - identify imbalance breakouts (moment or sell)
For my part, I was able to avoid 1/3 of the effect of this correction (at the time of writing) by not wanting to believe in a drop below 96k. Error.
Discovery: the power of USUAL. A corner to take in DCA, by the way, nice daily imbalance between 1.20 and 1.30 which was a good buy point. If big losses, converting to Usual could be a safe zone.
Be careful this weekend we can expect little movement (if the drop stabilizes).
On Tuesday, we will have to keep in mind the "Monday high" and "Monday low" limits.
My feeling on crypto: - short term: vigilance - long term: threat on the bull run
Be careful. If you are a beginner, don't panic. Use the lessons of these sudden drops.
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1. Usual is going very high suddenly and short term retracement becomes increasingly likely.
2. The trend feels very bullish with a coin backed with very promising fundamentals (equity based stable coin business).
Now from a trading perspective watch the space happening over the last 3 days candles. It could be the formation of an imbalance in the range of 1.20 to 1.30 USDC.
A good entry zone for a bullish rebound.
Feeling on $USUAL : - short terme : bearish (catching the imbalance) - general outlook : bullish.
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#BTC☀ to 120k ? Keep in mind the market “Imbalances” to optimize your trading.
Hi! Continuation of our analyses on #bitcoin☀️ #Bitcoin❗#BullRunAhead#noAIpost
1. Bitcoin has again exceeded its last ATH as expected in our last analyses with a stepwise recovery setup mirroring the declines (notably the 101k and 103k zones)
2. BTC's movement is strong but healthy. And this is what we will look at in more detail.
3. Potential before relapse: 115-120k
So? How to better anticipate and position yourself? Look at the “market imbalances”
Imbalances correspond to price gaps not covered by the markets between the wicks of two of the three successive candles.
On the screenshot you can see that in 1D we have 3 imbalances on the last upward movement: around 98.5k, 103k and 105.5k symbolized by the horizontal red zones.
We observe zones when the high wick of a candle is not covered by the low wick of candle N+2 and indicate zones where the market could very probably come back to test the price supports.
The further we move away from an imbalance, the less relevant it is. Here the 3 are because we are in a bull run and these imbalances are in the zone covered by -38.2% of the price.
To keep in mind to position yourself for buying and selling depending on whether these zones would be validated or invalidated.
My feeling on $BTC : - short term : bullish (target 115-120k) - long term : bullish (bull run)
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1. We continue testing the target and support zones.
2. Failure yesterday of the $741 target, which leads to the current difficulty of testing $719.
3. Be careful if there is no closing above $719 today in 1H or 4H, possible test of the $700-$690 zone.
4. BNB is sensitive to Bitcoin (to watch) which has failed around $103k for the second time in a row.
5. BNB is supported by the VANA launchpool which is brief (48h)
A lot of things to watch with BNB and potentially short opportunities and accumulation lower, especially with the generally lower volume trend over the weekend.
My sentiment on $BNB: - very short term (weekend): bearish - longer term: bullish (bull run continues)
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2. BNB is nestled between two peaks, the first (approx. $710) serving as support, the second as an immediate target (approx. $720)
3. If BNB passes and maintains $720, next target around $743, $761 and ATH. Otherwise, support around $690.
Laterality in the support channel is a healthy and positive movement that can encourage positioning. In this case, wait for a test on 710 and take the rise from 711 for example.
BNB is waiting for a signal that will be given by Bitcoin, to watch on the areas between 100,150 and 104,500.
BnB is reinforced in the short term by a new #Launchpool #VANA very soon, 48-hour event that will attract buyers.
My feeling on $BNB: - short term: bullish - long term: bull run towards $1000-$1400
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1. Everything that was said yesterday remains true and continues to be verified. Bitcoin continues its breakout above the bearish channel despite a slight rejection near $103k
2. $100150 is a key support zone. (Blue channel)
3. If the support holds, it is a sign of a level towards $101k to $104k
4. If the support breaks, we will have to watch if $BTC re-enters the bearish channel or if it surfs on it as descending support (bullish acceleration)
5. If we reach $104500, bullish signal towards $115.
My feeling: - short term bullish - long term bullish (bull run)
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Yesterday I told you about the hourly breakout which therefore confirmed in “clean cut”, that is to say an hourly candle then a 4H candle completely above the bearish breakout line.
Where are we?
The reversal trend is slowly confirmed so we go back to 4h analysis.
The objectives are simple:
- $100 150 (the top of the suspension bridge) being tested as support.
- the 3 previous peaks (around $101k, $102k and $103k), each of which is a short-term resistance/support zone. In itself, it is a low-risk staircase trade plan.
What can happen?
BTC could also go lower, the bearish support by remaining above the top of the bearish channel. If this happens, we will have to wait for volume + bullish breakout to have an acceleration effect that could indicate an ATH around $105k-$110k.
Be careful, in the event of a reintegration of the bearish channel, we will have to expect a fall that could indicate a decline towards $86k-82k
My feeling: - in the short term: undecided / to be monitored - in the long term: bullish (bull run continues)
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Today we are talking about BNB. A very practical coin to trade, which follows BTC and the logic of crowd psychologists / momentum.
Context of this publication: we consider that the Bull Run is underway.
1. BNB still in its bullish cycle (purple lines)
2. Break / retracement (red line) in increasing ABC levels. In these cases the 3rd is often the last. I am not talking about a correction of less than 35-40% down (corresponds to fibo 0.382)
3. Break of the break in a 1H channel confirmed in 4H.
-> and now? BNB is most likely recovering. As long as BNB is stable or bullish, to go and take back the lost levels that will be tested each time in support as in resistance.
And it's great because it's an ideal setup to position yourself with little risk, a scenario that we like because the arithmetic fall gives easy to read and activate upside targets.
Stay vigilant, the bullish channel (green) serves as a benchmark (stop loss) if it breaks from below. In this case, it is the purple trend line that could serve as ascending support before going for a bullish acceleration. This scenario would be more holy.
My opinion on BNB - short term: rather bullish level game. - long term: bullish (BR -> $1000)
For those who have felt shaken up recently, you are human.
In the very short term we finally have a change of direction (to be confirmed in 4h chart) and this is the type of things you should try to look for.
1. Identify the canal direction in daily (here it’s going down)
2. Identify a shorter term canal to find the trend.
3. Identify where the break out would be, if it wins or reject. It if wins it, must confirm in the time pattern and time pattern above. Here 1 and 4h. So BTC must close above down trend on 1h (time of the image and uptrend canal) and with the 4h too.
As we speak this is a good sign.
I can now change my short term opinion : bullish
And stay aligned with all previous posts for this bull run : bullish longer term.