The US seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate for the end of January will be announced at 21:30 Beijing time tonight! Will the results of this announcement be positive or negative? How will the market trend go in the future?
Market expectations and data forecasts -Overall CPI annual rate: The market generally expects 2.9%, the same as in December; the core CPI annual rate is expected to be 3.1%, a slight decrease from the previous value of 3.2%.
CPI data is lower than expected (good for the currency circle) CPI data is in line with or higher than expected (neutral or negative)
If the data is in line with expectations (core CPI is 3.1% year-on-year), the market reaction may be flat, because Fed officials have repeatedly emphasized that more data is needed to confirm the inflation trend, and the probability of interest rate cuts in the short term is low.
Negative risk: If the core CPI is higher than expected (such as more than 3.2%), it may strengthen the Fed's determination to maintain high interest rates, leading to a stronger US dollar and pressure on risky assets, and Bitcoin may pull back to the lower edge of the range.
Other influencing factors - Trump tariff policy: The import tariff measures that may be announced tonight (such as steel and aluminum tariffs increased to 25%) may exacerbate inflation expectations, prompt the Federal Reserve to be more cautious, and indirectly suppress the upside of Bitcoin.
Comprehensive analysis is as follows: 1️⃣ Short-term favorable conditions: core CPI is significantly lower than expected (such as below 3.0%) + weaker US dollar + increased expectations of Fed rate cuts → Bitcoin may hit the $105,000-$110,000 range.
2️⃣ Neutral/unfavorable conditions: data meets or exceeds expectations + the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance → Bitcoin may fall back to the $95,000-$100,000 range.
3️⃣ Long-term trend: Inflation stickiness (core service prices) and policy uncertainty (Trump tariffs) are still the main risks, limiting the space for a substantial rise in the currency circle.
Glassnode data shows that BTC is experiencing the highest selling pressure since the 3AC collapse in June 2022, yet the price remains strong and has not crashed as expected.
This indicates strong potential demand, with potential whales absorbing the selling pressure.
**Price & Market Overview:** As of February 2025, Binance Coin (BNB) is trading at $350, showing steady growth amid a broader market rally. The coin has been gaining momentum, largely due to Binance’s expanding ecosystem and increasing use cases across DeFi platforms and Binance's own products.
**Key Developments:**
1. **Binance Smart Chain (BSC) Growth:** Binance Smart Chain continues to solidify its position as one of the leading smart contract platforms. With a growing number of decentralized applications (dApps) being launched on the network, BSC now boasts more daily transactions than Ethereum, with many developers choosing BSC due to its lower transaction fees and faster processing times.
2. **BNB Burn Mechanism:** Binance has completed its regular quarterly BNB burn, with over 2 million BNB tokens burned this round. This helps reduce the total supply of BNB, which could positively impact its value over time, as the demand for the token increases across various services on the Binance exchange and ecosystem.
3. **DeFi Expansion:** Binance Coin remains an essential utility token within the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. The token is widely used for transaction fees, staking, and governance within DeFi protocols. There has also been a notable rise in BNB use for liquidity provision and yield farming on Binance’s decentralized exchange (DEX), PancakeSwap.
4. **Launch of Binance Pay:** Binance introduced a global payment service, Binance Pay, which allows users to send and receive crypto payments seamlessly. This further boosts the utility of BNB as it’s used for transactions within Binance Pay’s ecosystem. The growing merchant adoption of Binance Pay has increased the real-world use cases for BNB.
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$BTC The total market value of cryptocurrencies suffered a heavy blow some time ago, falling 12% to $3.26 trillion. Bitcoin fell 7.78% to $95,000-98,000, while Ethereum fell even more, by 17.88%. The amount of liquidation has reached $2 billion, and some estimates are as high as $10 billion.
#BNBChainMeme热潮 If BSC only wants to rely on a few projects such as $TST to reverse the situation, it is actually unrealistic. After all, the Sol chain is now prominent in all aspects, otherwise Ethereum and the second-layer network would not be so miserable. Therefore, Binance needs the entire ecosystem to work together to allow investors who embrace the Binance system to make money. Only in this way will the money-making effect spread, and investors in other ecosystems will naturally vote with their feet to embrace the Binance ecosystem. In the absence of incremental growth, everyone can only compete with each other.
📉 Trend Overview: • Today (+0.17%): Slight recovery. • 7-day (+1.38%): Mild bullish momentum. • 30-day (-37.33%) | 90-day (-8.79%) | 1-year (-21.15%): Still in a long-term downtrend!
⚖️ Order Book Sentiment: • Buy Side (49.72%) vs. Sell Side (50.28%) – Neutral with slight selling pressure. • Large Buy Orders: 11K STEEM at $0.1762, 13.9K STEEM at $0.1761 • Large Sell Orders: 4.7K STEEM at $0.1763, 17.7K STEEM at $0.1764
🔥 Market Outlook: 📉 Below MA(99), indicating long-term weakness. ⚠️ Losing $0.1704 support could mean more downside. 🚀 If it breaks $0.2157, we might see bullish momentum!
MicroStrategy just bought again! They purchased 7,633 BTC, bringing their total holdings to 478,740 BTC! $BTC
Behind Bitcoin's continuous new highs and its resilience is a belief system of only buying and not selling, while altcoins hardly have this; they are just for riding a wave of hype.
Doubled! Recently, there is speculation that #LTC will be passed through ETF. What do you think? No matter how you look at it, we have already boarded the train at 59.45. Eat eat eat! $LTC
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