Deividi Guedes

Here we are #BNBChainDemoDay

It is the most consistent beginning of a possible strong recovery 📈

One thing pulls another and retail is coming. Late, as always, but it's coming. It's just a matter of being a topic for more than 10 days.

Strong risk aversion movements drop prices very quickly. But the opposite also occurs: strong risk appetite movements make prices rise very quickly, and we have signs of this emerging both in the movements of large players and in the appetite for volatility via leveraged funds.

The market is buying risk at this moment.

Staying out could be costly. $BTC

Gold has just reached a new all-time high and has already accumulated a 41% increase in 12 months.

While stock markets plummet, what serves as protection in a portfolio rises.

If $BTC is a more mature store of value, as many argue, the rise is just a matter of time.

What do you think?

NO, $OM WILL NOT COME BACK TO BE WORTH WHAT IT ONCE WAS

A brief stop here and I see dozens of posts from deluded people falling for the team's talk or simply in denial holding the asset believing it will return to its previous price and rise from the ashes.

The truth is that $OM has lost the fundamental: credibility.

And yes, I also had it in my portfolio, just like I had a bit of the stablecoin $USTC when Terra Luna collapsed.

Both had good narratives and were apparently healthy.

The thing is, in crypto, despite the term “decentralized” being widely used, 99% of the projects are not and depend on the character of the team and governance.

No matter how much you analyze and understand the risks, there is only one way to protect yourself when exposing yourself to this type of asset: diversification.

The less a risky and centralized token (as is the case with so many others in the top 100) represents percentage-wise in your portfolio, the less you feel if something serious happens.

Always invest based on fundamentals, technical data, and history, but also do proper risk management.

Just as important as multiplying is surviving.

👊🏼📈

Good morning, everyone!

We have a week of extremely high volatility ahead.

Stock markets in Asia entered a circuit breaker and futures for the US markets indicate sharp declines.

It starts to make sense to use cash to buy.

Always remembering that cash should be used gradually, as we have no way of knowing where the bottom will be.

This is the time when those without a strategy despair. Be careful not to get carried away and take advantage of the declines with awareness.

There are few moments in history when large declines occur. When well utilized, they greatly contribute to increasing the long-term return of the portfolio.

In crypto, the rational focus of investments remains exclusively $BTC

Today is that boring day when everyone makes the April Fool's joke as if it were the only one.

Probably something close to $0.05

VIX (fear index) rises 7.45% now 👀

https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cpos/22268711092162?r=63800695&l=en-US&uco=gDzoC_p2aRcKplMSFK-1Iw&uc=app_square_share_link&us=twitter

Buckle Up 🚨

At the start of a week that promises to be quite volatile, American index futures have just opened and the fear index (VIX) is up 7.45% at the time of this post.

Risk aversion is common in scenarios of great uncertainty like now, on the eve of the implementation of Trump's tariffs.

Don't forget to practice good risk management. It's essential to stay in the game and have the stamina to accumulate good assets at good prices.

GOLDEN TIP ABOUT THE SQUARE 🏅

Do not use the “Discover” tab. Follow those you think have content that truly adds value and only use the “Following” tab.

This will help you avoid wasting time.

$BTC

What if this becomes a trend? 👀 $BTC

Do you think this chart looks more bullish or bearish in the coming weeks?

In the absence of greater liquidity and specific triggers in the crypto market, $BTC will go exactly where this goes.

🚨 Futures of the major global stock indices opened higher, with VIX below 20 and falling, indicating a calmer and slightly positive start to the week.

So far, 2025 has been negative for dollarized investments like the American stock market and crypto.

A possible recovery with the market already pricing in tariffs and other negative factors, and now pointing back to fundamentals, is a quite feasible hypothesis.

Obviously, the market continues to lack positive indicators, which is why we continue to monitor fundamentals and macroeconomic data, always maintaining a long-term strategy and vision.

Excellent week to everyone! 👊🏼📈

$BTC $ETH

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE CRYPTO MARKET IN THE NEXT FEW MONTHS?

The main market sentiment indicator has plunged to the extreme over the past few weeks.

Note in the image that a month ago we entered the 'fear' zone and have not progressed from it.

🔔 WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THE CRYPTO MARKET IN THE NEXT FEW MONTHS?

The main market sentiment indicator has plunged to the extreme over the past few weeks.

Note in the image that a month ago we entered the "fear" zone and have not evolved from it since.

There was a very rapid change in perspectives.

Many issues weighed negatively and scared away investors with less than 1 year in the market and new entrants, as many entered through the memecoin $TRUMP , which was extremely harmful to the inexperienced and the scandals like that of Milei and so many other celebrities who created their garbage to profit from the greed of those who believe in miracles.

Everything that impacts the American stock market also weighs on general sentiment, such as the macroeconomic scenario of trade wars, Trump's tariffs, the unusual pro-Putin positioning, and the like.

The scenario remains full of uncertainty and the FED preferred to stay "neutral".

This means we will have new triggers, both upward and downward.

Everything mentioned above is already somewhat priced in.

If the American stock market, which entered a technical correction, continues to plunge further, declines in crypto are inevitable.

Since we do not have liquidity injections in the markets, the dependence on the American stock market, given the high correlation, is even greater.

On the other hand, a consistent reaction from Nasdaq tends to bring back the enthusiasm for the crypto market, fueling what should be the last major upward leg of the cycle.

How am I positioned for the scenario?
1. I significantly reduced the percentage of altcoins, especially the smaller ones;
2. I am holding a robust cash position in $USDC ;
3. I remain positioned with 70% of the crypto portfolio in $BTC ;
4. Crypto was 40% of my portfolio in December. Today it is 30%.

You don't need to pay taxes if you have a strategy.

Check out the latest videos from the channel A ÓTICA DO DINHEIRO that have the step-by-step guide to avoid paying income tax on crypto.

"Altseason is coming!"

Based on what, little grasshopper?

Altseason comes when/if there is a scenario for it to come. For now, there is nothing effectively indicating it. Wait for signals. $BTC $ETH $BNB

In January, a "trick" (Itaipu) made inflation seem small.

In February it seems we did not have the same "luck".