大圣Crypto

The MEME is starting to pump, bonk, pepe, bome, floki, the familiar rhythm is back~~
The big coin has risen from 80,000 to 95,000, currently entering the phase of the big coin consolidating and pumping altcoins!

Focus on the strong leading altcoins!

Dear ones, the harvest season of May Day is here!

For a subject like Bitcoin, a bear market dollar-cost averaging is indeed a good strategy, suitable for long-term idle money investment, often outperforming 90% of short-term traders. This strategy mainly avoids human greed and fear; as long as there are no issues with the asset itself, making money is just a matter of time, especially for cyclical assets like Bitcoin, it's fantastic.

#BTC

Trump's tariff club is likely to be raised high and then gently lowered!
From a mid-line layout perspective, this is the bottom range; even with fluctuations up and down, laying out the spot is also very cost-effective~

I entered the market around 77,000 for Bitcoin on April 9, and also entered the stock market. The current strategy is to hold steadily and wait for the market to gradually warm up!!!

#BTC #美国半导体关税

The country is really tough!!!
Is China and the US starting to decouple?

So tough! Let's see how the Americans will cope! Bring it on, let the storm be even more intense! ​​​

Let's see who can't hold on first!

The darkest times are probably behind us!
With the U.S. imposing tariffs globally, China has already retaliated strongly and is unlikely to escalate further, while more than 70 other countries are queuing up for negotiations.
There is also widespread opposition to tax increases within the U.S., making it difficult for the U.S. to escalate the trade war both domestically and internationally.
From now on, negotiations and tariff reductions will gradually become the mainstream, so it's time to start positioning!

Today, I bought the dip in the A-share market, Hong Kong stocks, and Bitcoin, waiting for the moment when the market eases and rebounds!

In the A-share market, I focused on buying various ETFs, semiconductor ETFs, chip ETFs, artificial intelligence ETFs, and robotics ETFs.
In the Hong Kong stock market, I focused on buying Xiaomi, Alibaba, SMIC, and Xpeng.
In the crypto space, I'm only buying Bitcoin and firmly avoiding Ethereum...

Wow, why do I feel like China is heading towards an economic crisis... This century's battle, everyone cannot avoid it!
Hold onto your wallets, continue to watch the show, and see the gods fight!
Absolutely do not blindly enter the market!

This could very well be a devastating blow aimed at China! I hope our country is okay, but we need to protect ourselves!

It seems that this trade war will last a long time, and our generation is truly "fortunate", we can catch up with everything ​​​

Everyone dies together?

Trump starts a global trade war!
Whether allies or opponents, no one can escape! EU, UK, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Vietnam, Canada, and so on, not a single one can be missing!
The global market is scared to death, almost all plummeting~
Trump probably has already set up huge short positions...

The 10-year deposit rate in the United States is lower than the 1-year rate, and a significant issue caused by this inverted yield curve is the market's concern about an economic recession.
The GDP in the first quarter of 2025 in the U.S. is highly likely to show a recession.
The Federal Reserve incurred a loss of 110 billion USD in 2023 and a loss of 560 billion USD in 2024, mainly due to high interest payments.
Trump has consistently hoped for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, applying continuous pressure.

All of the above events are favorable for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. Bitcoin and U.S. stocks have already fallen for several weeks, so now is the time to make long-term investments in Bitcoin and U.S. stocks!

There will also be a second half of a bull market this year, so take advantage of the dips!

Hyperliquid 50x whale has currently shorted BTC, this position is its largest ever, with a total value of up to 520 million. It has shorted 6,210 BTC (worth 520 million USD) with 40x leverage, at a cost price of 83,898 USD, and a liquidation price of 85,561 USD.

With such a large position from the insiders and a liquidation price so low, should we wait for a sharp drop?

Major Events in Late March, Stay Tuned!

(1) March 17: CME launches SOL futures contracts, the first institutional derivatives for SOL go live, 20:30, U.S. February retail sales month-on-month
(2) March 19: 14:30, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda holds a monetary policy press conference, same day, Bank of Japan interest rate decision
(3) March 20: 2:00, Federal Reserve interest rate decision (upper limit), 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending March 15 (in thousands)
(4) March 22: Final approval of Litecoin spot ETF, the fate of the first LTC ETF revealed, 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending March 22 (in thousands)
(5) March 23: Grayscale SOL spot ETF second review, also a key battle for SOL compliance
(6) March 28: 20:30, U.S. February Core PCE Price Index

The recent main theme has been sharp declines, but the Great Sage believes that the negative news in the market has largely been released.

Trump's trade war has only one policy left regarding Europe that hasn't been announced, and there are signs of easing towards Canada and Mexico.

The U.S. employment rate is declining, and the U.S. stock market is crashing, which will accelerate the Fed's rate cuts and increase expectations for rate cuts.

Under extreme pressure from Trump, Zelensky has made a 180-degree shift in attitude, announcing readiness to initiate talks, and the Russia-Ukraine war is likely to end this year.

The U.S. stock market has been continuously crashing due to Deepseek and the trade war, and it also needs technical repair.

On March 7, the White House will hold its first cryptocurrency summit. Although it is difficult to expect major positive news, it may help enhance market information during a bleak market.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on March 20 is likely to have dovish statements in such an economic environment in the U.S.

In summary, when the negative news has almost been completely released, it is not advisable to be overly bearish in the future market; rather, it is an opportunity to gradually build positions and wait for a market reversal.

I have already started building positions, buying heavily on large declines and buying lightly on small declines.

Watch the market from the sidelines, successfully avoided a major drop!
Seeing today's market, do you understand the importance of taking profits that I talked about yesterday!

After a big surge a couple of days ago, many people started shouting bull market again, but I publicly emphasized the importance of taking profits in a timely manner; don't get trapped in a mindset, or you could be at least 20% underwater!

A trade war is inevitable; until everything calms down and settles, the strategy is to take profits promptly, if you’ve made money, run!

Only after the United States officially announces BTC as a national strategic reserve will I consider heavy buying and holding; everything else is just short-term good news.~

#BTC #美国加征关税

When Trump tweets, thousands of troops come to meet!
This directly names BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA; the president really enjoys trading cryptocurrencies.
I made a good profit from a short-term surge~ I've already secured my profits~

On March 7, the White House will host the first cryptocurrency summit; we’ll see if they announce BTC as a strategic reserve or similar benefits. But it might also signal increased regulation. So the strategy before March 7 is to sell more as prices rise; securing profits is what counts.

This big investor opened a long position of 130 million US dollars in Bitcoin. Finally, a few minutes ago, the stop loss was closed, with a loss of more than 50 million US dollars. . .

The market is cruel. It has long been said that we should wait for opportunities with a light position. Trump's continuous trade war and the rise and fall of the East and the West caused by DS will inevitably lead to the continuous decline of the currency circle.

Continue to wait for opportunities, watch more and do less~~~

Witness history!!!
The retail investors are truly miserable; just as the market starts to pick up, a black swan appears!!!

It turns out that Bybit was hacked for 1.5 billion USD this time, making it not only the largest theft in the history of the cryptocurrency industry but also the largest hacking incident and theft case in human history. Everyone has witnessed history!

Fortunately, due to the trade war, I have always maintained a low position; otherwise, this wave would have been disastrous. Let's wait for this wave to digest for a while and look for opportunities in March~

21 Shares has launched an ETF that supports Ethereum staking. If this application is approved, it will be a huge benefit for ETH and the staking sector.
You can make long-term investments in ETH and the staking sector.

Staking:
LDO, PENDLE, SSV, etc.

Jump out of the old logic and embrace new thinking!
The current market situation can no longer be judged according to the logic that the market was generally better after the Spring Festival in previous years. The market has completely entered the rhythm of American capital. In February, we cannot follow the old thinking and think that it will perform well like in previous years. Even when the cottage has generally fallen by 30% or even more than 50%, we cannot arbitrarily imagine that it will rebound violently.

Trump's trade war continues, and he continues to impose a 25% tariff on aluminum and iron. This week, he will continue to impose tariffs on some countries. The huge inflation caused by the trade war and the huge decline in corporate profits, as well as a series of employment issues, will cause the US stock market to continue to fall, and will inevitably cause the stock markets of various countries to fall, and the currency circle to fall.

This process will continue and ferment for a period of time until the market has a BTC strategic reserve, or the trade war is eased and other favorable factors appear.

The current strategy is to have a low position, watch more and do less, and never touch the cottage, waiting for a sharp drop to buy the bottom cake and high-quality leading cottage.

Ethereum, the deposed prince, may have a good performance in the next period of time.
1. Trump family project WLfi has been increasing its holdings of Ethereum and is currently trapped;
2. BlackRock Fund has also recently increased its holdings of Ethereum;
3. ETH's ETF had a net inflow of 310 million US dollars on February 4;
4. On March 15, Ethereum had a Pectra upgrade, which greatly reduced network fees and encouraged more staking of Ethereum;
5. The ETH ETF of US stocks has not yet launched the function of staking ETH to obtain income, and is expected to be launched in 2025, which will greatly promote capital to buy Ethereum.

Based on the above points, under the premise of the stability of the big cake, Ethereum will have a good round of performance.
Favorable tokens:

Staking: LDO, Pendle, SSV
Lending: AAVE
Trading: UNI