CryptoJournal

🇨🇳 China vs Taiwan: The #1 Global Market Threat 🇹🇼
As geopolitical tensions rise, China’s potential invasion of Taiwan remains one of the biggest black swans for global markets. Here’s why it matters — and how it could shock the entire world economy.
🔥 What’s the deal?
China views Taiwan as a breakaway province. Taiwan, on the other hand, acts as a fully self-governed democracy.
In recent years, China has increased military pressure — with airspace violations, war games, and political threats.
Many experts believe the chance of conflict is increasing over the next 5–10 years.
🏭 Why Does It Matter So Much?
🖥️ TSMC, located in Taiwan, produces over 90% of the world’s most advanced semiconductors. These chips power everything:
→ iPhones 📱
→ AI servers 🤖
→ Military tech 🚀
→ Cars 🚗
→ Laptops 💻

📉 What happens to the markets?
It would be catastrophic for risk assets.
Here’s a quick impact breakdown:
🚫 Tech stocks collapse – Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and others rely heavily on TSMC
🔗 Supply chains freeze – Delays in phones, computers, vehicles, defense equipment
🇺🇸 US & Japan would get involved – Major military & economic conflict
📉 Global equities crash – Risk-off sentiment floods markets
💰 Gold & oil soar – Investors rush to safety & expect energy disruptions
📊What should you do in that case?
✅ Diversify away from only tech
✅ Hold some gold, energy, and defense stocks
✅ Follow geopolitical developments closely
✅ Understand your exposure to Asian supply chains
#china #GOLD $BTC #BlackSwan

June 2025 | Federal Reserve Insights
🔹 Consumer Spending Outlook
“It’s still unclear how sentiment shifts will affect consumer spending.”
🔹 Monetary Policy Preparedness
“Our current monetary policy stance is well-positioned to handle unforeseen events.”
🔹 Inflation Expectations Rising
“Short-term inflation expectations have increased recently.”
🔹 Tariffs & Inflation Pressure
“New tariffs will likely weigh on economic activity and could push inflation higher.”
🔹 Combating Persistent Inflation
“It’s our responsibility to ensure one-time price shocks don’t evolve into sustained inflation.”
🔹 High Forecast Uncertainty
“FOMC projections are subject to unusually high levels of uncertainty.”
🔹 Positive Inflation Trends
“We’ve had three months of favorable inflation data — that’s encouraging.”
🔹 Rate Decision Patience
“The Fed has good reason to wait before considering rate changes.”
🔹 Uncertainty Easing
“While uncertainty was high, we’re seeing signs it’s beginning to decline.”
🔹 Rate Cuts in Sight?
“We’re likely approaching a point where rate cuts will be appropriate.”
🔹 The Value of Waiting
“We’ll make a more informed decision by waiting a couple more months.”
🟡 Market watchers: Powell’s message is clear — the Fed is in “wait and see” mode, but the path to potential rate cuts is taking shape.
#FOMCMeeting #bitcoin

W.D. Gann was a legendary trader who used math, angles, and time to predict market moves—long before computers.Two of his most powerful tools are the Gann Square and the Gann Box. Let’s break them down:
🔺 Gann Square
The Gann Square (or Square of 9 🔄) is like a spiral chart 🌀 where time and price meet at certain angles (like 45°, 90°, 180°). These angles can show:
• 🛡️ Support & resistance
• 🔁 Reversals or trend changes
• 🕒 Key turning points in time
📦 Gann Box
Just draw it from a major high or low 📉📈 on your Binance chart, and it shows:
• 📏 Gann angles like 1x1, 2x1, 4x1
• 🔮 Future price levels and trend strength
• ⌛ Timing zones for possible market moves
If price follows the 1x1 line ➕ up, it’s a strong trend 💪. If it breaks down ❌—trend change 🔃.
Try This: Pick a recent high or low on $BTC ₿. Draw a Gann Box. Watch how price reacts at each line. It’s like market magic.
💡 You can combine the Gann Square and Gann Box for even stronger analysis —spotting key price/time intersections and timing reversals with extra precision.