Dhalidm

Analysis of the reasons for this market crash and market trend!

The United States has announced that it will impose a 25% tariff on almost all imported goods from Canada and Mexico, a 10% tariff on energy products from Canada, and an additional 10% tariff on Chinese goods. The tariffs were implemented in response to China's smuggling of fentanyl and its precursor chemicals into Mexico and Canada, which are then illegally brought into the United States. Canada immediately responded by calling for equivalent retaliatory tariffs. As a result, risk markets fell, with Bitcoin dropping to a low of $100,279.

This Saturday marked the largest macro risk of the year, as Trump implemented significant tariff increases. It now appears that Trump is very determined to broadly raise tariffs, and this is just the first step, with more tariffs expected to be announced soon. Trump seems unfazed by the potential for economic and market volatility, stating, "There may be some temporary, short-term disruptions, and people will understand this." The economy and financial markets, which are heavily reliant on tech stocks, are in great turmoil.

BTC 4-hour K-line trend:
Resistance level: around 102266 to 103650
Support level: around 99150 to 100650

ETH 4-hour K-line trend:
Resistance level: around 3185 to 3260
Support level: around 3050 to 3108

Currently, the market is still adjusting, stabilizing temporarily in the short term, but it is advised to avoid probing lower again, control positions well when bottom-fishing, and build positions in batches!

#加密市场反弹 #微策略持续增持BTC #美联储维持利率不变

🚀 PCE Inflation Watch – Key Takeaways (Jan 31, 2025)

🔥 Inflation on the Rise: The PCE price index jumped 📈 0.3% in December, pushing the annual rate to 2.6% (up from 2.4% in November).

📊 Core Inflation Holds Firm: Stripping out food and energy, core PCE inflation rose 📊 0.2% for the month, sticking at 2.8% year-over-year.

💰 Consumer Spending Boom: Americans 🛍️ spent 0.7% more in December, following a 0.6% gain in November—a major driver of inflation.

⚡ Why the Surge? Many rushed to buy ahead of expected 🔺 tariff-driven price hikes, fueling a 2.3% annualized growth in Q4.

🏦 What About Interest Rates? With inflation still 📊 above the Fed’s 2% target, 💸 rate cuts may be delayed longer than expected.

📉 Market Mood: Investors reacted 📈 positively, with stock futures rising amid 💼 strong tech earnings and inflation data focus.

🍏 Apple’s Big Win: Despite lower iPhone sales, Apple hit a 📊 record $124.3 billion revenue, pushing its stock 📈 up 4%.

🔮 What’s Next? All eyes are on the Fed’s next move—will inflation ❄️ cool down, or is more 🔧 economic tightening on the way?

#PCEInflationWatch

February 1st Accurate Market Analysis! Please read carefully and share

Dear friends, Happy New Year!

Last night's PCE data release met expectations,
Currently, a rate cut is expected in June.

Just as we were sleeping soundly, the White House suddenly announced tariff news that shook the market, causing BTC to drop by 2%.

Trump confirmed that starting from February 1st, a 25% tariff will be imposed on goods from Mexico and Canada,

The logic behind this:
Increase tariffs -> Inflation rises -> Federal Reserve stops rate cuts or raises rates -> Risk assets BTC fall

The U.S. stock market was performing well, but under the influence of this news, all three major indices turned downward. In the future, the U.S. will also announce tariffs on EU countries, and every move by Trump affects the market. Short-term bearish factors are always present; a black swan event could lead to a significant drop in the crypto market.

From on-chain data,
(1) Stablecoins have flowed out of exchanges in recent days, currently returning to the levels of January 15th
(2) BTC has also flowed out of exchanges within 24 hours, with Binance inflowing 3,000 BTC, but the overall outflow from exchanges is 5,000 BTC

What follows is a protracted battle, gradually increasing BTC's buy-in costs in the struggle between bears and bulls, forming the next accumulation phase in anticipation of an explosion!

Bearish forces:
1. U.S. economic data shows inflation
2. Unexpected black swan events, such as selling coins in Mentougou, someone from Trump's family releasing a coin again
3. AI bubble being pierced, U.S. stocks crashing, for example, if incidents like DeepSeek happen 2 more times

Bullish forces:
1. U.S. economic data shows inflation declining
2. Trump's cryptocurrency policy being implemented
3. BTC strategic reserves being established in various U.S. states
4. Large capital seeking returns outside the U.S. stock market continues to buy and hold coins

In this round of protracted battle, it is recommended that large funds hold coins, while small funds participate in the on-chain primary market to leverage small investments for large gains!

Hold spot positions patiently, waiting for a market reversal, and please manage stop-loss and take-profit for contract positions! Wishing everyone a smooth bull market, congratulations on becoming wealthy!

#加密市场反弹 #微策略持续增持BTC #美国加密项目零资本利得税？ #特朗普要求继续降息