CryptoGeneral

The holding volume is decreasing, the big investors are shorting, and the net long and net short positions are increasing. Will the retail investors win or the big investors win? Let's wait and see👀(I don't accept the sand sculpture's questioning that CoinGlass's data is fake. If I don't believe him, how can I believe you?) #BTC走势分析 $BTC
#Binance #coinglass

🐳 Bitcoin whales are making large purchases! 📈 USDT issuance is increasing, funds are flooding into exchanges, but BTC is being withdrawn, it seems the big players are stockpiling! 💰 The market is about to heat up, are you ready? #bitcoin
$BTC

Not bad, two coins have risen more than 20% in one day, this is better than Bitcoin 😂
#推荐代币

This time I believe it will break through successfully #BTC走势分析 $BTC

The following coins can be longed, who agrees and who disagrees? #多军的反击

Bitcoin ETF Monthly Report 📊🤔

From the trend of ETHUSDT, Bitcoin ETF continued to buy in large amounts in 2024, with only slight outflows in April and August. It continued to buy in large amounts in January 2025, but sold off in February and March, and the outflow decreased in April.
- Inflows throughout 2024: ETF funds drive the bull market?
- Sell-offs in February-March 2025: Market adjustment or conspiracy?
- Reduced outflows in April: A signal of capital recovery?

Do these time nodes of inflows and outflows correspond to major events? Liang Xi said, "There is a conspiracy before every major market change." What do you think? 🧐

Since I only look at naked candlesticks and moving averages, my thoughts have become clear.
Previous trading thoughts:
Light position + phased entry + MACD + RSI + OBV + … indicators (selecting price to fight for space)
Result: 80% of the time I was either holding onto positions or trying to get back to break-even, and sometimes couldn't even do that.
(Among various indicators, there is a subconscious trap. For example, the energy bars of trading volume, the energy bars of MACD, the upper and lower boundaries of RSI, the pre-consciousness might make one think that if the bars get shorter, the volume decreases and there might be a subsequent decline. Touching the upper and lower boundaries will lead to oversold or overbought conditions. Some people say you shouldn't look at the MACD line; the reason it’s subconscious is that methods you can’t perceive influence you. Although I always look at the lines to judge through golden and death crosses, at critical moments these energy bars affect my judgment. Maybe it’s because my skills aren’t sufficient, but I don’t want to be influenced by them, so I simply gave up on these auxiliary indicators).
Current trading thoughts:
Heavy position (20% position) + moving averages + naked candlesticks (timing to fight for profit).
Some people say: Aren't the experts only looking at naked candlesticks? Maybe I just haven't reached that level yet.
Well, this is my recent trading insight, if you don't like it, please don’t criticize! #BTC走势分析

A wise person will have an unlimited future

The wind is calm, the sea is flat, the K-line is silent, the beginning of movement and stillness. No wind, the air stagnates, the sea like a mirror, hidden currents surge; the K-line has no big trades, straight and slightly undulating, like water veins subtly moving. Silence conceals deep strength, the market is dormant, gathering momentum.
The wind rises, the sea moves, the K-line forms waves. A light breeze brushes, small waves ripple, false breakthroughs confuse; a strong wind howls, giant waves surge, true breakthroughs take shape. The K-line fluctuates with trading, sometimes slow, sometimes fast, like waves rising and falling. Movement shows unpredictability, the market boils, truth and falsehood intertwine.
The wind stops, the sea rests, movement returns to stillness. Waves recede to the mirror, the K-line returns straight, slight undulations still remain. In stillness, movement is conceived, the flat line hides opportunities; in movement, stillness is concealed, the gaps between rises and falls are moments of pause. Movement and stillness rotate, wind and sea are interdependent, the K-line flows.
Trading is like watching the wind at the sea. In stillness, the K-line slightly undulates, observing hidden currents, discerning truth from falsehood; in movement, the K-line rises and falls, do not chase false movements in light winds, true momentum can be seized in strong winds. Do not chase false waves in movement, do not miss opportunities in stillness, keep a calm heart amid movement and stillness, and you will understand the way of the market.
The wind exists and does not exist, the sea rises and falls, the K-line gives birth to movement and stillness. Trade with the momentum of the wind and sea, observe the opportunities of hidden currents, discern the changes of truth and falsehood, keep a clear heart and mind, be free and unrestrained, and navigate the tides of unpredictability.

Yesterday there were many fake messages, such as MicroStrategy needing to sell Bitcoin to pay off debts, Powell planning to raise interest rates, and the Trump family selling Ethereum with incorrect amounts reported. It all looks fake; it's clear that some manipulators spread false news through certain media and individuals just to set the stage for real news to come out early this morning. Many people probably believed it and hesitated to get on board, but there's no rush, they will come back to pick people up.

Although the news caused a surge last night from 77,000 to 83,000, Bitcoin ETF still experienced outflows, with 37.41 million dollars exiting. A correction is expected.

Since the creation of the S&P 500 in 1957, there have been 5 years with a decline of more than 10%

1973: 17.4%

1974: 36.7%

2002: 23.4%

2008: 38.5%

2022: 19.4%

The 5-year average is 27.08%

Which is close to the 27.6% in the above chart

The premise is that both parties eventually sat down to negotiate again

#美国加征关税 #SPX500

Since the creation of the S&P 500 in 1957, there have been 5 years with a decline of more than 10% each year

1973: 17.4%

1974: 36.7%

2002: 23.4%

2008: 38.5%

2022: 19.4%

The 5-year average is 27.08%

This is quite similar to the 27.6% shown above

The premise is that both sides ultimately sat down to negotiate again

#美国加征关税 #SPX500

Impact of Trade Wars on S&P 500:
Beginning of Trade War in 2018:
Date: March 2018
Decline: Approximately 18.2%.
Escalation of Trade War in 2019:
Date: May 2019
Decline: Approximately 7.4%.
New Trade War in 2025:
Date: April 3, 2025
Decline: 12% (as of April 7)
Taking the average of the first two, the decline is 12.8%
Estimated S&P 500 bottom should be at 4450
This also counts as achieving a nearly 30% decline
#关税

Recharge your BTC faith, a classic quote from Buffett for everyone
Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful #BTC走势分析 $BTC

#加密市场回调 4 hour level, the MACD line is above the signal line, the blue negative momentum is weakening, both are in the same trend, I estimate that it should rise afterwards $BTC

With China's counter-tariffs, the China-U.S. tariff war officially begins. Before interest rates are cut, the BTC market will fluctuate directly between 70,000 and 90,000. Why not between 75,000 and 90,000? I think there will be a significant correction that will make most people despair and exit, then consolidate until August or September before rallying #美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析

$BTC Did I say yesterday that theoretically, the tariffs imposed by the United States are beneficial for the U.S., so the rebound is here, but it's definitely not a reversal; it's still a counter-trend. It cannot be ruled out that it will go up and then come down again, accumulating strength to go up. Why did the U.S. stock market perform so poorly yesterday? Because Trump's recent actions have faced opposition even within his own Republican Party, not to mention the Democrats. However, overall, Trump's tariff policy is beneficial for the U.S. I will not accept rebuttals #BTC走势分析 $BTC

Let's talk about some fundamental issues. Mindless investors won't understand that Trump's tariffs are essentially beneficial for the United States. So logically, U.S. stocks should rise. Why are they falling then? It's because those who oppose Trump are deliberately trying to trip him up, or the short-selling institutions on Wall Street are taking the opportunity to harvest the uninformed investors. I believe they will definitely rise again later. That's my opinion. Please don't just mindlessly criticize; provide your reasons instead. Don't just follow the crowd; have your own thoughts, or you'll forever be just a naive investor.

Comrade Jian Guo has placed an order!

Have you ever heard of the sword technique that descends from the heavens? 😂