"The 60% Rule" is an investing guideline we consider ideal before making any investment decisions. It's designed to ensure a thorough evaluation of an asset.
Based on our established system, before you decide to invest, you should conduct three types of research: narrative research, technical research, and fundamental research. Each plays a specific role in your overall assessment: - Narrative Research: This accounts for 50% of your decision. It involves understanding the story, the potential future, and the community behind an asset. - Technical Research: This makes up 30%. It's about analyzing price charts, trading volumes, and historical data to predict future price movements. - Fundamental Research: This contributes 20%. Here, you dive into the core value of the asset, its utility, the team behind it, and its overall market position.
Before you decide to buy a coin, ensure your total score from all these aspects combined is greater than 60%. If your assessment falls below this threshold, the best course of action is to refrain from investing. The 60% Rule provides a comprehensive and precise guideline for making informed investment decisions.
Bitcoin ( $BTC ) investors are holding onto $1.2 trillion in unrealized profits, near their $1.3 trillion record, per Glassnode. Despite an average 125% gain, most are "hodling," showing little sell interest. This trend solidified when BTC found support at $98,300 on June 22. Less selling from short-term holders and increased supply from long-term holders reinforce this dominant hodling strategy. Though BTC is around $109,000 (5.5% below its May 2025 peak), major profit-taking hasn't occurred, suggesting further price increases are expected. On-chain data indicates BTC is consolidating, with potential for more gains if resistance breaks. Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research.
JPMorgan Lowers Stablecoin Market Forecast to $500B by 2028
JPMorgan now predicts the global stablecoin market will only reach $500 billion by 2028, a much lower estimate than others. They believe US dollar-pegged stablecoin adoption is limited, with 88% used for crypto trading and DeFi, and only 6% for payments. This shows stablecoins aren't yet integrated into traditional finance or ready to replace conventional money. While the GENIUS Act might boost institutional interest by clarifying regulations, technical hurdles and conversion costs to fiat remain key obstacles. JPMorgan stays conservative, noting many countries are focusing on Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) for payment system modernization instead.
Altcoin Season is a super exciting time in the crypto world. It's basically a period where Bitcoin's ( $BTC ) dominance dips, and investors shift their focus and money to Altcoins. Think of it as the market getting a fresh surge of energy, moving beyond the usual suspects. This usually happens when the main cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin ($BTC )and Ethereum ($ETH ), have hit a peak or are feeling a bit "saturated." That's when the "smart money" starts to pull profits from these big players and pour them into the more diverse, and often more volatile, Altcoin market. They're hunting for bigger gains!
How to Tell if Altcoin Season is Kicking Off There are a couple of key things to watch for: Ethereum's ( $ETH ) Rise: A big jump in Ethereum's price is often one of the first signs. Since so many Altcoins are built on Ethereum's network, its performance can be a pretty good indicator of what the rest of the Altcoin market might do. Technical Chart Signals: If you're into charts, you'll see the main market (Bitcoin and Ethereum) potentially entering a distribution phase—meaning big investors are starting to sell. At the same time, the "exotic" Altcoin market (often tracked by TOTAL3, which measures the total market cap of all cryptos except BTC and ETH) will show a significant climb.
Maximizing Your Gains During Altcoin Season To make the most of an Altcoin Season, the trick is to invest in assets with trending narratives. For instance, if decentralized finance (DeFi) is buzzing, Altcoins in that space are likely to see some serious action. So, if you're looking for potentially high returns beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, keeping an eye out for Altcoin Season could be your next big move—just remember, higher potential rewards often come with higher risks!
The United States has indeed threatened to impose a potential 17% tariff on agriculture and food exports from the European Union. This was confirmed by an EU diplomat on Friday, July 4, 2025. Negotiators from the European Commission are currently in talks with their U.S. counterparts, aiming to secure relief from existing U.S. tariffs and prevent any further increases. The Commission reportedly briefed EU envoys about the U.S.'s proposal for this potential new levy on EU food. This move comes amidst ongoing trade tensions, with the second Trump administration having already implemented and proposed various tariffs across different sectors. Such tariffs are expected to impact both European and American consumers through higher prices and could potentially disrupt global supply chains.
Crypto Market Cap Could Hit $15-$20 Trillion if Genius Act Passes, Says Bo Hines
Bo Hines, Chairman of the White House Presidential Advisory Board, projects that the crypto market capitalization could reach an astounding $15 trillion to $20 trillion if the Genius Act, a stablecoin bill, is signed into law by the president. "This bill is expected to encourage large-scale capital inflow into the digital asset market, with the total crypto market cap potentially reaching $15–20 trillion," Hines stated in an interview with Mara CEO Fred Thiel, as reported by MARA's YouTube channel on Friday (July 4). Hines further emphasized that the Genius Act would be a crucial factor in strengthening the US dollar's global dominance for decades to come, especially if it garners support from 15 Democratic representatives. He also noted that the last time a similar piece of legislation like the Genius Act was passed was in 2018. If enacted, it would position the United States at the forefront of modernizing the financial system. More specifically, Hines highlighted that the law would lay the groundwork for major developments such as tokenized public securities and 24/7 markets. Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice (NFA). Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
Decentralized Science (DeSci): Reshaping Research for Openness
Emerging in early 2023, Decentralized Science (DeSci) champions a radical shift towards open and transparent research. Traditionally, scientific research is highly centralized: funding, objectives, and dissemination are often controlled by a few entities, leading to potential corruption. Driven by the principles of openness, Web3 developers are pushing for decentralized scientific research to combat these systemic flaws. Here's a quick look at how DeSci stands apart from traditional science: Funding: Traditional science relies on centralized funding. DeSci, however, utilizes Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) for donations, fostering broader and more transparent financial support. Collaboration: Traditional science often restricts collaboration. DeSci encourages dynamic and open membership, breaking down barriers to scientific teamwork. Publication: Traditional research limits publication access. DeSci ensures independent dissemination of results via blockchain networks, making findings universally accessible. DeSci isn't just a trend; it's a vision for a more equitable and accessible future for science. It aims to put integrity and broad access at the forefront of scientific discovery.
What are your thoughts on DeSci's potential to revolutionize research?
Liquidity (derived from "liquid") refers to how easily assets can be bought or sold without impacting their price. Think of it as an ocean: retail traders are small fish navigating safely without being swallowed by larger players. High liquidity ensures smoother, fairer markets.
Core Components of Market Liquidity: 1. Order Book: A real-time ledger tracking buy/sell orders. When you trade, you add to this book. 2. Volume: The total transactions executed within a specific period, reflecting market activity.
Critical Liquidity Types for Crypto Ecosystems: a. DeFi Liquidity: Relies on user-contributed liquidity pools (e.g., Uniswap) enabling seamless on-chain swaps. b. Network Liquidity: Measures how efficiently on-chain transactions process, including gas fees and speed (e.g., Ethereum vs. Solana). c. Asset Liquidity: Indicates an asset’s market depth—how easily it moves across exchanges (e.g., high for BTC, low for micro-cap tokens). d. Stablecoin Liquidity: Ensures sufficient stablecoin reserves (like USDT, USDC) for instant fiat conversion during cash-outs.
If you're looking to diversify into altcoins but don't know where to start, here's a guide: Start with Ethereum ( $ETH ) If you're unsure what to buy, Ethereum is an excellent first exposure to the altcoin market. It's often considered the "mother" of all altcoins due to its vast network valuation and the sheer number of Decentralized Applications (DApps) built on it. When Ethereum rises, most altcoins tend to follow, and vice versa. Consider using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) method to enter Ethereum gradually, rather than a single large lump sum. Focus on "Proven" Altcoins A common mistake for beginners is chasing "micro-cap coins," falling into the fallacy that smaller valuations equate to higher potential gains. They often overlook the high risk of these low to medium-cap projects not developing properly. For newcomers, it's best to stick to larger market capitalization coins. You can easily find these at the top of platforms like CoinMarketCap or CoinGecko. Gain Exposure to RWA and AI If you have to pick just two sectors likely to perform well until the end of 2025, Real World Assets (RWA) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) are strong contenders. RWA will likely remain relevant due to high institutional interest, while the AI sector will persist given the continuous advancements and updates in AI technology. Avoid Micro-Caps; Buy Sparingly if You Must Many dream of becoming millionaires by buying meme coins, but while possible, it's far less probable. Understand that memecoins carry extremely high risk and you could lose all your invested funds. If you still wish to dabble in memecoins, allocate only a very small amount of capital. Disclaimer Alert: This is not financial advice, nor an invitation to buy or sell. All information provided is for educational purposes only. We are not affiliated with any of the parties mentioned herein. Always conduct your own research (DYOR).
Many prefer spot trading during a bull market, and rightly so, as leverage becomes a major enemy with frequent stop hunts and liquidations. HODLing often beats active trading in this environment. Here are tips for spot trading during a bull market: Thesis-Driven/Narrative-Based Buying: 50% of success comes from understanding current market narratives. Research deeply into the thesis or narrative of any asset before buying. Don't buy blindly; at least read the whitepaper and understand the project's community.Practice Sound Money Management: Never go all-in. Allocate properly: a maximum of 10% of your portfolio per coin (across 4 entries) and keep at least 30% in cash. Cash provides liquidity for buying dips.Maintain Psychological Control; Don't Panic Easily: During a bull market, negative news will circulate, aiming to shake your conviction. Don't let fear drive irrational decisions. Always think with a clear head before acting.Take Profits When It's Time: Don't be a "bagholder" who watches prices rise without realizing gains. The only way to profit is by selling. For narrative assets, 2-4 months is typically the sell window. For sector assets, holding for 2-4 years (a full cycle) can be reasonable. Hope this helps!
Ethereum's Potential Catalysts: Attractive Ecosystem Sectors to Watch
It's currently July 3, 2025. While the text mentions the Ethereum ETF being approved and a Pectra upgrade in late 2024, the actual Ethereum ETF (spot) has not yet been approved. The Pectra upgrade is a future event. Therefore, the premise that the Ethereum ETF has already caused a significant price pump for Ethereum (as of July 2025) is inaccurate based on current real-world events. I will revise the response to reflect this, focusing on what would be attractive sectors if such a pump were occurring, and adjusting the introductory context to be more hypothetical or forward-looking, rather than stating it as a current event.
Given ongoing developments and potential future events like a spot Ethereum ETF approval and the Pectra upgrade, there's significant interest in which sectors within the Ethereum ecosystem could see substantial growth. Here are some areas that would become particularly attractive: Layer-2 Solutions Layer-2 solutions offer crucial scalability improvements for Ethereum, addressing a long-standing challenge for Layer-1 networks. Increased demand for Ethereum (e.g., from an ETF approval) would significantly benefit this sector. Promising Layer-2 projects to watch include: $MATIC (Polygon)$ARB (Arbitrum)$STRK (Starknet)$MANTA (Manta Network)And other prominent Layer-2s.
Ethereum Staking Ecosystem
Platforms offering Ethereum staking with competitive rewards would see enhanced interest. The Pectra upgrade, aimed at improving staking efficiency, would further maximize these opportunities. Key Ethereum staking-related coins to consider include: $LDO (Lido DAO)$RPL (Rocket Pool)$ANKR (Ankr)And similar protocols.
Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
Decentralized Applications (dApps) built on Ethereum that facilitate DeFi activities like lending, borrowing, and swapping would also experience positive impacts from increased network activity and value. Notable DeFi coins in this category include: $AAVE$MKR (MakerDAO)$UNI (Uniswap)$CRV (Curve DAO Token)And others within the DeFi space.
Memecoins
Historically, memecoins on the Ethereum network tend to follow Ethereum's price movements. While inherently high-risk, they can offer significant returns during periods of heightened market excitement. Some Ethereum-based memecoins to keep an eye on are: $SHIB (Shiba Inu)$PEPE (Pepe)$FLOKI (Floki)And other popular memecoins on the network. Disclaimer Alert: This is not financial advice, nor an invitation to buy or sell. All information provided is for educational purposes only. We are not affiliated with any of the parties mentioned. Always conduct your own research (DYOR).
2025 is shaping up to be another thrilling year for the crypto market. While 2024 was marked by Ethereum’s resurgence and the rise of Layer-2 solutions, 2025 could bring even more transformative developments. Here’s what might unfold in the coming year: 1. Bitcoin Dominance Challenged Again Bitcoin has long been the king of crypto, but 2025 could see another major competitor emerging—potentially Ethereum, Solana, or even a new Layer-1 blockchain. Key catalysts include: Institutional adoption: More Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs gaining global approval.Technological advancements: Ethereum’s continued upgrades (e.g., further scalability solutions post-Dencun) or Solana’s push for mass adoption.Macroeconomic factors: If interest rates drop further, altcoins could see explosive growth. 2. The Rise of AI-Blockchain Synergy 2025 could be the year AI and blockchain fully converge, leading to: AI-powered DeFi protocols: Smarter lending, trading, and risk management.Decentralized AI marketplaces: Projects like Fetch.ai, Ocean Protocol, and Bittensor gaining mainstream traction.Regulatory clarity: Governments may introduce frameworks for AI-crypto integrations, boosting investor confidence. 3. Layer-3 and Modular Blockchains Take Center Stage While Layer-2s dominated 2024, Layer-3 solutions and modular blockchains (e.g., Celestia, EigenLayer) could become the next big trend. Hyper-scalability: Customizable blockchains for specific use cases (gaming, socialFi, enterprise).Interoperability focus: Seamless cross-chain transactions without bridges.New token launches: Early-stage projects in this space could see 10x+ gains. 4. CBDCs and Real-World Asset (RWA) Tokenization Go Mainstream Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): More countries may launch pilots, increasing crypto legitimacy.RWA boom: Tokenized stocks, bonds, and real estate could attract institutional capital (e.g., Ondo Finance, MakerDAO’s RWA focus).Regulatory progress: Clearer laws may emerge, reducing market uncertainty. 5. The Next Meme Coin Mania Historically, every bull run has a meme coin frenzy. In 2025: New viral tokens: Could emerge from Solana, Base, or another high-speed chain.Community-driven pumps: Meme coins may outperform utility tokens in short bursts.High risk, high reward: Early entrants could see massive gains, but latecomers risk steep losses.
Bitcoin Surpasses $110K as Trump Offers Tariff Relief to Vietnam
Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency, broke past the psychological $110,000 mark this afternoon, Thursday (July 3). This surge coincides with U.S. President Donald Trump granting tariff relief to Vietnam. Bitcoin saw a modest 2.1% jump in the past 24 hours, yet this positively impacted other cryptocurrencies, which generally turned green. Currently, Bitcoin's market capitalization has reached $2.1 trillion, with a trading volume of approximately $35.8 billion. Its circulating supply is now thinning, standing at 19,886,806 out of a maximum of 21 million. For context, Trump announced that the U.S. has reached a trade agreement with Vietnam. Under this deal, Vietnam will pay only 20% tariffs on goods imported from the U.S. and 40% on reshipments.
The crypto market is seeing a positive turn, with Bitcoin (BTC) up 2% today, Thursday (July 3), to $109,000, despite dipping to $105,000 yesterday. However, CoinMarketCap data shows memecoins are currently dominating the largest gains. Dogecoin (DOGE), the 9th largest crypto, is up 8.10% in 24 hours to $0.1741.Bonk (BONK) is a top performer today, up 20% to $0.00001729.Pepe (PEPE) rebounded 11.36% to $0.00001056 today after a dip last month.Shiba Inu (SHIB) rose 6.14% to $0.00001210.Trump increased by 4.75% to $9.02.Floki (FLOKI) gained 9.41% to $0.00008035. Altcoins also show positive momentum: Ethereum (ETH) regained the $2,600 level, up 6.31% today.Solana (SOL) rose 4.33% to $155.XRP increased by 3.94% to $2.28. Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice (NFA). Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
"My Position is Stuck, War Broke Out Unexpectedly!" What to Do?
This is a common concern: you've invested in Altcoins, or are holding moonbag profits, and then the market suddenly drops due to unexpected events like war. What should you do? Stay Calm: If your initial intention was long-term investing in solid projects, don't fear short-term fluctuations, especially for assets whose narratives haven't even played out yet. If P&L volatility stresses you, delete the app and relax. Remember, it's not a loss until you sell!Look for Buy the Dip Opportunities: Don't let short-term price swings cloud your long-term market view. If an attractive asset is in a good buying range (on a long-term timeframe), buy and hold with conviction.Avoid Averaging Down or Leveraged Dips: A frequent mistake in derivatives trading is "buying the dip" with leverage, which means doubling down on a flawed idea. In derivatives, always use hard stop-losses and respect invalidation levels from the start. Don't average down and hold onto prolonged losses; it affects your well-being. Build healthy habits!Don't Blame Yourself: You can only control your input and effort, not the outcome or the market itself. What's done is done. Focus on what you can do moving forward. Don't blame yourself. Hope this helps!
Bitcoin Volatility at 2-Year Low: Implications for the Market
Bitcoin's Volatility Index currently sits at 38.00, indicating the market expects Bitcoin's price to fluctuate around 38% over the next 30 days. This is its lowest level in two years. Throughout 2025, Bitcoin's price has largely traded within a narrow range of approximately $93,000 to $111,000, confirming its decreasing volatility. This suggests the market now perceives Bitcoin as a more stable asset, less prone to extreme price swings. The reduced volatility translates to fewer opportunities for quick profits from short-term trading strategies like arbitrage or directional speculation. Bitcoin is increasingly being treated as a macro asset, similar to stocks or gold, rather than purely a speculative instrument. This trend is partly driven by the entry of large institutional investors and corporations, who have poured billions of dollars into the market since early 2024. These entities typically act as long-term holders and engage in more stable strategies, such as selling call options for additional income, which further dampens price movements.
Top Two Challenges for New Crypto Investors & How to Tackle Them
New crypto investors often face two main hurdles: Not knowing what to buy.Not knowing when to sell. Let's break down the first challenge. To figure out what to buy, the key is to focus on the narrative. A narrative is essentially a sector that's "hot" and getting a lot of attention in the crypto market. If you're a beginner, this is your starting point. For example, if "GameFi" is the current hot narrative, then GameFi coins are what you should be looking at. Now, for the second challenge: when to sell. Every narrative has a lifespan, and in the crypto market, narratives typically last 2-4 months. It's rare for one to sustain longer than four months. Therefore, once two months have passed, it's wise to start thinking about taking profits. A smart move is to use a moon bag strategy: sell 50% of your holdings once the price has gone up by 100%, and then let the remaining profits ride. Stay persistent!
U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new trade agreement with Vietnam, where Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on U.S. imports and a 40% tariff on re-exports. In exchange, Vietnam grants the U.S. full market access, allowing American goods to enter tariff-free. The deal, led by Vietnam’s Communist Party Chief To Lam, follows a previous 46% tariff threat, which was suspended for 90 days.
Trader @AguilaTrades, previously associated with $34.18M in losses from >$400M positions, has reduced losses by capping exposure below $400M – recovering ~$3M.
The account currently holds a 20x leveraged long on 2,240 BTC ($243M) with: Entry : $107,886 Liquidation: $105,861 Current profit: +$2.36M (accurate prediction)
Ripple applies to the OCC for a national bank charter. Approval would secure dual state/federal regulation for its stablecoin, RLUSD. This follows subsidiary Standard Custody's application for a Federal Reserve master account to handle RLUSD reserves.