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BTC Overview. June 16 - 19BTC Overview. June 16 News Background 1️⃣ CPI and PPI came out better than expected. These are additional factors for lowering the rate. But we have tariffs and Israel/Iran. 2️⃣Tariff Story. Negotiations with China - unclear, with the EU - unclear. This all contributes to keeping the rate unchanged. 3️⃣Conflicts. Iran/Israel flared up quickly and seems to have cooled down. It's not a fact that it won't flare up again in the future. But for now, silence on the conflict is good for crypto.

BTC Overview. June 16 - 19

BTC Overview. June 16
News Background
1️⃣ CPI and PPI came out better than expected. These are additional factors for lowering the rate. But we have tariffs and Israel/Iran.
2️⃣Tariff Story. Negotiations with China - unclear, with the EU - unclear. This all contributes to keeping the rate unchanged.
3️⃣Conflicts. Iran/Israel flared up quickly and seems to have cooled down. It's not a fact that it won't flare up again in the future. But for now, silence on the conflict is good for crypto.
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Medium-term forecast for ONDOONDO What fundamentally supports the coin? 🔹Cooperation with XRP (https://x.com/OndoFinance/status/1932775406957994403) (and Ripple itself has quite promising prospects). 🔹Gradual movement in the area of understandable legislation on tokenization, primarily in the USA, and general interest from institutions in the RWA sector

Medium-term forecast for ONDO

ONDO

What fundamentally supports the coin?
🔹Cooperation with XRP (https://x.com/OndoFinance/status/1932775406957994403) (and Ripple itself has quite promising prospects).
🔹Gradual movement in the area of understandable legislation on tokenization, primarily in the USA, and general interest from institutions in the RWA sector
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BTC Overview. June 12 - 16BTC Overview. News Background 1️⃣ CPI was released yesterday and turned out to be good (a positive factor for lowering the rate... someday). PPI will be released today. The forecast for it implies growth, but we'll see. 2️⃣ Tariff Story. Negotiations with China can be said to be stalled, with the EU they haven't even started yet, and the situation is also expected to be not very good. This all contributes to keeping the rate unchanged. And it seems they will leave it as is.

BTC Overview. June 12 - 16

BTC Overview.

News Background

1️⃣ CPI was released yesterday and turned out to be good (a positive factor for lowering the rate... someday). PPI will be released today. The forecast for it implies growth, but we'll see.
2️⃣ Tariff Story. Negotiations with China can be said to be stalled, with the EU they haven't even started yet, and the situation is also expected to be not very good. This all contributes to keeping the rate unchanged. And it seems they will leave it as is.
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Top-10 by the end of today on h1. It is worth mentioning that against the backdrop of tariff negotiations with China and Trump's statements, Bitcoin can behave very, very, very differently. A lot will depend on it, while I do not expect a strong upward move from the current levels (maximum up to 111,400 for now), but that does not mean it cannot happen. So be cautious before pressing the buttons. 🔹ETH. Broke out of the range upwards. Potentially there is a target above at 2860. If Bitcoin goes down, we could drop to 2580. 🔹XRP. If Bitcoin goes down, it could fall to 2.2. If Bitcoin goes up - 2.39, in the distant future up to 2.52. 🔹SOL. If Bitcoin goes down - we could fall to 150. If Bitcoin goes up - 169 is the first target. 🔹BNB. 676 - the first target above, if Bitcoin goes up. If Bitcoin goes down, we will drop to 650. 🔹DOGE. If Bitcoin goes down - 0.18. If Bitcoin goes up 0.2011, in the best case 0.21450. 🔹ADA. If Bitcoin goes down - to 0.66. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.75. 🔹TRX. If Bitcoin goes down - 0.28. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.298. 🔹AVAX. If Bitcoin goes down - to 20.50. If Bitcoin goes up - 22.78 and even 24. 🔹SHIB. If Bitcoin goes down - to 0.00001222. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.00001372 and 0.00001425. 🔹ONDO. If Bitcoin goes down - to 0.84. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.95 and 1.03. PS. This overview is my personal opinion about the market. Use it with caution.
Top-10 by the end of today on h1. It is worth mentioning that against the backdrop of tariff negotiations with China and Trump's statements, Bitcoin can behave very, very, very differently. A lot will depend on it, while I do not expect a strong upward move from the current levels (maximum up to 111,400 for now), but that does not mean it cannot happen. So be cautious before pressing the buttons.

🔹ETH. Broke out of the range upwards. Potentially there is a target above at 2860. If Bitcoin goes down, we could drop to 2580.
🔹XRP. If Bitcoin goes down, it could fall to 2.2. If Bitcoin goes up - 2.39, in the distant future up to 2.52.
🔹SOL. If Bitcoin goes down - we could fall to 150. If Bitcoin goes up - 169 is the first target.
🔹BNB. 676 - the first target above, if Bitcoin goes up. If Bitcoin goes down, we will drop to 650.
🔹DOGE. If Bitcoin goes down - 0.18. If Bitcoin goes up 0.2011, in the best case 0.21450.
🔹ADA. If Bitcoin goes down - to 0.66. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.75.
🔹TRX. If Bitcoin goes down - 0.28. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.298.
🔹AVAX. If Bitcoin goes down - to 20.50. If Bitcoin goes up - 22.78 and even 24.
🔹SHIB. If Bitcoin goes down - to 0.00001222. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.00001372 and 0.00001425.
🔹ONDO. If Bitcoin goes down - to 0.84. If Bitcoin goes up - 0.95 and 1.03.

PS. This overview is my personal opinion about the market. Use it with caution.
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Mid-term forecast for ATOMWhat fundamental factors does the coin have? 🔹On Twitter, the TAC project, which connects Ethereum and Ton blockchains through corresponding EVMs, is actively promoted. It operates on Cosmos - the parent blockchain of ATOM. In the short term, this is unlikely to significantly impact the price, but in a six-month perspective, it may, especially if TON does well (for example, an active entry into the US market).

Mid-term forecast for ATOM

What fundamental factors does the coin have?
🔹On Twitter, the TAC project, which connects Ethereum and Ton blockchains through corresponding EVMs, is actively promoted. It operates on Cosmos - the parent blockchain of ATOM. In the short term, this is unlikely to significantly impact the price, but in a six-month perspective, it may, especially if TON does well (for example, an active entry into the US market).
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BTC Overview. June 5 - June 9News background 1️⃣Manufacturing PMI and services PMI have decreased (there are some questions regarding the latter figure) - these two factors contribute to the rate decrease. PCE, as we remember, is stable. The number of jobs has increased (this supports keeping the rate), and non-farm payrolls will be released on Friday - this is also very important. Oil has stalled for now, but it is likely to continue rising (a potential plus for inflation).

BTC Overview. June 5 - June 9

News background
1️⃣Manufacturing PMI and services PMI have decreased (there are some questions regarding the latter figure) - these two factors contribute to the rate decrease. PCE, as we remember, is stable. The number of jobs has increased (this supports keeping the rate), and non-farm payrolls will be released on Friday - this is also very important. Oil has stalled for now, but it is likely to continue rising (a potential plus for inflation).
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PEPE What is fundamentally behind the coin? There are currently no fundamental stories for PEPE. What about the technicals? 🔹On April 25, we broke the EMA64 on the daily chart and slightly earlier broke the ascending channel. 🔹At the moment, the ascending 5-wave structure has ended even with a bit of a margin, and a downward movement is underway. From the current levels, we may go even lower, most likely to two levels: 0.00001050 and 0.00000915. At the last level, the fifth potential wave ends + the original ascending channel (dark green line). 🔹If the upward movement of BTC continues in the near future, then the price levels we will be interested in from above are: 0.00001756, 0.00001638, 0.00001471. Current news background in the market: ➖The Fed is likely to keep the rate, and it is unlikely that we will see any significant news that could change this decision. ➖➕Regarding tariffs in the USA, nothing is clear at all. Making any long-term forecasts without being Mr. Trump is completely unrealistic. Before making any conclusions about buying/selling, I would wait for the second touch of the EMA64 at the bottom (the green average on the chart) and see how BTC behaves by that moment. With the rise of the latter, PEPE will become interesting for a long position.
PEPE

What is fundamentally behind the coin? There are currently no fundamental stories for PEPE.

What about the technicals?
🔹On April 25, we broke the EMA64 on the daily chart and slightly earlier broke the ascending channel.
🔹At the moment, the ascending 5-wave structure has ended even with a bit of a margin, and a downward movement is underway. From the current levels, we may go even lower, most likely to two levels: 0.00001050 and 0.00000915. At the last level, the fifth potential wave ends + the original ascending channel (dark green line).
🔹If the upward movement of BTC continues in the near future, then the price levels we will be interested in from above are: 0.00001756, 0.00001638, 0.00001471.

Current news background in the market:

➖The Fed is likely to keep the rate, and it is unlikely that we will see any significant news that could change this decision.
➖➕Regarding tariffs in the USA, nothing is clear at all. Making any long-term forecasts without being Mr. Trump is completely unrealistic.

Before making any conclusions about buying/selling, I would wait for the second touch of the EMA64 at the bottom (the green average on the chart) and see how BTC behaves by that moment. With the rise of the latter, PEPE will become interesting for a long position.
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BTC Forecast 02.06 - 06.06News background 1️⃣Today is the manufacturing PMI. PCE remains unchanged. The last indicator is more for maintaining the rate. Oil is rising (indirectly affecting inflation). Later this week: PMI in services, data on job openings and non-farm payrolls, and this evening - Powell's speech. There can be many changes. For now, I would say the macro leans towards maintaining the rate. Bad for crypto.

BTC Forecast 02.06 - 06.06

News background
1️⃣Today is the manufacturing PMI. PCE remains unchanged. The last indicator is more for maintaining the rate. Oil is rising (indirectly affecting inflation). Later this week: PMI in services, data on job openings and non-farm payrolls, and this evening - Powell's speech. There can be many changes. For now, I would say the macro leans towards maintaining the rate. Bad for crypto.
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Overview of BTC. News Background ✔️ Industrial and consumer inflation in the USA is decreasing according to the latest data. PMI has risen. The FOMC report said nothing new. We are expecting PCE tomorrow. Today is GDP. ✔️ The US Supreme Court has ruled Trump's tariffs illegal. The administration has filed an appeal. It is still not over. Plus, remember that in July, if it is possible to prove that the tariffs are legal, the pause in their introduction for the EU and China will expire. It will be interesting. ✔️ Conflicts. Still sluggish. ✔️ The rate will likely remain at the current level. This is not very good for crypto. At least nothing in the documents and expectations indicates that it will be lowered, but we are waiting for news. Technical Analysis. 1️⃣ 118,200. Target for a super movement, if everything goes well. The target appeared as the fifth classic wave. 2️⃣ 114,500. A slightly more likely option. It could still be tapped by Bitcoin when it exits the flat. 3️⃣ Flat. The most likely option for today. Moreover, it will gradually be pulled towards correction. Do not pay too much attention to the appearance of line 3 on the chart - it can vary. Only the boundaries are clear: the range of 106 - 112k allows for spikes up and down. The most likely option until Monday, June 2.
Overview of BTC.

News Background
✔️ Industrial and consumer inflation in the USA is decreasing according to the latest data. PMI has risen. The FOMC report said nothing new. We are expecting PCE tomorrow. Today is GDP.
✔️ The US Supreme Court has ruled Trump's tariffs illegal. The administration has filed an appeal. It is still not over. Plus, remember that in July, if it is possible to prove that the tariffs are legal, the pause in their introduction for the EU and China will expire. It will be interesting.
✔️ Conflicts. Still sluggish.
✔️ The rate will likely remain at the current level. This is not very good for crypto. At least nothing in the documents and expectations indicates that it will be lowered, but we are waiting for news.

Technical Analysis.
1️⃣ 118,200. Target for a super movement, if everything goes well. The target appeared as the fifth classic wave.
2️⃣ 114,500. A slightly more likely option. It could still be tapped by Bitcoin when it exits the flat.
3️⃣ Flat. The most likely option for today. Moreover, it will gradually be pulled towards correction. Do not pay too much attention to the appearance of line 3 on the chart - it can vary. Only the boundaries are clear: the range of 106 - 112k allows for spikes up and down. The most likely option until Monday, June 2.
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Bearish
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Bitcoin took off on Friday. In my opinion, it was premature, so I urge you to be very careful with it. 65,000, which Bitcoin has already made, could become a reversal level. At the same time, Bitcoin has the potential to fly as far as 71,800 on h4. However, I am not sure that it is going there yet. For this, something very good in terms of events and clear in terms of solutions would be needed. We have neither one nor the other so far. A decline is still possible. In the near future, I expect a rollback in Bitcoin to 62,000. Let's say, by the end of the week. $BTC #BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Биткоин
Bitcoin took off on Friday. In my opinion, it was premature, so I urge you to be very careful with it. 65,000, which Bitcoin has already made, could become a reversal level. At the same time, Bitcoin has the potential to fly as far as 71,800 on h4. However, I am not sure that it is going there yet. For this, something very good in terms of events and clear in terms of solutions would be needed. We have neither one nor the other so far. A decline is still possible. In the near future, I expect a rollback in Bitcoin to 62,000. Let's say, by the end of the week.

$BTC #BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Биткоин
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Bullish
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Ethereum, unlike Bitcoin, which flew up almost immediately after Powell's speech on Friday, is behaving quite calmly. The most likely levels for ETH in the near future are 2870 and 3050. With a super mega movement, it also makes sense to look at 3300. I still think that a decline is possible - Powell did not say anything specific about the decline, the market just assessed his speech that way. Or maybe everyone is just tired of waiting. So far, the upward movement, in my opinion, is a rather dangerous movement. Therefore, I would not place too relaxed transactions, it is better to be safe: use younger TFs and quick transfers to the BU. In total, for Ethereum 2870 - 3050 for the next few days, if the mood continues - 3300 by next Monday. $ETH #ETH #ETHUSDT #Ethereum #Этериум
Ethereum, unlike Bitcoin, which flew up almost immediately after Powell's speech on Friday, is behaving quite calmly. The most likely levels for ETH in the near future are 2870 and 3050. With a super mega movement, it also makes sense to look at 3300. I still think that a decline is possible - Powell did not say anything specific about the decline, the market just assessed his speech that way. Or maybe everyone is just tired of waiting. So far, the upward movement, in my opinion, is a rather dangerous movement. Therefore, I would not place too relaxed transactions, it is better to be safe: use younger TFs and quick transfers to the BU. In total, for Ethereum 2870 - 3050 for the next few days, if the mood continues - 3300 by next Monday.

$ETH #ETH #ETHUSDT #Ethereum #Этериум
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Bearish
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I expect the price of TON to continue to decline. The level was indicated in previous forecasts - $4.3. At the same time, any incident with Pavel Durov will greatly influence the future fate of the rate. It is clear that TON is formally a completely different organization, but in the minds of the mass user, Pavel and the blockchain, to which he has no official relation, are inseparable. It is unlikely that the story with the arrest will end quickly, France is still very bureaucratic, so this factor will be with us for a long time. And of course, Telegram's IPO is now somewhat relegated to the background. We will see what happens. Total: for now I am waiting for $4.3. $TON #TON #TONUSDT #Toncoin #Тонкоин
I expect the price of TON to continue to decline. The level was indicated in previous forecasts - $4.3. At the same time, any incident with Pavel Durov will greatly influence the future fate of the rate. It is clear that TON is formally a completely different organization, but in the minds of the mass user, Pavel and the blockchain, to which he has no official relation, are inseparable. It is unlikely that the story with the arrest will end quickly, France is still very bureaucratic, so this factor will be with us for a long time. And of course, Telegram's IPO is now somewhat relegated to the background. We will see what happens. Total: for now I am waiting for $4.3.

$TON #TON #TONUSDT #Toncoin #Тонкоин
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Bullish
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Solana has gone up beautifully, after a beautiful decline. From the current ones, I expect Solana to reach 170 in the near future. By Monday, with positive movements, we can take 187. Solana's main problem now is the competition for the meme movement with Tron, which recently released an application for pumping tokens, and it was very successful. I don't think that this can somehow dramatically diminish the successes and merits of Solana, but it makes sense to monitor the situation. For now, we are waiting for the levels indicated above. $SOL #Solana #SOLUSDT #SOL #Солана.
Solana has gone up beautifully, after a beautiful decline. From the current ones, I expect Solana to reach 170 in the near future. By Monday, with positive movements, we can take 187. Solana's main problem now is the competition for the meme movement with Tron, which recently released an application for pumping tokens, and it was very successful. I don't think that this can somehow dramatically diminish the successes and merits of Solana, but it makes sense to monitor the situation. For now, we are waiting for the levels indicated above.

$SOL #Solana #SOLUSDT #SOL #Солана.
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Bearish
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With Toncoin, as usual, everything is different. Taking into account the calculations for h1, the coin still has the potential to walk up to 7.5 after a rollback to 6.5. At the same time, the calculation for h4 leaves a very serious potential for a decline. Again, the level of expectations has not changed - this is $ 4.3. Taking all this into account, I continue to consider a decrease in the price of the coin as the most likely option. It should be taken into account that the longer we mark time in benchmarks, the more likely Toncoin will reach its level by h1. In the event of a sharp decline in the market, I expect the coin to repeat this decline. So, what do we have as a result. Somewhere until Thursday-Friday, by Powell's speech, the most likely option for Ton: a wide flat of 6.5 - 7.5 with the potential for growth to 7.5. After Friday - a downward movement to the level of 4.3. If nothing abrupt happens. $TON #TON #TONUSDT #Toncoin #Тонкоин
With Toncoin, as usual, everything is different. Taking into account the calculations for h1, the coin still has the potential to walk up to 7.5 after a rollback to 6.5. At the same time, the calculation for h4 leaves a very serious potential for a decline. Again, the level of expectations has not changed - this is $ 4.3. Taking all this into account, I continue to consider a decrease in the price of the coin as the most likely option. It should be taken into account that the longer we mark time in benchmarks, the more likely Toncoin will reach its level by h1. In the event of a sharp decline in the market, I expect the coin to repeat this decline.

So, what do we have as a result. Somewhere until Thursday-Friday, by Powell's speech, the most likely option for Ton: a wide flat of 6.5 - 7.5 with the potential for growth to 7.5. After Friday - a downward movement to the level of 4.3. If nothing abrupt happens.

$TON #TON #TONUSDT #Toncoin #Тонкоин
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Bearish
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For Solana, the most likely option now remains the level of 91 dollars. Nothing new has happened here in a week either. There is no outstanding news on the blockchain yet either, so the price of SOL will follow the market movements for now, in my expectations. $SOL #SOL #SOLUSDT #Solana #Солана.
For Solana, the most likely option now remains the level of 91 dollars. Nothing new has happened here in a week either. There is no outstanding news on the blockchain yet either, so the price of SOL will follow the market movements for now, in my expectations.

$SOL #SOL #SOLUSDT #Solana #Солана.
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Bearish
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I still expect the coin to be at 1920, nothing new there. The calculations show that this is the most likely price level for the coin, from which growth can begin. What can prevent us from reaching this level this week? Of course, a sudden growth. For such a sudden growth, we would do well to have a very pleasant reason. The most likely is the congress in Jackson Hall, where Jerome Powell will speak on Friday. This is the most likely turning point. I do not expect sharp reactions from Powell, because for now we are most likely falling into 1920. $ETH #ETH #ETHUSDT #Ethereum #Этериум
I still expect the coin to be at 1920, nothing new there. The calculations show that this is the most likely price level for the coin, from which growth can begin. What can prevent us from reaching this level this week? Of course, a sudden growth. For such a sudden growth, we would do well to have a very pleasant reason. The most likely is the congress in Jackson Hall, where Jerome Powell will speak on Friday. This is the most likely turning point. I do not expect sharp reactions from Powell, because for now we are most likely falling into 1920.

$ETH #ETH #ETHUSDT #Ethereum #Этериум
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Bearish
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I also expect Bitcoin to be below, as in the previous forecast. 48200 is the price level where we will be moving for now. If there are no sharp changes in the news (the main one could be on Friday the 23rd. For example, the Fed will decide to lower the rate), then this level will remain. There is probably nothing to add here. $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT
I also expect Bitcoin to be below, as in the previous forecast. 48200 is the price level where we will be moving for now. If there are no sharp changes in the news (the main one could be on Friday the 23rd. For example, the Fed will decide to lower the rate), then this level will remain. There is probably nothing to add here.

$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT
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Bearish
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Solana is actively testing level 144. We need it for a downward movement. The deal on this coin is currently the only positive deal from the previous forecast, so the most conservative ones can take profit. Slightly more risky colleagues should move the stop to breakeven. There is no good news purely for SOL, so we are going with the market for now, and I am waiting for the market below, so the target level remains at $91. It is better not to open a sell deal from the current ones. $SOL #SOL #SOLUSDT #Solana #Солана
Solana is actively testing level 144. We need it for a downward movement. The deal on this coin is currently the only positive deal from the previous forecast, so the most conservative ones can take profit. Slightly more risky colleagues should move the stop to breakeven. There is no good news purely for SOL, so we are going with the market for now, and I am waiting for the market below, so the target level remains at $91. It is better not to open a sell deal from the current ones.

$SOL #SOL #SOLUSDT #Solana #Солана
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Bearish
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Toncoin differs from all the coins in Monday's forecast in that it has already run out of potential for an upward move on h4 (the 10th) and has almost played out its potential with a downward move on h1. There is no good news on TON, and despite its ability to grow against the market, if everything is falling furiously down, TON is falling too. And I assume another big decline. That is, the target level remains 4.3. If you used the previous forecast, then somewhere around 6.8 is our current stop level. Entering downwards from the current ones is probably only shown to short-termists. $TON #TON #TONUSDT #Toncoin #Тонкоин
Toncoin differs from all the coins in Monday's forecast in that it has already run out of potential for an upward move on h4 (the 10th) and has almost played out its potential with a downward move on h1. There is no good news on TON, and despite its ability to grow against the market, if everything is falling furiously down, TON is falling too. And I assume another big decline. That is, the target level remains 4.3. If you used the previous forecast, then somewhere around 6.8 is our current stop level. Entering downwards from the current ones is probably only shown to short-termists.

$TON #TON #TONUSDT #Toncoin #Тонкоин
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Bearish
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Bitcoin is in about the same situation as ETH. On h1 we need to break down the level of 57160 - approximately the entry point according to the previous forecast. There is still potential to go up (calculations on h1 show as much as 65400), so if you have open trades from the previous forecast, tighten the stop as much as possible, the natural level is somewhere around 61500. In general, for Bitcoin, I have already been expecting the 48200 mentioned twice in the last week. Also, as for ETH, something can slow down or speed up this week due to news on the American (and a little on the Chinese) economy. There is not much positivity yet. I am waiting for the coin below. $BTC #BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Биткоин
Bitcoin is in about the same situation as ETH. On h1 we need to break down the level of 57160 - approximately the entry point according to the previous forecast. There is still potential to go up (calculations on h1 show as much as 65400), so if you have open trades from the previous forecast, tighten the stop as much as possible, the natural level is somewhere around 61500. In general, for Bitcoin, I have already been expecting the 48200 mentioned twice in the last week. Also, as for ETH, something can slow down or speed up this week due to news on the American (and a little on the Chinese) economy. There is not much positivity yet. I am waiting for the coin below.

$BTC #BTC #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Биткоин
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