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Today's Market Analysis: After yesterday's pullback, Bitcoin has returned to around 106,500, showing a subtle desire to break through. The higher timeframe maintains an upward channel trend, leaning bullish today, but a corresponding trading volume is needed to break the resistance; if it successfully stays above 106,600 USD, the target will point to 108,000 and the psychological level of 110,000 USD. There is an accumulation of over 30,000 sell orders above 106,600, and should the breakthrough fail, attention should be paid to the areas around 105,000, 103,000, and 100,700. The integer position of 100,000 is a psychological barrier for many, and a failure to hold above it may trigger a second wave of panic selling.

Trading Suggestion: If the price stabilizes above 106,600 and is accompanied by increased trading volume, consider entering with a light position of 30%.
The target looks towards the positions of 108,000 and 110,000, and after a breakthrough, it aims for 115,000
#BTC

#BTC走势分析 After yesterday's decline, it has returned above 105,000. The 24-hour trading volume is approximately $65.5 billion, still showing a high-level fluctuation trend.
2. Yesterday, it was mentioned that 102,000 is the bottom of the range fluctuation, and from a strategic perspective, there is an expectation to go long.
3. Recently, institutional funds have continued to flow in (such as the U.S. increasing its Bitcoin reserve policy), but the short-term long-short battle has intensified. It is noteworthy that the accumulation of long positions near 102,000 is increasing, which requires vigilance.

Technical Analysis
Currently, the MACD daily level shows a top divergence signal, and caution is needed for pullback risks; a golden cross has formed at the 4-hour level, indicating a possible short-term rebound.
The Bollinger Bands 4-hour chart shows the price fluctuating near the middle band, and breaking through the upper band at 105,750 will open up upward space.
Recently, institutional holdings have increased by 7,500 BTC (worth approximately $750 million), indicating a long-term bullish expectation.
Net outflow from exchanges: BTC continues to flow out of exchanges, indicating that investors prefer to hold long-term, reducing selling pressure.

Today's market is likely to be dominated by fluctuations, with a key focus on the $105,000 long-short watershed.

Operational Suggestions: Try short positions near 108,000, with the first target looking towards near 105,000.
Stop-loss for long positions at 105,000.

Former U.S. President Trump again publicly criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, stating that 'almost everyone's consensus is that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates as soon as possible,' and mockingly referred to Powell as 'Mr. Too Late,' accusing him of slow action that could 'mess up' the economy again. Previously, Trump has repeatedly pressured the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, believing that low rates can stimulate economic growth and boost the stock market, but the Federal Reserve has maintained rates due to inflation risks and uncertainties, leading to escalating tensions between the two.
Trump believes that lowering interest rates can inject 'jet fuel' into the economy, stimulating the stock market by reducing borrowing costs and easing the economic pressures from his tariff policies. He has repeatedly cited the easing policies of European and Chinese central banks as examples, urging the Federal Reserve to follow suit. However, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged in the range of 4.25%-4.50% three times since January 2025, emphasizing the need to observe inflation and employment data before adjusting policy.
Powell clearly stated that the Federal Reserve's decisions are not influenced by political pressure and must balance inflation risks with employment goals. He pointed out that Trump's tariff policy could raise short-term inflation and suppress growth, but the specific impact remains uncertain, thus a wait-and-see approach is necessary. Professor Diao Daming from Renmin University of China analyzed that the Federal Reserve's independence means it will only cooperate with the White House when economic policies are reasonable, while Trump's current policies lack domestic support, exacerbating the divisions between the two.
In the short term, market focus remains on Federal Reserve policy expectations and regulatory dynamics, while risks of technical corrections and geopolitical events may further amplify volatility. #美联储何时降息？

Is #SUI🔥 SUI worth buying, and what is its future value:
As a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain, Sui demonstrates competitiveness in DeFi, gaming, and real-time applications with advantages such as parallel transaction processing, the Move language, and low latency. The ecosystem's TVL has exceeded $2 billion and has received support from institutions like VanEck. Its price showed divergence in 2025: it soared to $5.34 in January, with a market cap surpassing $15 billion, but in April, due to technical failures and internal sell-off risks, some analysts warned of a potential correction of 100%-150%.

I am optimistically predicting the future value of SUI; if the ecosystem continues to expand (such as GameFi collaborations and storage project implementations), it may reach $10-16 by the end of 2025, and in the long term (by 2030), it could surpass $27. Based on market volatility and technical risks, the expected price range for 2025 is $2.05-7.80. Caution should be exercised regarding token unlocks (e.g., 2.13% of the supply unlocked in February 2025) and competitive pressures (e.g., Aptos) that could cause fluctuations.

Sui has a solid technological foundation and an active ecosystem, but high volatility and systemic risks coexist. It is important to focus on technological upgrades, institutional dynamics (such as ETF progress), and market sentiment while carefully weighing risks and rewards.
The above analysis does not constitute any investment advice.

The price of BTC today briefly dropped over 1%, currently fluctuating around 83,000, a significant pullback from the previous day's high of 104,000. The liquidation amount in the last 24 hours exceeded 150 million USD.
ETH fell nearly 5%, breaking below the 2,500 USD support level, with short-term technical indicators suggesting a possible further drop near 2,300 USD. SOL, XRP, and Dogecoin dropped by 3%, 4%, and 6%, respectively, as market sentiment turned to panic.

Expansion of liquidation scale: Over 70,000 people liquidated in the cryptocurrency market within 24 hours, primarily concentrated in leveraged long positions, with the extreme volatility of ETH and Dogecoin being the main causes.

Recent frequent kidnapping cases targeting cryptocurrency billionaires in France (such as the kidnapping of the Ledger founder) have raised market concerns about industry security, exacerbating short-term selling sentiment.

Positive policy: The U.S. White House expands Bitcoin strategic reserves (allocating 5 billion USD to increase BTC holdings), helping BTC previously break through 100,000 USD, but today it has pulled back due to profit-taking.
Uncertainty in Trump's policies: Although Trump has recently signaled tariff agreements and crypto-friendly policies, the expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve remain unclear, and the market is concerned about the continuation of tight policies under high inflation.

Cryptocurrency Market Highlights: Bitcoin is on the verge of a breakthrough, #ETH bets heavily on the trillion-dollar track!

🔥 #BTC Life-and-Death Game: $103,000 turbulence with diminished volume, $105,000 as the ultimate barrier! A breakthrough will trigger a new round of explosive growth, while a failure will lead to a drop to $101,500. The technical Bollinger Bands 'tightening curse' is already in play, MACD shows ambiguous crossovers, and RSI is approaching the overbought red line, with a fierce battle between bulls and bears about to erupt!

💎 Ethereum's Ambition Explodes: Launching the 'Trillion-Dollar Security Plan', targeting global institutional asset custody! From smart contracts to wallet full-chain upgrades, ecological value is about to be reshaped. Can it hold up the second-largest cryptocurrency market cap?

🚀 Policy + Capital Nuclear-Level Good News
✅ Ukraine partners with Binance to build a national-level Bitcoin reserve, accelerating compliance in Eastern Europe!
✅ Three presidential candidates in South Korea strongly support Bitcoin ETFs, retail market is about to break through!
✅ Coinbase to debut on the S&P 500 tomorrow, traditional finance waves the white flag to crypto!

💥 New Trend Soars: DeFi tokens surge over 100%, RWA (Real-World Asset Tokenization) lands in Hong Kong, JD.com and Ant Group jump into action!
NFT pioneer CryptoPunks changes hands, where will the next hot item be?

⚠ Risk Warning: High interest rates from the Federal Reserve stir the pot, light weekend trading hides potential shocks! Keep a close watch on key Bitcoin levels, seize the 2025 crypto golden window!

On May 2025, the Ethereum Foundation announced the launch of the "Trillion Dollar Security" (1TS) program, aimed at enhancing network security to a level that can support global-scale financial applications, with the goal of providing security for billions of users and assets at the trillion-dollar level. The core of this program is to build an underlying framework capable of withstanding large-scale attacks through systematic improvements across various aspects of the Ethereum ecosystem, including smart contracts, infrastructure, consensus protocols, and user experience.

A comprehensive scan of potential vulnerabilities in the Ethereum tech stack, covering wallet security, node connectivity, and other aspects, to identify systemic risks.

High-priority fixes for critical issues (such as blind signatures and consensus layer threats) while promoting long-term infrastructure optimizations, such as improving the staking mechanism (e.g., EIP-7251 will raise the validator staking cap from 32 ETH to 2048 ETH) and block building processes (e.g., EIP-6110).

Enhancing ecosystem transparency and trust through regular progress reports and open community participation, attracting developers, institutions, and governments to collaborate.

This program is a response to multiple security incidents in Ethereum's history (such as The DAO attack and Parity wallet vulnerabilities), aiming to address legacy risks in areas like DeFi and cross-chain bridges, and to pave the way for institutional-level applications. The leadership team is headed by Fredrik Svantes, the Ethereum Foundation's Protocol Security Lead, and core member Josh Stark, in collaboration with top security experts from institutions like Paradigm and Sigma Prime, highlighting its technical authority. Moreover, with the advancement of the Pectra upgrade (such as the account abstraction feature EIP-3074), Ethereum further strengthens the network's scalability and security, laying the foundation for its goal of becoming the "global financial infrastructure."

This program is not only a milestone in the evolution of Ethereum technology but also marks its strategic determination to transition from an "experimental network" to a "civilization-level infrastructure."

BTC: You guys in ETH keep boasting about smart contracts all day, but the gas fees are outrageously high, and the network collapses whenever it gets congested. DeFi users are terrified of being exploited!

ETH: At least it's better than your Bitcoin's turtle-speed transactions! The 1.0 system is still using the Stone Age PoW, with a throughput of 7 transactions per second, which doesn't even compare to Visa's spare change.

BTC: At least we're safe and stable, unlike your 2.0 which, after switching to PoS, is becoming more and more centralized, with whale nodes controlling the narrative, and still claiming to be decentralized?

ETH: We can at least support ecological innovation; what can you do besides the gimmick of "digital gold"? The Lightning Network has been pushed for five years and still hasn't been popularized!

BTC: The energy consumed by miners is the price of guarding value; your contract vulnerabilities have been hacked hundreds of times, and the TheDAO incident had to force a hard fork. What about principles?

Morning analysis of BTC on May 16, 2025: #BTC has fluctuated at a high level, coming close to 101000 twice. The MACD shows a bearish crossover at a high level, and the RSI has retreated from the overbought zone, indicating a weakening of short-term momentum. However, the overall trend remains bullish. Today's greed index is 70, so caution is needed regarding the risk of a short-term pullback.
Today, pay attention to the 10000 round number below, as well as the 99000 level.
Above, watch for 105000 and 107000; a breakthrough still has the potential to reach new highs.

Powell + Terrifying Data, Beware of a Critical Hit
On Thursday, gold prices fell for the second consecutive day, dropping below $3,150 to a more than one-month low during the Asian session. The easing trade tensions have reduced market expectations for aggressive easing policies from the Federal Reserve, with traders lowering their expectations for interest rate cuts this year to just over 50 basis points, pushing the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to a one-month high. After the U.S. releases retail sales and PPI data at 20:30, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at 20:40, with the meeting focusing on assessing the monetary policy framework, which may involve improvements to the symmetry of the inflation target and the economic forecast summary. Trump previously criticized Powell for calling for interest rate cuts. The technical outlook shows that gold has broken through a key support level and may test $3,135, with resistance at $3,168-$3,170; if the dollar cannot recover to 101.30, it may fall to 99.40. Powell's speech may maintain the policy stance, reinforcing a hawkish attitude that could further pressure gold.

May 15 Market Analysis: #BTC走势分析 btc entered a consolidation phase after breaking a new high and reaching 105863, with the latest quote around 103,614 USD. From a technical perspective, a short-term pullback is expected. Although BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has seen a net inflow for 20 consecutive days, the recent daily inflow has decreased, and the market has entered a game phase.
RSI has fallen from the overbought zone (88.7) to 56, easing short-term overheating risks.
MACD shows a high-level death cross, and momentum is weakening, so we need to observe whether it will cross below the zero line.
The Fear and Greed Index remains at 70, indicating greed, so caution is needed for pullback risks in the short term.
Summary: Bitcoin is facing adjustment pressure in the short term, but the overall direction remains unchanged.
Support levels: 102500 101600
Resistance levels: 104500 10586.3

$ETH says ETH👎🏻 is like a dog, but actually, no matter which direction you go, you can earn money. Just create a good atmosphere to pump the price, benefiting both long and short positions.

Why can many people manage their positions well when they have a small position, but when the position gets larger, they easily incur losses? Investing is a discipline. In my view, trading is like a formula problem; there is a sequence from 1 to 10. If you make a mistake with one number in between, you lose everything. Everyone understands the principle that one misstep leads to more errors. Once position management encounters problems, the next thing to be affected is the mindset. When the mindset goes wrong, most people will make serious mistakes, getting stuck in trades, frequently averaging down, which ultimately leads to larger positions. When it's really time to average down, they are at a loss and too scared to act. Those who can manage their positions well are the most suitable for trading.

If you feel uncomfortable, you can choose not to look; the fact proves that we can just eat meat.

It has been提示 to drop these days, and the short positions have already taken several waves.

#ETH Why we choose to short Ethereum here, Ethereum is quite 👎🏻 in this wave. On May 7th, the Ethereum upgrade, the positive impact has been realized for a while, and the positive rate for Ethereum will probably last a long time, it’s a race to see who runs faster. The profit effect of the Ethereum upgrade is weak to the extreme. At 2 AM on Thursday, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is likely to remain unchanged, and the expectation of a rate cut in June has decreased. If there is still a market, it will be speculation on rate cuts, but currently, the possibility seems low. The current trend is stronger than Bitcoin, but when it falls, it could drop dramatically. There are rumors that this upgrade might be cut again; the truth of this has not been confirmed yet, but it's better to be cautious.

I have been firmly bearish these days, taking my brothers to make profits. Last night, I gave a take-profit at the position of 94600 for the big pancake. I woke up to a passive take-profit. The limit order for a long position at 93888 did not get filled. I have a goal in mind and I do not trade blindly.

Share some of my trading insights.

Why have I been able to maintain profitability? My trading strategy is very simple and clear: I make small profits and small losses on a daily basis, waiting for a definitive opportunity to make a big profit. Overall, I am always making money; it’s just a matter of how much. For an average person, a profit of 20,000 a month is enough to live on, while I feel very satisfied with over 100,000 each month. I treat trading like a job and the market like an elder, following the trend and not going against it. I have a very clear understanding of my position; what I want is not great wealth or overnight riches from trading, but stable monthly profits. At the very least, I don’t want to feel powerless in my daily life. A bit more return will come with a bit more risk. How to allocate positions is certainly better with more capital. Many people say they don’t have that much capital; what I want to say is that the core of trading is using small capital to leverage a bigger game. It’s about whether you can understand and grasp the key points of this game. You can start trading with very little capital, even as low as 1,000 USD. In 3 to 5 months, you can accumulate enough. If you don’t know how to trade, even if you are given 100,000 USD, it can be lost overnight. The overall idea is simple, but it tests human greed. Most people cannot control themselves; with larger capital, they lose control, and with smaller capital, they look down on this and that, doomed to achieve nothing. We may not need an iron rice bowl, but we must learn to trade.