Our personal expectation (guess) for Bitcoin to reach a price of $100,000 - $120,000 during this period remains unchanged. However, with Trump's victory leading to a rapid breakout of Bitcoin's price to a new historical high, coupled with some new positive measures Trump may take regarding the crypto market and the ongoing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, we even believe that Bitcoin could potentially reach $150,000 next year (2025).
Even so, when Bitcoin officially broke through $100,000 on December 5th, I still sold 10% of my position according to my original plan because I strictly adhere to my trading discipline.
Many people seem to be full of expectations for the upcoming 2025, looking forward to Bitcoin reaching new highs in 2025, and hoping for a comprehensive altcoin season explosion in 2025... In the previous market topic articles, we talked more about some macro factors that might be beneficial for the market next year. Next, we will continue to discuss the possible macroeconomic risks for next year, after all, opportunities and risks coexist.
The pace of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may slow down.
Regarding the expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts next year, we have already discussed this in previous articles. In the interest rate meeting that concluded last week (December 19, Beijing time), the Federal Reserve announced a reduction of the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to between 4.25% and 4.50%, and it is expected that the rate cut in 2025 may narrow to 50 basis points.
This news has directly led to a rapid decline in the market (including U.S. stock markets and the cryptocurrency market). Given the current situation, more and more people have regarded the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations as one of the important measuring factors for market trends, and the Fed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts is certainly not good news for the market.
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Share the road that the currency circle has traveled
1. Charts, K-lines and transactions. Learning is better than not learning, it is just a supplement. It is tasteless to eat and a pity to throw away. If you still blindly pursue various technical indicators, it can only be said that you are in the wrong direction. 2. Spot, fundamentals, capital, team, horizontal and vertical ratios, etc. I can't make any money and I'm confused. It's obviously a good project but it's not rising. It's obvious that the horizontal valuation is not higher than the vertical ratio, but it keeps falling. Why? The understanding must still be insufficient. 3. Emotions, NFT, MEME, market forces, lies and truth. If you can grasp the rise of emotions, you can make money. But if you don’t know where your emotions are going, it’s easy to lose money. SB’s consensus is also a consensus! 4. Vision: What do VCs, project parties, institutions, and market makers think and do? Think about the problem from the perspective of the top of the industry, collect information that retail investors cannot see, make a comprehensive judgment, and come to the conclusion: If you don’t know why a currency rises, there must be information you don’t know. It is very important to eat meat with the dealer and drink soup with the dealer. It is important to understand and analyze their movements! 5. Qualitative change: poor information, poor cognition, poor price Poor information: Are you diligent enough? The currency circle is updated every day. It’s like sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat. Poor cognition: fundamentals, emotions, dealers, how to think from a systematic perspective. Price difference: Have a correct valuation system and good valuation capabilities. 6. System: price investment logic and currency circle actual combat The beauty of application lies in one mind. It is gradually difficult to explain an investment decision simply at this level. It is a comprehensive judgment based on a large amount of data and experience. After carefully reading the information of various people who have made huge wealth for a long time in history, after establishing a preliminary underlying framework, combined with actual combat in the currency circle, we will continue to polish it while making money and losing money, and continue to make progress amidst twists and turns. There are two ways to optimize and speed up these paths: First, don’t waste a lot of time on technical analysis, just learn it briefly. The second is the vision part, which can only be accessed by constantly improving your social circle. There is no special trick for this. Of course, the fastest way is to travel back in time to a few years ago. This is no longer possible. Just pretend that you traveled back in time three years later. Seize the opportunity of the moment.
The 2024 bull market in the cryptocurrency world, how can you maximize your profits with 10,000 yuan of funds?
Using small to make a big difference is what most people in the currency circle want: As a result, this is also a key reason why most people in the market have stayed in the currency circle. Although everyone knows that this result is not that simple, but there are always: how many There will be one or two people who will really make it happen. So deep in human nature: refuse to admit defeat, start to take the lead, and try every means to find out how to make money from others. This is also the initial model of speculating on currency by listening to news. Of course, it’s not that I don’t like good news, but the news in the currency circle is too More, the key is: many people have made money after listening to the news, but they can only achieve it if they happen to be in the environment, rhythm and trend at that time.
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The trend of the cryptocurrency circle in 2024 is unstoppable. Go with the flow and seize the hot tracks!
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Hello everyone, I am a conscientious brother. I am sitting in front of the computer. It is time to talk about the topic of "Conscience Brother" every day. I am still familiar to you. I still work non-stop every day and code words for you all. Popularizing industry hot news and gossip, Conscience Brother has been committed to providing Internet self-media, inspiring to create the first industry information cutting-edge self-media output content, and revealing the dark insider routines of various capital markets and currency circle blockchains. The recent growth of the Ethereum series has been pretty good. As the leader of the entire series, ETH's weekly breakthrough has been at the bottom for nearly a year and a half. Since there was no huge amount when it broke through, it subsequently fluctuated for four weeks to accumulate strength.
There is a high probability that 2024 will be a bull market 1. 2024 is the U.S. dollar interest rate cut cycle, and the market will be filled with a large amount of U.S. dollars by then 2. 2024 is the year of Bitcoin production reduction, and the production reduction market cannot be ignored. 3. From the second half of 2022 to the beginning of 2023, bookmakers purchased a large amount of bits. They need to raise the price by the above three points for shipments. Each of them can make bits rise sharply. If the three are added together, it would be strange if they do not rise. Never go against the trend in the currency circle, otherwise you will regret it.