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Now it is more and more like the eve of the big crash in 2021

A landmark event is coming

(24 years of presidential inauguration/21 years of coinbase ipo)

Specific altcoins are in chaos, Trump meme coins are on fire, and the market fomo sentiment is all up. The heat is too high, but we have to pay attention to easy defense. Yesterday's square article also explained that we should sell at highs and control positions. The expected landing will usher in a wave of declines.
(Trump coin in 2025, etc./Dogcoin in 2021)

Market sentiment is very excited
Continuous out-of-circle events have attracted a lot of attention and funds

At this time, you must pay attention to risk control

The key is not how much money you have made in floating profit
The key is how much money you have stopped profit

It is definitely right to take the money for safekeeping
After the madness, there must be a mess, every time

Bitcoin is money
Meme coin is not

#特朗普上任前风向分析 #TRUMP市值突破 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Last night, the market sentiment of FOMO was unbearable to watch. The funding rate for Bitcoin was 0.1, and the annualized borrowing rate on Binance peaked at 80%, while OKX reached 43%. The peak madness of a bull market is nothing more than this.

If we follow past bull markets, this kind of FOMO sentiment would start with Bitcoin down 20%. But the fundamentals of Bitcoin have changed now, and I have mentioned what those fundamentals are. This leads to continuous capital grabbing Bitcoin, making it very difficult for Bitcoin to drop significantly. As for whether it can really drop a lot, short-term predictions are impossible, and predicting the short-term is meaningless due to high randomness.

In the short term, if the increase is too much, it can drop, or it can digest profit-taking in the form of sideways movement.

This sudden drop in Bitcoin saw altcoins not dropping much relative to their increase. Why? This is a characteristic of the latter half of a bull market, the rotation of capital. Many people will sell Bitcoin, but the capital will not leave the market; it will instead buy mainstream coins and altcoins.

Ethereum performed strongly during this sudden drop in Bitcoin, combined with the positive news of Trump taking office and the Prague upgrade in March. I believe the ETH/BTC weekly chart will continue to rise.

I do not hold much hope for the overall market in December; I am focused on the increases in January and February.

The period of January and February 2025 is comparable to the months of past bull markets in 2017 and 2021. In both of these bull markets, there were significant increases during these two months.
Subsequent positive news not materializing does not mean pessimism; I will continue to hold my positions and remain bullish. #BTC☀

Trump's official statement sounds really nice!

If we deliver, we deliver; if we sell coins, we sell coins. This can all be said to aim at enhancing liquidity, allowing both parties to benefit from Trump ​​​

#BTC重返10万 #山寨季何时到来？ $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

This week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision keeps the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%. Powell stated: The current uncertainty requires the Federal Reserve to continue to wait, the economy is in a robust state, and the uncertainty is very high. As events unfold, the Federal Reserve can take action at its discretion and swiftly.

Trump has publicly criticized the Federal Reserve more than 12 times this year, calling for an immediate rate cut. Trump stated: Conversations with Federal Reserve Chairman Powell are like "playing the lute to a cow"; he simply doesn't understand and is always too late.

#BTC重返10万 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC

$ETH
$BNB

With ETH rising so much, don't worry about the lack of good news, there will definitely be good news.

But the market always moves ahead of the news, and the market makers will definitely give retail investors a reason to buy at high prices. By the time the good news is announced, it is very likely that the rally is already nearing its end. Even if the trend doesn't end, there will be a correction to punish those who chased the highs.

This surge is so intense, I guess it's related to ETH ETF staking, as only this level of good news can change ETH's fundamentals.

#BTC重返10万 #山寨季何时到来？

A single arrow pierces the clouds, thousands of troops come to support
ETH surged by 20%?
Is it starting to rise rapidly?
It seems to have broken through?
E Guardian, gathered...

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

On May 8th at 2 AM, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision.

Market Reaction: Since the market has fully anticipated that interest rates will remain unchanged, the decision itself may not trigger significant volatility. The cryptocurrency market (such as Bitcoin) has seen low trading volumes and low volatility recently, with funds tending towards a defensive stance. If the decision meets expectations, the cryptocurrency market may continue to consolidate or experience slight fluctuations in the short term.

Powell's Speech is Key: The press conference of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (scheduled for May 8th at 2:30 AM Beijing time) will be crucial. If Powell signals a “dovish” stance (such as hinting at a rate cut in June or July), it may boost risk asset sentiment and drive Bitcoin and major cryptocurrencies higher; if he maintains a “hawkish” stance (emphasizing inflation pressures or delaying rate cuts), it may exacerbate market caution, putting pressure on cryptocurrency assets, which may decline.

#Strategy增持比特币 $BTC
$ETH
$SOL

The Ethereum mainnet has completed the Pectra upgrade, with developers activating the Pectra upgrade, which includes 11 changes to improve user experience, validator operations, and Layer 2 scaling:

At 2:00 AM, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is expected, and the market predicts that a rate cut is unlikely; any rate cut may be delayed until June. #Pectra升级

Bitcoin is rising violently and heading towards $100,000. Do you think Bitcoin can break through $100,000 this week?

The U.S. stock market has crashed again! The Dow fell over 2%, and the Nasdaq plummeted 3%. In contrast, tonight the Chinese concept stocks and A50 barely fell, and the offshore RMB even passively appreciated. Our A-shares were just one step away from achieving ten consecutive days of gains. Which other market in the world is this stable?

On Monday, the Nasdaq index fell by 3.5% during the day, the S&P 500 index fell by 3.3%, and the Dow Jones index fell by 3.2%; the U.S. dollar index has consecutively dropped below 100, 99, and 98 points; gold prices surged 3% to $3430 per ounce. Bitcoin briefly aligned with gold's safe-haven narrative on Monday.

Trump continues to criticize Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, saying: "Too late, Mr. Powell"; a major loser, lower interest rates now; Powell is always late; if Powell knew what he was doing, interest rates would have been lowered long ago.

$BTC

$ETH
$BNB

The US stock market has collapsed again! The Dow fell more than 2%, the Nasdaq plummeted 3%. In contrast, Chinese concept stocks and the A50 barely dropped tonight, and the offshore yuan even appreciated passively. Our A-shares were on the verge of achieving 10 consecutive gains; which other markets in the world are as stable as this?

On Monday, the Nasdaq index fell by 3.5% during the day, the S&P 500 index dropped by 3.3%, and the Dow Jones index fell by 3.2%; the US dollar index has consecutively fallen below 100, 99, and 98 points; gold prices surged by 3% to $3430 per ounce. Bitcoin briefly aligned with gold's safe-haven narrative on Monday.

Trump continues to criticize Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, saying: "Too late, sir" (Powell); a major loser, now cut interest rates; Powell is always late; if Powell knew what he was doing, interest rates would have been cut long ago.

$BTC

$ETH
$BNB

Bitcoin's market value currently 1.69 trillion
Apple's market value currently 2.96 trillion
Gold's market value currently 22.59 trillion

In the foreseeable future, Bitcoin surpassing the global highest market value stock, Apple, is really a piece of cake～
But to stand shoulder to shoulder with gold and truly realize the phrase "digital gold," is quite challenging...
Even the current market value comparison, occupying half of gold's market value would require over 500,000 dollars+

However, in the long term, Bitcoin reaching 200,000 to 300,000 dollars is highly probable
Time frame, within 10 years, if that doesn't work, then 20 years～
Anyway, I have no confidence in fiat currency, the rampant issuance of money, and chaotic policies will lead to exponential growth of gold and Bitcoin～

So, do you understand?
Buy physical Bitcoin, uninstall the exchanges, and come back to check in ten years～

However, for us small investors, Bitcoin may not make us rich...
Either leverage or gamble on altcoins
Yet, the more people think this way, the more they lose [shrug][shrug][shrug]

This bull market
Has left many traders who entered before the last bull market in 2018-2020 completely disappointed and exiting...

#BNBChainMeme热潮 #币安Alpha上新 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

That year when he was eighteen, on his first day of college, he came across a video on Bilibili:

"With just a mobile phone and a capital of ten thousand, an ordinary person can earn a monthly income of one hundred thousand."

He believed it.

With part-time jobs and loans, he managed to scrape together twenty thousand; three days later, he lost it all.
He was unwilling to accept it, so he borrowed more through online loans, increasing his stakes as he lost more.

Four months later, he owed 130,000.
Every day, his phone was bombarded with collection calls, while his roommate worked out, binge-watched shows, and dated. He hid in the bathroom, calling to request an extension on his repayments.

One time, he stood on the rooftop of the teaching building, the wind was strong.
He didn’t jump; he just stood there for an hour and then went downstairs to attend class.

On the last day of class, the teacher said, "Young man, the most valuable thing is time."
He looked down at his empty WeChat wallet and suddenly smiled.

He said, "I’ve wasted my time too."

If you are going to deal with contracts in this life, starting to play from your student days is much more cost-effective than starting in middle age.

1. Lower learning costs
When young, the brain is sharper, and the speed of learning new things and understanding complex concepts (such as leverage, liquidation mechanisms, funding rates) is faster. Even if you lose money at first, the speed of recovery and iteration is also faster. In middle age, the cost of learning new skills and the psychological pressure are much greater.
2. Stronger risk tolerance
Young people have fewer burdens, such as mortgages, car loans, and family expenses, so even if they encounter a liquidation or loss, it won't have a fatal impact on their quality of life. In contrast, middle-aged people bear more responsibilities, and once they face liquidation, the impact is significant, and the pressure is overwhelming.
3. Time compounding
The earlier you become familiar with the market and refine your trading system, the longer the time you accumulate in the future. Even if the first few years are unprofitable or result in losses, as long as you continue to optimize, the opportunities to make money later are far greater than for those who only start in middle age. In financial trading, time is the most important friend.
4. Better psychological resilience
Experiencing a few boom and bust cycles when young makes it easier to establish the right mindset, such as: accepting losses, controlling position sizes, and adhering to long-termism. Those who start in middle age are more likely to enter with the anxiety of wanting to make a comeback, leading to impulsive decisions.
5. Stronger ability to adapt to market changes
Market styles are constantly changing, and young people who engage early have a strong adaptability to changes; whereas middle-aged newcomers are more likely to have fixed mindsets, and when faced with sudden changes (such as macro policies or changes in the trading environment), their adjustments are slow.

#巨鲸动向 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Making trades with desires will ultimately lead to losses
Want to make money to buy a car
Want to make money to buy a house
Want to recover losses
Want to earn more when making profits
...

As long as you trade with various desires mixed in
The final result is always losing money
Even with excellent skills
Desires will cloud your judgment
Ultimately leading to distorted trading
Profitable trades turn into losses
When it's time to stop loss, you hold onto the position
The result is only a loss in the end

Trading is a process of self-cultivation
It is difficult for people to be without desires
But indulging in desires and amplifying them infinitely
Only forces you onto a dead end
The market will not pity how pitiful you are

Trading is just a job
Doing the job well will naturally yield rewards
Thinking too much may instead cut off your path

The EU agrees to suspend countermeasures for 90 days

Recently, after our strong resistance and the EU taking advantage of the situation, the US had to suspend the imposition of tariffs on other countries. The EU has also announced a suspension, which is quite normal because, after all, they are family. However, the EU's stance is clear; if negotiations do not go well, they will continue to retaliate. It is now certain that the US needs to free up its hands to confront us directly. For such unreasonable hegemonic behavior, our response is only one: we will accompany them to the end.

In 2018, Trump made the Chinese aware of the importance of technology. By 2025, Trump made the world realize the necessity of the coexistence of China and the US. So, at critical times, someone will step up, you can rest assured!

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

The market changes rapidly, and trading is all about the present; you sing whatever song fits the mountain you're on. The global financial market has seen a massive surge, with U.S. stocks also jumping up by 12 points, and indices like NASDAQ have experienced an epic rise. Trump has paused tariffs for 90 days, but made an insane decision to impose a 125% tariff on us.

This wave of calls has allowed the Republican Party to profit in the stock market, first causing the market to drop and then calling for a rise afterward. It’s somewhat like the back-and-forth calls during the approval of the spot ETF for Bitcoin when it was around $60,000 to $70,000, with days saying the spot ETF was approved and other days saying it wasn't, going back and forth for almost seven months.

Short-term traders have their costs around $93,000 to $100,000. ETH has also seen a rebound, bouncing back from nearly $1,400 to around $1,600, a rebound of over 10%. LTC has also experienced a rebound, but on the daily chart, it seems to have no sign of a rebound. If Bitcoin doesn't rebound to its position, the market will find it hard to change significantly.

It has been nearly four months since it dropped from the highest point, and the price has seen a rebound. After Trump announced this round of tariffs yesterday, the global financial market surged, and Bitcoin also experienced a decent rise, increasing from below $70,000 to nearly $83,000. However, the price has not stabilized as it hasn't actually broken through the level of $85,000. We can only say it is a temporary rebound; the MACD below hasn’t formed a golden cross and remains below the zero axis. For it to make an upward test, it will require some determination, and it has been quite a while. We still need to see if it can achieve a breakthrough at the zero axis for a 40% rise. A 40% increase would bring it to around $100,000, which is quite spectacular. But right now, it hasn't broken the $85,000 level, and its support point remains around $67,000. The range of $65,000 to $71,000 is the bottom state for long-term holders. If it drops to this level, long-term holders will continue to buy in, which is one situation.

$BTC

$ETH
$BNB

Most people's risk management on the internet has serious issues. For example, if you have 100,000, and you set a maximum loss of 1% per trade, that would be 1,000. Now, if the intraday fluctuation of a certain asset is $200, then if you only trade that asset, you can only open 5 positions. The reality is that if you have 100,000, opening around 50 positions is actually considered low. If you open 50 positions, the daily intraday fluctuation would be 10,000. If you happen to make just two wrong trades, you could lose 20% of your capital, and once your capital loss exceeds 20%, it becomes very difficult to recover.

Don't compare yourself to someone exceptional; they are a fighter among geniuses. Ordinary people should focus on surviving first. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹 #美国加征关税 #

General Administration of Customs of China: An additional 84% tariff on all imported goods originating from the United States will take effect from April 10, 2025, at 12:01 PM based on the current applicable tariff rates.

#美国加征关税 #巨鲸动向 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB