老田看大饼

More real officials wish to work in the vast: Tian Wenmou looks at the big pie
#币安Alpha上新

周六午后比特币以太坊行情分析及操作建议

回顾午间老田给到回踩接多思路，午后实盘如期给到回踩至老田提到的区间内104700一线附近开始反弹，同样实磐布局午间短线进场做空落袋567点，跟上思路的的朋友们多空来回也吃到不少，目前盘面大饼围绕窄幅区间盘整。以太方面也是如此，下方受2525附近支撑。我们午后继续保持回踩接多思路，激进者短线可轻仓多一次看波反弹，稳健者则继续等待时机。

从当前小时线结构观察，价格虽呈震荡下行态势，但连续出现多根小实体 K线交错排列，表明市场正经历缩量整理。值得注意的是，价格运行于布林带中轨下方并逐渐靠近下轨，这通常意味着市场处于短期弱势整理阶段。市场整体氛围仍偏谨慎，但短期下行动能减弱，技术性反抽需求尚未完全释放。后续需重点关注104700关键支撑位的承接力度，若能企稳则有望向106000阻力区间发起挑战。

操作建议：
大饼104500附近多，目标106300附近
若跌破104500一线再行反手箜也不迟
以太2500-2520附近多，目标2600附近
#美国加征关税

Saturday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Looking back at the afternoon, Lao Tian suggested a buy on a pullback. In the afternoon, the live market confirmed a pullback to the range mentioned by Lao Tian, around the 104700 line, where it began to rebound. Friends who followed this strategy were able to profit from both long and short positions. Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating within a narrow range. Ethereum is also experiencing a similar situation, supported near 2525. We will continue to maintain the buy-on-pullback strategy in the afternoon. Aggressive traders may take a small long position for a short-term rebound, while conservative traders should wait for a better opportunity.

From the current hourly structure, although the price shows a trend of oscillating downwards, there have been several small-bodied candlesticks interleaved, indicating that the market is undergoing a volume contraction consolidation. It is noteworthy that the price is running below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and is gradually approaching the lower band, which usually means the market is in a short-term weak consolidation phase. However, the area near the lower band is often a key area where bearish forces are gradually exhausted, brewing a technical rebound. Current technical indicators have begun to show intentions of a rebound, although momentum signals still need to be confirmed with volume. Overall, the market atmosphere remains cautious, but short-term downward momentum is weakening, and the demand for a technical pullback has not been fully released. Moving forward, it is essential to focus on the strength of support at the 104700 key level; if it can stabilize, there is a possibility of challenging the resistance zone around 106000.

Trading Suggestions:
Long Bitcoin around 104500, target near 106300.
If it breaks below 104500, it’s not too late to reverse position.
Long Ethereum around 2500-2520, target near 2600.
#币安Alpha上新

Saturday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Looking back at the afternoon, Lao Tian provided a pullback to long strategy. In the afternoon, the market indeed pulled back to the range mentioned by Lao Tian, around the 104700 level, and began to rebound. Similarly, during the live trading, we executed a short position in the afternoon for a quick profit of 567 points. Friends who followed the strategy have also made considerable profits from both long and short positions. Currently, the market is consolidating within a narrow range. The same goes for Ethereum, which is supported near 2525 below. We will continue to maintain the pullback to long strategy in the afternoon; aggressive traders can consider taking a small long position for a short-term rebound, while conservative traders should continue to wait for opportunities.

From the current hourly chart structure, although the price is exhibiting a downward trend, multiple small-bodied candlesticks are interspersed, indicating that the market is undergoing a contraction phase. It is noteworthy that the price is running below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands and is gradually approaching the lower line, which usually means that the market is in a short-term weak consolidation phase. However, nearing the lower line often indicates that bearish strength is gradually weakening, and a technical rebound may be brewing. Current technical indicators are beginning to show signs of a rebound intention, although momentum signals still need confirmation from trading volume. Overall, the market atmosphere remains cautious, but short-term downward momentum is weakening, and the demand for a technical rebound has not been fully released. We need to pay close attention to the strength of the support at the key level of 104700; if it stabilizes, we may challenge the resistance area around 106000.

Trading Suggestions:
Go long near 104500 for Bitcoin, targeting around 106300.
If it falls below the 104500 level, it would not be too late to reverse.
Go long near 2500-2520 for Ethereum, targeting around 2600.
#美国加征关税

周六午间比特币以太坊行情分析及操作建议

回顾昨日晚间给到回踩接多思路，老田也提到先看回踩则低进哆，昨日晚间先是如期回踩最低触及 104000一线后企稳，实盘多单顺势进场后，盘面随即迎来反弹，逐步收复跌幅。早间大饼最高触及106173一线后承压，昨日晚间思路多空来回跟上思路的朋友们应已吃肉，目前于105300一带整理蓄势。以太坊同步下探至2508附近获得支撑，未进一步下行，并于早间凭借多头放量完全收复晚间跌幅。当前价格随大饼回落，运行于2550附近。

四小时级别线来看大饼处于低位震荡整固格局，价格在105000附近企稳后，已构筑阶梯式回升结构，整体技术形态健康偏强。MACD 指标出现轻微底背离，快慢线有望于零轴附近拐头向上，显示短线多头动能正在积聚。小周期：价格虽录得4连阴下探，但下方支撑强劲。短期回撤可视为技术性调整，为后续上行蓄力。临近周末，预计市场波动性将有所收窄。鉴于技术面呈现积极修复信号且支撑稳固，我们午间继续维持看多思路，建议以回调低多为主，震荡行情中把握机会。

操作建议：
大饼104500-105000区间哆，看106000。
以太2500-2530区间哆，看2600。
#美国加征关税

Saturday afternoon Bitcoin Ethereum latest thoughts, pullback to buy!
#美国加征关税

周六午间比特币以太坊行情分析及操作建议

回顾昨日晚间给到回踩接多思路，老田也提到先看回踩则低进哆，昨日晚间先是如期回踩最低触及 104000一线后企稳，实盘多单顺势进场后，盘面随即迎来反弹，逐步收复跌幅。早间大饼最高触及106173一线后承压，昨日晚间思路多空来回跟上思路的朋友们应已吃肉，目前于105300一带整理蓄势。以太坊同步下探至2508附近获得支撑，未进一步下行，并于早间凭借多头放量完全收复晚间跌幅。当前价格随大饼回落，运行于2550附近。

四小时级别线来看大饼处于低位震荡整固格局，价格在105000附近企稳后，已构筑阶梯式回升结构，整体技术形态健康偏强。MACD 指标出现轻微底背离，快慢线有望于零轴附近拐头向上，显示短线多头动能正在积聚。小周期：价格虽录得4连阴下探，但下方支撑强劲。短期回撤可视为技术性调整，为后续上行蓄力。临近周末，预计市场波动性将有所收窄。鉴于技术面呈现积极修复信号且支撑稳固，我们午间继续维持看多思路，建议以回调低多为主，震荡行情中把握机会。

操作建议：
大饼104500-105000区间哆，看106000。
以太2500-2530区间哆，看2600。
#美国加征关税

In a money-making market, Lao Tian has already fed the meat into his mouth, whether he can eat it or not is up to the friends. I sincerely hope that friends without direction will stop being cut like leeks. Lao Tian emphasized in the evening to first take a light short position and see if it pulls back before going long. Friends who are following the strategy can trade back and forth with a space of thousands of points. Is Lao Tian right? The market will speak for itself. Long positions can continue to hold and look for the 106000 level. For friends who haven't entered yet, it's advisable to observe around 106500 and consider taking a light short position once.

Friday Evening Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

As the market enters the evening, let's review the bullish perspective provided in the afternoon. Lao Tian mentioned in the afternoon to try a light position to catch the rebound. In practice, we reached a peak in the rebound space around the 105400 line as expected. Friends who followed this idea should have made a good profit. In the afternoon, we exited our long position with a gain of 1065 points. Ethereum also quickly rebounded after touching around the 2500 line in the afternoon, reaching a peak around the 2560 line. The bullish idea was also timely. Lao Tian does not like to say those formal words; he will analyze based on his professional ability and personal views to help friends. However, strategies do have a time sensitivity. If you find yourself stuck, feel free to ask Lao Tian directly, and he can provide you with some ideas promptly.

Bitcoin's 4-hour chart shows a decline followed by a rise, with one bullish candle pulling it up. Currently, from the structure, we are still confirming whether this is a pullback correction in an upward trend or a reversal downwards. Based on the morning's pullback space, combined with a certain recovery strength during the day, the short-term price could not close at a low position. At least for now, the price is not weak, and the continuation of the downward momentum is limited. In the short term, we enter a phase of consolidation, and in the medium term, we will re-choose the direction. The candlestick pattern is leaning towards an upward trend. The 1-hour chart shows a series of bullish candles breaking above the upper boundary of a small downward channel, breaking the weak downward trend. In the evening, we will continue to maintain the idea of buying on dips, and aggressive traders can directly take a light position now.

Evening Trading Suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin in the 103500-104000 range, target 106000.
If we break above 105500, we can follow the trend without delay.
Buy Ethereum in the 2480-2500 range, target 2580.
#加密市场回调

Friday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Reviewing the overall market in the afternoon, Bitcoin rebounded after pulling back to a low of 102,614, with the price warming up to around 104,578 before facing resistance. Currently, the Bitcoin price is running around 104,000. Ethereum also rebounded after a pullback to a low of 2,433 during the day, but after warming up to around 2,520, it got stuck in a sideways trend, with overall volatility being limited.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's price has once again touched the middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands, and there are currently no signs of a valid breakout; upward momentum still appears insufficient. The 4-hour K-line shows a pattern of continuous bearish candlesticks with a slow decline, and the price continues to oscillate within a range without achieving a directional breakout. For the afternoon trading strategy, it is recommended to maintain the approach of buying on dips. Aggressive traders can still try to take small positions for short-term trades to see if the upward momentum continues, while conservative traders should patiently wait for a pullback to lay low.

Trading Suggestions
Buy Bitcoin in the range of 103,500 - 104,000, target 105,000
Buy Ethereum in the range of 2,480 - 2,500, target 2,580
#加密市场回调

There are many unstable factors in the market, but timely adjustments to strategy can effectively stop losses and even turn losses into profits! The morning session experienced a significant drop, with the price of Bitcoin severely pressured around the 106500 level, failing to achieve the expected rebound. Coupled with the turmoil in international situations (escalation of conflicts in the Middle East, Israel's war with Iran), the price of coins continued to decline to around 103000, briefly rebounding before falling again. The long position strategy set around 105300 in the morning has hit the stop-loss and exited. The subsequent strategy of reversing to a short position successfully captured about 2000 points of downward movement.

Currently, the market fluctuations are intensifying, with frequent price movements. The lower 100000 integer level serves as an important psychological support level and a concentrated area for buying, and it is expected to be difficult to break through effectively in the short term. For short-term operations, it is advisable to consider entering a short position after a price rebound, with the short-term target initially looking at the testing situation of the 102500 support level.
#加密市场回调

Friday Morning Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Good morning everyone! In the early hours, Bitcoin briefly surged to around 108500, experienced a short pullback, and then rebounded slightly. However, it later dropped sharply below 106500 and is currently oscillating around 105800; Ethereum rebounded above 2760 but faced resistance and fell back, breaking below the 2700 mark to a low of 2614, and is now adjusting around 2630.

Overall, the spike in the early hours clearly shows characteristics of a washout, but it also released some short-selling pressure. On the daily chart, although the price quickly stopped falling after breaking through the middle band, it did not probe further down, indicating that there is support below. The key point is that the four-hour chart has shown bottoming signals: after the price broke below the lower Bollinger Band, technical indicators began to turn upwards. Although the current rebound strength still needs to be enhanced, it may require short-term low-level oscillation to digest the remaining short-selling momentum, but this precisely provides an opportunity for bulls to build strength.

In terms of technical structure, we are more inclined to see the current adjustment as a consolidation rather than a reversal. The key support to confirm is the previous strong resistance at 106500, which was quickly broken, but the support conversion still needs to be solidified. The short-term battle around this level will determine the direction. The buying activity in the 105500-105300 area forms a strong support zone, as long as this area is not breached, the market is expected to stabilize and rebound. The rapid drop in the early hours has released a significant amount of short-selling momentum, reducing the risk of a substantial further decline.

Trading Suggestions
For Bitcoin, consider buying around 105500-106000, targeting 107500; for Ethereum, consider buying around 2650, targeting 2700.
#美国加征关税

Thursday Night Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

During the day, Bitcoin showed a downward trend, although there was a brief surge after the CPI data was released, it fell back again due to the impact of the U.S. stock market opening, ultimately returning to a downward fluctuation channel. This reflects that current market sentiment remains cautious, and upward movement requires more momentum support, and is sensitive to news events.

From a technical perspective, the four-hour Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, indicating that market volatility is decreasing; combined with the effectiveness of the key support range of 106500-105600 below, the short-term market is likely to enter a consolidation pattern, building momentum to seek direction. Although the continuation of the market in a volatile state is limited, and the risk of blindly chasing highs and cutting losses is high, the existence of solid support areas below provides a foundation for buying on dips. Therefore, the suggestion is to patiently wait for signals of stabilization after a pullback to seize low-entry opportunities.

Evening trading suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin around 107000, with a stop-loss at 106500, target 109000
Buy Ethereum around 2740, with a stop-loss at 2700, target 2800
#美国加征关税

Thursday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Looking back at the morning's suggestion to buy on the pullback, Old Tian had already reminded friends to wait for a pullback. The live trading in the afternoon also provided the expected pullback. Bitcoin briefly fell below the 108,000 mark, reaching a low of 107,300 before bouncing back. The current price is fluctuating around 107,700. In contrast, Ethereum has limited pullback space, showing a more pronounced consolidation trend, indicating potential for further gains.

From the four-hour chart, although the K-line fell below the middle Bollinger band support causing a pullback, this aligns with the typical correction pattern during the Asian session. In terms of formation, after three consecutive bearish candles, a T-shaped K-line recovery signal has appeared, indicating that the correction range has slightly shifted downwards. The key point is that as long as the strong support at 106,800 is not effectively broken, the rebound momentum still exists. Therefore, we maintain our bullish outlook and continue to adhere to the strategy of buying on dips.

Trading suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin in the range of 107,000 - 107,500, with a target of 109,800.
Buy Ethereum in the range of 2730 - 2760, with a target near 2850.
#美国加征关税

The early market has begun to unfold. Bitcoin experienced a pullback after reaching around 108800, and Ethereum also fell back after testing around 2780. Some long positions established in the morning have partially taken profits and exited. The long positions from the early morning have also basically achieved breakeven or small profits before exiting.

From the one-hour level perspective, after the morning rebound, Bitcoin's price has temporarily moved away from the lower Bollinger Band and is currently in a range-bound consolidation. Technical indicators are gradually warming up and turning upward, suggesting that a structure of oscillating upward may form in the future. For short-term operations, we will continue the morning's long position strategy into the afternoon.
#美国加征关税

Thursday Morning Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Good morning, friends! Looking back at yesterday's midnight strategy of waiting for a pullback to enter long positions, Lao Tian emphasized waiting for a pullback to the key support level before positioning long. Last night, Bitcoin attempted to break through the previous high but failed, leading to a pullback, with the price dropping from around 110300 to around 108000. Although there were attempts at bullish rebounds during this time, the momentum was weak. Ethereum also dipped to a low of 2742, and currently, both are in a low-level consolidation phase.

From an overall market perspective, Bitcoin faced resistance at high levels, forming a short-term converging range. After a brief drop below the support, the bears currently hold the advantage, showing an inertia extension. On the daily chart, the broad oscillation pattern remains unchanged, but the Bollinger Bands (BOLL) show significant signs of contraction, suggesting that after short-term fluctuations, the oscillation range is narrowing. On the four-hour chart, the oscillation adjustment trend is clearer, with both bulls and bears taking turns to dominate. Although the price dipped and broke through the previous low in the early hours, the signs of hitting the support level are evident. It is worth noting that the previous rally caused the Bollinger Bands channel to shift upward overall, with the lower band still maintaining an upward posture, indicating solid support below and preliminary signs of a stop-loss. In the morning, we should focus on the performance of the rebound momentum.

Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin in the 108000-108300 range, target 110000.
Ethereum in the 2720-2750 range, target 2800.
#币安Alpha上新

Wednesday Midnight Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Daily Summary

As the day’s market comes to a close, the past two days have been characterized by a slow accumulation during the day and a rapid rise in the evening. Throughout the day, I have emphasized the strategy of buying on dips. The market has shown a slow oscillation and correction, touching our expected support level, and with the release of the evening CPI news, we saw a short-term boost, leading to a strong surge that peaked near the 110300 level. It then faced pressure and retreated below the 110000 mark. The late evening movements were also quite coordinated, with prices rising steadily, peaking near the 2880 level. In our live trading, we took a long position on Bitcoin, capturing a space of 1087 points before exiting, while for Ethereum, we focused on short-term trading, making quick entries and exits, which also yielded over a hundred points of profit.

On the daily chart, the bullish force holds an absolute advantage, having achieved a strong six consecutive bullish candles. The bodies of these candles are generally full, showcasing strong upward momentum. Although there was a bearish candle with a long lower shadow previously, it was quickly recovered by subsequent bullish candles, indicating solid support below. The current trend of consecutive bullish candles continues, with the bullish dominance firmly established. On the 4-hour chart, the upward trend is clear. The candlestick structure is primarily bullish, with prices climbing steadily, and the retracements during this period have been minimal, hardly disrupting the upward trend. Given the current strong bullish pattern, it is recommended to maintain a strategy of buying on dips in operations. When prices retrace to support, one can actively position for long trades.

Midnight Suggestions:
Buy Bitcoin in the 109000-109300 range, targeting 110300.
Buy Ethereum in the 2820-2840 range, targeting 2900.
#币安Alpha上新

The evening market has already emerged, and the evening big coin is once again experiencing a stretch. After fluctuating for an entire afternoon, it has finally broken through the 110,000 mark. The current structure is very clear, as the big coin repeatedly tests the upper resistance level. This breakthrough is also imminent. After breaking through, it is highly likely to continue the previous bullish trend, entering the second phase of the bull market. Although it is currently at a relatively high position, the overall structure has not shown any significant pullbacks, indicating that the bulls remain strong. It is advisable to continue positioning with long orders and patiently wait for the market to unfold.

Wednesday Evening Bitcoin Ethereum Latest Market Analysis

Only by holding onto positions can we secure profits! Today we continue to suggest buying at low levels, and the market trend is completely in line with expectations. After the evening CPI data was released, the market reacted positively, and the price ratio surged strongly again, providing bulls with a profit space of over a thousand points. The long positions we laid out for Bitcoin also successfully realized profits again. Before this wave of market movement started, we repeatedly emphasized: just set a stop-loss below, follow the operations with peace of mind, and enjoy this wave of dividends. The strategy is clear and straightforward—no complex operations are needed, just follow the instructions to reap the rewards! If you still can't catch such opportunities, it is indeed time to reflect on your current operating methods. Lao Tian has always been here; it’s never too late to change. In the evening market, we remain firmly bullish, and any pullback is a good opportunity to go long!
#币安Alpha上新

In the afternoon, Lao Tian repeatedly emphasized to firmly adopt a bullish mindset. The real market in the afternoon also gave us a pullback as scheduled. Friends who have followed the strategy and entered long positions should continue to hold and look upwards. Friends who have not yet entered the market can directly buy around the current price of 109600, with a stop loss below 109000.
#CPI数据来袭