B-Talk

$BTC
Maintain a bearish view, but just need to face it more cautiously.
Originally, trading does not have a 100% win rate, so under the condition of calculating the position correctly, you need to be more careful and cautious. You cannot face chaotic situations with your own assumptions, and you certainly cannot hold onto a position.
Calculating the position correctly means: this is about your maximum acceptable loss amount, which is beyond the stop loss position you expect in a trade.
Chaos refers to: the market is constantly changing, and it cannot be completely predicted or judged. You can only make rough estimates, so when you open a position, you must think about the stop loss location. If the market is in a profitable state according to your plan, then you can consider where to take profit.
Holding onto a position: this should have happened to everyone; some people have moved on, while others are still on the path of "holding on".
If you understand, trading is like a poker table; your capital is your chips, so you won't easily lose chips and won't be frustrated or develop more negative emotions just because you lost once. What you need is a more assured winning chance to profit, not anything else.

#卡尔达诺稳定币提案
In the current market situation, launching such a proposal. The market will provide an answer. Everything is unclear, so waiting is conservative and safe.
The dollar index is down
The S&P 500 is showing signs of exhaustion, and a clear peak phase is about to be established.
$BTC peak characteristics are about to become clear.
There is no reason or basis for you to have higher expectations for the bull market at this time.
Trading: Guarantee your principal, that is your capital at the table. Rather than your hopes and expectations.

#市场回调，观望还是上车？
In a bear market, every rebound is an opportunity to open a position.
What you may have missed is not that you didn't know, but that you couldn't do it. There will always be worries that make you uneasy, or greed from wanting to turn things around that makes you fearful; in short, you just missed it.
Don't let emotions overly control you. These are obstacles you must experience and challenge on the path of trading. You just need to seriously acknowledge the following facts:
1/ Losses are a part of trading
2/ Correct trades can also result in no profit
3/ Incorrect trades do not necessarily mean losses
4/ Frequent trading does not mean more profit

#TradersLeague
As mentioned the day before yesterday, the position $ETH might be wrong because the entry point is too early, and the daily candle has not closed yet. The reason is: the market trades 24 hours, and I cannot, so I cannot find the best buying point, thus I will enter the market at the time I post.
Currently, it seems that the market trend aligns with expectations, and I am fortunate. Again, I share my trading logic and viewpoints for everyone’s reference:
1. Daily level RSI + MACD divergence
2. 2B structure at the daily midpoint
The indicators and structures at the daily level take several days or weeks to manifest; this is not easy. Therefore, the cost and price of trial and error are quite cost-effective; do not miss it, even if the market proves you wrong. But please be clear: before the market proves you wrong, you are correct. Therefore, you need to have the right values, clarify your trading purpose, and use it to strengthen your confidence to overcome emotional conflicts. (This is a trading psychology issue, which we will gradually discuss later)
Now, regarding your position, you should set your stop-loss price below your cost price at some level, while paying attention to the previous support level below the midpoint. If there is a volume-supported level there, you should leave without hesitation. If there is no volume-supported level or if there is a volume breakdown, then you should increase your position.

$BTC
Bitcoin has pulled back from 112,000 to 100,000 and failed to reach its previous high. It is currently facing resistance at 110,000 and has turned downward, touching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. It is worth noting that Bitcoin's current performance is significantly weaker than the S&P 500. At the same time, it should be clarified that if it does not return to 110,000 in the remaining two trading days of this week, or goes lower than the current level, the weekly candlestick pattern will form a long upper shadow.
Therefore, we need to clarify the following known issues:
1. The upward trendline from 75,000 to 112,000 has been broken. (Red line)
2. The pullback low at 100,000 can be seen as a short-term support level. If it successfully retests this support, then the new trendline will be (black), giving good reason to expect a breakout above the 112,000 high.
3. The range between 100,000 and 112,000 can be considered the current oscillation zone.
4. A weekly RSI divergence signal has appeared.
5. A weekly 2B pattern has emerged.
Summary:
1. If you hold a short position (like me), the cost-effectiveness of continuing to hold is very advantageous.
2. If you do not hold a short position, then you should cherish every small upward opportunity.
3. If you want to enter a long position, then I believe now is not a good opportunity (current price 107,700).

#Tradersleague
The daily candlestick closing has not yet been completed. The strategy for entering early is to set a stop loss; one cannot blindly fantasize. Enter with half of the planned position, and after confirming the market trend, add the remaining half. This can help you avoid the mindset of missing out on opportunities while allowing you to trade without illusions.
The purpose of timely stop loss is to ensure you have bullets to fight on the battlefield. In battle, bullets will be consumed; if you cannot even manage to consume your bullets, then this battlefield may not be suitable for you, or you may not be suitable for this market.
Key point: Losses are a part of trading.

$ETH
This position may be incorrect, as there are no 100% correct trades.
Therefore, the factor that makes you hesitant to open a position is human fear; in the face of fear, you can only rely on yourself to filter out fear and greed.

#加密市场回调
The point at 74500 will be the low point in the next few months. The correction from 110000 has already ended, so should we go long or short?

#美国加征关税 #鲍威尔发言
Recently, the market's trend is focused on the increase in tariffs and the attitude of the Federal Reserve.
In fact, there is no need for excessive interpretation; it is merely a political struggle between the two parties in the U.S. What everyone needs to clarify is that behind the market is politics, so you must pay attention to important hard data, as well as soft data related to sentiment. You can judge hard data, but you cannot anticipate soft data ahead of institutions, which means you cannot be ahead of the advantages.

The negative impact of tariffs has already been fully released by the market within a day, which is exactly what the understanding king wanted. He has always emphasized making America strong to gain public support, following the principle that he who wins the people's hearts wins the world.

Currently, sentiment is primarily focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike direction. Although Powell emphasizes that the Federal Reserve is independent and does not comment on politics, only focusing on data changes. However, Trump first used Musk to create a front, and now nominally replacing him also gives the Democratic Party a way out. After all, the Democratic Party is relatively close to the Federal Reserve.

The current market will see more significant changes in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike actions. Remember, the understanding king's purpose with tariffs is to pressure the Federal Reserve on the interest rate cut issue, which is what he wants. Therefore, it is essential to focus on this trend.

#Trump: I Love $TRUMP
Let me share my holding strategy with you.
The source of funds for spot holdings comes from 10% of contract profits. For example, if the contract profit is 1000u, I will withdraw 50% for daily living expenses. 10% will be used to purchase spot, and the remaining 40% will continue to be traded in the contract account.
Since the opening ratio is fixed each time, the available funds for holdings will gradually increase over time, and similarly, the amount of loss will also increase proportionally. As long as the ratio is strictly followed, the risk-to-return ratio will remain fixed.

#微策略持续增持BTC
I think the current move is more like a "conspiracy". If you have low-level chips, you can also operate in this way. If not, I advise you to give up your fantasy.
In addition, the current response of the Federal Reserve tonight #美联储利率决议即将公布 is very objective. However, I still have an opposing relationship with King Understanding, emphasizing that I will not be affected by politics, that is, King Understanding does not count, I will go my own way, and at the same time emphasize that if inflation rises in the future, it is King Understanding's fault for raising taxes, not mine.

For the future trend of $BTC , I think that if the price will be higher, it needs to be fully consolidated sideways, otherwise it is not a good choice.
For short-term operations, the cost-effectiveness of high altitude is higher than chasing more now.
I wish you all a happy new year, and 2025 coins must win

#2025新年加密愿望清单
To have a group of loyal fans, to achieve results in the field of bringing in orders, and to elevate the scale of capital management to a higher level.

#比特币市场波动观察
When Bitcoin reached the 'Heaven and Earth Needle' on December 5, I expressed that the recent trend would mainly fluctuate between 104000 and 90000. (But I believe it will retrace to 80000)
First, after breaking through 74000, it needs to consolidate and adjust before having a better and healthier upward movement. I do not believe that 108000 is the peak of this round; it may be the temporary peak of the current consolidation range. The support bottom at the weekly level can be seen as the bottom of the consolidation range, but it does not rule out a false breakdown to the 80000 position later on. Personally, I think this horizontal consolidation might take a relatively long time, similar to the previous range (Figure 2).

The Federal Reserve's attitude towards Bitcoin is merely a reason or excuse for the market's decline, after all, there always has to be a reason for the release of chips. Regardless of rising or falling, the market always has two different voices, which is part of the charm of the market.

If the market subsequently rises strongly but cannot break through the previous high, I will be bearish. If the current bottom at 90000 fails, we will look at whether the support at 80000 is strong.

This month, pay close attention to the position at 96660; if the closing is above it, it will be a bullish candle, otherwise, it will be a bearish candle.

#市场调整後的机会？
This round of decline utilizes the Federal Reserve's speech, triggering emotional panic. As long as there is a continuous net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs and a net inflow relationship for ETH spot ETFs, the market trend remains unchanged. Every dip in a bull market is an opportunity to get in; whether you can seize it depends on your emotional management and capital management skills.
If you insist on gambling, then bet on the outcome of the game between Trump + Musk and the Federal Reserve.
ETH's chips have not yet been fully absorbed, so it will continue to experience volatile market conditions. Therefore, the capital efficiency for swing trading will be relatively high. For altcoins, you can consider entering the market at the bottom phase of Ethereum; if you're uncertain, you can try small positions in new coins. For stability, just buy $BNB , which can earn interest while also providing airdrop rewards during new coin issuance.
🏁🏁🏁
As long as you have positions, there are opportunities...
As long as you don't get liquidated, there are opportunities...
As long as your mindset isn't affected by the fluctuations of the candlestick chart, there are opportunities...
Opportunities are always present; what isn't there is your mindset...
$BTC

#加密市场回调
Bitcoin has returned above 99,000, signaling the end of this round of correction (tomorrow's low must not be lower than today's low).
The bullish trend has not fundamentally changed, do not panic, the peak needs to be confirmed.
Trading market rules, make certain trades, leave ample positions to respond to changes, avoid liquidation, and minimize exposure to irrelevant information that interferes with your judgment. I hope you are not among the 1 billion in liquidation data, #圣诞行情预测 bullish recovery in the second half of this month, if it's strong, it can set a new high 😊

#BTC重回关键位置后走势

After breaking through the important emotional barrier of 100,000, Bitcoin quickly dropped to 91,000 for the first time, and then quickly recovered to 102,000. This time, the funding rate was as high as nearly 0.1%, and the altcoins did not follow the decline. After two days of narrow consolidation, it fell to 95,000 again, and regained 100,000 again in two days. After reaching 102,000, it was still blocked. This time, the funding rate was 0.06%. The altcoins followed the decline, and the rebound strength weakened, and most of them did not reach the previous high.

According to the liquidation map, the entire network will have nearly 2.7 billion short positions liquidated near 110,000, and nearly 400 million will be liquidated near 99,000. There is still 10% room for growth when it reaches 110,000. (Figure 1)

Spot ETF, recent funds have been buying, no matter whether the price of Bitcoin rises or falls, they just buy. Very strong funds have kept the price of Bitcoin in the range of 90,000-100,000 (Figure 2)

Personal opinion: If the price breaks through 104,000, then reaches above 110,000, and fails to stand firm, it will be a good position to open a short position. The current price is a big test of psychological pressure for long traders.

There is no market that only rises and never falls. Don't be swayed by emotions. Analyze the market carefully to help you make important decisions for your transactions. There is no 100% winning rate. Don't worry about any factors that can affect your trading emotions. Just be yourself, this is more important than anything else

Bitcoin has been unable to break through 100,000 for a long time, how should we respond? In the past three weeks, #BTC重返10万 has experienced three spikes but was able to turn danger into safety, successfully holding the 90,000 mark. However, the three rebounds have not been able to stabilize above the 100,000 threshold. The article from a few days ago has already analyzed this for everyone; looking at the range fluctuations and sideways consolidation, does it not seem a bit similar to the trends in March?
Do not rush in blindly just because of various positive news. The trading strategy of doing high shorts and low longs within the range remains unchanged. Market movements can sometimes be faster and sometimes slower; this is the norm in the trading market. #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 Although spot ETFs have seen continuous inflows of capital, they still have not been able to hold above the 4,000 mark, with the strategy remaining consistent with Bitcoin.
Additionally, let me add some other factors: the first spike had a funding rate of nearly 0.1%, the second spike was at 0.06%, and since this spike, the funding has remained at 0.01, with no changes at all. $BTC

#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥
#加密市场急跌 The former old Ethereum (minimum 3509), in the early morning collaborated with brother #BTC☀ (minimum 94150) for a deep washout, this drop is greater than the previous two days. Many people in the contract market have been liquidated or stopped out.

The contract market requires certain experience (more than 3 years) to accumulate a certain market feel, and then needs a certain understanding of economics. Moreover, the most important point is (do not get liquidated); once liquidated, you lose your chips, and this game is over for you. This is not the original intention of entering this market.

Look at the weekly chart, look at the weekly chart, look at the weekly chart. Do not be misled by a temporary market situation; the weekly level Bitcoin, three lower shadows, indicates support at this level. The upper 10 is also a recent resistance level. Just trade within the range; I mentioned this in my article a few days ago, high short, low long.
Ethereum, similarly, at the weekly level has support at the 3500 position, accompanied by two long lower shadows, with the upper 4000 points also being a resistance level.
The difference is that the market expectations for Ethereum are higher than for Bitcoin, as it has not surpassed its previous high.

The market is variable; it can change suddenly and with large fluctuations, or it can be slow and with small fluctuations. This is the norm of the market, and it must be accepted and recognized.

Personal opinion: looking bullish for this week

Sharing trading insights:
Observe and look for opportunity points in the higher timeframe
Wait for buy or sell opportunities in the lower timeframe
Sometimes mistakes may occur, missing sales, or getting swept out and then take off, etc., these are all necessary training on the trading path that you need to go through by yourself.
Continuously accumulate experience through trading, gradually start not getting liquidated, moving from losses to profits, from profits to sustained stable profits, and finally, the changes in K-lines will have no impact on your emotions. Congratulations, you have become a high-quality trader $ETH