价值币布道者_币圈智多星
BTC Holder
Occasional Trader
4.8 Years
BTC、ETH、BNB、BGB、MX信仰者
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Reviewing History - Remembering 312 in the Cryptocurrency Circle
Today, let's review the 312 event in the cryptocurrencies circle and experience how terrible the crash in the cryptocurrencies circle was in the past.
312 in the cryptocurrencies circle refers to the crash on March 12, 2020, and the process of the crash.
1. March 8: BTC plummeted from $9,200 to $8,300, a drop of 9.8%, and ETH plummeted from $250 to $210, a drop of 16%.
Bitcoin fell by 10%, and most of the cottages were cut in half. Everyone thought that the decline was almost enough and would start to rebound, and most people entered the market to buy at the bottom.
2. March 9: BTC plummeted from $8,300 to $7,700, a drop of 7.2%, and ETH plummeted from $210 to $190, a drop of 9.5%.
I didn't expect it to fall sharply the next day. It has been falling for two days. Everyone thinks that it has fallen out of cost-effectiveness and there is no big risk, so continue to enter the market to buy at the bottom.
3. March 10 and March 11: As everyone wished, the price did not continue to plummet. It has been fluctuating for the past two days. Many people have been bullish and bought heavily.
4. March 12: BTC plummeted from $8,000 to $5,500, a drop of 31%, and ETH plummeted from $200 to $120, a drop of 40%.
You can imagine that Bitcoin fell 31% in one day, Ethereum fell 40% in one day, and how much the various copycats fell. There are coins that fell several times, and all virtual currencies were not spared. Thus, the 312 incident was born. On this day, a small number of people in the currency circle were still fantasizing about the bottom. Some people began to borrow money and take out loans to make a profit, but most people did not want to buy the bottom, and were even completely desperate. Everyone shouted that the currency circle was over and Bitcoin was going to return to zero.
5. March 13: Bitcoin rebounded to 6200 and then fell to 3800, a drop of 38.7%. ETH rebounded to 145 and then fell to 89, a drop of 38.6%.
More than 90% of the people in the currency circle have basically collapsed on this day. It may be a relief for those who do contracts. Whether you are long or short, all positions are blown up. Losing everything is relieved. Everyone is much more relaxed. It is finally over, everything is over.
In the battle of 312, I was fortunate to participate in the battle and took all the spot goods. In the end, I survived. If you play contracts in a certain year, and you still have high leverage, I believe that there is no place for you on the rooftop, because during the 312 period, both long and short positions were blown up, and hundreds of thousands of people were blown up every day. I emphasize again that you should not add leverage, even high leverage. If you operate 100 times and make 98 times, if you blow up twice, you may have nothing.
#BTC☀
Today, let's review the 312 event in the cryptocurrencies circle and experience how terrible the crash in the cryptocurrencies circle was in the past.
312 in the cryptocurrencies circle refers to the crash on March 12, 2020, and the process of the crash.
1. March 8: BTC plummeted from $9,200 to $8,300, a drop of 9.8%, and ETH plummeted from $250 to $210, a drop of 16%.
Bitcoin fell by 10%, and most of the cottages were cut in half. Everyone thought that the decline was almost enough and would start to rebound, and most people entered the market to buy at the bottom.
2. March 9: BTC plummeted from $8,300 to $7,700, a drop of 7.2%, and ETH plummeted from $210 to $190, a drop of 9.5%.
I didn't expect it to fall sharply the next day. It has been falling for two days. Everyone thinks that it has fallen out of cost-effectiveness and there is no big risk, so continue to enter the market to buy at the bottom.
3. March 10 and March 11: As everyone wished, the price did not continue to plummet. It has been fluctuating for the past two days. Many people have been bullish and bought heavily.
4. March 12: BTC plummeted from $8,000 to $5,500, a drop of 31%, and ETH plummeted from $200 to $120, a drop of 40%.
You can imagine that Bitcoin fell 31% in one day, Ethereum fell 40% in one day, and how much the various copycats fell. There are coins that fell several times, and all virtual currencies were not spared. Thus, the 312 incident was born. On this day, a small number of people in the currency circle were still fantasizing about the bottom. Some people began to borrow money and take out loans to make a profit, but most people did not want to buy the bottom, and were even completely desperate. Everyone shouted that the currency circle was over and Bitcoin was going to return to zero.
5. March 13: Bitcoin rebounded to 6200 and then fell to 3800, a drop of 38.7%. ETH rebounded to 145 and then fell to 89, a drop of 38.6%.
More than 90% of the people in the currency circle have basically collapsed on this day. It may be a relief for those who do contracts. Whether you are long or short, all positions are blown up. Losing everything is relieved. Everyone is much more relaxed. It is finally over, everything is over.
In the battle of 312, I was fortunate to participate in the battle and took all the spot goods. In the end, I survived. If you play contracts in a certain year, and you still have high leverage, I believe that there is no place for you on the rooftop, because during the 312 period, both long and short positions were blown up, and hundreds of thousands of people were blown up every day. I emphasize again that you should not add leverage, even high leverage. If you operate 100 times and make 98 times, if you blow up twice, you may have nothing.
#BTC☀
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It has only been two days since the wash, and many people are now asking fearfully whether the bull market has ended?
History will not repeat itself, but it is surprisingly similar every time. Let's take historical data as an example. According to the data of the past three waves of cycles, Bitcoin will reach the highest point of the cycle 1-1.5 years after each halving. Today is still 3 days away from the halving, and the halving has not yet started. Those who say that the bull market has ended can be regarded as living leeks. This wave of cycles not only has Bitcoin halving, but also has the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and there is unlimited buying of spot ETFs. How can the current bull market be over? Those who can't hold on for two or three days of washing should withdraw from the circle as soon as possible, otherwise they will only lose more and more in the future. Every callback is a good opportunity to buy.
According to the data in the table below, we can see that in the first wave of cycles, the highest point on the day of halving increased by 88.23 times, the second wave of cycles was 30.56 times, and the third wave of cycles was 7.87 times. Based on these historical data, we infer that the increase from halving to the highest point of this cycle is 7.87/(88.23/30.56+30.56/7.87)/2=2.04 times. If the halving price is $65,000 three days later, the peak of this cycle should be around $130,000.
However, this cycle is quite special and completely caught up with the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, so I simply predict that the peak BTC price of this cycle will be $140,000-200,000, and the peak time will be (367+523+544)/3=478 days after halving, which is around August 2025.
I look forward to completing this table together in more than a year.
$BTC
History will not repeat itself, but it is surprisingly similar every time. Let's take historical data as an example. According to the data of the past three waves of cycles, Bitcoin will reach the highest point of the cycle 1-1.5 years after each halving. Today is still 3 days away from the halving, and the halving has not yet started. Those who say that the bull market has ended can be regarded as living leeks. This wave of cycles not only has Bitcoin halving, but also has the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and there is unlimited buying of spot ETFs. How can the current bull market be over? Those who can't hold on for two or three days of washing should withdraw from the circle as soon as possible, otherwise they will only lose more and more in the future. Every callback is a good opportunity to buy.
According to the data in the table below, we can see that in the first wave of cycles, the highest point on the day of halving increased by 88.23 times, the second wave of cycles was 30.56 times, and the third wave of cycles was 7.87 times. Based on these historical data, we infer that the increase from halving to the highest point of this cycle is 7.87/(88.23/30.56+30.56/7.87)/2=2.04 times. If the halving price is $65,000 three days later, the peak of this cycle should be around $130,000.
However, this cycle is quite special and completely caught up with the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, so I simply predict that the peak BTC price of this cycle will be $140,000-200,000, and the peak time will be (367+523+544)/3=478 days after halving, which is around August 2025.
I look forward to completing this table together in more than a year.
$BTC
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Now Bitcoin is about to reach 100,000 dollars, why are most people still losing money?
A couple of days ago, I did a survey, and the data shows that 58% of people are losing money, while only 42% are profitable. Bitcoin has been around for 15 years, and during these 15 years, if you bought at any point, there was a 99.99% chance of making a profit. How can there still be people losing money? Did you just hit that 0.01% chance? Are you someone who influences the larger environment?
Those who are still losing money should reflect on their situation. Bitcoin is currently in a bull market that has become this strong, and we are approaching the halfway point of the bull market. Why are you still losing money? Everyone, please share the reasons for your losses, so that future newcomers can avoid the path you took.
#BTC #2025大牛市
A couple of days ago, I did a survey, and the data shows that 58% of people are losing money, while only 42% are profitable. Bitcoin has been around for 15 years, and during these 15 years, if you bought at any point, there was a 99.99% chance of making a profit. How can there still be people losing money? Did you just hit that 0.01% chance? Are you someone who influences the larger environment?
Those who are still losing money should reflect on their situation. Bitcoin is currently in a bull market that has become this strong, and we are approaching the halfway point of the bull market. Why are you still losing money? Everyone, please share the reasons for your losses, so that future newcomers can avoid the path you took.
#BTC #2025大牛市
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After the washout, we will continue to challenge the $100,000 mark. Let's witness history together.
There is no market that keeps rising indefinitely. Even the strongest financial product, BTC, must undergo continuous washouts. Bitcoin has risen from $70,000 to nearly $100,000. If it continues to rise without a correction, the profit-taking will be substantial, and there will be limited upward space in the future. Therefore, appropriate washouts and ample turnover are necessary now, allowing most people's cost price to be washed down to around $90,000, and then continue to rise after the washout. The washout period in a bull market is very short; it will finish in a few days or weeks. After the washout ends, it will challenge the $100,000 mark again. If the challenge fails, it will continue to wash out and then challenge the $100,000 mark again. If that also fails, it will continue to wash out...
Currently, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF fund holds 495,400 coins, and the total holdings of ten funds in the US stock market reach 1.1 million coins. The chips in our hands will inevitably flow slowly to institutions, companies, and the treasury. This is an inevitable phenomenon. Because we may need to get married, buy a car, buy a house, raise children... we always need money, so we may be forced to reduce our BTC positions, and I am no exception. However, each of us should do our utmost to increase the number of Bitcoins we hold because in 5 or 10 years, BTC will challenge the $1 million mark.
The richest man in the world, Elon Musk; the most powerful man, Donald Trump; the largest elite gathering, Wall Street... all of them support and promote BTC. El Salvador even invests in Bitcoin with the strength of the entire nation. What is there to be afraid of? In short, "One BTC is $1 million; a family keeps one Bitcoin, and Bitcoin keeps rising."
Hold BTC and let time help us become rich slowly.
#BTC
There is no market that keeps rising indefinitely. Even the strongest financial product, BTC, must undergo continuous washouts. Bitcoin has risen from $70,000 to nearly $100,000. If it continues to rise without a correction, the profit-taking will be substantial, and there will be limited upward space in the future. Therefore, appropriate washouts and ample turnover are necessary now, allowing most people's cost price to be washed down to around $90,000, and then continue to rise after the washout. The washout period in a bull market is very short; it will finish in a few days or weeks. After the washout ends, it will challenge the $100,000 mark again. If the challenge fails, it will continue to wash out and then challenge the $100,000 mark again. If that also fails, it will continue to wash out...
Currently, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF fund holds 495,400 coins, and the total holdings of ten funds in the US stock market reach 1.1 million coins. The chips in our hands will inevitably flow slowly to institutions, companies, and the treasury. This is an inevitable phenomenon. Because we may need to get married, buy a car, buy a house, raise children... we always need money, so we may be forced to reduce our BTC positions, and I am no exception. However, each of us should do our utmost to increase the number of Bitcoins we hold because in 5 or 10 years, BTC will challenge the $1 million mark.
The richest man in the world, Elon Musk; the most powerful man, Donald Trump; the largest elite gathering, Wall Street... all of them support and promote BTC. El Salvador even invests in Bitcoin with the strength of the entire nation. What is there to be afraid of? In short, "One BTC is $1 million; a family keeps one Bitcoin, and Bitcoin keeps rising."
Hold BTC and let time help us become rich slowly.
#BTC
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The 2nd Phase of BNB New Coin Mining Holder Airdrop is Here—THE
Binance has just announced the 2nd phase of the Holder airdrop token, this time the airdrop token is THE. Users who use BNB to participate in fixed or flexible savings from 2024-11-06 to 2024-11-14 will receive airdrop allocations.
Introduction to THE:
Maximum Supply of Tokens: 310 million
Total Airdrop Amount: 21.75 million (7% of total supply)
Token Listing Time: 2024-11-27 18:00
Token Distribution Time: 1 hour before listing
#BNB #hodler
Binance has just announced the 2nd phase of the Holder airdrop token, this time the airdrop token is THE. Users who use BNB to participate in fixed or flexible savings from 2024-11-06 to 2024-11-14 will receive airdrop allocations.
Introduction to THE:
Maximum Supply of Tokens: 310 million
Total Airdrop Amount: 21.75 million (7% of total supply)
Token Listing Time: 2024-11-27 18:00
Token Distribution Time: 1 hour before listing
#BNB #hodler
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We are now in the mid-term of a bull market, there shouldn't be anyone losing money, right? Brothers, cast your votes to tally everyone's profits and losses.
盈利
42%
亏损
58%
95 votes • Voting closed
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BNB Mining Year-End Report Summary - 2024
BNB has been around for nearly 11 months this year, with a total of 23 mining projects: 20 launchpools, 2 MegaDrops, and 1 Holder. At the beginning of the year, the total amount of BNB was 129.36, and the latest total amount of BNB is 166.46. After 23 rounds of mining, a total of 37.1 BNB was reinvested, with a currency-based return rate of: 37.1/129.36=28.7%.
Currently, the price of BNB is around 640 USD. My initial investment in BNB during this cycle was 28,600 USD, and the total value of the BNB I hold is: 106,534 USD, with a total profit of 77,934 USD and a return rate of 272.5%.
Previously, the mining yield of BNB was high because the price of BNB was below 300. Now, the mining yield for each round is difficult to exceed 1%. Even if the project parties of launchpool offer a mining reward pool worth 100 million USD, the mining yield will not exceed 1%, as the total value of staked BNB exceeds 10 billion USD. Due to the decrease in BNB's mining yield, future price growth for BNB will also be limited. Recently, at high points, I will gradually reduce my BNB holdings and look for long-term valuable tokens that offer better cost-performance ratios.
Still the same saying: "Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time accompany us to slowly become rich."
BNB has been around for nearly 11 months this year, with a total of 23 mining projects: 20 launchpools, 2 MegaDrops, and 1 Holder. At the beginning of the year, the total amount of BNB was 129.36, and the latest total amount of BNB is 166.46. After 23 rounds of mining, a total of 37.1 BNB was reinvested, with a currency-based return rate of: 37.1/129.36=28.7%.
Currently, the price of BNB is around 640 USD. My initial investment in BNB during this cycle was 28,600 USD, and the total value of the BNB I hold is: 106,534 USD, with a total profit of 77,934 USD and a return rate of 272.5%.
Previously, the mining yield of BNB was high because the price of BNB was below 300. Now, the mining yield for each round is difficult to exceed 1%. Even if the project parties of launchpool offer a mining reward pool worth 100 million USD, the mining yield will not exceed 1%, as the total value of staked BNB exceeds 10 billion USD. Due to the decrease in BNB's mining yield, future price growth for BNB will also be limited. Recently, at high points, I will gradually reduce my BNB holdings and look for long-term valuable tokens that offer better cost-performance ratios.
Still the same saying: "Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time accompany us to slowly become rich."
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BNB 61st Issue Launchpool Earnings Summary—USUAL
This period's total mining pledge is 166.46 BNB, with total earnings of 2280.5 USUAL. USUAL was launched for trading yesterday, and during the opening, it actually surged to 0.4, but I was unable to monitor the market due to other commitments and did not sell at the peak. My average selling price was 0.3 U. Total earnings from this mining period: 685 U, reinvested to purchase 1.1 BNB, with a mining yield of 0.66% for this period.
Currently, I hold a total of 167.56 BNB, with a total principal of 28600 U, and the average holding price for BNB is: 28600/167.56=170.7 U, earnings amount: 614*167.56-28600=74281.8 U, earnings rate: 69944/28600=259.7%.
As always, “Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time help us slowly become rich.”
#USUAL #BNB #Launchpool
This period's total mining pledge is 166.46 BNB, with total earnings of 2280.5 USUAL. USUAL was launched for trading yesterday, and during the opening, it actually surged to 0.4, but I was unable to monitor the market due to other commitments and did not sell at the peak. My average selling price was 0.3 U. Total earnings from this mining period: 685 U, reinvested to purchase 1.1 BNB, with a mining yield of 0.66% for this period.
Currently, I hold a total of 167.56 BNB, with a total principal of 28600 U, and the average holding price for BNB is: 28600/167.56=170.7 U, earnings amount: 614*167.56-28600=74281.8 U, earnings rate: 69944/28600=259.7%.
As always, “Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time help us slowly become rich.”
#USUAL #BNB #Launchpool
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If one day you can no longer hold BTC, go check out El Salvador's treasury address.
The President of El Salvador has said he will invest in one BTC every day, and this investment will continue until the day Bitcoin can no longer be purchased with fiat currency. Currently, the total holding is 5,938 BTC.
If you have not yet achieved financial freedom, you will surely worry about running out of money in the future due to buying a house, buying a car, medical expenses, raising children, unemployment... or any one or more of these issues. To ensure that you do not worry about money in the future, all you need to do now is to hold 1 Bitcoin for the long term; the more, the better. Personally, I believe that there is no such thing as becoming wealthy overnight; there is only gradually becoming wealthy, and holding 1 Bitcoin is enough for you to gradually become wealthy and achieve financial freedom.
I hope that one day, when everyone receives layoff notices, when a family member falls ill, when a child wants to buy a favorite toy, when a wife wants to buy a house, when you want to buy a car..., we can all face these situations calmly and fearlessly. All of these will be sufficient with just 1 Bitcoin many years later.
Hold BTC and let time help us gradually become wealthy.
#BTC #萨尔瓦多
The President of El Salvador has said he will invest in one BTC every day, and this investment will continue until the day Bitcoin can no longer be purchased with fiat currency. Currently, the total holding is 5,938 BTC.
If you have not yet achieved financial freedom, you will surely worry about running out of money in the future due to buying a house, buying a car, medical expenses, raising children, unemployment... or any one or more of these issues. To ensure that you do not worry about money in the future, all you need to do now is to hold 1 Bitcoin for the long term; the more, the better. Personally, I believe that there is no such thing as becoming wealthy overnight; there is only gradually becoming wealthy, and holding 1 Bitcoin is enough for you to gradually become wealthy and achieve financial freedom.
I hope that one day, when everyone receives layoff notices, when a family member falls ill, when a child wants to buy a favorite toy, when a wife wants to buy a house, when you want to buy a car..., we can all face these situations calmly and fearlessly. All of these will be sufficient with just 1 Bitcoin many years later.
Hold BTC and let time help us gradually become wealthy.
#BTC #萨尔瓦多
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BNB Issue 61 launchpool mining USUAL will go live for pre-market trading tonight at 6 PM—Latest pre-market price 0.437U
This round of mining has staked a total of 166.46 BNB, and a total of 2280.5 USUAL has been mined, with the amount of USUAL mined per BNB: 13.7. The current pre-market trading price is 0.437U. The previously predicted expected return for this round of mining was between 0.8-1%. If the opening price of CATI is around 0.4, then the yield will be the same as previously predicted.
After the opening, I will sell in batches and continue to reinvest in BNB.
As always: "Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time help us slowly grow rich."
#BNB #Launchpool #USUAL
This round of mining has staked a total of 166.46 BNB, and a total of 2280.5 USUAL has been mined, with the amount of USUAL mined per BNB: 13.7. The current pre-market trading price is 0.437U. The previously predicted expected return for this round of mining was between 0.8-1%. If the opening price of CATI is around 0.4, then the yield will be the same as previously predicted.
After the opening, I will sell in batches and continue to reinvest in BNB.
As always: "Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time help us slowly grow rich."
#BNB #Launchpool #USUAL
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BNB 61st launchpool mining revenue forecast - USUAL
The latest pre-market trading price of USUAL is 0.4U, the total number of BNB mining pool rewards is 255 million, and the total amount of the reward pool is 102 million U. The total locked amount of BNB in the previous mining period is 18.86 million, and the total amount of BNB pledged in this mining period is expected to be 19 million. The number of USUALs earned by a single BNB is: 25550/1900=13.45, and the amount of single BNB earnings is: 13.45*0.4=5.38U, and the rate of return is 5.38/630=0.8%.
The initial circulation of USUAL is 490 million, and Binance mining shares account for 52% of the initial circulation. The mining income this time should be okay, with a rate of return between 0.7%-1%. The market is very high now. I hope that there will be more mining in the future, and the rate of return can also be gradually improved.
#USuAL #BNB金鏟子 #BNB
The latest pre-market trading price of USUAL is 0.4U, the total number of BNB mining pool rewards is 255 million, and the total amount of the reward pool is 102 million U. The total locked amount of BNB in the previous mining period is 18.86 million, and the total amount of BNB pledged in this mining period is expected to be 19 million. The number of USUALs earned by a single BNB is: 25550/1900=13.45, and the amount of single BNB earnings is: 13.45*0.4=5.38U, and the rate of return is 5.38/630=0.8%.
The initial circulation of USUAL is 490 million, and Binance mining shares account for 52% of the initial circulation. The mining income this time should be okay, with a rate of return between 0.7%-1%. The market is very high now. I hope that there will be more mining in the future, and the rate of return can also be gradually improved.
#USuAL #BNB金鏟子 #BNB
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The 61st BNB new coin mining launchpool is here—USUAL
Brothers, mining is finally here. This mining has finally come after waiting for so long. Binance just announced the 61st launchpool, and the token mined this time is USUAL.
Mining data of the 60th launchpool
Mining token: USUAL
Total token supply: 4 billion
Total mining: 300 million (7.5% of the supply)
Pool share: BNB pool accounts for 85%, FDUSD pool accounts for 15%
Mining time: 2024-11-15 08:00—2024-11-19 08:00 (4 days in total)
Participation method: launchpool staking, BNB financial management current and fixed deposits, on-chain BNB staking.
The yield of this mining will be predicted later.
Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time accompany us to slowly become rich.
#BTC冲破9万 #lanchpool #USUAL
Brothers, mining is finally here. This mining has finally come after waiting for so long. Binance just announced the 61st launchpool, and the token mined this time is USUAL.
Mining data of the 60th launchpool
Mining token: USUAL
Total token supply: 4 billion
Total mining: 300 million (7.5% of the supply)
Pool share: BNB pool accounts for 85%, FDUSD pool accounts for 15%
Mining time: 2024-11-15 08:00—2024-11-19 08:00 (4 days in total)
Participation method: launchpool staking, BNB financial management current and fixed deposits, on-chain BNB staking.
The yield of this mining will be predicted later.
Hold BTC, ETH, BGB, BNB, and let time accompany us to slowly become rich.
#BTC冲破9万 #lanchpool #USUAL
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Brothers, take a look at the car when you're free - the surge is unimaginable
I'd rather skip three meals than not save money to buy a Mercedes.
Young and promising, driving a Mercedes, love will have no disputes.
#BTC突破8W大关 #BNB #奔驰
I'd rather skip three meals than not save money to buy a Mercedes.
Young and promising, driving a Mercedes, love will have no disputes.
#BTC突破8W大关 #BNB #奔驰
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Definitely definitely definitely hold on to the Bitcoin in your hand - $100,000 seen
It has only been two days since the wash, and many people are now asking fearfully whether the bull market has ended?
History will not repeat itself, but it is surprisingly similar every time. Let's take historical data as an example. According to the data of the past three waves of cycles, Bitcoin will reach the highest point of the cycle 1-1.5 years after each halving. Today is still 3 days away from the halving, and the halving has not yet started. Those who say that the bull market has ended can be regarded as living leeks. This wave of cycles not only has Bitcoin halving, but also has the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and there is unlimited buying of spot ETFs. How can the current bull market be over? Those who can't hold on for two or three days of washing should withdraw from the circle as soon as possible, otherwise they will only lose more and more in the future. Every callback is a good opportunity to buy.
According to the data in the table below, we can see that in the first wave of cycles, the highest point on the day of halving increased by 88.23 times, the second wave of cycles was 30.56 times, and the third wave of cycles was 7.87 times. Based on these historical data, we infer that the increase from halving to the highest point of this cycle is 7.87/(88.23/30.56+30.56/7.87)/2=2.04 times. If the halving price is $65,000 three days later, the peak of this cycle should be around $130,000.
However, this cycle is quite special and completely caught up with the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, so I simply predict that the peak BTC price of this cycle will be $140,000-200,000, and the peak time will be (367+523+544)/3=478 days after halving, which is around August 2025.
I look forward to completing this table together in more than a year.
$BTC
History will not repeat itself, but it is surprisingly similar every time. Let's take historical data as an example. According to the data of the past three waves of cycles, Bitcoin will reach the highest point of the cycle 1-1.5 years after each halving. Today is still 3 days away from the halving, and the halving has not yet started. Those who say that the bull market has ended can be regarded as living leeks. This wave of cycles not only has Bitcoin halving, but also has the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, and there is unlimited buying of spot ETFs. How can the current bull market be over? Those who can't hold on for two or three days of washing should withdraw from the circle as soon as possible, otherwise they will only lose more and more in the future. Every callback is a good opportunity to buy.
According to the data in the table below, we can see that in the first wave of cycles, the highest point on the day of halving increased by 88.23 times, the second wave of cycles was 30.56 times, and the third wave of cycles was 7.87 times. Based on these historical data, we infer that the increase from halving to the highest point of this cycle is 7.87/(88.23/30.56+30.56/7.87)/2=2.04 times. If the halving price is $65,000 three days later, the peak of this cycle should be around $130,000.
However, this cycle is quite special and completely caught up with the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, so I simply predict that the peak BTC price of this cycle will be $140,000-200,000, and the peak time will be (367+523+544)/3=478 days after halving, which is around August 2025.
I look forward to completing this table together in more than a year.
$BTC
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Bitcoin is likely to break through $100,000 this year
As of October 29, BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF product IBIT has bought more than 400,000 Bitcoins, and ten US funds hold more than one million BTC in total. Bitcoin has been consolidating at $60,000-70,000 for more than half a year. The longer the horizontal, the higher the vertical. In this bull market, Bitcoin can easily reach more than $150,000. Everyone, hold the BTC in your hands. If you are not short of money, there is no need to do the band. It is still the same saying: "Hold BTC and let time accompany us to slowly become rich"
Regarding 1984, I personally bought a lot at 0.001-0.003 and have never reduced my position. The 1984 community is still under construction, the website has been basically completed, and NFT-related things are also proceeding in an orderly manner. Everyone just hold it. The increase after the wash may exceed your imagination.
#1984 #奥威尔 #BTC☀
As of October 29, BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF product IBIT has bought more than 400,000 Bitcoins, and ten US funds hold more than one million BTC in total. Bitcoin has been consolidating at $60,000-70,000 for more than half a year. The longer the horizontal, the higher the vertical. In this bull market, Bitcoin can easily reach more than $150,000. Everyone, hold the BTC in your hands. If you are not short of money, there is no need to do the band. It is still the same saying: "Hold BTC and let time accompany us to slowly become rich"
Regarding 1984, I personally bought a lot at 0.001-0.003 and have never reduced my position. The 1984 community is still under construction, the website has been basically completed, and NFT-related things are also proceeding in an orderly manner. Everyone just hold it. The increase after the wash may exceed your imagination.
#1984 #奥威尔 #BTC☀
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BNB Launchpool Yield Summary for Issue 60—SCR
The total staking for this mining period is 165.55 BNB, with total earnings of 413 SCR. SCR was listed and opened for trading yesterday; I sold it through pre-market trading a few days ago, with an average selling price of 1.3 USD. The total earnings from this mining period: 540 USD, reinvested to buy 0.91 BNB, with a mining yield rate of 0.55%.
Currently, the total amount of BNB held is 166.46, with a total principal of 28600 USD. The average purchase price of BNB is: 28600/166.46=171.8 USD, earnings amount: 592*166.46-28600=69944 USD, yield rate: 69944/28600=244.6%.
In this cycle, I will neither increase nor decrease my BNB holdings; I will only reinvest all earnings from BNB activities, looking forward to seeing how much this bull market can turn 28600 USD into? Let's verify together.
Still the same saying: "Hold BNB, let time slowly make us rich."
#BNB #Launchpool #币安上线SCR现货
The total staking for this mining period is 165.55 BNB, with total earnings of 413 SCR. SCR was listed and opened for trading yesterday; I sold it through pre-market trading a few days ago, with an average selling price of 1.3 USD. The total earnings from this mining period: 540 USD, reinvested to buy 0.91 BNB, with a mining yield rate of 0.55%.
Currently, the total amount of BNB held is 166.46, with a total principal of 28600 USD. The average purchase price of BNB is: 28600/166.46=171.8 USD, earnings amount: 592*166.46-28600=69944 USD, yield rate: 69944/28600=244.6%.
In this cycle, I will neither increase nor decrease my BNB holdings; I will only reinvest all earnings from BNB activities, looking forward to seeing how much this bull market can turn 28600 USD into? Let's verify together.
Still the same saying: "Hold BNB, let time slowly make us rich."
#BNB #Launchpool #币安上线SCR现货
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The first meme coin invested in after 8 years of entering the circle - 1984
On October 6th, Musk posted about George Orwell's book "1984", which revolves around the pursuit of democracy, equality, and freedom.
On that day, the $1984 token was first issued on the Base chain. I believed that the 1984 IP was great; democracy, freedom, and equality are humanity's eternal pursuits. After its release, I bought in at a high price. Subsequently, due to excessive concentration of chips, some individuals even held 32% of the tokens. The community has been building, but large holders continuously sold off. Later, the community called for the top holders to donate or burn their tokens, but they remained indifferent and continued to sell.
The Base chain almost went to zero afterward, at which point the community took rescue measures, transitioning fairly and justly to the Ethereum chain via an airdrop to rebuild, and on October 16th, issued $1984 on the Ethereum chain.
Currently, $1984 is at the bottom, having undergone sufficient turnover and cleansing, removing many weak hands, with a current market value of just over 1 million USD. Those who are optimistic can buy in with a small position.
Key Point: This Saturday, the 1984 community will hold an event hosted by Moonlight, featuring hundreds of KOLs live-streaming simultaneously on Twitter, Binance Square, and YouTube. On the day of the event, the coin price is likely to rise rapidly.
#1984 #自由之路
On October 6th, Musk posted about George Orwell's book "1984", which revolves around the pursuit of democracy, equality, and freedom.
On that day, the $1984 token was first issued on the Base chain. I believed that the 1984 IP was great; democracy, freedom, and equality are humanity's eternal pursuits. After its release, I bought in at a high price. Subsequently, due to excessive concentration of chips, some individuals even held 32% of the tokens. The community has been building, but large holders continuously sold off. Later, the community called for the top holders to donate or burn their tokens, but they remained indifferent and continued to sell.
The Base chain almost went to zero afterward, at which point the community took rescue measures, transitioning fairly and justly to the Ethereum chain via an airdrop to rebuild, and on October 16th, issued $1984 on the Ethereum chain.
Currently, $1984 is at the bottom, having undergone sufficient turnover and cleansing, removing many weak hands, with a current market value of just over 1 million USD. Those who are optimistic can buy in with a small position.
Key Point: This Saturday, the 1984 community will hold an event hosted by Moonlight, featuring hundreds of KOLs live-streaming simultaneously on Twitter, Binance Square, and YouTube. On the day of the event, the coin price is likely to rise rapidly.
#1984 #自由之路
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The tokens for BNB's 60th launchpool are finally opening for trading—SCR
SCR will be available for spot trading on 2024-10-22 at 16:00. If you haven't sold your SCR yet, you can sell in batches after it goes live today and reinvest in BNB. A new mining phase is on its way, so let's hang in there a bit longer.
Holding BNB, let time accompany us to slowly become wealthy.
#SCR #BNB #Launchpool
SCR will be available for spot trading on 2024-10-22 at 16:00. If you haven't sold your SCR yet, you can sell in batches after it goes live today and reinvest in BNB. A new mining phase is on its way, so let's hang in there a bit longer.
Holding BNB, let time accompany us to slowly become wealthy.
#SCR #BNB #Launchpool
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