金连涨

[Analysis of the market on April 17, 2024]
[Viewpoint]: The second bottom exploration has been completed, and a short-term bullish upward trend of a range oscillation is expected, but the probability of breaking through 7w is not high.
[Reason]: Since the large-scale decline on April 14, although the highest rebound has reached 66,800, it has not broken through the high point of 68,000, indicating that the rebound is not strong, and then the second bottom exploration has not broken the new low. Looking forward to a wave of upward opportunities for bulls! (The operation plan has been given on April 14)

[Operation method]:
BTC: Hold the long order at 61,800, stop loss 58,900

[Summary]: Although it will rebound in the short term, this rebound is definitely not a continuation of the bull trend, but just a wave of range oscillation, a rebound upward at the bottom of the oscillation range!

(Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone. I accept all advice, just to make more like-minded friends. Welcome to leave your valuable opinions and views. There is no so-called VIP group, just sharing and communication. Please pay attention. It is updated daily. I wish all the bosses who like and pay attention to make a fortune.)

[Analysis of the market on April 14, 2024]
[Viewpoint]: If I say that the market has not fallen completely, will I be scolded? Judging from the amplitude and sustainability of the rebound, it will continue to fall, and it has not fallen through! It will continue to explore the bottom again! It is probably between 61800-60000. I personally placed an order at 61000, and the stop loss is at 58900!
[Reason]: Since the rebound in the morning formed a piercing structure, it should continue to be strong, but it did not. The rebound was beaten down at the 0.618 position, indicating that the bulls are not strong, and there is no continuity and sustainability. Moreover, the fullness and volume of the K-line are not good. Although I really hope that it will rise, because I also have big cake spot, but the market is so pessimistic. Respect the market, there will definitely be a rebound, but no one knows where it will rebound. Take it one step at a time!
[Operation method]:
BTC: Look for right-side opportunities between 62000-60000 to open longs. Remember that it is not recommended to place orders for right-side opportunities. Stop loss is 58900. If it rebounds directly to 65500, then there is a high probability that you still need to find an opportunity to go short.

[Summary]: The market trend is weak, and the copycats have been bloodbathed, but the rebound is very weak. Don’t think that there will be no more plunges after the plunge. People who have experienced 312 know that many people bought the bottom on 312 and were liquidated on 313, falling before liberation! Don’t be obsessed, the weak market is a fact that must be acknowledged! Pay special attention to the vicinity of 65500. If it cannot continue to rise, then this may be the last chance for the bulls to escape, at least in the short term!

(Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all advice, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by the old iron, there is no so-called VIP group, just share and communicate, pay attention, update daily, and wish all bosses who like and pay attention to make a fortune)

[Analysis of the market on April 9, 2024]
[Viewpoint]: BTC is likely to go through a slightly oscillating downward consolidation structure during the day, so don't rush to buy the bottom! From the 4-hour level, it broke through the upper edge of the convergence triangle, and with volume, although there are slight signs of downward movement, it is still not possible to see a reversal. It is still based on the low-multiple thinking. The strong volume pull-up is followed by a slightly oscillating downward structural trend. There is reason to believe that it can still go through a long period. As for whether it is a long trend, we can only take it one step at a time!
[Reason]: In the potential consolidation range, the high-volume rise hits the top of the consolidation range. It is highly unlikely to break through immediately. Even if it wants to break through and continue the trend, it will take a period of consolidation! Therefore, the long orders since 67,000 were prompted to close at 72,150 yesterday evening. Although it did not close at the highest point, it also made a profit of 5,150 points. As for the intraday operation ideas, it has also been explained in the viewpoint!
[Operation method]:
BTC: Look for the right side stop-loss and stabilization signal at 70900-69900 during the day and go long, stop loss at 68800, the first target is around 72500-73000, if the volume falls, do not consider going long, and you can look for a stabilization signal to go long if it falls slowly to 70900-69900

[Summary]: The market can be V-shaped and stabilize at a high level, which can show strength. Although the price has slightly declined, the structure has not destroyed the rising structure, so it is still preferred to look long, and do not consider going short before the bearish momentum is seen!

(Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all advice, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by old friends, there is no so-called VIP group, just share and communicate, pay attention, and update daily)

The long position of 67000 has been closed at 72150, but shorting is not considered. [Reason]: Both BTC and altcoins have reached the pressure level of about 4 hours. I choose to lock in profits and close the long position, but I will not consider shorting before I see the momentum of shorting! At this position, even if the bulls want to start a trend, they need to consolidate for a period of time above 70,000. In the short term, I personally think the probability of starting a trend is very low!

[Analysis of the market on April 8, 2024]
[Viewpoint]: The market will continue to rise, don't be afraid of heights, the 15-minute moving average begins to diverge and begins to arrange long positions. From the perspective of momentum, there is no sign of exhaustion in the bulls, and the bears have not exerted their strength, so the view is still bullish! If the attack on 70500 fails to break through again, that is, the upper edge of the oblique convergence triangle, you should consider taking part of the profits in batches! (See the diagram below for details)
[Operation method]:
BTC: Continue to hold the long position of 67000. If it is blocked and falls back at 70000-70500, take part of the profits in batches
[Daily level]: The V-reverse structure was formed for the large-scale decline on April 2, which is a strong performance of the bulls
[Hourly level]: The hourly level is also a V-reverse pattern and can be maintained above the 68500-69000 line, and there is no short-selling momentum, which is also a strong performance of the bulls. Unless the attack fails to break through 70500 again, the long position will be held!
[Summary]: The market can stabilize at a high level in a V-shaped rebound, which shows that it is strong. If there is no continuous force from the shorts, then the priority is to look at the long side! Do not consider shorting before the short momentum is seen!

(Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by old friends)

[Analysis of the market on April 7, 2024]
[Viewpoint]: The market rose strongly and then rebounded relatively weakly, and then the second stage of strength was launched, and it stabilized above the high of 69,000, which is a strong performance of the bulls, so the views of the previous few days remain unchanged and continue to be bullish!
[Operation method]:
BTC: Continue to hold the long orders of 67,000, or go long at lows when the callback is made!
[Daily level]: The large-scale decline on April 2 formed a V-reverse structure, which is a strong performance of the bulls
[Hourly level]: The hourly level is also a V-reverse pattern and can be stabilized above the 68,500-69,000 line, and there is no short-selling momentum, which is also a strong performance of the bulls
[Summary]: Both the daily and hourly levels are strong performances, at least there is no sign of exhaustion of bullish momentum, and the large cycle is an upward trend, so going long has an advantage in terms of both winning rate and profit and loss ratio!

(Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone. I accept all suggestions and only want to make more like-minded friends. Welcome to leave your valuable opinions and views! $BTC

[Analysis of the market on April 6, 2024]
[View]: The short-term outlook is still bullish. Strong and decisive continuous pull-ups followed by a downward correction, and strong and decisive continuous pull-ups appeared at the support level. Although it did not break through the previous high of 69329, I personally think it is only a matter of time! (See the diagram below for details)
[Operation method]:
BTC: Continue to hold long orders, or go long at lows when the price falls back!
[Daily level]: The low point of the band gradually rises. Although there was a strong decline in the past few days, the downward trend did not continue when it reached the support level, but turned to a bullish reversal. [Hourly level]: The rise that started at 12:00 on April 4 was very strong in terms of continuity, persistence, and strength, while the correction that started at 2:00 on April 5 was not as straightforward, decisive, and tough as the previous rise. From the perspective of volume and momentum, there is reason to believe that the rise that started at 21:00 last night continued the rise that started at noon on April 4, so the idea is the same as yesterday, and the short-term bullish idea remains unchanged. [Summary]: Both the daily and hourly lines are relatively strong, and the market share of Bitcoin is also rising, so the bullish idea is mainly low-multiple. (Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by old friends)

[Analysis of the market on April 5, 2024]
[Viewpoint]: BTC's market share is close to the highest since this round of bull market, and it continued to rise at the hourly level yesterday, with good sustainability and continuity. Although it has fallen back slightly after rising, it still stabilizes at a high level. For the opponent, as long as it does not fall below 66,000, it is a strong performance, so shorting in the short term is not advisable!
[Operation method]:
BTC: Current price 67,800-66,800, long stop loss 65,980
Or choose to wait directly
[Daily level]: Appear in the reversal pattern, don't blindly short!
[Hourly level]: The rise that started yesterday afternoon, whether it is continuity, sustainability or momentum, is not weak, and it broke through the W bottom pattern since the decline on April 2, and can stabilize at a high level, indicating that the bullish momentum is not weak,
[Summary]: Although the strong decline in the past two days has shown bearish signals, the market did not show a continuous decline under the bearish signal, but instead went out of the reversal trend, so go with the trend! If you don't dare to open more at this position, then choose to wait!

(Note: The purpose of posting is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by friends)

[Market Analysis on April 4, 2024]
[Opinion]: The market is going down as expected, but the downturn is not strong enough. At present, the short orders entered at 66800 yesterday have been taken profit-taking. In the short term, they can only be dealt with within the same day. I personally think that BTC will reach a better price for us to short. , approximately within the range of 67000-68000, you can pay attention to whether there is a short signal K line in this range.
【Operation method】:
BTC: short between 67000-68100, stop loss 69500
[Daily Level]: The bullish rebound is relatively weak, but the shorts’ volume energy has not been extended immediately. Find a better price to short!
[Hourly level]: The strong short K-line at the daily level did not continue to connect to the negative line, but closed a cross star, indicating that shorts do not want to break directly at this position, so they can find a higher price to short!
[Summary]: The short trend at the 1-hour and 4-hour levels has not ended yet. The high altitude is the main force, the high altitude is the main force, and the decline is not over yet! Retracement to 60000-61000 is just a matter of time

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market Analysis on April 3, 2024]
[Opinion]: Look for a slight rebound during the day, but the daily line is bearish! Pay attention to the time level. The BTC market trend is weak and the bulls are weak. The daily line closed yesterday was very full, so the daily line level is mainly high-altitude! Looking at a slight rebound during the day, the risk of going long is relatively high, so you need to bring a good stop loss. Don't go directly to 68000-70000, otherwise there is a high probability that profits will be taken. At 8:35, I took the root and made a false breakthrough against yesterday evening's low. Take it back, as long as there is no larger volume that can directly engulf this one-hour K-line with a lower shadow line, the rebound will be the main thing during the day, and it is not appropriate to chase short directly!
Yesterday evening, I received a long order of LTC at 102, with a precise profit stop of 110! Logic for opening orders (false breakthrough is withdrawn, and a potential W-bottom pattern is created, there are reasons to open a long position, see the diagram below for details)
【Operation method】:
BTC: short between 66800-67500, stop loss 68800
LTC: You can continue to be bullish and use 98.5 as a stop loss
[Daily level]: Shorts are stronger than longs. It is temporarily unknown whether there are signs of stopping the decline at the daily level.
[Hourly level]: Although there is no sign of stopping the decline at the daily level, there is a false breakthrough and recovery at the hourly level. You can see a slight rebound, but you cannot see a breakthrough of 70,000.
[Summary]: Before breaking through the downward trend line, the high altitude is the main one, the high altitude is the main one, and the high altitude is the main one. Even if you want to open a long position at a low level, you cannot take a heavy position. The daily level decline is not over yet! Retracement to 60000-61000 is just a matter of time

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

Target: LTC
Direction: many
Point: 102
Stop Loss: 95
Target: 110-150

In addition, BTC has a potential short-term long position. If the extremely fast and extremely fast channel reaches the support level, you can have a rebound. Note that it is a rebound with a 1-hour structure, and it is not expected to break the 69,000-70,000 mark.

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market analysis on April 2, 2024]
[Opinion]: After the market fell below the clear support of 68500, the rebound was very weak. The short kinetic energy is stronger than the long kinetic energy. There is currently no sign of stopping the decline at the 4-hour level. You must not have the idea of ​​​​buying the bottom. The 1-hour level and the 15-minute level are intraday The rebound is mainly short!
【Operation method】:
BTC: short between 67500-68500, stop loss 69500.
[Daily level]: It fell below yesterday's low of 68100 with stronger momentum than yesterday, making up for yesterday's shadow line.
[Hourly level]: There is no sign of stopping the decline, so don’t buy the bottom and go long!
[Summary]: Before breaking through the 1-hour downward trend line in Figure 2 below, the high altitude is the main one, the high altitude is the main one, and the high altitude is the main one.

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

Everyone in this square is a master, and many even post pictures recommending fans (cut leeks) to buy coins in December and January. What can you buy in the bull market that will not make money? Even EOS has doubled, and the contract’s 50 times leverage return rate is 200%. Isn’t it funny to say that you can earn 2 times by bringing fans? It’s only 4 points, double the amount? Many people said that in December, fans were recommended to lurk in advance which coins, and now they have increased by 50% or 70%. Why not publish the size of the buying position and the buying and selling points? Anyone who has been playing for a long time knows that the points are times. Yes, the important thing is the size of the position and making money. Your altcoin is issued at 4 points per issue and only posts a profit chart. Isn’t it just to cut leeks? It’s called bringing more fans to get rich. It’s true. I laughed so much that I couldn't sleep when I saw it. There were people down there shouting "teacher, teacher, teacher". Let's just say that these people may not know as much as you do, or they may have been transported from other places! Do you understand, you cannot get rich by following orders, you will lose money by following orders, do you understand?

[Market Analysis on November 28, 2023]
[Opinion]: Short-term bias in the day! Reason: BTC pinned 37800 on November 24 and then fell back to 38425, forming a trend of continuously falling highs. Although the price held near 36700 many times last night and early in the morning, the bulls did not continue to try to rebound after holding. It broke through the resistance level of 37800, but fell in a channel style!
【Operation method】:
BTC: I was short at 37300 in the morning, covered the position at 37500, and stopped the loss at 37800!
[Daily Level]: Although the price is still at a high level, the bulls are weakening and there is no more bullish volume to push the price upward!
[Hourly Level]: Channel-like decline!
[Summary]: Although the big cycle is still long (at least for now, it cannot be said that the bulls have completely failed, nor can it be said that the trend has turned short), the weakness of the bulls within the day and at the 4-hour level is real. I personally feel that if it cannot lead If the volume breaks through 37800, the price will continue to fall until it finds support at a lower level!

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market Analysis on November 15, 2023]
[Viewpoint]: The calf market is basically over. Although there is still the possibility of a short-term rebound, the big cycle is basically over! Cherish the few opportunities for altcoins to escape! Don’t treat an escape opportunity as an opportunity to make money! Unless 36200 is taken back with volume, goodbye to the bulls
【Operation method】:
BTC: Rally is an opportunity to go short
Yesterday's good news about CPI did not drive the market to continue to rise but crashed in the middle of the night. This has already explained the problem. In the short term, some copycats still have room to rise, but both BTC and ETH have fallen below the M head and are carrying volume. If they cannot recover within 1-3 days, it will basically be announced. The bull market is over!
[Daily level]: The volume fell below 36100, and the rebound was unlimited, and the rebound did not last! Bulls are in danger!
[Hourly level]: Place short orders between 35500-36100, stop loss 36800!
[Summary]: The big cycle trend has basically come to an end. Unless the volume can be recovered in a short period of time and continue to rise, Bitcoin bulls will have no chance in recent months.

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market analysis on November 4, 2023]
[Opinion]: The market situation is exactly the same as what was deduced yesterday! Both long and short, the view remains the same. BTC is currently in a two-stage adjustment of a three-stage decline at the short-cycle level. It is currently in the second stage. You can observe the 34800-35200 range. If there are signs of bullish weakness, you can go short (⚠️Only small Cycle level short-term, the bull trend has not reversed, it is not recommended to open trend short orders before the position is broken)
【Operation method】:
BTC: short around 34800-35200 (because the big cycle is in an upward cycle, you must wait for a signal on the right side, and you can only go short when a weak signal comes out if it cannot go up. You cannot directly place a short order on the left side)
ETH: Short and long positions are not recommended! The trend is actually not that weak. After all, it has broken through the consolidation box since the decline on August 18 and stabilized at a high level. There is no sign of short positions amplifying.
[Daily level]: The daily line is bullish, but the upward trend is slightly weak in the short term!
[Hourly Level]: Short sellers need to wait for the signal on the right and pay attention to the 34800-35200 range! You cannot leave the pending order on the left empty directly! The reason is as above!
[Summary]: The trend of the macro cycle has not changed and is still bullish. Go high and fall back, and observe whether it can break through the neckline again. If not, counterattack 34800-35200 and continue to go short! If you continue to attack, you can't chase more!

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market analysis on November 3, 2023]
[Opinion]: BTC failed to rise and fall, but did not continue to fall in volume. It formed a three-way downward trend at the hourly level, but the three-way downward trend failed. We should still pay attention to the 34800-35200 range during the day. If it cannot continue to rise, high altitude will be the main trend! ⚠️Currently, short selling can only be based on the callback. Regarding the callback of the rise on October 24, the bull trend has not yet reversed, so you cannot directly watch the reversal!
【Operation method】:
BTC: More than 34200-34400, take profit from 34800 and go up to 34800-35200. If the bulls are unable to break through the M head and neck line, they will continue to be short. Cover the position at 35500 and stop loss at 36000.
ETH: If it cannot continue to rise near 1815-1840, go short!
[Daily level]: The daily line is bullish, but the upward trend is slightly weak in the short term!
[Hourly level]: Open long near 34200-34400, stop loss 33900, decline the three-way trend and continue the decline, turn to a two-stage slight upward adjustment!
[Summary]: The trend of the macro cycle has not changed and is still bullish. Go high and fall back, and observe whether it can break through the neckline again. If not, counterattack 34800-35200 and continue to go short!

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market Analysis on October 31, 2023]
[Opinion]: BTC is currently consolidating at a high level. It can go high and go low, and stop losses if the position is broken! The long and short forces in the consolidation area are relatively balanced. Neither the long nor the short side has shown strong strength.
ETH is still in the downward channel and is weak relative to Bitcoin! The first choice for short selling is eth!
【Operation method】:
BTC: 34800-35200 short, stop loss 35500
Conservative long orders are more than 32900-32500
ETH: short near 1850, stop loss 1880
[Daily level]: Although the daily line is still bullish, the trend has not yet reversed. The diagnosis is at a high level. There is no decent retracement after the strong rise. The box is dominated by high altitude and low bulls! The box is as shown below👇
[Hourly level]: I still feel that there is a need for a correction, so I can go short against the resistance level. There are many opportunities in altcoins!
[Summary]: The trend of the large cycle has not changed and is still bullish, but the rebound of the small cycle is weak, indicating that the main force is unwilling to continue buying at this price. You can pay attention to the position near 32900-32500. If there is support or buying, you can continue to open long. If If not, it will rebound high!

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

[Market Analysis on October 29, 2023]
[Opinion]: BTC fell back yesterday. As written in yesterday’s article, those who shorted in batches near 34100-34500 can continue to hold short orders, and the stop loss remains unchanged! The bulls did not continue to exert force. The small cycle of 15 minutes and the 1-hour high point continued to move downwards. Yesterday, it shot higher and fell back in a short period of time. This shows that there is no main force to buy at this position and the price is more inclined to a downward trend. Step back!
ETH has not yet exited the descending channel, and is currently in the suppression area of ​​the upper boundary of the channel! The high altitude mainly breaks through the channel and stops the loss! See the picture below for the channel👇
【Operation method】:
BTC: Continue to hold short orders at 34500. Those that have not been opened can be shorted in batches at 34100-34500, with a stop loss of 34900.
ETH: Pay attention to around 1800-1810. If it cannot break through, go short on the downside!
[Daily Line Level]: Although the daily line is still bullish and the trend has not yet reversed, there is currently no continued follow-up by bulls, which does not affect short-selling at the short-cycle and medium-cycle levels!
[Hourly level]: There is a demand for a short-term correction. When the price touches the lower edge of the box, there is no volume to move upward! high altitude!
[Summary]: The trend of the large cycle has not changed and is still bullish, but the rebound of the small cycle is weak, indicating that the main force is unwilling to continue buying at this price. You can pay attention to the position near 32900-32500. If there is support or buying, you can continue to open long. If If not, it will rebound high!

(Note: The purpose of posting this article is to exchange valuable opinions and views with everyone, accept all guidance, just to make more like-minded friends, welcome the valuable opinions and views left by Lao Tie)

Target: BSV
Direction: many
Point: Current price 50.7
Stop Loss: 47.9
Goal: 58-65